UCAV situation assessment method based on C-LSHADE-Means and SAE-LVQ

The unmanned combat aerial vehicle(UCAV)is a research hot issue in the world,and the situation assessment is an important part of it.To overcome shortcomings of the existing situation assessment methods,such as low accuracy and strong dependence on prior knowledge,a datadriven situation assessment method is proposed.The clustering and classification are combined,the former is used to mine situational knowledge,and the latter is used to realize rapid assessment.Angle evaluation factor and distance evaluation factor are proposed to transform multi-dimensional air combat information into two-dimensional features.A convolution success-history based adaptive differential evolution with linear population size reduc-tion-means(C-LSHADE-Means)algorithm is proposed.The convolutional pooling layer is used to compress the size of data and preserve the distribution characteristics.The LSHADE algorithm is used to initialize the center of the mean clustering,which over-comes the defect of initialization sensitivity.Comparing experi-ment with the seven clustering algorithms is done on the UCI data set,through four clustering indexes,and it proves that the method proposed in this paper has better clustering performance.A situation assessment model based on stacked autoen-coder and learning vector quantization(SAE-LVQ)network is constructed,and it uses SAE to reconstruct air combat data fea-tures,and uses the self-competition layer of the LVQ to achieve efficient classification.Compared with the five kinds of assess-ments models,the SAE-LVQ model has the highest accuracy.Finally,three kinds of confrontation processes from air combat maneuvering instrumentation(ACMI)are selected,and the model in this paper is used for situation assessment.The assessment results are in line with the actual situation.

A cloud Bayesian network approach to situation assessment of scouting underwater targets with fixed-wing patrol aircraft

The battlefield situation changes rapidly because underwater targets'are concealment and the sea environment is uncertain.So,a great number of situation information greatly increase,which need to be dealt with in the course of scouting underwater targets.Situation assessment in sea battlefield with a lot of uncertain information is studied,and a new situation assessment method of scouting underwater targets with fixed-wing patrol aircraft is proposed based on the cloud Bayesian network,which overcomes the deficiency of the single cloud model in reasoning ability and the defect of Bayesian network in knowledge representation.Moreover,in the method,the cloud model knowledge deal with the input data of Bayesian network reasoning,and the advantages in knowledge representation of cloud theory and reasoning of Bayesian network are applied;also,the fuzziness and stochasticity of cloud theory in knowledge expression,the reasoning ability of Bayesian network,are combined.Then,the situation assessment model of scouting underwater targets with fixed-wing patrol aircraft is established.Hence,the directed acyclic graph of Bayesian network structure is constructed and the assessment index is determined.Next,the cloud model is used to deal with Bayesian network,and the discrete Bayesian network is obtained.Moreover,after CPT of each node and the transformation between certainty degree and probability are accomplished;the final situation level is obtained through a probability synthesis formula.Therefore,the target type and the operational intention of the other side are deduced to form the battlefield situation.Finally,simulations are carried out,and the rationality and validity of the proposed method are testified by simulation results.By this method,the battlefield situation can be gained.And this method has a wider application range,especially for large sample data processing,and it has better practicability.

A New Model for Network Security Situation Assessment of the Industrial Internet

To address the problem of network security situation assessment in the Industrial Internet,this paper adopts the evidential reasoning(ER)algorithm and belief rule base(BRB)method to establish an assessment model.First,this paper analyzes the influencing factors of the Industrial Internet and selects evaluation indicators that contain not only quantitative data but also qualitative knowledge.Second,the evaluation indicators are fused with expert knowledge and the ER algorithm.According to the fusion results,a network security situation assessment model of the Industrial Internet based on the ER and BRB method is established,and the projection covariance matrix adaptive evolution strategy(P-CMA-ES)is used to optimize the model parameters.This method can not only utilize semiquantitative information effectively but also use more uncertain information and prevent the problem of combinatorial explosion.Moreover,it solves the problem of the uncertainty of expert knowledge and overcomes the problem of low modeling accuracy caused by insufficient data.Finally,a network security situation assessment case of the Industrial Internet is analyzed to verify the effectiveness and superiority of the method.The research results showthat this method has strong applicability to the network security situation assessment of complex Industrial Internet systems.It can accurately reflect the actual network security situation of Industrial Internet systems and provide safe and reliable suggestions for network administrators to take timely countermeasures,thereby improving the risk monitoring and emergency response capabilities of the Industrial Internet.

