Grain-size distribution data,as a substitute for measuring hydraulic conductivity(K),has often been used to get K value indirectly.With grain-size distribution data of 150 sets of samples being input data,this study c...Grain-size distribution data,as a substitute for measuring hydraulic conductivity(K),has often been used to get K value indirectly.With grain-size distribution data of 150 sets of samples being input data,this study combined the Artificial Neural Network technology(ANN)and Markov Chain Monte Carlo method(MCMC),which replaced the Monte Carlo method(MC)of Generalized Likelihood Uncertainty Estimation(GLUE),to establish the GLUE-ANN model for hydraulic conductivity prediction and uncertainty analysis.By means of applying the GLUE-ANN model to a typical piedmont region and central region of North China Plain,and being compared with actually measured values of hydraulic conductivity,the relative error ranges are between 1.55%and 23.53%and between 14.08%and 27.22%respectively,the accuracy of which can meet the requirements of groundwater resources assessment.The global best parameter gained through posterior distribution test indicates that the GLUEANN model,which has satisfying sampling efficiency and optimization capability,is able to reasonably reflect the uncertainty of hydrogeological parameters.Furthermore,the influence of stochastic observation error(SOE)in grain-size analysis upon prediction of hydraulic conductivity was discussed,and it is believed that the influence can not be neglected.展开更多
In this paper the Kiefer-Wolfowitz (KW) procedure for searching the extremum of the regression function as well as the Robbins-Monro (RM) procedure for solving the regression equation are modified in order that they c...In this paper the Kiefer-Wolfowitz (KW) procedure for searching the extremum of the regression function as well as the Robbins-Monro (RM) procedure for solving the regression equation are modified in order that they can be applied to the case when the measurement errors form an ARMA process. Simple conditions are given to guarantee their convergence to the extremum and the root of regression function respectively by using a new approach combining both the probabilistic method and the ordinary differential equation (ODE) method. The results given here are better than the well-known ones even if the measurement error is the martingale difference sequence.展开更多
The influences of joints' error, motion history, speed and robot posture on repeatability are analyzed and the mathematical expressions of the quantity, direction and distribution of the stochastic positional erro...The influences of joints' error, motion history, speed and robot posture on repeatability are analyzed and the mathematical expressions of the quantity, direction and distribution of the stochastic positional error are derived . Using this model the magnitude and direction of the stochastic positional error after any motion can be preestimated and compensated .展开更多
Inertial Navigation System(INS)and Global Navigation Satellite System(GNSS)integration requires accurate modelling of both INS deterministic and stochastic errors.The Allan Variance(AV)analysis on INS static data is o...Inertial Navigation System(INS)and Global Navigation Satellite System(GNSS)integration requires accurate modelling of both INS deterministic and stochastic errors.The Allan Variance(AV)analysis on INS static data is one method of determining INS stochastic errors.However,it is known that INS errors can vary depending on a vehicle’s motion and environment,and application of AV results from static data in kinematic operations typically results in an over-confident estimation of stochastic.In order to overcome this limitation,this paper proposes the use of Dynamic Allan Variance(DAV).The paper compares the resulting performance of the INS/GNSS integrated system by varying the stochastic coefficients obtained from the AV and DAV.The results show that the performance improved when utilizing the stochastic coefficients obtained from the DAV,applied on a kinematic dataset compared to the AV,applied on a static laboratory dataset.展开更多
基金This study was supported by Key Laboratory of Groundwater Sciences and Engineering,Ministry of Natural Resources(MNR)and the China Geological Survey project(No.DD20190252).
文摘Grain-size distribution data,as a substitute for measuring hydraulic conductivity(K),has often been used to get K value indirectly.With grain-size distribution data of 150 sets of samples being input data,this study combined the Artificial Neural Network technology(ANN)and Markov Chain Monte Carlo method(MCMC),which replaced the Monte Carlo method(MC)of Generalized Likelihood Uncertainty Estimation(GLUE),to establish the GLUE-ANN model for hydraulic conductivity prediction and uncertainty analysis.By means of applying the GLUE-ANN model to a typical piedmont region and central region of North China Plain,and being compared with actually measured values of hydraulic conductivity,the relative error ranges are between 1.55%and 23.53%and between 14.08%and 27.22%respectively,the accuracy of which can meet the requirements of groundwater resources assessment.The global best parameter gained through posterior distribution test indicates that the GLUEANN model,which has satisfying sampling efficiency and optimization capability,is able to reasonably reflect the uncertainty of hydrogeological parameters.Furthermore,the influence of stochastic observation error(SOE)in grain-size analysis upon prediction of hydraulic conductivity was discussed,and it is believed that the influence can not be neglected.
文摘In this paper the Kiefer-Wolfowitz (KW) procedure for searching the extremum of the regression function as well as the Robbins-Monro (RM) procedure for solving the regression equation are modified in order that they can be applied to the case when the measurement errors form an ARMA process. Simple conditions are given to guarantee their convergence to the extremum and the root of regression function respectively by using a new approach combining both the probabilistic method and the ordinary differential equation (ODE) method. The results given here are better than the well-known ones even if the measurement error is the martingale difference sequence.
文摘The influences of joints' error, motion history, speed and robot posture on repeatability are analyzed and the mathematical expressions of the quantity, direction and distribution of the stochastic positional error are derived . Using this model the magnitude and direction of the stochastic positional error after any motion can be preestimated and compensated .
文摘Inertial Navigation System(INS)and Global Navigation Satellite System(GNSS)integration requires accurate modelling of both INS deterministic and stochastic errors.The Allan Variance(AV)analysis on INS static data is one method of determining INS stochastic errors.However,it is known that INS errors can vary depending on a vehicle’s motion and environment,and application of AV results from static data in kinematic operations typically results in an over-confident estimation of stochastic.In order to overcome this limitation,this paper proposes the use of Dynamic Allan Variance(DAV).The paper compares the resulting performance of the INS/GNSS integrated system by varying the stochastic coefficients obtained from the AV and DAV.The results show that the performance improved when utilizing the stochastic coefficients obtained from the DAV,applied on a kinematic dataset compared to the AV,applied on a static laboratory dataset.