Higher requirements for the accuracy of relevant models are put throughout the transformation and upgrade of the iron and steel sector to intelligent production.It has been difficult to meet the needs of the field wit...Higher requirements for the accuracy of relevant models are put throughout the transformation and upgrade of the iron and steel sector to intelligent production.It has been difficult to meet the needs of the field with the usual prediction model of mechanical properties of hotrolled strip.Insufficient data and difficult parameter adjustment limit deep learning models based on multi-layer networks in practical applications;besides,the limited discrete process parameters used make it impossible to effectively depict the actual strip processing process.In order to solve these problems,this research proposed a new sampling approach for mechanical characteristics input data of hot-rolled strip based on the multi-grained cascade forest(gcForest)framework.According to the characteristics of complex process flow and abnormal sensitivity of process path and parameters to product quality in the hot-rolled strip production,a three-dimensional continuous time series process data sampling method based on time-temperature-deformation was designed.The basic information of strip steel(chemical composition and typical process parameters)is fused with the local process information collected by multi-grained scanning,so that the next link’s input has both local and global features.Furthermore,in the multi-grained scanning structure,a sub sampling scheme with a variable window was designed,so that input data with different dimensions can get output characteristics of the same dimension after passing through the multi-grained scanning structure,allowing the cascade forest structure to be trained normally.Finally,actual production data of three steel grades was used to conduct the experimental evaluation.The results revealed that the gcForest-based mechanical property prediction model outperforms the competition in terms of comprehensive performance,ease of parameter adjustment,and ability to sustain high prediction accuracy with fewer samples.展开更多
CMOS analog and mixed-signal phase-locked loops(PLL)are widely used in varies of the system-on-chips(SoC)as the clock generator or frequency synthesizer.This paper presents an overview of the AMS-PLL,including:1)a bri...CMOS analog and mixed-signal phase-locked loops(PLL)are widely used in varies of the system-on-chips(SoC)as the clock generator or frequency synthesizer.This paper presents an overview of the AMS-PLL,including:1)a brief introduction of the basics of the charge-pump based PLL,which is the most widely used AMS-PLL architecture due to its simplicity and robustness;2)a summary of the design issues of the basic CPPLL architecture;3)a systematic introduction of the techniques for the performance enhancement of the CPPLL;4)a brief overview of ultra-low-jitter AMS-PLL architectures which can achieve lower jitter(<100 fs)with lower power consumption compared with the CPPLL,including the injection-locked PLL(ILPLL),subsampling(SSPLL)and sampling PLL(SPLL);5)a discussion about the consideration of the AMS-PLL architecture selection,which could help designers meet their performance requirements.展开更多
Conventional full-waveform inversion is computationally intensive because it considers all shots in each iteration. To tackle this, we establish the number of shots needed and propose multiscale inversion in the frequ...Conventional full-waveform inversion is computationally intensive because it considers all shots in each iteration. To tackle this, we establish the number of shots needed and propose multiscale inversion in the frequency domain while using only the shots that are positively correlated with frequency. When using low-frequency data, the method considers only a small number of shots and raw data. More shots are used with increasing frequency. The random-in-group subsampling method is used to rotate the shots between iterations and avoid the loss of shot information. By reducing the number of shots in the inversion, we decrease the computational cost. There is no crosstalk between shots, no noise addition, and no observational limits. Numerical modeling suggests that the proposed method reduces the computing time, is more robust to noise, and produces better velocity models when using data with noise.展开更多
We propose a subsampling method for robust estimation of regression models which is built on classical methods such as the least squares method. It makes use of the non-robust nature of the underlying classical method...We propose a subsampling method for robust estimation of regression models which is built on classical methods such as the least squares method. It makes use of the non-robust nature of the underlying classical method to find a good sample from regression data contaminated with outliers, and then applies the classical method to the good sample to produce robust estimates of the regression model parameters. The subsampling method is a computational method rooted in the bootstrap methodology which trades analytical treatment for intensive computation;it finds the good sample through repeated fitting of the regression model to many random subsamples of the contaminated data instead of through an analytical treatment of the outliers. The subsampling method can be applied to all regression models for which non-robust classical methods are available. In the present paper, we focus on the basic formulation and robustness property of the subsampling method that are valid for all regression models. We also discuss variations of the method and apply it to three examples involving three different regression models.展开更多
