Estimation of Daily Global Solar Radiation with Different Sunshine-Based Models for Some Burundian Stations

Sunshine duration (S) based empirical equations have been employed in this study to estimate the daily global solar radiation on a horizontal surface (G) for six meteorological stations in Burundi. Those equations include the Ångström-Prescott linear model and four amongst its derivatives, i.e. logarithmic, exponential, power and quadratic functions. Monthly mean values of daily global solar radiation and sunshine duration data for a period of 20 to 23 years, from the Geographical Institute of Burundi (IGEBU), have been used. For any of the six stations, ten single or double linear regressions have been developed from the above-said five functions, to relate in terms of monthly mean values, the daily clearness index () to each of the next two kinds of relative sunshine duration (RSD): and . In those ratios, G0, S0 and stand for the extraterrestrial daily solar radiation on a horizontal surface, the day length and the modified day length taking into account the natural site’s horizon, respectively. According to the calculated mean values of the clearness index and the RSD, each station experiences a high number of fairly clear (or partially cloudy) days. Estimated values of the dependent variable (y) in each developed linear regression, have been compared to measured values in terms of the coefficients of correlation (R) and of determination (R2), the mean bias error (MBE), the root mean square error (RMSE) and the t-statistics. Mean values of these statistical indicators have been used to rank, according to decreasing performance level, firstly the ten developed equations per station on account of the overall six stations, secondly the six stations on account of the overall ten equations. Nevertheless, the obtained values of those indicators lay in the next ranges for all the developed sixty equations:;;;, with . These results lead to assert that any of the sixty developed linear regressions (and thus equations in terms of and ), fits very adequately measured data, and should be used to estimate monthly average daily global solar radiation with sunshine duration for the relevant station. It is also found that using as RSD, is slightly more advantageous than using for estimating the monthly average daily clearness index, . Moreover, values of statistical indicators of this study match adequately data from other works on the same kinds of empirical equations.

基于24Model-D-ISM的地铁站火灾疏散影响因素研究

为预防地铁站火灾事故,深入了解地铁站火灾人员疏散影响因素间的内在联系与层次结构,基于第6版“2-4”模型(24Model)分析63起地铁站火灾疏散事故,充分考虑各个因素之间的交互作用,提取19个影响地铁站人员疏散的关键因素,建立地铁站火灾人员疏散影响因素指标体系;采用算子客观赋权法(C-OWA)改进决策试验与评价实验法(DEMATEL),确定地铁站火灾人员疏散的重要影响因素;在此基础上,采用解释结构模型(ISM)分析各个因素间的层次结构及相互作用路径,构建地铁站火灾人员疏散影响因素的多级递阶结构模型。研究结果表明:疏散引导、恐慌从众行为、人员拥挤为地铁站火灾人员疏散的关键影响因素;地铁站火灾人员疏散受表层因素、中间层因素、深层因素共同作用的影响,其中,疏散教育与培训、设施维护与检查、疏散预案等因素是根源影响因素,重视根源影响因素的改善有利于从本质上预防和控制事故的发生。

Load Cluster Characteristic and Modeling of EV Charge Station in Residential District

电动汽车的大规模发展将会对配电网带来较大影响,开展电动汽车充电的负荷特性研究是保证电网安全运行的前提,是引导电动汽车进行有序充电的基础。在简化锂电池恒流–恒压2阶段充电模型的基础上,得到单个电动汽车的充电模型,以此为基本元素,从充电汽车电池的初始荷电状态（initial state-of-charge,SOC0）和车辆到达充电站时间的随机分布为出发点,提出2阶段泊松分布的电动汽车充电站集聚模型进行充电站集聚特性的模拟,并提出基于充电站的日充电负荷曲线的电动汽车充电站负荷集聚模型的建模方法,最后通过仿真算例验证了其有效性。

Space station short-term mission planning using ontology modelling and time iteration

This paper studies the problem of the space station short-term mission planning, which aims to allocate the executing time of missions effectively, schedule the corresponding resources reasonably and arrange the time of the astronauts properly. A domain model is developed by using the ontology theory to describe the concepts, constraints and relations of the planning domain formally, abstractly and normatively. A method based on time iteration is adopted to solve the short-term planning problem. Meanwhile, the resolving strategies are proposed to resolve different kinds of conflicts induced by the constraints of power, heat, resource, astronaut and relationship. The proposed approach is evaluated in a test case with fifteen missions, thirteen resources and three astronauts. The results show that the developed domain ontology model is reasonable, and the time iteration method using the proposed resolving strategies can successfully obtain the plan satisfying all considered constraints.

