As one of the most important part of weapon system of systems(WSoS),quantitative evaluation of reconnaissance satellite system(RSS)is indispensable during its construction and application.Aiming at the problem of nonl...As one of the most important part of weapon system of systems(WSoS),quantitative evaluation of reconnaissance satellite system(RSS)is indispensable during its construction and application.Aiming at the problem of nonlinear effectiveness evaluation under small sample conditions,we propose an evaluation method based on support vector regression(SVR)to effectively address the defects of traditional methods.Considering the performance of SVR is influenced by the penalty factor,kernel type,and other parameters deeply,the improved grey wolf optimizer(IGWO)is employed for parameter optimization.In the proposed IGWO algorithm,the opposition-based learning strategy is adopted to increase the probability of avoiding the local optima,the mutation operator is used to escape from premature convergence and differential convergence factors are applied to increase the rate of convergence.Numerical experiments of 14 test functions validate the applicability of IGWO algorithm dealing with global optimization.The index system and evaluation method are constructed based on the characteristics of RSS.To validate the proposed IGWO-SVR evaluation method,eight benchmark data sets and combat simulation are employed to estimate the evaluation accuracy,convergence performance and computational complexity.According to the experimental results,the proposed method outperforms several prediction based evaluation methods,verifies the superiority and effectiveness in RSS operational effectiveness evaluation.展开更多
当前建筑业迅速发展,但随之而来的是频频发生的建筑安全事故,造成不可逆转的损失和伤害。虽然近些年来在建筑安全事故控制方面的研究已取得一定的成果,但建筑安全事故仍未得到有效控制。针对建筑业市政工程安全事故总数和死亡人数,探究...当前建筑业迅速发展,但随之而来的是频频发生的建筑安全事故,造成不可逆转的损失和伤害。虽然近些年来在建筑安全事故控制方面的研究已取得一定的成果,但建筑安全事故仍未得到有效控制。针对建筑业市政工程安全事故总数和死亡人数,探究二者之间的关系,构建灰狼优化算法-支持向量回归机(Grey Wolf Optimization and Support Vactor Regression,GWO-SVR)组合模型,收集2008—2020年每个月的建筑安全事故数据及死亡人数数据集,发现二者之间成正向相关关系,以建筑安全事故数为特征对建筑死亡人数进行预测,精度达到95%以上,对建筑安全资源与人力投入有较大参考价值,有助于提升建筑安全管理水平。展开更多
With the development of technology, the relevant performance of unmanned aerial vehicles(UAVs) has been greatly improved, and various highly maneuverable UAVs have been developed, which puts forward higher requirement...With the development of technology, the relevant performance of unmanned aerial vehicles(UAVs) has been greatly improved, and various highly maneuverable UAVs have been developed, which puts forward higher requirements on target tracking technology. Strong maneuvering refers to relatively instantaneous and dramatic changes in target acceleration or movement patterns, as well as continuous changes in speed,angle, and acceleration. However, the traditional UAV tracking algorithm model has poor adaptability and large amount of calculation. This paper applies support vector regression(SVR)to the interacting multiple model(IMM) algorithm. The simulation results show that the improved algorithm has higher tracking accuracy for highly maneuverable targets than the original algorithm, and can adjust parameters adaptively, making it more adaptable.展开更多
A new customization approach based on support vector regression (SVR) is proposed to obtain individual headrelated impulse response (HRIR) without complex measurement and special equipment. Principal component ana...A new customization approach based on support vector regression (SVR) is proposed to obtain individual headrelated impulse response (HRIR) without complex measurement and special equipment. Principal component analysis (PCA) is first applied to obtain a few principal components and corresponding weight vectors correlated with individual anthropometric parameters. Then the weight vectors act as output of the nonlinear regression model. Some measured anthropometric parameters are selected as input of the model according to the correlation coefficients between the parameters and the weight vectors. After the regression model is learned from the training data, the individual HRIR can be predicted based on the measured anthropometric parameters. Compared with a back-propagation neural network (BPNN) for nonlinear regression, better generalization and prediction performance for small training samples can be obtained using the proposed PCA-SVR algorithm.展开更多