The IPCC has drawn attention to an apparent leveling-off of globally-averaged temperatures over the past 15 years or so. Measuring the duration of the hiatus has implications for determining if the underlying trend ha...The IPCC has drawn attention to an apparent leveling-off of globally-averaged temperatures over the past 15 years or so. Measuring the duration of the hiatus has implications for determining if the underlying trend has changed, and for evaluating climate models. Here, I propose a method for estimating the duration of the hiatus that is robust to unknown forms of heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation (HAC) in the temperature series and to cherry-picking of endpoints. For the specific case of global average temperatures I also add the requirement of spatial consistency between hemispheres. The method makes use of the Vogelsang-Franses (2005) HAC-robust trend variance estimator which is valid as long as the underlying series is trend stationary, which is the case for the data used herein. Application of the method shows that there is now a trendless interval of 19 years duration at the end of the HadCRUT4 surface temperature series, and of 16 - 26 years in the lower troposphere. Use of a simple AR1 trend model suggests a shorter hiatus of 14 - 20 years but is likely unreliable.展开更多
As a less time-consuming procedure, subsampling technology has been widely used in biological monitoring and assessment programs. It is clear that subsampling counts af fect the value of traditional biodiversity indic...As a less time-consuming procedure, subsampling technology has been widely used in biological monitoring and assessment programs. It is clear that subsampling counts af fect the value of traditional biodiversity indices, but its ef fect on taxonomic distinctness(TD) indices is less well studied. Here, we examined the responses of traditional(species richness, Shannon-Wiener diversity) and TD(average taxonomic distinctness: Δ +, and variation in taxonomic distinctness: Λ +) indices to subsample counts using a random subsampling procedure from 50 to 400 individuals, based on macroinvertebrate datasets from three dif ferent river systems in China. At regional scale, taxa richness asymptotically increased with ?xed-count size; ≥250–300 individuals to express 95% information of the raw data. In contrast, TD indices were less sensitive to the subsampling procedure. At local scale, TD indices were more stable and had less deviation than species richness and Shannon-Wiener index, even at low subsample counts, with ≥100 individuals needed to estimate 95% of the information of the actual Δ + and Λ + in the three river basins. We also found that abundance had a certain ef fect on diversity indices during the subsampling procedure, with dif ferent subsampling counts for species richness and TD indices varying by regions. Therefore, we suggest that TD indices are suitable for biodiversity assessment and environment monitoring. Meanwhile, pilot analyses are necessary when to determine the appropriate subsample counts for bioassessment in a new region or habitat type.展开更多
Color transfer between images uses the statistics information of image effectively. We present a novel approach of local color transfer between images based on the simple statistics and locally linear embedding. A ske...Color transfer between images uses the statistics information of image effectively. We present a novel approach of local color transfer between images based on the simple statistics and locally linear embedding. A sketching interface is proposed for quickly and easily specifying the color correspondences between target and source image. The user can specify the corre- spondences of local region using scribes, which more accurately transfers the target color to the source image while smoothly preserving the boundaries, and exhibits more natural output results. Our algorithm is not restricted to one-to-one image color transfer and can make use of more than one target images to transfer the color in different regions in the source image. Moreover, our algorithm does not require to choose the same color style and image size between source and target images. We propose the sub-sampling to reduce the computational load. Comparing with other approaches, our algorithm is much better in color blending in the input data. Our approach preserves the other color details in the source image. Various experimental results show that our approach specifies the correspondences of local color region in source and target images. And it expresses the intention of users and generates more actual and natural results of visual effect.展开更多
A new faster block-matching algorithm (BMA) by using both search candidate and pixd sulzsamplings is proposed. Firstly a pixd-subsampling approach used in adjustable partial distortion search (APDS) is adjusted to...A new faster block-matching algorithm (BMA) by using both search candidate and pixd sulzsamplings is proposed. Firstly a pixd-subsampling approach used in adjustable partial distortion search (APDS) is adjusted to visit about half points of all search candidates by subsampling them, using a spiral-scanning path with one skip. Two sdected candidates that have minimal and second minimal block distortion measures are obtained. Then a fine-tune step is taken around them to find the best one. Some analyses are given to approve the rationality of the approach of this paper. Experimental results show that, as compared to APDS, the proposed algorithm can enhance the block-matching speed by about 30% while maintaining its MSE performance very close to that of it. And it performs much better than many other BMAs such as TSS, NTSS, UCDBS and NPDS.展开更多