Multilevel Power Modeling of Base Station and Its ICs

A new power estimation method is proposed for base station(BS) in this paper.Based on this method,a software platform for power estimation is developed.The proposed method models power consumption on different abstraction levels by splitting a typical base station into several basic components at different levels in the view of embedded system design.In particular,our focus is on baseband IC(Integrate Circuit) due to it's the dominant power consumer in small cells.Baseband power model is based on arithmetic computing costs of selected algorithms.All computing and storage costs are calibrated using algorithm complexity,hardware architecture,activity ratio,silicon technology,and overheads on all hierarchies.Micro architecture and IC technology are considered.The model enables power comparison of different types of base stations configured with different baseband algorithms,micro architectures,and ICs.The model also supports cellular operators in power estimation of different deployment strategies and transmission schemes.The model is verified by comparing power consumption with a real LTE base station.By exposing more configuration freedoms,the platform can be used for power estimation of current and future base stations.

Study on quality evaluation model in multi-station assembly processes

Based on features of dimension variation propagation in multi-station assembly processes,a new quality evaluation model of assembly processes is established. Firstly,the error source of multi-station assembly system is analyzed,the relationship of dimension variation propagation in multi-station assembly processes is studied and the state equation for variation propagation is constructed too. Then,the feature parameters which influence variation propagation and accumulation in multi-station assembly processes are found to evaluate quality characteristic of the assembly system. Through the derivation of equation on dimension variation propagation,station coefficient matrices which are combined and conversed to determine the max eigenvalue are educed. The max eigenvalue is multiplied by the weight coefficient to establish the quality evaluation model in multi-station assembly processes. Furthermore,assembly variation indexes are proposed to judge of the assembly technology process. Finally,through the practical example,the application of the model and assembly variation indexes are presented.

基于Modelica/MWroks的船舶电站控制系统建模与仿真研究

本文以船舶电站控制系统为研究对象,基于多领域统一建模Modelica/Mworks仿真验证平台搭建了船舶电站控制系统的仿真模型,得到了船舶电站控制系统中的同步发电机组的励磁电压,同步发电机输出电压,同步发电机转速和发电机组有功功率等重要曲线参数,为船舶电站控制系统的研究提供了模型基础。

An Anisotropic Geomechanical Model for Jointed Rock Masses at Taishan Nuclear Power Station, Southern China

An anisotropic geomechanical model for jointed rock mass is presented. Simultaneously with deriving the orthotropic anisotropy elastic parameters along the positive axis, the equivalent compliance matrix for the deflection axis orthotropic anisotropy was derived through a three- dimensional coordinate transformation. In addition, Singh＇s analysis of the stress concentration effects of intermittent joints was adopted, based on two groups of intermittent joints and a set of cross- cutting joints in the jointed rock mass. The stress concentration effects caused by intermittent joints and the coupling effect of cross-cutting joints along the deflection-axis are also considered. The proposed anisotropic mechanics parameters method is applied to determine the deformation parameters of jointed granite at the Taishan Nuclear Power Station. Combined with the deterministic mechanical parameters of rock blocks and joints, the deformation parameters and their variability in jointed rock masses are estimated quantitatively. The computed results show that jointed granite at the Taishan Nuclear Power Station exhibits typical anisotropic mechanical characteristics; the elastic moduli in the two horizontal directions were similar, but the elastic modulus in the vertical direction was much greater. Jointed rock elastic moduli in the two horizontal and vertical directions were respectively about 24% and 37% of the core of rock, showing weakly orthotropic anisotropy; the ratio of elastic moduli in the vertical and horizontal directions was 1.53, clearly indicating the transversely isotropic rock mass mechanical characteristics. The method can be popularized to solve other rock mechanics problems in nuclear power engineering.

Study on Risk Dispatch Model of Hydropower Station in the Market Environment

In the power market environment, due to the uncertainty of the reservoir inflow and the pool purchase price, it is very important to research power generation risk dispatch of hydropower plants, taking into consideration the benefits and risk control of both sides. This paper investigates power generation risk dispatch of hydropower plants in the market environment, and proposes a mathematical model which considers maximization of benefits and risk control, reflects control willingness of risk and benefits, resolves it with the PSO algorithm, finding more economic and reasonable results. The feasibility and validity of the model and resolving methods are verified by an example.

