A Literature Review about Demonstrating Whether China＇s Stock Market Has Reached Weak-form Efficiency

The efficient Market Hypothesis divided the stock market into three parts： weak-form efficiency, semi-strong-form efficiency, and strong-form efficiency. There are so many scholars have conducted researches on whether China＇ s stock market has reached weak-form efficiency. The author of this literature review summaries the results of these researches and makes a systematic induction. This article attempts to show the achievements of these researches and ~ive readers new ideas about how to improve China＇ s stock market efficiency.

IKD Co., Ltd. successfully listed on Shanghai＇s stock market

IKD Co., Ltd. was listed on the main board of Shanghai＇s stock market on November 17, 2017. IKD, established in 2003, is a professional manufacturer of precision aluminum alloy die-castings. Its main products are die-casting aluminum automotive parts such as wiper, transmission, steering, engine and brake systems to meet the requirements of lightweight and energy saving. Its main customers are the world＇s leading providers of automotive components including Valeo, Bosch, and Knorr-Bremse.

Do the RMB exchange rate and global commodity prices have asymmetric or symmetric effects on China’s stock prices?

With the rapid expansion of the RMB exchange rate’s floating range,the effects of the RMB exchange rate and global commodity price changes on China’s stock prices are likely to increase.This study uses both auto regressive distributed lag(ARDL)and nonlinear ARDL(NARDL)approaches to explore the symmetric and asymmetric effects of the RMB exchange rate and global commodity prices on China’s stock prices.Our findings show that without considering the critical variable of global commodity prices,there is no cointegration relationship between the RMB exchange rate and China’s stock prices,and the coefficient of the RMB exchange rate is not statistically significant.However,when we introduce global commodity prices into the NARDL model,the result shows that the RMB exchange rate has a negative effect on China’s stock prices,that there indeed exists a long-run cointegration relationship among the RMB exchange rate,global commodity prices,and stock prices in the NARDL model,and that global commodity price changes have an asymmetric effect on China’s stock prices in the long run.Specifically,China’s stock prices are more sensitive to increases than decreases in global commodity prices.Thus,increases in global commodity prices cause China’s stock prices to decline sharply.In contrast,the same magnitude of decline in global commodity prices induces a smaller increase in China’s stock prices.

The Effect of Dividends and Earnings per Share on the Stock Market Value by Moderating Bank Size

The aim of this study was to investigate the effect of dividend distributions and earnings per share by moderating bank size as measured by its total assets on the stock market value of banks operating in Jordan during the period between 2011 and 2016.The hypotheses of the study were tested based on multiple and hierarchical regression method.The most important result of the study is that the earnings per share is the strongest variable that helps in predicting the stock market value of the bank shares,in addition to the significant effect of bank size as measured by its total assets.

Stock Markets,Financial Depth,and Economic Growth in China:Evidence from ARDLModel

The relationship between financial development and economic growth in China is controversial.From this perspective,this article aims to identify this relationship using both capital market and banking intermediation indicators,which were rarely considered in the previous literature.An autoregressive model with staggered lags(ARDL)examines the long-run cointegration relationship between 1980 and 2020.The results suggest that the contribution of different subsectors of the Chinese financial system to economic growth differs.The development of the money market has a negative impact,whereas market capitalization has a positive impact on economic growth in China.Regarding the contribution of the banking system to China's economic growth,the two variables measuring the depth of financial institutions showed opposite impacts in both the short and long term.Regarding important policy implications,regulators need to ensure a pro-growth environment,effectively regulate the informal banking system,and prevent potential financial risks by revising policies.