An imbalanced dataset is commonly found in at least one class,which are typically exceeded by the other ones.A machine learning algorithm(classifier)trained with an imbalanced dataset predicts the majority class(frequ...An imbalanced dataset is commonly found in at least one class,which are typically exceeded by the other ones.A machine learning algorithm(classifier)trained with an imbalanced dataset predicts the majority class(frequently occurring)more than the other minority classes(rarely occurring).Training with an imbalanced dataset poses challenges for classifiers;however,applying suitable techniques for reducing class imbalance issues can enhance classifiers’performance.In this study,we consider an imbalanced dataset from an educational context.Initially,we examine all shortcomings regarding the classification of an imbalanced dataset.Then,we apply data-level algorithms for class balancing and compare the performance of classifiers.The performance of the classifiers is measured using the underlying information in their confusion matrices,such as accuracy,precision,recall,and F measure.The results show that classification with an imbalanced dataset may produce high accuracy but low precision and recall for the minority class.The analysis confirms that undersampling and oversampling are effective for balancing datasets,but the latter dominates.展开更多
This paper investigates methods of value-at-risk (VaR) estimation using extreme value theory (EVT). It compares two different estimation methods, 'two-step subsample bootstrap' based on moment estimation and m...This paper investigates methods of value-at-risk (VaR) estimation using extreme value theory (EVT). It compares two different estimation methods, 'two-step subsample bootstrap' based on moment estimation and maximum likelihood estimation (MLE), according to their theoretical bases and computation procedures. Then, the estimation results are analyzed together with those of normal method and empirical method. The empirical research of foreign exchange data shows that the EVT methods have good characters in estimating VaR under extreme conditions and 'two-step subsample bootstrap' method is preferable to MLE.展开更多
This paper presents a new class of test procedures for two-sample location problem based on subsample quantiles. The class includes Mann-Whitney test as a special case. The asymptotic normality of the class of tests p...This paper presents a new class of test procedures for two-sample location problem based on subsample quantiles. The class includes Mann-Whitney test as a special case. The asymptotic normality of the class of tests proposed is established. The asymptotic relative performance of the proposed class of test with respect to the optimal member of Xie and Priebe (2000) is studied in terms of Pitman efficiency for various underlying distributions.展开更多
When the observed price process is the true underlying price process plus microstructure noise, it is known that realized volatility (RV) estimates will be overwhelmed by the noise when the sampling frequency approach...When the observed price process is the true underlying price process plus microstructure noise, it is known that realized volatility (RV) estimates will be overwhelmed by the noise when the sampling frequency approaches infinity. Therefore, it may be optimal to sample less frequently, and averaging the less frequently sampled subsamples can improve estimation for quadratic variation. In this paper, we extend this idea to forecasting daily realized volatility. While subsample averaging has been proposed and used in estimating RV, this paper is the first that uses subsample averaging for forecasting RV. The subsample averaging method we examine incorporates the high frequency data in different levels of systematic sampling. It first pools the high frequency data into several subsamples, then generates forecasts from each subsample, and then combines these forecasts. We find that in daily S&P 500 return realized volatility forecasts, subsample averaging generates better forecasts than those using only one subsample.展开更多
In this paper, we consider the unified optimal subsampling estimation and inference on the lowdimensional parameter of main interest in the presence of the nuisance parameter for low/high-dimensionalgeneralized linear...In this paper, we consider the unified optimal subsampling estimation and inference on the lowdimensional parameter of main interest in the presence of the nuisance parameter for low/high-dimensionalgeneralized linear models (GLMs) with massive data. We first present a general subsampling decorrelated scorefunction to reduce the influence of the less accurate nuisance parameter estimation with the slow convergencerate. The consistency and asymptotic normality of the resultant subsample estimator from a general decorrelatedscore subsampling algorithm are established, and two optimal subsampling probabilities are derived under theA- and L-optimality criteria to downsize the data volume and reduce the computational burden. The proposedoptimal subsampling probabilities provably improve the asymptotic efficiency of the subsampling schemes in thelow-dimensional GLMs and perform better than the uniform subsampling scheme in the high-dimensional GLMs.A two-step algorithm is further proposed to implement, and the asymptotic properties of the correspondingestimators are also given. Simulations show satisfactory performance of the proposed estimators, and twoapplications to census income and Fashion-MNIST datasets also demonstrate its practical applicability.展开更多
