Price prediction of goods is a vital point of research due to how common e-commerce platforms are.There are several efforts conducted to forecast the price of items using classicmachine learning algorithms and statist...Price prediction of goods is a vital point of research due to how common e-commerce platforms are.There are several efforts conducted to forecast the price of items using classicmachine learning algorithms and statisticalmodels.These models can predict prices of various financial instruments,e.g.,gold,oil,cryptocurrencies,stocks,and second-hand items.Despite these efforts,the literature has no model for predicting the prices of seasonal goods(e.g.,Christmas gifts).In this context,we framed the task of seasonal goods price prediction as a regression problem.First,we utilized a real online trailer dataset of Christmas gifts and then we proposed several machine learningbased models and one statistical-based model to predict the prices of these seasonal products.Second,we utilized a real-life dataset of Christmas gifts for the prediction task.Then,we proposed support vector regressor(SVR),linear regression,random forest,and ridgemodels as machine learningmodels for price prediction.Next,we proposed an autoregressive-integrated-movingaverage(ARIMA)model for the same purpose as a statistical-based model.Finally,we evaluated the performance of the proposed models;the comparison shows that the best performing model was the random forest model,followed by the ARIMA model.展开更多
Proton exchange membrane fuel cell (PEMFC) is considered essential for climate change mitigation, and a fast and accurate model is necessary for its control and operation in practical applications. In this study, vari...Proton exchange membrane fuel cell (PEMFC) is considered essential for climate change mitigation, and a fast and accurate model is necessary for its control and operation in practical applications. In this study, various machine learning methods are used to develop data-based models for PEMFC performance attributes and internal states. Techniques such as Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and Support Vector Machine Regressor (SVR) are used to predict the cell voltage, membrane resistance, and membrane hydration level for various operating conditions. Varying input features such as cell current, temperature, reactant pressures, and humidity are introduced to evaluate the accuracy of the model, especially under extreme conditions. Two different sets of data are considered in this study, which are acquired from, a physics-based semiempirical model and a 1-D reduced-dimension Computational Fluid Dynamics model, respectively. The aspect of data preprocessing and hyperparameter tuning procedures are investigated that are extensively used to calibrate the artificial neural network layers and support vector regressor to predict the fuel cell attributes. ANN clearly shows an advantage in comparison with SVR, especially on a multivariable output regression. However, the SVR is advantageous to model simple regressions as it greatly reduces the level of computation without sacrificing accuracy. Data-based models for PEMFC are successfully developed on both the data sets by adapting advanced modeling techniques and calibration procedures such as ANN incorporating the dropout technique, resulting in an R2 ≥ 0.99 for all the predicted variables, demonstrating the ability to build accurate data-based models solely on data from validated physics-based models, reducing the dependency on extensive experimentation.展开更多
文摘Price prediction of goods is a vital point of research due to how common e-commerce platforms are.There are several efforts conducted to forecast the price of items using classicmachine learning algorithms and statisticalmodels.These models can predict prices of various financial instruments,e.g.,gold,oil,cryptocurrencies,stocks,and second-hand items.Despite these efforts,the literature has no model for predicting the prices of seasonal goods(e.g.,Christmas gifts).In this context,we framed the task of seasonal goods price prediction as a regression problem.First,we utilized a real online trailer dataset of Christmas gifts and then we proposed several machine learningbased models and one statistical-based model to predict the prices of these seasonal products.Second,we utilized a real-life dataset of Christmas gifts for the prediction task.Then,we proposed support vector regressor(SVR),linear regression,random forest,and ridgemodels as machine learningmodels for price prediction.Next,we proposed an autoregressive-integrated-movingaverage(ARIMA)model for the same purpose as a statistical-based model.Finally,we evaluated the performance of the proposed models;the comparison shows that the best performing model was the random forest model,followed by the ARIMA model.
基金support from Canadian Urban Transit Research and Innovation Consortium(CUTRIC)via Project Number 160028Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada(NSERC)via a Discovery Grant。
文摘Proton exchange membrane fuel cell (PEMFC) is considered essential for climate change mitigation, and a fast and accurate model is necessary for its control and operation in practical applications. In this study, various machine learning methods are used to develop data-based models for PEMFC performance attributes and internal states. Techniques such as Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and Support Vector Machine Regressor (SVR) are used to predict the cell voltage, membrane resistance, and membrane hydration level for various operating conditions. Varying input features such as cell current, temperature, reactant pressures, and humidity are introduced to evaluate the accuracy of the model, especially under extreme conditions. Two different sets of data are considered in this study, which are acquired from, a physics-based semiempirical model and a 1-D reduced-dimension Computational Fluid Dynamics model, respectively. The aspect of data preprocessing and hyperparameter tuning procedures are investigated that are extensively used to calibrate the artificial neural network layers and support vector regressor to predict the fuel cell attributes. ANN clearly shows an advantage in comparison with SVR, especially on a multivariable output regression. However, the SVR is advantageous to model simple regressions as it greatly reduces the level of computation without sacrificing accuracy. Data-based models for PEMFC are successfully developed on both the data sets by adapting advanced modeling techniques and calibration procedures such as ANN incorporating the dropout technique, resulting in an R2 ≥ 0.99 for all the predicted variables, demonstrating the ability to build accurate data-based models solely on data from validated physics-based models, reducing the dependency on extensive experimentation.