NEW REGULATION BY THE PEOPLE'S BANK OF CHINA-TRADING B STOCKS ABROAD,OPENING ACCOUNTS IN CHINA

The People’s Bank of China promulgated andput in force days ago Regulation on Foreign Ex-change Accounts in China, according to which for-eign individuals or legal persons can open foreignexchange accounts to keep foreign exchange fortrading B stock in China.As stipulated by the regulation, as to foreigncurrency stock accounts opened bydomestic insti-tutions with the income from issuing stocks, theirreceipt shall be income from issuing stocks anddisbursement shall be used for the purposes pro-vided for in the prospectus approved by securitiessupervising organs; as to foreign exchange ac-counts opened by foreign individuals or legal per-sons for trading B stocks in China.their receipt shallbe the income of trading stocks and foreign ex-change remitted or brought in from abroad, andtheir disbursement shall be used for buying andselling stocks.As provided in the regulation, for the purposeof opening B stock account to trade B stocks

The impact of the COVID‑19 outbreak on Chinese‑listed tourism stocks

This research explored the effects of the coronavirus disease(COVID-19)outbreak on stock price movements of China’s tourism industry by using an event study method.The results showed that the crisis negatively impacted tourism sector stocks.Further quantile regression analyses supported the non-linear relationship between the government’s responses and stock returns.The results present that the resurgence of the virus in Beijing did bring about a short-term negative impact on the tourism industry.The empirical results can be used for future researchers to conduct a comparative study of cultural differences concerning government responses to the COVID-19.

Expected Investment Premium in China Capital Market

Through a measurement of corporate investment plan,i.e.expected investment cash flow growth(EICFG),which combines historical equity issuance and factors that influence firm’s future investment,this paper studies the impact of investment expectation on firm’s cross-sectional return of stock in China capital market.I document the negative correlation between EICFG and future stock return in A-share market,and find out that stocks of firms with higher growth of investment cash flow performs significantly worse than those with lower growth of investment cash flow in one year.Our long-short EICFG portfolio generates a statistically and economically significant return which cannot be captured by leading factor models.I further disentangle the covariation between EICFG and expected stock return from rational and behavioral perspective.This paper also extends the research of investment premium to investment-based asset pricing model.

Stock Market's Response to Real Output Shocks in China: A VARwAL Estimation

This paper studies the connection between the stock market and real output in China and compares it with benchmark countries,employing a novel vector autoregression with asymmetric leads(VARwAL)model.It makes two contributions.First,it finds that the time profile of the Chinese stock market's response to real output shocks suggests no evidence of a distorted relationship due to manipulation of Chinese real output data or domination of the Chinese stock market by individual investors.Rather,the Chinese stock market is relatively more responsive to real output,in line with the larger share of manufacturing in the Chinese economy.Electricity output and industrial profits,two different,less-manipulable time series,yield similar results.Second,it presents the first use of VARwAL impulse responses to detect stock market bubbles:VARwAL captures the 2015 bubble in China successfully.Over the full sample period,China's stock market appears to have been less prone to bubbles than the US stock market.

Observations on Samuelson’s Dictum

The stock market in the form of the S&P 500 is estimated to be inefficient in 13%to 30%of the time since 1963.This is contrary to the theory of efficient capital markets,but in accordance with Samuelson’s Dictum,which posits that the stock market is micro efficient,but macro inefficient.I develop a new model to measure potential inefficiency at macro level.Inefficiency in price(P)is driven by earnings(EPS)and/or valuation(P/E).At the peak of the TMT-bubble in 1999/2000,both factors were in play,while only earnings assumptions were inefficient before the Great Financial Crisis in 2008/09.The model developed show expected results in terms of relative efficiency for Developed vs.Emerging Markets and for Dow Jones vs.Nasdaq.Parts of academia seems to accept a different definition of market efficiency at micro level compared to macro level.At macro level,a standard“price vs.fair value”definition seems to be generally accepted,while at micro level,a relative“price vs.price”definition seems to be broadly used.The latter way of thinking has historically contributed to price bubbles.Numerous examples of stock prices that deviate significantly from their fair value in days,weeks and months and doubtful methods for measuring efficiency at micro level cast doubt about the micro efficiency claim part of Samuelson’s Dictum.