Support vector regression (SVR) combined with particle swarm optimization for its parameter optimization is employed to establish a model for predicting the Henry constants of multi-walled carbon nanotubes (MWNTs)...Support vector regression (SVR) combined with particle swarm optimization for its parameter optimization is employed to establish a model for predicting the Henry constants of multi-walled carbon nanotubes (MWNTs) for adsorption of volatile organic compounds (VOCs). The prediction performance of SVR is compared with those of the model of theoretical linear salvation energy relationship (TLSER). By using leave-one-out cross validation of SVR test Henry constants for adsorption of 35 VOCs on MWNTs, the root mean square error is 0.080, the mean absolute percentage error is only 1.19~, and the correlation coefficient (R2) is as high as 0.997. Compared with the results of the TLSER model, it is shown that the estimated errors by SVR are ali smaller than those achieved by TLSER. It reveals that the generalization ability of SVR is superior to that of the TLSER model Meanwhile, multifactor analysis is adopted for investigation of the influences of each molecular structure descriptor on the Henry constants. According to the TLSER model, the adsorption mechanism of adsorption of carbon nanotubes of VOCs is mainly a result of van der Waals and interactions of hydrogen bonds. These can provide the theoretical support for the application of carbon nanotube adsorption of VOCs and can make up for the lack of experimental data.展开更多
为提高光伏发电功率预测精度,提出一种基于外生因素及季节性的差分自回归移动平均SARIMAX(seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average with exogenous factors)并结合优化支持向量回归SVR(support vector regression)的光伏发...为提高光伏发电功率预测精度,提出一种基于外生因素及季节性的差分自回归移动平均SARIMAX(seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average with exogenous factors)并结合优化支持向量回归SVR(support vector regression)的光伏发电功率预测方法。首先,采用相关性特征法聚类气象条件中关键气象因子,以消除数据冗余并降低ARIMAX模型的复杂性;其次,在ARIMAX模型中引入季节性因素,构建SARIMAX模型来捕捉数据的季节性变化;最后,使用SARIMAX模型的拟合残差其作为SVR模型的输入,进一步拟合数据的非线性。通过仿真算例分析表明,所提方法可显著提高光伏发电功率预测精度。展开更多
A method of multiple outputs least squares support vector regression (LS-SVR) was developed and described in detail, with the radial basis function (RBF) as the kernel function. The method was applied to predict t...A method of multiple outputs least squares support vector regression (LS-SVR) was developed and described in detail, with the radial basis function (RBF) as the kernel function. The method was applied to predict the future state of the power-shift steering transmission (PSST). A prediction model of PSST was gotten with multiple outputs LS-SVR. The model performance was greatly influenced by the penalty parameter γ and kernel parameter σ2 which were optimized using cross validation method. The training and prediction of the model were done with spectrometric oil analysis data. The predictive and actual values were compared and a fault in the second PSST was found. The research proved that this method had good accuracy in PSST fault prediction, and any possible problem in PSST could be found through a comparative analysis.展开更多
An inverse model control based on TS-fuzzy support vector regression( TS-fuzzy SVR) for a quadrotor aircraft is developed. The TS-kernel is the product of linear combination of input and a cluster of output correspond...An inverse model control based on TS-fuzzy support vector regression( TS-fuzzy SVR) for a quadrotor aircraft is developed. The TS-kernel is the product of linear combination of input and a cluster of output corresponding to a cluster of TS-type fuzzy rules. The output of TS-fuzzy SVR is a linear weighted sum of the TSkernels. The dynamical model of the quad-rotor aircraft is derived. A new control scheme combined with TSfuzzy SVR inverse model control and PID control is presented so that the TS-fuzzy SVR inverse model control enhances capabilities of disturbance rejection and the robustness while the PID control enhances fast responsiveness and reliability of the system. Simulation results show the capabilities of the developed control for the attitude system of quad-rotor aircraft.展开更多
This paper proposes a novel approach, Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling approximation, to deal with intractable high-dimension integral in the evidence framework applied to Support Vector Regression (SVR). Unli...This paper proposes a novel approach, Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling approximation, to deal with intractable high-dimension integral in the evidence framework applied to Support Vector Regression (SVR). Unlike traditional variational or mean field method, the proposed approach follows the idea of MCMC, firstly draws some samples from the posterior distribution on SVR's weight vector, and then approximates the expected output integrals by finite sums. Experimental results show the proposed approach is feasible and robust to noise. It also shows the performance of proposed approach and Relevance Vector Machine (RVM) is comparable under the noise circumstances. They give better robustness compared to standard SVR.展开更多
