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Exponential tilted likelihood for stationary time series models
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作者 Xiuzhen Zhang Yukun Liu +1 位作者 Riquan Zhang Zhiping Lu 《Statistical Theory and Related Fields》 2022年第3期254-263,共10页
Depending on the asymptotical independence of periodograms,exponential tilted(ET)likelihood,as an effective nonparametric statistical method,is developed to deal with time series in this paper.Similar to empirical lik... Depending on the asymptotical independence of periodograms,exponential tilted(ET)likelihood,as an effective nonparametric statistical method,is developed to deal with time series in this paper.Similar to empirical likelihood(EL),it still suffers from two drawbacks:the nondefinition problem of the likelihood function and the under-coverage probability of confidence region.To overcome these two problems,we further proposed the adjusted ET(AET)likelihood.With a specific adjustment level,our simulation studies indicate that the AET method achieves a higher-order coverage precision than the unadjusted ET method.In addition,due to the good performance of ET under moment model misspecification[Schennach,S.M.(2007).Point estimation with exponentially tilted empirical likelihood.The Annals of Statistics,35(2),634–672.https://doi.org/10.1214/009053606000001208],we show that the one-order property of point estimate is preserved for the misspecified spectral estimating equations of the autoregressive coefficient of AR(1).The simulation results illustrate that the point estimates of the ET outperform those of the EL and their hybrid in terms of standard deviation.A real data set is analyzed for illustration purpose. 展开更多
关键词 Exponential tilted likelihood adjusted exponential tilted likelihood stationary time series misspecified moment model
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Parameter Estimation of Varying Coefficients Structural EV Model with Time Series 被引量:1
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作者 Yan Yun SU Heng Jian CUI Kai Can LI 《Acta Mathematica Sinica,English Series》 SCIE CSCD 2017年第5期607-619,共13页
In this paper, the parameters of a p-dimensional linear structural EV(error-in-variable)model are estimated when the coefficients vary with a real variable and the model error is time series.The adjust weighted least ... In this paper, the parameters of a p-dimensional linear structural EV(error-in-variable)model are estimated when the coefficients vary with a real variable and the model error is time series.The adjust weighted least squares(AWLS) method is used to estimate the parameters. It is shown that the estimators are weakly consistent and asymptotically normal, and the optimal convergence rate is also obtained. Simulations study are undertaken to illustrate our AWLSEs have good performance. 展开更多
关键词 Varying coefficient EV model adjust weighted least squares estimators linear stationary time series CONSISTENCY asymptotic normality
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