RCEP背景下中日韩股票市场的联动性与风险溢出衍变

在RCEP实施推进的背景下,从区域经济一体化引致金融一体化的视角切入对比了RCEP推进的不同阶段中日韩三国股票市场的联动情况和风险溢出情况。结果表明,三国股票市场的收益波动具有显著的杠杆效应,危机爆发时期股市间的联动性会显著提升;股市间的一体化程度正在加深,韩国是风险输入国,中国和日本是风险输出国。为了维护金融稳定,除了进一步加强宏观审慎监管,各国应协同合作,构建区域统一、协调的风险防范机制。

How does China’s stock market react to the announcement of the COVID-19 pandemic lockdown?

In this paper,we study how China’s stock market reacts to the sudden outbreak of COVID-19 in 2020,particularly to the announcement of the pandemic lockdown.In general,we observe reversals both at the industry level and at the firm level due to investors’overreactions to the pandemic lockdown.For industryand firm-level stocks with positive cumulative abnormal returns(CARs)in the event window when Wuhan was locked down,the reversals are stronger.Thus,the reversal effects are mostly driven by industries and stocks that positively overreact to COVID-19 than do others.Further investigation shows that overreactions are stronger for stocks with lower institutional ownership,which means that retail investors react more strongly to COVID-19.Among stocks with positive CARs in the event window,those with higher idiosyncratic volatilities and lower book-to-market ratios tend to have worse performance after one month.

China's Stock Market:Inefficiencies and Institutional Implications

The dramatic movements of China＇s stock market in the past two and a half years have renewed debate among academics over the efficiency of China＇s stock market. The present paper tests the efficiency of China＇ s stock market. The realization of efficient markets requires the effective operation of a complete set of macro and micro mechanisms. However, such mechanisms are not only incomplete in China＇ s stock market, but are also ineffective because of the prevalence of institutional deficiencies.

Forecasting China′s Stock Market Volatility Using Non-Linear GARCH Models

This paper studies the performance of the GARCH model and two of its non linear modifications to forecast China′s weekly stock market volatility. The models are the Quadratic GARCH and the Glosten, Jagannathan and Runkle models which have proposed to describe the often observed negative skewness in stock market indices. We find that the QGARCH model is best when the estimation sample does not contain extreme observations and that the GJR model cannot be recommended for forecasting.

Institutional Investors, Earnings Quality and Asset Liquidity： Evidence from China＇s Stock Market

This paper investigates how institutional holding and earnings quality influence the liquidity of assets. Contrary to findings in developed markets, we document several novel results in China＇s stock market： （1） institutional holding negatively affects assets＇ liquidity, （2） earnings quality is negatively related with liquidity. Since earnings quality captures asymmetric information, low earnings quality induces high divergence in investor opinions and thus boosts market trading, and （3） interestingly, the effect of earnings quality on liquidity is greater if institutional investors＇ holding is at a high level. Overall, our findings cast doubt on the conventional wisdom that institutional investors and earnings quality improve market liquidity. The results are robust to different measures and alternative model specifications.

Transparency of China's Stock Market

Ⅰ. Transparency and Truthfulness: Theoretical BackgroundAccording to information restriction theory devel-oped by Stiglitz, the 2001 Nobel Prize winner ofeconomics, transparency can raise market efficiencyand reduce trading cost.The past economics theory

沪深股市的R/S实证分析

通过对沪深股市的 R/ S实证分析 ,揭示了我国股票市场波动的非线性特征 ,为进一步研究我国资本市场的非线性特征提供了依据。

基于中国投资者行为偏差的DHS模型修正

行为金融理论在金融理论中所占的地位越来越重要。行为金融模型中较为典型的有BSV模型、DHS模型、HS模型和BHS模型。本文基于DHS模型 ,在一个截面市场中 ,给出包括投资者保守性偏差和以归因偏差为条件的过度自信偏差的一个行为金融学模型。本文认为 。