The dissemination of news is a vital topic in management science,social science and data science.With the development of technology,the sample sizes and dimensions of digital news data increase remarkably.To alleviate...The dissemination of news is a vital topic in management science,social science and data science.With the development of technology,the sample sizes and dimensions of digital news data increase remarkably.To alleviate the computational burden in big data,this paper proposes a method to deal with massive and moderate-dimensional data for linear regression models via combing model averaging and subsampling methodologies.The author first samples a subsample from the full data according to some special probabilities and split covariates into several groups to construct candidate models.Then,the author solves each candidate model and calculates the model-averaging weights to combine these estimators based on this subsample.Additionally,the asymptotic optimality in subsampling form is proved and the way to calculate optimal subsampling probabilities is provided.The author also illustrates the proposed method via simulations,which shows it takes less running time than that of the full data and generates more accurate estimations than uniform subsampling.Finally,the author applies the proposed method to analyze and predict the sharing number of news,and finds the topic,vocabulary and dissemination time are the determinants.展开更多
Softmax regression,which is also called multinomial logistic regression,is widely used in various fields for modeling the relationship between covariates and categorical responses with multiple levels.The increasing v...Softmax regression,which is also called multinomial logistic regression,is widely used in various fields for modeling the relationship between covariates and categorical responses with multiple levels.The increasing volumes of data bring new challenges for parameter estimation in softmax regression,and the optimal subsampling method is an effective way to solve them.However,optimal subsampling with replacement requires to access all the sampling probabilities simultaneously to draw a subsample,and the resultant subsample could contain duplicate observations.In this paper,the authors consider Poisson subsampling for its higher estimation accuracy and applicability in the scenario that the data exceed the memory limit.The authors derive the asymptotic properties of the general Poisson subsampling estimator and obtain optimal subsampling probabilities by minimizing the asymptotic variance-covariance matrix under both A-and L-optimality criteria.The optimal subsampling probabilities contain unknown quantities from the full dataset,so the authors suggest an approximately optimal Poisson subsampling algorithm which contains two sampling steps,with the first step as a pilot phase.The authors demonstrate the performance of our optimal Poisson subsampling algorithm through numerical simulations and real data examples.展开更多
We postulate and analyze a nonlinear subsampling accuracy loss(SSAL)model based on the root mean square error(RMSE)and two SSAL models based on the mean square error(MSE),suggested by extensive preliminary simulations...We postulate and analyze a nonlinear subsampling accuracy loss(SSAL)model based on the root mean square error(RMSE)and two SSAL models based on the mean square error(MSE),suggested by extensive preliminary simulations.The SSAL models predict accuracy loss in terms of subsampling parameters like the fraction of users dropped(FUD)and the fraction of items dropped(FID).We seek to investigate whether the models depend on the characteristics of the dataset in a constant way across datasets when using the SVD collaborative filtering(CF)algorithm.The dataset characteristics considered include various densities of the rating matrix and the numbers of users and items.Extensive simulations and rigorous regression analysis led to empirical symmetrical SSAL models in terms of FID and FUD whose coefficients depend only on the data characteristics.The SSAL models came out to be multi-linear in terms of odds ratios of dropping a user(or an item)vs.not dropping it.Moreover,one MSE deterioration model turned out to be linear in the FID and FUD odds where their interaction term has a zero coefficient.Most importantly,the models are constant in the sense that they are written in closed-form using the considered data characteristics(densities and numbers of users and items).The models are validated through extensive simulations based on 850 synthetically generated primary(pre-subsampling)matrices derived from the 25M MovieLens dataset.Nearly 460000 subsampled rating matrices were then simulated and subjected to the singular value decomposition(SVD)CF algorithm.Further validation was conducted using the 1M MovieLens and the Yahoo!Music Rating datasets.The models were constant and significant across all 3 datasets.展开更多
基金financially supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.52004029)the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities,China(No.FRF-TT-20-06).