Lithium-ion batteries are the most widely accepted type of battery in the electric vehicle industry because of some of their positive inherent characteristics. However, the safety problems associated with inaccurate e...Lithium-ion batteries are the most widely accepted type of battery in the electric vehicle industry because of some of their positive inherent characteristics. However, the safety problems associated with inaccurate estimation and prediction of the state of health of these batteries have attracted wide attention due to the adverse negative effect on vehicle safety. In this paper, both machine and deep learning models were used to estimate the state of health of lithium-ion batteries. The paper introduces the definition of battery health status and its importance in the electric vehicle industry. Based on the data preprocessing and visualization analysis, three features related to actual battery capacity degradation are extracted from the data. Two learning models, SVR and LSTM were employed for the state of health estimation and their respective results are compared in this paper. The mean square error and coefficient of determination were the two metrics for the performance evaluation of the models. The experimental results indicate that both models have high estimation results. However, the metrics indicated that the SVR was the overall best model.展开更多
The theory of nu-support vector regression (Nu-SVR) is employed in modeling time series variationfor prediction. In order to avoid prediction performance degradation caused by improper parameters, themethod of paralle...The theory of nu-support vector regression (Nu-SVR) is employed in modeling time series variationfor prediction. In order to avoid prediction performance degradation caused by improper parameters, themethod of parallel multidimensional step search (PMSS) is proposed for users to select best parameters intraining support vector machine to get a prediction model. A series of tests are performed to evaluate themodeling mechanism and prediction results indicate that Nu-SVR models can reflect the variation tendencyof time series with low prediction error on both familiar and unfamiliar data. Statistical analysis is alsoemployed to verify the optimization performance of PMSS algorithm and comparative results indicate thattraining error can take the minimum over the interval around planar data point corresponding to selectedparameters. Moreover, the introduction of parallelization can remarkably speed up the optimizing procedure.展开更多
基金the National Defense Science and Technology Key Laboratory Fund of China(XM2020XT1023).
文摘As one of the most important part of weapon system of systems(WSoS),quantitative evaluation of reconnaissance satellite system(RSS)is indispensable during its construction and application.Aiming at the problem of nonlinear effectiveness evaluation under small sample conditions,we propose an evaluation method based on support vector regression(SVR)to effectively address the defects of traditional methods.Considering the performance of SVR is influenced by the penalty factor,kernel type,and other parameters deeply,the improved grey wolf optimizer(IGWO)is employed for parameter optimization.In the proposed IGWO algorithm,the opposition-based learning strategy is adopted to increase the probability of avoiding the local optima,the mutation operator is used to escape from premature convergence and differential convergence factors are applied to increase the rate of convergence.Numerical experiments of 14 test functions validate the applicability of IGWO algorithm dealing with global optimization.The index system and evaluation method are constructed based on the characteristics of RSS.To validate the proposed IGWO-SVR evaluation method,eight benchmark data sets and combat simulation are employed to estimate the evaluation accuracy,convergence performance and computational complexity.According to the experimental results,the proposed method outperforms several prediction based evaluation methods,verifies the superiority and effectiveness in RSS operational effectiveness evaluation.