合理确定排涝泵站规模的感潮河道模型试验研究

合理确定泵站规模一直是感潮河道排涝工程设计中的关键问题。通过建立物理模型,在选定的水文边界条件和相应工程运行要求下,对某感潮水系两座涌口泵站规模进行试验研究。试验发现,受限于河涌过流能力,泵站规模存在临界值,超过该值后,即使再进一步增加泵站规模,水位也不会继续下降;泵站抽排对某位置水位的降低效应与泵站和该位置之间的距离密切相关,距离越近,水位降低越明显。基于上述认识,通过试验确定了满足水位管控要求的两座泵站规模的合理组合:距离相对较远的温涌泵站为80 m3/s,较近的金紫涌泵站为130 m~3/s。试验方法和主要成果可为工程方案比选及优化提供重要依据,对类似河涌整治工程也具有一定的借鉴意义。

Three-dimensional CFD simulation of inlet structure flow in pumping station based on Eulerian solid- liquid two-phase flow model

Sediment deposition in the pumping station has a huge negative impact on unit operation.The three-dimensional CFD method has been used to simulate inlet structure flow in pumping station based on the Eulerian solid- liquid two-phase flow model. The numerical results of the preliminary scheme show that sediment deposition occurs in the forebay of pumping station because of poor flow pattern therein. In order to improve hydraulic configuration in the forebay,one modified measure reconstructs water diversion weir shape,and another measure sets a water retaining sill in the approach channel. The simulation results of the modified scheme prove that back flow in the forebay has been eliminated and the sediment deposition region has also been reduced.

Simulation Modeling on Emergency Evacuation in High-Speed Railway Stations in China

A simulation study on occupant evacuation in high-speed railway stations(HSRSs) was presented in China.Pathfinder was employed as the simulation platform and a typical HSRS in a medium-sized city in China was selected for model development.The model was carefully calibrated and validated by comparing simulation results with field data.Evacuation efficiency could be improved with the increased door width while such effect decreased when the door width reached a marginal value.And the marginal value varied under different occupant densities.An exponential function between evacuation time and occupant density was fitted,indicating that occupant density significantly affected evacuation efficiency.A set of different evacuation strategies were compared,in terms of their evacuation performances.It was found that a balanced door usage would result in more efficient evacuations in HSRSs.Thus occupant flows were suggested to be managed considering door capacity.To avoid potential safety issues caused by such strategy(e.g.,more occupants could be evacuated from a smaller area designed with higher door capacity),occupants needed to enhance their awareness of following evacuation guidance instead of panic escape in emergencies.Moreover,such safety issues could also be avoided during the design phase that the evacuation capacity was designed to be proportional to the room capacity for each floor.The results of this study provide valuable information for HSRS design and flow management in China.

舟山LNG取水泵站泥沙减淤清淤试验研究

LNG接收站取水流道内水流形态复杂,泥沙淤积问题往往难以避免,特别是在含沙量较高水域,流道内泥沙淤积可能威胁接收站的正常运营。为实现LNG取水泵站不停机条件下清淤,开展取水泵站射流冲刷物理模型试验,模拟了射流冲沙装置开启后吸水间射流水流特征及冲刷效果,探究了射流冲刷设置的喷嘴与翼墙夹角、射流流量、冲刷时间等因素影响下流道内减淤清淤效果。试验结果表明,在理想状态下吸水间射流冲沙装置连续作用12h基本可达到较为理想的清淤效果;一次大风浪过后,装置连续作用0.5h基本可达到较为理想的清淤效果。清淤效果视射流流量、喷嘴与翼墙夹角以及冲刷时间不同而有差别。结合取水泵站泥沙淤积物理模型试验研究成果,取水泵站淤积区主要发生在前池、过滤池末端、吸水间和消防泵附近,建议在这些区域安装射流冲沙装置,实现不停机状态下的减淤清淤,提高取水安全保证率,从而提高运营效益。

基于马尔科夫模型的双站激光微波混合链路性能分析

针对气象变化对自由空间光(Free Space Optical,FSO)通信链路和毫米波射频(Radio Frequency,RF)通信链路可用率的影响问题,采用马尔科夫建模与稳态概率求解计算方法,分析不同天气条件下FSO/RF混合链路的双接收站分集与中断概率性能.基于FSO链路和RF链路的信道模型,采用有限状态马尔科夫链(Finite State Markov Chain,FSMC)分别对单双站FSO/RF混合链路的切换选择进行建模,推导得出不同参数和天气情况下系统稳态的中断概率表达式.数值计算结果表明,当中断概率达到10^(-6),雨雾天气链路距离为1~7 km时,双站FSO/RF混合链路相比单站可获得4~25 dB的增益.