文摘Higher requirements for the accuracy of relevant models are put throughout the transformation and upgrade of the iron and steel sector to intelligent production.It has been difficult to meet the needs of the field with the usual prediction model of mechanical properties of hotrolled strip.Insufficient data and difficult parameter adjustment limit deep learning models based on multi-layer networks in practical applications;besides,the limited discrete process parameters used make it impossible to effectively depict the actual strip processing process.In order to solve these problems,this research proposed a new sampling approach for mechanical characteristics input data of hot-rolled strip based on the multi-grained cascade forest(gcForest)framework.According to the characteristics of complex process flow and abnormal sensitivity of process path and parameters to product quality in the hot-rolled strip production,a three-dimensional continuous time series process data sampling method based on time-temperature-deformation was designed.The basic information of strip steel(chemical composition and typical process parameters)is fused with the local process information collected by multi-grained scanning,so that the next link’s input has both local and global features.Furthermore,in the multi-grained scanning structure,a sub sampling scheme with a variable window was designed,so that input data with different dimensions can get output characteristics of the same dimension after passing through the multi-grained scanning structure,allowing the cascade forest structure to be trained normally.Finally,actual production data of three steel grades was used to conduct the experimental evaluation.The results revealed that the gcForest-based mechanical property prediction model outperforms the competition in terms of comprehensive performance,ease of parameter adjustment,and ability to sustain high prediction accuracy with fewer samples.
基金supported by the Pioneer Hundred Talents Program,Chinese Academy of Sciences.
文摘CMOS analog and mixed-signal phase-locked loops(PLL)are widely used in varies of the system-on-chips(SoC)as the clock generator or frequency synthesizer.This paper presents an overview of the AMS-PLL,including:1)a brief introduction of the basics of the charge-pump based PLL,which is the most widely used AMS-PLL architecture due to its simplicity and robustness;2)a summary of the design issues of the basic CPPLL architecture;3)a systematic introduction of the techniques for the performance enhancement of the CPPLL;4)a brief overview of ultra-low-jitter AMS-PLL architectures which can achieve lower jitter(<100 fs)with lower power consumption compared with the CPPLL,including the injection-locked PLL(ILPLL),subsampling(SSPLL)and sampling PLL(SPLL);5)a discussion about the consideration of the AMS-PLL architecture selection,which could help designers meet their performance requirements.
基金financially supported by the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities(No.201822011)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.41674118)the National Science and Technology Major Project(No.2016ZX05027002)
文摘Conventional full-waveform inversion is computationally intensive because it considers all shots in each iteration. To tackle this, we establish the number of shots needed and propose multiscale inversion in the frequency domain while using only the shots that are positively correlated with frequency. When using low-frequency data, the method considers only a small number of shots and raw data. More shots are used with increasing frequency. The random-in-group subsampling method is used to rotate the shots between iterations and avoid the loss of shot information. By reducing the number of shots in the inversion, we decrease the computational cost. There is no crosstalk between shots, no noise addition, and no observational limits. Numerical modeling suggests that the proposed method reduces the computing time, is more robust to noise, and produces better velocity models when using data with noise.