文摘当前建筑业迅速发展,但随之而来的是频频发生的建筑安全事故,造成不可逆转的损失和伤害。虽然近些年来在建筑安全事故控制方面的研究已取得一定的成果,但建筑安全事故仍未得到有效控制。针对建筑业市政工程安全事故总数和死亡人数,探究二者之间的关系,构建灰狼优化算法-支持向量回归机(Grey Wolf Optimization and Support Vactor Regression,GWO-SVR)组合模型,收集2008—2020年每个月的建筑安全事故数据及死亡人数数据集,发现二者之间成正向相关关系,以建筑安全事故数为特征对建筑死亡人数进行预测,精度达到95%以上,对建筑安全资源与人力投入有较大参考价值,有助于提升建筑安全管理水平。
基金supported by the Foundation of Key Laboratory of Near-Surface。
文摘With the development of technology, the relevant performance of unmanned aerial vehicles(UAVs) has been greatly improved, and various highly maneuverable UAVs have been developed, which puts forward higher requirements on target tracking technology. Strong maneuvering refers to relatively instantaneous and dramatic changes in target acceleration or movement patterns, as well as continuous changes in speed,angle, and acceleration. However, the traditional UAV tracking algorithm model has poor adaptability and large amount of calculation. This paper applies support vector regression(SVR)to the interacting multiple model(IMM) algorithm. The simulation results show that the improved algorithm has higher tracking accuracy for highly maneuverable targets than the original algorithm, and can adjust parameters adaptively, making it more adaptable.
基金Project supported by the Shanghai Natural Science Foundation (Grant No.08ZR1408300)the Shanghai Leading Academic Discipline Project (Grant No.S30108)
文摘A new customization approach based on support vector regression (SVR) is proposed to obtain individual headrelated impulse response (HRIR) without complex measurement and special equipment. Principal component analysis (PCA) is first applied to obtain a few principal components and corresponding weight vectors correlated with individual anthropometric parameters. Then the weight vectors act as output of the nonlinear regression model. Some measured anthropometric parameters are selected as input of the model according to the correlation coefficients between the parameters and the weight vectors. After the regression model is learned from the training data, the individual HRIR can be predicted based on the measured anthropometric parameters. Compared with a back-propagation neural network (BPNN) for nonlinear regression, better generalization and prediction performance for small training samples can be obtained using the proposed PCA-SVR algorithm.
基金Supported by the Innovative Talent Funds for Project 985 under Grant No WLYJSBJRCTD201102the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities under Grant No CQDXWL-2013-014+1 种基金the Natural Science Foundation of Chongqing under Grant No CSTC2006BB5240the Program for New Century Excellent Talents in Universities of China under Grant No NCET-07-0903
文摘Support vector regression (SVR) combined with particle swarm optimization for its parameter optimization is employed to establish a model for predicting the Henry constants of multi-walled carbon nanotubes (MWNTs) for adsorption of volatile organic compounds (VOCs). The prediction performance of SVR is compared with those of the model of theoretical linear salvation energy relationship (TLSER). By using leave-one-out cross validation of SVR test Henry constants for adsorption of 35 VOCs on MWNTs, the root mean square error is 0.080, the mean absolute percentage error is only 1.19~, and the correlation coefficient (R2) is as high as 0.997. Compared with the results of the TLSER model, it is shown that the estimated errors by SVR are ali smaller than those achieved by TLSER. It reveals that the generalization ability of SVR is superior to that of the TLSER model Meanwhile, multifactor analysis is adopted for investigation of the influences of each molecular structure descriptor on the Henry constants. According to the TLSER model, the adsorption mechanism of adsorption of carbon nanotubes of VOCs is mainly a result of van der Waals and interactions of hydrogen bonds. These can provide the theoretical support for the application of carbon nanotube adsorption of VOCs and can make up for the lack of experimental data.
文摘为提高光伏发电功率预测精度,提出一种基于外生因素及季节性的差分自回归移动平均SARIMAX(seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average with exogenous factors)并结合优化支持向量回归SVR(support vector regression)的光伏发电功率预测方法。首先,采用相关性特征法聚类气象条件中关键气象因子,以消除数据冗余并降低ARIMAX模型的复杂性;其次,在ARIMAX模型中引入季节性因素,构建SARIMAX模型来捕捉数据的季节性变化;最后,使用SARIMAX模型的拟合残差其作为SVR模型的输入,进一步拟合数据的非线性。通过仿真算例分析表明,所提方法可显著提高光伏发电功率预测精度。
基金Supported by the Ministerial Level Advanced Research Foundation(3031030)the"111"Project(B08043)
文摘A method of multiple outputs least squares support vector regression (LS-SVR) was developed and described in detail, with the radial basis function (RBF) as the kernel function. The method was applied to predict the future state of the power-shift steering transmission (PSST). A prediction model of PSST was gotten with multiple outputs LS-SVR. The model performance was greatly influenced by the penalty parameter γ and kernel parameter σ2 which were optimized using cross validation method. The training and prediction of the model were done with spectrometric oil analysis data. The predictive and actual values were compared and a fault in the second PSST was found. The research proved that this method had good accuracy in PSST fault prediction, and any possible problem in PSST could be found through a comparative analysis.