地铁车站BIM模型信息完备性审查研究

随着智能建造的发展,三维正向设计逐渐替代了传统二维设计,对设计成果的交付审查也将同步转换为对建筑信息模型的审查。地铁建筑设计区别于其他建筑具备较强的功能性,在实际设计交付成果审查中,会存在错审率、漏项高等问题。为解决该问题,本文依据相关国家标准,构建适用于地铁车站建筑信息模型完备性审查的本体模型,同时集成工业基础类(IFC 4.0)实例信息、计算机规则技术,实现模型完备性审查。以地铁车站的建筑单元为例,实现地铁车站模型在方案设计阶段的交付工作。该方法的提出有助于促进整个建筑行业的信息化发展。

Dwell time estimation models for bus rapid transit stations

Bus rapid transit （BRT） systems have been shown to have many advantages including affordability, high capacity vehicles, and reliable service. Due to these attractive advantages, many cities throughout the world are in the process of planning the construction of BRT systems. To improve the performance of BRT systems, many researchers study BRT operation and control, which include the study of dwell times at bus/BRT stations. To ensure the effectiveness of real-time control which aims to avoid bus/BRT vehicles congestion, accurate dwell time models are needed. We develop our models using data from a BRT vehicle survey conducted in Changzhou, China, where BRT lines are built along passenger corridors, and BRT stations are enclosed like light rails. This means that interactions between passengers traveling on the BRT system are more frequent than those in traditional transit system who use platform stations. We statistically analyze the BRT vehicle survey data, and based on this analysis, we are able to make the following conclusions： （ I ） The delay time per passenger at a BRT station is less than that at a non-BRT station, which implies that BRT stations are efficient in the sense that they are able to move passengers quickly. （II） The dwell time follows a logarithmic normal distribution with a mean of 2.56 and a variance of 0.53. （III） The greater the number of BRT lines serviced by a station, the longer the dwell time is. （IV） Daily travel demands are highest during the morning peak interval where the dwell time, the number of passengers boarding and alighting and the number of passengers on vehicles reach their maximum values. （V） The dwell time is highly positively correlated with the total number of passengers boarding and alighting. （VI） The delay per passenger is negatively correlated with the total number of passengers boarding and alighting. We propose two dwell time models for the BRT station. The first proposed model is a linear model while the second is nonlinear. We introduce the conflict between passengers boarding and alighting into our models. Finally, by comparing our models with the models of Rajbhandari and Chien et al., and TCQSM （Transit Capacity and Quality of Service Manual）, we conclude that the proposed nonlinear model can better predict the dwell time at BRT stations.

含废旧矿井抽蓄电站的源-荷-储协同控制调频研究

针对新能源在电网中渗透率不断提高导致系统调频容量和频率响应能力不足的问题,提出一种含废旧矿井抽蓄电站的源-荷-储协同控制调频方法。首先,建立了电解铝工业负荷、废旧矿井抽蓄电站和超级电容频率响应模型。然后,基于模型预测控制理论,以系统状态量和控制量的加权函数最小为目标,设计区域信息互动的分布式模型预测控制器,并提出含废旧矿井抽蓄电站的源-荷-储协同控制调频方法。最后,将分布式模型预测控制器应用在所提源-荷-储协同控制方法中,并在改进的IEEE标准两区域LFC模型中进行仿真。结果表明所提方法可以缩短频率恢复时间,减小最大频差值,改善系统调频动态性能。

天气雷达站电磁环境影响监测研究

天气雷达站产生的超标电磁辐射会对人体造成严重的损伤。为此,提出天气雷达站电磁环境影响监测与分析。分析天气雷达站电磁影响因素,结合发射天线的方向函数,构建雷达功率密度模型。测试结果表明,对于S波、C波段、X波段,真实值与计算值呈现随距离增加而降低的趋势。对于三个波的频段,当接近天线的远场区时,计算值与真实值逐渐接近,相对误差均较小,说明模型在远场区的适用性更强;研究算法与实测值的拟合程度较高;在模型的应用中,真实反映了某市区的电磁辐射情况。

SPEAKING模型下北京地铁双语站名语言景观考察与研究

基于SPEAKING模型,选取模型中SPN三个要素,对比2022版及2023版北京城市轨道交通线网图,深入分析北京地铁双语站名语言景观。研究发现,北京地铁双语站名语言景观表达与语言服务质量、语言权势、身份认同及意识形态相关,但存在不统一、不规范等实际问题。文章从语言服务质量的提升和象征功能的体现两个方面对该问题提出针对性修改建议,以规范北京地铁双语站名语言景观表达,进而强化“风向标”引领,彰显“头雁效应”。