When Kalman filter is used in the estimation of Vasicek term structure of interest rates,it is usual to assume that the measurement noise is uncorrelated.Study results are more favorable to the assumption of correlate...When Kalman filter is used in the estimation of Vasicek term structure of interest rates,it is usual to assume that the measurement noise is uncorrelated.Study results are more favorable to the assumption of correlated measurement noise.An augmented state Kalman filter form for Vasicek model is proposed to optimally estimate the unobservable state variable with the assumption of correlated measurement noise.Empirical results indicate that the model with sequentially correlated measurement noise can more accurately describe the dynamics of the term structure of interest rates.展开更多
Different single-factor models are used to estimate the term structure of Hong Kong Inter-Bank Offered Rates (HIBOR). These models use stochastic differential equations which effectively reflect market characteristi...Different single-factor models are used to estimate the term structure of Hong Kong Inter-Bank Offered Rates (HIBOR). These models use stochastic differential equations which effectively reflect market characteristics of short- and long-term interest rates, such as capability of mean reversion and interest rate level fluctuation. For the period from 2005 to early 2007, the economy of Hong Kong had been relatively stable with pretty low volatilities in interest rate. However, starting from 2008 to beginning of 2012, the Hong Kong and the world economies had been steering from relatively stable to fluctuations, the 2008 financial tsunami initiated by the U,S. had been causing financial instability globally. With the U.S: government taking quantitative easing monetary policy, U.S. interest rates fluctuated and submerged rapidly. Volatility of HIBOR was extremely sensitive to fluctuation of U.S. interest rates, since Hong Kong dollar exchange rate has been pegged with U.S. dollar. In short, during the period of early 2008 to early 2012, volatility of short-term interest rate was extremely sensitive. Obviously, the term structure of interest rate for these two periods had made major shift, combining the two periods would lead to unfavorable econometric results.展开更多
This paper presents a method for structured scene modeling using micro stereo vision system with large field of view. The proposed algorithm includes edge detection with Canny detector, line fitting with principle axi...This paper presents a method for structured scene modeling using micro stereo vision system with large field of view. The proposed algorithm includes edge detection with Canny detector, line fitting with principle axis based approach, finding corresponding lines using feature based matching method, and 3D line depth computation.展开更多
For general volatility structures for forward rates, the evolution of interest rates may not be Markovian and the entire path may be necessary to capture the dynamics of the term structure. This article identifies con...For general volatility structures for forward rates, the evolution of interest rates may not be Markovian and the entire path may be necessary to capture the dynamics of the term structure. This article identifies conditions on the volatility structure of forward rates that permit the dynamics of the term structure to be represented by a finite-dimensional state variable Markov process. In the deterministic volatility case, we interpret then-factor model as a sum ofn unidimensional models.展开更多
In this paper, we build the arbitrage-free term structure model on the inflation rate, and discuss the relations between the arbitrage-free term structure and the equivalent martingale measure. The volatility terms of...In this paper, we build the arbitrage-free term structure model on the inflation rate, and discuss the relations between the arbitrage-free term structure and the equivalent martingale measure. The volatility terms of diffusion processes of the real forward interest rate, the nominal forward interest rate and the inflation index (Jarrow and Yildirim, 2003) are extended into many dimensional Brownian motions. Moreover, as we derive the differential equations of three-factor term structure, our results are generalized. At last, the analytic solutions of European option can be deduced on the inflation rate.展开更多
文摘When Kalman filter is used in the estimation of Vasicek term structure of interest rates,it is usual to assume that the measurement noise is uncorrelated.Study results are more favorable to the assumption of correlated measurement noise.An augmented state Kalman filter form for Vasicek model is proposed to optimally estimate the unobservable state variable with the assumption of correlated measurement noise.Empirical results indicate that the model with sequentially correlated measurement noise can more accurately describe the dynamics of the term structure of interest rates.
文摘Different single-factor models are used to estimate the term structure of Hong Kong Inter-Bank Offered Rates (HIBOR). These models use stochastic differential equations which effectively reflect market characteristics of short- and long-term interest rates, such as capability of mean reversion and interest rate level fluctuation. For the period from 2005 to early 2007, the economy of Hong Kong had been relatively stable with pretty low volatilities in interest rate. However, starting from 2008 to beginning of 2012, the Hong Kong and the world economies had been steering from relatively stable to fluctuations, the 2008 financial tsunami initiated by the U,S. had been causing financial instability globally. With the U.S: government taking quantitative easing monetary policy, U.S. interest rates fluctuated and submerged rapidly. Volatility of HIBOR was extremely sensitive to fluctuation of U.S. interest rates, since Hong Kong dollar exchange rate has been pegged with U.S. dollar. In short, during the period of early 2008 to early 2012, volatility of short-term interest rate was extremely sensitive. Obviously, the term structure of interest rate for these two periods had made major shift, combining the two periods would lead to unfavorable econometric results.
文摘This paper presents a method for structured scene modeling using micro stereo vision system with large field of view. The proposed algorithm includes edge detection with Canny detector, line fitting with principle axis based approach, finding corresponding lines using feature based matching method, and 3D line depth computation.
文摘For general volatility structures for forward rates, the evolution of interest rates may not be Markovian and the entire path may be necessary to capture the dynamics of the term structure. This article identifies conditions on the volatility structure of forward rates that permit the dynamics of the term structure to be represented by a finite-dimensional state variable Markov process. In the deterministic volatility case, we interpret then-factor model as a sum ofn unidimensional models.
基金This work is supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China (70372011) and the Youth Teacher Foundation of Beijing University of Chemical Technology (QN0521)
文摘In this paper, we build the arbitrage-free term structure model on the inflation rate, and discuss the relations between the arbitrage-free term structure and the equivalent martingale measure. The volatility terms of diffusion processes of the real forward interest rate, the nominal forward interest rate and the inflation index (Jarrow and Yildirim, 2003) are extended into many dimensional Brownian motions. Moreover, as we derive the differential equations of three-factor term structure, our results are generalized. At last, the analytic solutions of European option can be deduced on the inflation rate.