Support vector regression-based operational effectiveness evaluation approach to reconnaissance satellite system

As one of the most important part of weapon system of systems(WSoS),quantitative evaluation of reconnaissance satellite system(RSS)is indispensable during its construction and application.Aiming at the problem of nonlinear effectiveness evaluation under small sample conditions,we propose an evaluation method based on support vector regression(SVR)to effectively address the defects of traditional methods.Considering the performance of SVR is influenced by the penalty factor,kernel type,and other parameters deeply,the improved grey wolf optimizer(IGWO)is employed for parameter optimization.In the proposed IGWO algorithm,the opposition-based learning strategy is adopted to increase the probability of avoiding the local optima,the mutation operator is used to escape from premature convergence and differential convergence factors are applied to increase the rate of convergence.Numerical experiments of 14 test functions validate the applicability of IGWO algorithm dealing with global optimization.The index system and evaluation method are constructed based on the characteristics of RSS.To validate the proposed IGWO-SVR evaluation method,eight benchmark data sets and combat simulation are employed to estimate the evaluation accuracy,convergence performance and computational complexity.According to the experimental results,the proposed method outperforms several prediction based evaluation methods,verifies the superiority and effectiveness in RSS operational effectiveness evaluation.

Small-time scale network traffic prediction based on a local support vector machine regression model

In this paper we apply the nonlinear time series analysis method to small-time scale traffic measurement data. The prediction-based method is used to determine the embedding dimension of the traffic data. Based on the reconstructed phase space, the local support vector machine prediction method is used to predict the traffic measurement data, and the BIC-based neighbouring point selection method is used to choose the number of the nearest neighbouring points for the local support vector machine regression model. The experimental results show that the local support vector machine prediction method whose neighbouring points are optimized can effectively predict the small-time scale traffic measurement data and can reproduce the statistical features of real traffic measurements.

Spatial prediction of landslide susceptibility in western Serbia using hybrid support vector regression(SVR)with GWO,BAT and COA algorithms

In this study,we developed multiple hybrid machine-learning models to address parameter optimization limitations and enhance the spatial prediction of landslide susceptibility models.We created a geographic information system database,and our analysis results were used to prepare a landslide inventory map containing 359 landslide events identified from Google Earth,aerial photographs,and other validated sources.A support vector regression(SVR)machine-learning model was used to divide the landslide inventory into training(70%)and testing(30%)datasets.The landslide susceptibility map was produced using 14 causative factors.We applied the established gray wolf optimization(GWO)algorithm,bat algorithm(BA),and cuckoo optimization algorithm(COA)to fine-tune the parameters of the SVR model to improve its predictive accuracy.The resultant hybrid models,SVR-GWO,SVR-BA,and SVR-COA,were validated in terms of the area under curve(AUC)and root mean square error(RMSE).The AUC values for the SVR-GWO(0.733),SVR-BA(0.724),and SVR-COA(0.738)models indicate their good prediction rates for landslide susceptibility modeling.SVR-COA had the greatest accuracy,with an RMSE of 0.21687,and SVR-BA had the least accuracy,with an RMSE of 0.23046.The three optimized hybrid models outperformed the SVR model(AUC=0.704,RMSE=0.26689),confirming the ability of metaheuristic algorithms to improve model performance.

Semi-supervised Support Vector Regression Model for Remote Sensing Water Quality Retrieving

This paper proposed a semi-supervised regression model with co-training algorithm based on support vector machine, which was used for retrieving water quality variables from SPOT 5 remote sensing data. The model consisted of two support vector regressors (SVRs). Nonlinear relationship between water quality variables and SPOT 5 spectrum was described by the two SVRs, and semi-supervised co-training algorithm for the SVRs was es-tablished. The model was used for retrieving concentrations of four representative pollution indicators―permangan- ate index (CODmn), ammonia nitrogen (NH3-N), chemical oxygen demand (COD) and dissolved oxygen (DO) of the Weihe River in Shaanxi Province, China. The spatial distribution map for those variables over a part of the Weihe River was also produced. SVR can be used to implement any nonlinear mapping readily, and semi-supervis- ed learning can make use of both labeled and unlabeled samples. By integrating the two SVRs and using semi-supervised learning, we provide an operational method when paired samples are limited. The results show that it is much better than the multiple statistical regression method, and can provide the whole water pollution condi-tions for management fast and can be extended to hyperspectral remote sensing applications.

