Locally and globally uniform approximations for ruin probabilities of a nonstandard bidimensional risk model with subexponential claims

Consider a nonstandard continuous-time bidimensional risk model with constant force of interest,in which the two classes of claims with subexponential distributions satisfy a general dependence structure and each pair of the claim-inter-arrival times is arbitrarily dependent.Under some mild conditions,we achieve a locally uniform approximation of the finite-time ruin probability for all time horizon within a finite interval.If we further assume that each pair of the claim-inter-arrival times is negative quadrant dependent and the two classes of claims are consistently-varying-tailed,it shows that the above obtained approximation is also globally uniform for all time horizon within an infinite interval.

Large-deviation probabilities for maxima of sums of subexponential random variables with application to finite-time ruin probabilities

We establish an asymptotic relation for the large-deviation probabilities of the maxima of sums of subexponential random variables centered by multiples of order statistics of i.i.d.standard uniform random variables.This extends a corresponding result of Korshunov.As an application,we generalize a result of Tang,the uniform asymptotic estimate for the finite-time ruin probability,to the whole strongly subexponential class.

Random difference equations with subexponential innovations

We consider the random difference equations S =_d(X + S)Y and T =_dX + TY, where =_ddenotes equality in distribution, X and Y are two nonnegative random variables, and S and T on the right hand side are independent of(X, Y). Under the assumptions that X follows a subexponential distribution with a nonzero lower Karamata index, that Y takes values in [0, 1] and is not degenerate at 0 or 1, and that(X, Y) fulfills a certain dependence structure via the conditional tail probability of X given Y, we derive some asymptotic formulas for the tail probabilities of the weak solutions S and T to these equations. In doing so we also obtain some by products which are interesting in their own right.

The Finite-time Ruin Probability of a Discrete-time Risk Model with Subexponential and Dependent Insurance and Financial Risks

Consider a discrete-time risk model with insurance and financial risks in a stochastic economic environment. Assume that the insurance and financial risks form a sequence of independent and identically distributed random vectors with a generic random vector following a wide type of dependence structure. An asymptotic formula for the finite-time ruin probability with subexponential insurance risks is derived. In doing so, the subexponentiality of the product of two dependent random variables is investigated simultaneously.

A Note on Randomly Weighted Sums of Dependent Subexponential Random Variables

The author obtains that the asymptotic relations ■ hold as x→∞, where the random weights θ1,···, θn are bounded away both from 0 and from∞with no dependency assumptions, independent of the primary random variables X1,···, Xn which have a certain kind of dependence structure and follow non-identically subexponential distributions. In particular, the asymptotic relations remain true when X1,···, Xn jointly follow a pairwise Sarmanov distribution.

A Local Asymptotic Behavior for Ruin Probability in the Renewal Risk Model

Let R（t）=u＋ct-∑ I=1^N（t） Xi,t≥0 be the renewal risk model, with Fx（x）being the distribution function of the claim amount X. Let ψ（u） be the ruin probability with initial surplus u. Under the condition of Fx（x） ∈ S^＊（γ）,y ≥ 0, by the geometric sum method, we derive the local asymptotic behavior for ψ（u,u ＋ z] for every 0 （ z （ oo, On one hand, the asymptotic behavior of ψ（u） can be derived from the result obtained. On the other hand, the result of this paper can be applied to the insurance risk management of an insurance company.

Asymptotics of discounted aggregate claims for renewal risk model with risky investment

Under the assumption that the claim size is subexponentially distributed and the insurance surplus is totally invested in risky asset, a simple asymptotic relation of tail probability of discounted aggregate claims for renewal risk model within finite horizon is obtained. The result extends the corresponding conclusions of related references.

BOUNDS FOR SOLUTIONS OF A THREE-POINT PARTIAL DIFFERENCE EQUATION

This paper is concerned with a class of partial difference equations with variable coefficients. Explicit growth bounds are found for their solutions. These bounds provide information on the existence of exponentially bounded solutions.

A sharp inequality for the tail probabilities of sums of i.i.d. r.v.'s with dominatedly varying tails

Let F be a distribution function supported on (-∞, ∞) with a finite mean μ. In this note weshow that if its tail F = 1 - F is dominatedly varying, then for any γ＞ max{μ, 0}, there exist C(γ) ＞ 0 and D(γ) ＞ 0 such thatC(γ)nF(x) ≤ Fn*(x) ≤ D(γ)nF(x),for all n ≥ 1 and all x ≥γn. This inequality sharpens a classical inequality for the subexponential distributioncase.

A contribution to large deviations for heavy-tailed random sums

In this paper we consider the large deviations for random sums S(t)=∑N(t)i=1Xi, t≥0, where ｛Xn, n≥1｝ are independent, identically distributed and non-negative random variables with a common heavy-tailed distribution function F, and ｛N(t), t≥0｝ is a process of non-negative integer-valued random variables, independent of ｛Xn, n≥1｝. Under the assumption that the tail of F is of Pareto's type (regularly or extended regularly varying), we investigate what reasonable condition can be given on ｛N(t), t≥0｝ under which precise large deviation for S(t) holds. In particular, the condition we obtain is satisfied for renewal counting processes.

A local limit theorem for the probability of ruin

In this paper, we give a result on the local asymptotic behaviour of the probability of ruin in a continuous-time risk model in which the inter-claim times have an Erlang distribution and the individual claim sizes have a distribution that belongs to S(v) with v ≥ 0, but where the Lundberg exponent of the underlying risk process does not exist.

Integral-type functionals of first hitting times for continuous-time Markov chains

We investigate integral-type functionals of the first hitting times for continuous-time Markov chains. Recursive formulas and drift conditions for calculating or bounding integral-type functionals are obtained. The connection between the subexponential integral-type functionals and the subexponential ergodicity is established. Moreover, these results are applied to the birth-death processes. Polynomial integral-type functionals and polynomial ergodicity are studied, and a sufficient criterion for a central limit theorem is also presented.

The Symbolic Extension Theory in Topological Dynamics

In this survey we will present the symbolic extension theory in topological dynamics,which was built over the past twenty years.