基金Sponsored by the Science and Technology Support Program of Jiangsu Province(Grant No.SBE2014070836)
文摘An inverse model control based on TS-fuzzy support vector regression( TS-fuzzy SVR) for a quadrotor aircraft is developed. The TS-kernel is the product of linear combination of input and a cluster of output corresponding to a cluster of TS-type fuzzy rules. The output of TS-fuzzy SVR is a linear weighted sum of the TSkernels. The dynamical model of the quad-rotor aircraft is derived. A new control scheme combined with TSfuzzy SVR inverse model control and PID control is presented so that the TS-fuzzy SVR inverse model control enhances capabilities of disturbance rejection and the robustness while the PID control enhances fast responsiveness and reliability of the system. Simulation results show the capabilities of the developed control for the attitude system of quad-rotor aircraft.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 60972106, 61072103)China Postdoctoral Science Foundation (No. 20090450750)
文摘This paper proposes a novel approach, Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling approximation, to deal with intractable high-dimension integral in the evidence framework applied to Support Vector Regression (SVR). Unlike traditional variational or mean field method, the proposed approach follows the idea of MCMC, firstly draws some samples from the posterior distribution on SVR's weight vector, and then approximates the expected output integrals by finite sums. Experimental results show the proposed approach is feasible and robust to noise. It also shows the performance of proposed approach and Relevance Vector Machine (RVM) is comparable under the noise circumstances. They give better robustness compared to standard SVR.
文摘Lithium-ion batteries are the most widely accepted type of battery in the electric vehicle industry because of some of their positive inherent characteristics. However, the safety problems associated with inaccurate estimation and prediction of the state of health of these batteries have attracted wide attention due to the adverse negative effect on vehicle safety. In this paper, both machine and deep learning models were used to estimate the state of health of lithium-ion batteries. The paper introduces the definition of battery health status and its importance in the electric vehicle industry. Based on the data preprocessing and visualization analysis, three features related to actual battery capacity degradation are extracted from the data. Two learning models, SVR and LSTM were employed for the state of health estimation and their respective results are compared in this paper. The mean square error and coefficient of determination were the two metrics for the performance evaluation of the models. The experimental results indicate that both models have high estimation results. However, the metrics indicated that the SVR was the overall best model.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 60873235&60473099)the Science-Technology Development Key Project of Jilin Province of China (No. 20080318)the Program of New Century Excellent Talents in University of China (No. NCET-06-0300).
文摘The theory of nu-support vector regression (Nu-SVR) is employed in modeling time series variationfor prediction. In order to avoid prediction performance degradation caused by improper parameters, themethod of parallel multidimensional step search (PMSS) is proposed for users to select best parameters intraining support vector machine to get a prediction model. A series of tests are performed to evaluate themodeling mechanism and prediction results indicate that Nu-SVR models can reflect the variation tendencyof time series with low prediction error on both familiar and unfamiliar data. Statistical analysis is alsoemployed to verify the optimization performance of PMSS algorithm and comparative results indicate thattraining error can take the minimum over the interval around planar data point corresponding to selectedparameters. Moreover, the introduction of parallelization can remarkably speed up the optimizing procedure.
文摘锂离子电池剩余使用寿命预测在电池管理系统中发挥着重要作用,准确预测其剩余使用寿命能够保障电池的安全稳定运行。由于支持向量回归SVR(support vector regression)参数内核选择较为困难,为此提出灰狼优化—支持向量回归GWO-SVR(gray wolf optimization-SVR)方法,使用灰狼算法优化其内核参数,根据NASA预测中心提供的电池数据集对该方法进行了验证。通过与SVR方法进行对比发现,所提GWO-SVR方法的预测精度得到显著提高;在此基础上与ALO-SVR方法进行对比,证明所提方法平均相对误差降低了7.16%,预测精度更高,有效地提高了锂离子电池剩余寿命预测的精确性。