Modeling personalized head-related impulse response using support vector regression

A new customization approach based on support vector regression （SVR） is proposed to obtain individual headrelated impulse response （HRIR） without complex measurement and special equipment. Principal component analysis （PCA） is first applied to obtain a few principal components and corresponding weight vectors correlated with individual anthropometric parameters. Then the weight vectors act as output of the nonlinear regression model. Some measured anthropometric parameters are selected as input of the model according to the correlation coefficients between the parameters and the weight vectors. After the regression model is learned from the training data, the individual HRIR can be predicted based on the measured anthropometric parameters. Compared with a back-propagation neural network （BPNN） for nonlinear regression, better generalization and prediction performance for small training samples can be obtained using the proposed PCA-SVR algorithm.

High-rise building fire pre-warning model based on the support vector regression

Aiming at reducing the deficiency of the traditional fire pre-warning algorithms and the intelligent fire pre-warning algorithms such as artificial neural network,and then to improve the accuracy of fire prewarning for high-rise buildings,a composite fire pre-warning controller is designed according to the characteristic（ nonlinear,less historical data,many influence factors）,also a high-rise building fire pre-warning model is set up based on the support vector regression（ SV R）. Then the wood fire standard history data is applied to make empirical analysis. The research results can provide a reliable decision support framework for high-rise building fire pre-warning.

Inverse Model Control for a Quad-rotor Aircraft Using TS-fuzzy Support Vector Regression

An inverse model control based on TS-fuzzy support vector regression( TS-fuzzy SVR) for a quadrotor aircraft is developed. The TS-kernel is the product of linear combination of input and a cluster of output corresponding to a cluster of TS-type fuzzy rules. The output of TS-fuzzy SVR is a linear weighted sum of the TSkernels. The dynamical model of the quad-rotor aircraft is derived. A new control scheme combined with TSfuzzy SVR inverse model control and PID control is presented so that the TS-fuzzy SVR inverse model control enhances capabilities of disturbance rejection and the robustness while the PID control enhances fast responsiveness and reliability of the system. Simulation results show the capabilities of the developed control for the attitude system of quad-rotor aircraft.

Adaptive Nonlinear Model Predictive Control Using an On-line Support Vector Regression Updating Strategy

The performance of data-driven models relies heavily on the amount and quality of training samples, so it might deteriorate significantly in the regions where samples are scarce. The objective of this paper is to develop an online SVR model updating strategy to track the change in the process characteristics efficiently with affordable computational burden. This is achieved by adding a new sample that violates the Karush–Kuhn–Tucker conditions of the existing SVR model and by deleting the old sample that has the maximum distance with respect to the newly added sample in feature space. The benefits offered by such an updating strategy are exploited to develop an adaptive model-based control scheme, where model updating and control task perform alternately.The effectiveness of the adaptive controller is demonstrated by simulation study on a continuous stirred tank reactor. The results reveal that the adaptive MPC scheme outperforms its non-adaptive counterpart for largemagnitude set point changes and variations in process parameters.

Support Vector Regression for Bus Travel Time Prediction Using Wavelet Transform

In order to accurately predict bus travel time, a hybrid model based on combining wavelet transform technique with support vector regression(WT-SVR) model is employed. In this model, wavelet decomposition is used to extract important information of data at different levels and enhances the forecasting ability of the model. After wavelet transform different components are forecasted by their corresponding SVR predictors. The final prediction result is obtained by the summation of the predicted results for each component. The proposed hybrid model is examined by the data of bus route No.550 in Nanjing, China. The performance of WT-SVR model is evaluated by mean absolute error(MAE), mean absolute percent error(MAPE) and relative mean square error(RMSE), and also compared to regular SVR and ANN models. The results show that the prediction method based on wavelet transform and SVR has better tracking ability and dynamic behavior than regular SVR and ANN models. The forecasting performance is remarkably improved to obtain within 6% MAPE for testing section Ⅰ and 8% MAPE for testing section Ⅱ, which proves that the suggested approach is feasible and applicable in bus travel time prediction.