文摘We propose a subsampling method for robust estimation of regression models which is built on classical methods such as the least squares method. It makes use of the non-robust nature of the underlying classical method to find a good sample from regression data contaminated with outliers, and then applies the classical method to the good sample to produce robust estimates of the regression model parameters. The subsampling method is a computational method rooted in the bootstrap methodology which trades analytical treatment for intensive computation;it finds the good sample through repeated fitting of the regression model to many random subsamples of the contaminated data instead of through an analytical treatment of the outliers. The subsampling method can be applied to all regression models for which non-robust classical methods are available. In the present paper, we focus on the basic formulation and robustness property of the subsampling method that are valid for all regression models. We also discuss variations of the method and apply it to three examples involving three different regression models.
文摘The IPCC has drawn attention to an apparent leveling-off of globally-averaged temperatures over the past 15 years or so. Measuring the duration of the hiatus has implications for determining if the underlying trend has changed, and for evaluating climate models. Here, I propose a method for estimating the duration of the hiatus that is robust to unknown forms of heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation (HAC) in the temperature series and to cherry-picking of endpoints. For the specific case of global average temperatures I also add the requirement of spatial consistency between hemispheres. The method makes use of the Vogelsang-Franses (2005) HAC-robust trend variance estimator which is valid as long as the underlying series is trend stationary, which is the case for the data used herein. Application of the method shows that there is now a trendless interval of 19 years duration at the end of the HadCRUT4 surface temperature series, and of 16 - 26 years in the lower troposphere. Use of a simple AR1 trend model suggests a shorter hiatus of 14 - 20 years but is likely unreliable.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.31400469,41571495,31770460)the National Science and Technology Basic Research Program(No.2015FY110400-4)+2 种基金the China Three Gorges Corporation Research Project(No.JGJ/0272015)the Key Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences(Comprehensive Assessment Technology of River Ecology and Environment for the Water Source Region of "South-toNorth Water Diversion Central Route")the Program for Biodiversity Protection(No.2017HB2096001006)
文摘As a less time-consuming procedure, subsampling technology has been widely used in biological monitoring and assessment programs. It is clear that subsampling counts af fect the value of traditional biodiversity indices, but its ef fect on taxonomic distinctness(TD) indices is less well studied. Here, we examined the responses of traditional(species richness, Shannon-Wiener diversity) and TD(average taxonomic distinctness: Δ +, and variation in taxonomic distinctness: Λ +) indices to subsample counts using a random subsampling procedure from 50 to 400 individuals, based on macroinvertebrate datasets from three dif ferent river systems in China. At regional scale, taxa richness asymptotically increased with ?xed-count size; ≥250–300 individuals to express 95% information of the raw data. In contrast, TD indices were less sensitive to the subsampling procedure. At local scale, TD indices were more stable and had less deviation than species richness and Shannon-Wiener index, even at low subsample counts, with ≥100 individuals needed to estimate 95% of the information of the actual Δ + and Λ + in the three river basins. We also found that abundance had a certain ef fect on diversity indices during the subsampling procedure, with dif ferent subsampling counts for species richness and TD indices varying by regions. Therefore, we suggest that TD indices are suitable for biodiversity assessment and environment monitoring. Meanwhile, pilot analyses are necessary when to determine the appropriate subsample counts for bioassessment in a new region or habitat type.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(61672482,11626253)the One Hundred Talent Project of the Chinese Academy of Sciences
文摘Color transfer between images uses the statistics information of image effectively. We present a novel approach of local color transfer between images based on the simple statistics and locally linear embedding. A sketching interface is proposed for quickly and easily specifying the color correspondences between target and source image. The user can specify the corre- spondences of local region using scribes, which more accurately transfers the target color to the source image while smoothly preserving the boundaries, and exhibits more natural output results. Our algorithm is not restricted to one-to-one image color transfer and can make use of more than one target images to transfer the color in different regions in the source image. Moreover, our algorithm does not require to choose the same color style and image size between source and target images. We propose the sub-sampling to reduce the computational load. Comparing with other approaches, our algorithm is much better in color blending in the input data. Our approach preserves the other color details in the source image. Various experimental results show that our approach specifies the correspondences of local color region in source and target images. And it expresses the intention of users and generates more actual and natural results of visual effect.