Situation assessment for air combat based on novel semi-supervised naive Bayes

A method is proposed to resolve the typical problem of air combat situation assessment. Taking the one-to-one air combat as an example and on the basis of air combat data recorded by the air combat maneuvering instrument, the problem of air combat situation assessment is equivalent to the situation classification problem of air combat data. The fuzzy C-means clustering algorithm is proposed to cluster the selected air combat sample data and the situation classification of the data is determined by the data correlation analysis in combination with the clustering results and the pilots＇ description of the air combat process. On the basis of semi-supervised naive Bayes classifier, an improved algorithm is proposed based on data classification confidence, through which the situation classification of air combat data is carried out. The simulation results show that the improved algorithm can assess the air combat situation effectively and the improvement of the algorithm can promote the classification performance without significantly affecting the efficiency of the classifier.

A Novel Situation Assessment Method for Network Survivability

Survivability has emerged as a new phase for the development of network security technique, and quantifying survivability for network system helps to evaluate it exactly for the system in different environments. In this paper, we adopt a stochastic method called sequential Monte Carlo and try to reflect dynamic evolvement process of network survivability situation from several time sequences. The experiment results show that this method has the features of quantitative description, real-time calculation and dynamic tracking, and it is a good situation assessment solution for network survivability.

The Situation of Southeast Asia in 2017 and Assessment of Its Relations with China

The situation in Southeast Asia in 2017 was generally stable,as relations with China continued to improve,and progress in maritime consultations continued to develop.I.The political situation is stable and generally manageable Stability is manifested in the following aspects.The governments of the Philippines,Myanmar,Vietnam,Laos are seeking stability and good governance.

Autonomous air combat maneuver decision using Bayesian inference and moving horizon optimization

To reach a higher level of autonomy for unmanned combat aerial vehicle(UCAV) in air combat games, this paper builds an autonomous maneuver decision system. In this system,the air combat game is regarded as a Markov process, so that the air combat situation can be effectively calculated via Bayesian inference theory. According to the situation assessment result,adaptively adjusts the weights of maneuver decision factors, which makes the objective function more reasonable and ensures the superiority situation for UCAV. As the air combat game is characterized by highly dynamic and a significant amount of uncertainty,to enhance the robustness and effectiveness of maneuver decision results, fuzzy logic is used to build the functions of four maneuver decision factors. Accuracy prediction of opponent aircraft is also essential to ensure making a good decision; therefore, a prediction model of opponent aircraft is designed based on the elementary maneuver method. Finally, the moving horizon optimization strategy is used to effectively model the whole air combat maneuver decision process. Various simulations are performed on typical scenario test and close-in dogfight, the results sufficiently demonstrate the superiority of the designed maneuver decision method.

Missile-Target Situation Assessment Model Based on Reinorcement Learning

In situation assessment(SA)of missile versus target fighter,the traditional SA models generally have the characteristics of strong subjectivity and poor dynamic adaptability.This paper considers SA as an expectation of future returns and establishes a missile-target simulation battle model.The actor-critic(AC)algorithm in reinforcement learning(RL)is used to train the evaluation network,and a missile-target SA model is established in simulation battle training.Simulation and comparative experiments show that the model can effectively estimate the expected effect of missile attack under the current situation,and it provides an effective basis for missile attack decision.

A Fuzzy Knowledge Based System in Situation and Threat Assessment

This paper examines the use in assisting naval operators in managing the of a fuzzy knowledge-based system （KBS） situation and threat assessment problem in a littoral environment. Under the scenario created involving air contacts in a littoral environment, the assessment of the KBS model is conducted and the results show that the correlation between assessment and human operation officers＇ judgment was high. The fuzzy KBS with its corresponding toolkits is much more flexible to be integrated with other components of a command and control system, while the fine-tuning of membership functions and fuzzy inference rules are intensive, this makes any further modification a non-trivial task.

A decision loop for situation risk assessment under uncertainty: A case study of a gas facility

This paper presents a decision-making support system for situation risk assessment associated with critical alarms conditions in a gas facility.The system provides a human operator with advice on the confirmation and classification of occurred alarm.The input of the system comprises uncertain and incomplete information.In the light of uncertain and incomplete information,different uncertainties laws have been associated with the probabilistic assessment of the system loops which combine data of several sources to reach the ultimate classification.The implemented model used Observe-OrientDecide-Act loop(OODA)combined with Bayesian networks.Results show that the system can classify the alarms system.

Mission decision-making method of multi-aircraft cooperatively attacking multi-target based on game theoretic framework

Coordinated mission decision-making is one of the core steps to effectively exploit the capabilities of cooperative attack of multiple aircrafts. However, the situational assessment is an essential base to realize the mission decision-making. Therefore, in this paper, we develop a mission decision-making method of multi-aircraft cooperatively attacking multi-target based on situational assessment. We have studied the situational assessment mathematical model based on the Dempster-Shafer(D-S) evidence theory and the mission decision-making mathematical model based on the game theory. The proposed mission decision-making method of antagonized airfight is validated by some simulation examples of a swarm of unmanned combat aerial vehicles(UCAVs)that carry out the mission of the suppressing of enemy air defenses(SEAD).