Improved IMM algorithm based on support vector regression for UAV tracking

With the development of technology, the relevant performance of unmanned aerial vehicles(UAVs) has been greatly improved, and various highly maneuverable UAVs have been developed, which puts forward higher requirements on target tracking technology. Strong maneuvering refers to relatively instantaneous and dramatic changes in target acceleration or movement patterns, as well as continuous changes in speed,angle, and acceleration. However, the traditional UAV tracking algorithm model has poor adaptability and large amount of calculation. This paper applies support vector regression(SVR)to the interacting multiple model(IMM) algorithm. The simulation results show that the improved algorithm has higher tracking accuracy for highly maneuverable targets than the original algorithm, and can adjust parameters adaptively, making it more adaptable.

Prediction of Henry Constants and Adsorption Mechanism of Volatile Organic Compounds on Multi-Walled Carbon Nanotubes by Using Support Vector Regression

Support vector regression （SVR） combined with particle swarm optimization for its parameter optimization is employed to establish a model for predicting the Henry constants of multi-walled carbon nanotubes （MWNTs） for adsorption of volatile organic compounds （VOCs）. The prediction performance of SVR is compared with those of the model of theoretical linear salvation energy relationship （TLSER）. By using leave-one-out cross validation of SVR test Henry constants for adsorption of 35 VOCs on MWNTs, the root mean square error is 0.080, the mean absolute percentage error is only 1.19~, and the correlation coefficient （R2） is as high as 0.997. Compared with the results of the TLSER model, it is shown that the estimated errors by SVR are ali smaller than those achieved by TLSER. It reveals that the generalization ability of SVR is superior to that of the TLSER model Meanwhile, multifactor analysis is adopted for investigation of the influences of each molecular structure descriptor on the Henry constants. According to the TLSER model, the adsorption mechanism of adsorption of carbon nanotubes of VOCs is mainly a result of van der Waals and interactions of hydrogen bonds. These can provide the theoretical support for the application of carbon nanotube adsorption of VOCs and can make up for the lack of experimental data.

Fault diagnosis of power-shift steering transmission based on multiple outputs least squares support vector regression

A method of multiple outputs least squares support vector regression （LS-SVR） was developed and described in detail, with the radial basis function （RBF） as the kernel function. The method was applied to predict the future state of the power-shift steering transmission （PSST）. A prediction model of PSST was gotten with multiple outputs LS-SVR. The model performance was greatly influenced by the penalty parameter γ and kernel parameter σ2 which were optimized using cross validation method. The training and prediction of the model were done with spectrometric oil analysis data. The predictive and actual values were compared and a fault in the second PSST was found. The research proved that this method had good accuracy in PSST fault prediction, and any possible problem in PSST could be found through a comparative analysis.

Fuzzy rule-based support vector regression system

In this paper, we design a fuzzy rule-based support vector regression system. The proposed system utilizes the advantages of fuzzy model and support vector regression to extract support vectors to generate fuzzy if-then rules from the training data set. Based on the first-order hnear Tagaki-Sugeno （TS） model, the structure of rules is identified by the support vector regression and then the consequent parameters of rules are tuned by the global least squares method. Our model is applied to the real world regression task. The simulation results gives promising performances in terms of a set of fuzzy hales, which can be easily interpreted by humans.

SUPPORT VECTOR REGRESSION VIA MCMC WITHIN EVIDENCE FRAMEWORK

This paper proposes a novel approach, Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling approximation, to deal with intractable high-dimension integral in the evidence framework applied to Support Vector Regression (SVR). Unlike traditional variational or mean field method, the proposed approach follows the idea of MCMC, firstly draws some samples from the posterior distribution on SVR's weight vector, and then approximates the expected output integrals by finite sums. Experimental results show the proposed approach is feasible and robust to noise. It also shows the performance of proposed approach and Relevance Vector Machine (RVM) is comparable under the noise circumstances. They give better robustness compared to standard SVR.