基金This project was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (60272099) .
文摘A new faster block-matching algorithm (BMA) by using both search candidate and pixd sulzsamplings is proposed. Firstly a pixd-subsampling approach used in adjustable partial distortion search (APDS) is adjusted to visit about half points of all search candidates by subsampling them, using a spiral-scanning path with one skip. Two sdected candidates that have minimal and second minimal block distortion measures are obtained. Then a fine-tune step is taken around them to find the best one. Some analyses are given to approve the rationality of the approach of this paper. Experimental results show that, as compared to APDS, the proposed algorithm can enhance the block-matching speed by about 30% while maintaining its MSE performance very close to that of it. And it performs much better than many other BMAs such as TSS, NTSS, UCDBS and NPDS.
文摘An imbalanced dataset is commonly found in at least one class,which are typically exceeded by the other ones.A machine learning algorithm(classifier)trained with an imbalanced dataset predicts the majority class(frequently occurring)more than the other minority classes(rarely occurring).Training with an imbalanced dataset poses challenges for classifiers;however,applying suitable techniques for reducing class imbalance issues can enhance classifiers’performance.In this study,we consider an imbalanced dataset from an educational context.Initially,we examine all shortcomings regarding the classification of an imbalanced dataset.Then,we apply data-level algorithms for class balancing and compare the performance of classifiers.The performance of the classifiers is measured using the underlying information in their confusion matrices,such as accuracy,precision,recall,and F measure.The results show that classification with an imbalanced dataset may produce high accuracy but low precision and recall for the minority class.The analysis confirms that undersampling and oversampling are effective for balancing datasets,but the latter dominates.
基金the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 79970041).
文摘This paper investigates methods of value-at-risk (VaR) estimation using extreme value theory (EVT). It compares two different estimation methods, 'two-step subsample bootstrap' based on moment estimation and maximum likelihood estimation (MLE), according to their theoretical bases and computation procedures. Then, the estimation results are analyzed together with those of normal method and empirical method. The empirical research of foreign exchange data shows that the EVT methods have good characters in estimating VaR under extreme conditions and 'two-step subsample bootstrap' method is preferable to MLE.
文摘This paper presents a new class of test procedures for two-sample location problem based on subsample quantiles. The class includes Mann-Whitney test as a special case. The asymptotic normality of the class of tests proposed is established. The asymptotic relative performance of the proposed class of test with respect to the optimal member of Xie and Priebe (2000) is studied in terms of Pitman efficiency for various underlying distributions.
文摘When the observed price process is the true underlying price process plus microstructure noise, it is known that realized volatility (RV) estimates will be overwhelmed by the noise when the sampling frequency approaches infinity. Therefore, it may be optimal to sample less frequently, and averaging the less frequently sampled subsamples can improve estimation for quadratic variation. In this paper, we extend this idea to forecasting daily realized volatility. While subsample averaging has been proposed and used in estimating RV, this paper is the first that uses subsample averaging for forecasting RV. The subsample averaging method we examine incorporates the high frequency data in different levels of systematic sampling. It first pools the high frequency data into several subsamples, then generates forecasts from each subsample, and then combines these forecasts. We find that in daily S&P 500 return realized volatility forecasts, subsample averaging generates better forecasts than those using only one subsample.
基金This work was supported by the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities,National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.12271272)and the Key Laboratory for Medical Data Analysis and Statistical Research of Tianjin.
文摘In this paper, we consider the unified optimal subsampling estimation and inference on the lowdimensional parameter of main interest in the presence of the nuisance parameter for low/high-dimensionalgeneralized linear models (GLMs) with massive data. We first present a general subsampling decorrelated scorefunction to reduce the influence of the less accurate nuisance parameter estimation with the slow convergencerate. The consistency and asymptotic normality of the resultant subsample estimator from a general decorrelatedscore subsampling algorithm are established, and two optimal subsampling probabilities are derived under theA- and L-optimality criteria to downsize the data volume and reduce the computational burden. The proposedoptimal subsampling probabilities provably improve the asymptotic efficiency of the subsampling schemes in thelow-dimensional GLMs and perform better than the uniform subsampling scheme in the high-dimensional GLMs.A two-step algorithm is further proposed to implement, and the asymptotic properties of the correspondingestimators are also given. Simulations show satisfactory performance of the proposed estimators, and twoapplications to census income and Fashion-MNIST datasets also demonstrate its practical applicability.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant No.12201431the Young Teacher Foundation of Capital University of Economics and Business under Grant Nos.XRZ2022-070 and 00592254413070。
文摘The dissemination of news is a vital topic in management science,social science and data science.With the development of technology,the sample sizes and dimensions of digital news data increase remarkably.To alleviate the computational burden in big data,this paper proposes a method to deal with massive and moderate-dimensional data for linear regression models via combing model averaging and subsampling methodologies.The author first samples a subsample from the full data according to some special probabilities and split covariates into several groups to construct candidate models.Then,the author solves each candidate model and calculates the model-averaging weights to combine these estimators based on this subsample.Additionally,the asymptotic optimality in subsampling form is proved and the way to calculate optimal subsampling probabilities is provided.The author also illustrates the proposed method via simulations,which shows it takes less running time than that of the full data and generates more accurate estimations than uniform subsampling.Finally,the author applies the proposed method to analyze and predict the sharing number of news,and finds the topic,vocabulary and dissemination time are the determinants.
基金Wang Haiying’s research was partially supported by the National Science Foundation under Grant No.CCF 2105571.
文摘Softmax regression,which is also called multinomial logistic regression,is widely used in various fields for modeling the relationship between covariates and categorical responses with multiple levels.The increasing volumes of data bring new challenges for parameter estimation in softmax regression,and the optimal subsampling method is an effective way to solve them.However,optimal subsampling with replacement requires to access all the sampling probabilities simultaneously to draw a subsample,and the resultant subsample could contain duplicate observations.In this paper,the authors consider Poisson subsampling for its higher estimation accuracy and applicability in the scenario that the data exceed the memory limit.The authors derive the asymptotic properties of the general Poisson subsampling estimator and obtain optimal subsampling probabilities by minimizing the asymptotic variance-covariance matrix under both A-and L-optimality criteria.The optimal subsampling probabilities contain unknown quantities from the full dataset,so the authors suggest an approximately optimal Poisson subsampling algorithm which contains two sampling steps,with the first step as a pilot phase.The authors demonstrate the performance of our optimal Poisson subsampling algorithm through numerical simulations and real data examples.
文摘We postulate and analyze a nonlinear subsampling accuracy loss(SSAL)model based on the root mean square error(RMSE)and two SSAL models based on the mean square error(MSE),suggested by extensive preliminary simulations.The SSAL models predict accuracy loss in terms of subsampling parameters like the fraction of users dropped(FUD)and the fraction of items dropped(FID).We seek to investigate whether the models depend on the characteristics of the dataset in a constant way across datasets when using the SVD collaborative filtering(CF)algorithm.The dataset characteristics considered include various densities of the rating matrix and the numbers of users and items.Extensive simulations and rigorous regression analysis led to empirical symmetrical SSAL models in terms of FID and FUD whose coefficients depend only on the data characteristics.The SSAL models came out to be multi-linear in terms of odds ratios of dropping a user(or an item)vs.not dropping it.Moreover,one MSE deterioration model turned out to be linear in the FID and FUD odds where their interaction term has a zero coefficient.Most importantly,the models are constant in the sense that they are written in closed-form using the considered data characteristics(densities and numbers of users and items).The models are validated through extensive simulations based on 850 synthetically generated primary(pre-subsampling)matrices derived from the 25M MovieLens dataset.Nearly 460000 subsampled rating matrices were then simulated and subjected to the singular value decomposition(SVD)CF algorithm.Further validation was conducted using the 1M MovieLens and the Yahoo!Music Rating datasets.The models were constant and significant across all 3 datasets.