State of Health Estimation of Lithium-Ion Batteries Using Support Vector Regression and Long Short-Term Memory

Lithium-ion batteries are the most widely accepted type of battery in the electric vehicle industry because of some of their positive inherent characteristics. However, the safety problems associated with inaccurate estimation and prediction of the state of health of these batteries have attracted wide attention due to the adverse negative effect on vehicle safety. In this paper, both machine and deep learning models were used to estimate the state of health of lithium-ion batteries. The paper introduces the definition of battery health status and its importance in the electric vehicle industry. Based on the data preprocessing and visualization analysis, three features related to actual battery capacity degradation are extracted from the data. Two learning models, SVR and LSTM were employed for the state of health estimation and their respective results are compared in this paper. The mean square error and coefficient of determination were the two metrics for the performance evaluation of the models. The experimental results indicate that both models have high estimation results. However, the metrics indicated that the SVR was the overall best model.

基于SPA-GA-SVR模型的土壤水分及温度预测

土壤湿度和温度是影响水文循环和气候变化的重要参数,在农业实践活动和生态平衡中起着重要作用。为及时、准确地监测土壤含水量(Soil Moisture Content,SMC)及温度,提出了一种基于高光谱数据的预测方法。实验数据集来自为期5天的实地测量,所获得的高光谱数据包含大量的噪声及冗余信息,因此首先用Savitzky-Golay卷积平滑对光谱数据进行降噪处理,利用连续投影算法(Successive Projection Algorithm,SPA)提取数据特征波长,然后通过遗传算法(Genetic Algorithm,GA)对支持向量机回归(Support Vector Regression,SVR)的超参数权值和偏置进行优化,构建SPA-GASVR混合算法模型对土壤水分和温度进行预测,并与BP神经网络(Back Propagation Neural Network,BPNN)、SPA-BP、SVR、SPA-SVR、GA-SVR这5种模型的预测性能进行比较。实验结果表明:各模型在土壤湿度低于30%的情况下,表现出的预测能力差异并不显著。但整体上,复合模型相比于单一的神经网络或机器学习模型具有明显的优势,且经过连续投影算法优化的模型进一步的提高其预测能力,最终SPA-GA-SVR算法在各项指标上均优于其他模型,土壤水分预测模型的R^(2)=0.981、RMSE=0.473%,土壤温度预测模型R^(2)=0.963、RMSE=0.883℃。实验证明基于高光谱数据,经过SPA和GA优化的SVR模型能实现对土壤湿度和温度精准的预测。该方法具有一定的应用价值和现实意义,可应用于便携式高光谱仪和无人机上,实现对土壤水分和温度的实时监测,为今后的播种及灌溉提供理论参考。

基于SVR的飓风海况下海浪多参数反演方法研究

针对卫星在飓风海况下观测海浪信息单一且准确性低的问题,利用哨兵1号卫星干涉宽刈幅模式合成孔径雷达(SAR)数据,通过分析SAR特征与海浪参数间的影响关系,筛选出26个特征作为输入变量,基于支持向量回归(SVR)建立海浪多参数反演模型。将该模型得到的有效波高、平均波周期、风涌浪波高、风涌浪波周期和平均波向与欧洲中期天气预报中心第5代全球气候再分析数据、国家浮标数据中心浮标数据以及传统MPI方法的结果进行对比。结果表明,基于SVR的海浪多参数反演模型能有效反演海浪多参数,且与理论方法相比,显著提高了飓风海况下海浪参数反演的准确性。

基于SARIMA和SVR组合模型的转向架系统寿命评估

随着地铁运营时间和里程的增加,地铁车辆逐渐接近其理论寿命,为确保车辆运行安全性,需对其重要子系统进行健康状态及剩余寿命评估。文中选取车辆转向架系统作为研究对象,提出了一种基于协方差优选法的季节性回归移动平均(SARIMA)和支持向量回归(SVR)的组合模型对转向架寿命进行评估。首先,将车辆转向架系统历史故障率转化为健康指数,然后基于协方差优选法将SARIMA和SVR进行赋权组合,根据转向架系统历史健康指数进行预测,最后建立历史和预测的健康指数与运行时间的数学模型,分析得到转向架系统的剩余寿命。以某地铁车辆转向架系统为例进行算例分析及验证,结果表明组合模型可更准确地预测其健康状态,为有关维修部门开展维修维护策略提供理论依据,估计得出其剩余寿命,为车辆寿命后期退役及延寿决策提供理论数据分析支撑。