The linkage between two ENSO types/modes and the interdecadal changes of ENSO around the year 2000

This study focuses on the interdecadal changes in ENSO properties emerging around the year 2000. Compared to 1980-1999, after 2000, the ENSO amplitude weakened, the occurrence of the central Pacific （CP） Et Nino increased, and the eastern Pacific （EP） El Nino became suppressed. Meanwhile, the dominant period of ENSO shortened from quasi-quadrennial （QQ） to quasi-biennial （QB）. The authors show that these changes in ENSO properties are evidently consistent with the change in the stability of the ENSO mode through connecting the two ENSO types with the two coupled ENSO modes, i.e. the QQ and QB modes. It is suggested that the relative activity or stability of the two ENSO modes changed after the year 2000. The intensity of both the QQ and QB mode weakened. The QQ mode, which is linked to EP ENSO and was significantly strong during 1980-1999, became much weaker after 2000 in terms of the EP type almost disappearing. Compared with the weakness of the QQ mode, the QB mode, as manifested by the CP type, remained active and became dominant in the tropical Pacific after 2000. Analysis shows that the changes in mean states in the tropical Pacific were likely responsible for the interdecadal ENSO changes around the year 2000.

Regulatory mode selection and legal governance of China's response to climate change risk

The regulation of climate change risk is an important measure for China to achieve the goal of"carbon neutrality and carbon peak".Although China has built a legal regulation system for environmental risk at the macro level,and normative and functionalism have constructed different paths for regulating climate change risk,it is necessary to analysis the two paths at the micro level,in order to examine its adaptability to climate change risk.The normative mode of climate change risk regulation emphasizes the clarity of the legal regulation system,controls the regulatory subject formally,and pays attention to the role of judicial review;The functionalist mode of climate change risk regulation emphasizes the authorization of regulatory subjects,and identifies and manages climate change risks in the way of administrative self-control.In order to regulate climate change risk,in addition to the traditional way of solving the problem of"normalization"and"functionalism",there is also a third regulatory mode,that is,to overcome the inherent shortcomings and defects of both functionalism and normalization,and to integrate the two necessary:not only pay attention to the legal normative requirements of the normative mode,but also mobilize the initiative of administrative regulation under functionalism,and strengthen the judicial prevention function,and then improve the effe ctiveness of China’s participation in global climate change governance.

Impact of Economic Development Model on the Fitting Effect of the Mathematical Model of Changes in Cultivated Land Resources

The mathematical model is often used for fitting the trend of changes in cultivated land resources in the land use planning,but the fitting effect is different in different study areas. In this paper,we take two geographically adjacent cities with great differences in the economic development model,Xinghua City and Jingjiang City,as the research object. Using logarithmic model( M1),Kuznets model( M2),logistic model( M3) and multivariate linear model( M4),we fit the process of changes in cultivated land resources during the period 1980- 2009,and compare the differences in the fitting effect between different models. In terms of the model fitting effect in Xinghua City,it is in the order of M3 > M4 > M1 > M2,which is related to the fact that the local areas lay great emphasis on agricultural development,and pay close attention to ensuring the cultivated land area; in terms of the model fitting effect in Jingjiang City,it is in the order of M1 > M3 > M4 > M2,and the deep-seated cause is that its development model is dominated by extended trade expansion,and the level of intensive land use is constantly improved. In addition,we discuss the multi-stage characteristics of changes in cultivated land resources,and propose a solution of using the same model to simulate in various phases. The research results in Jingjiang City show that the coefficient of determination in the first phase( R2=0. 958) and the standard error( SE = 0. 261) are both better than those of the original model( R2= 0. 945,SE = 0. 312); the coefficient of determination in the second phase is slightly low( R2= 0. 851),but the standard error is greatly improved( SE = 0. 137). Compared with the research conclusions of other scholars,it can be believed that this method can better solve the problems that the scatter plot of logistic model presents wave-shape and the scatter plot of Kuznets model presents " M"-shape,in order to improve the applicability of mathematical models.

Changes of Some Capacities and Failure Mode of Ni/MH Batteries During Cycling

The changes of capacities of positive and negative electrodes, reserve capacities of charging and discharging, and the weight of batteries during cycling have been determined. The increase of the discharging reserve capacity due to the conjugated electrochemical reactions of the oxidation of hydrogen storage alloy is estimated. The results show that the failure mode of Ni/MH batteries developed is as follows: during the increase of cycles, the hydrogen storage alloy is oxidized continuously and the charging reserve capacity is decreased rapidly while the discharging reserve capacity is increased gradually, thus the internal pressure is increasing, first H 2 leaks out from the battery, then the mixture of H 2 and O 2. The leakage of gases and the total reaction of oxidation of the alloy consume H 2O, and the surface oxides on the alloy increase, so that the internal resistance of the battery increases.

An in-depth view of climate change:addressing climate change while making a transition on the development mode

While fossil fuels greatly contribute to human society,they pose great challenges to natural resources,the environment,and climate change.Developed countries,like the United States,formulated strategic measures to ensure their sustainable development and leading positions in the world.These measures include new green policies,development of shale gas,revitalization of nuclear power,energy independence,reindustrialization,and new low-carbon development based on a combination of Internet technology and renewable energy.Developing countries are also trying to introduce balanced strategies of poverty alleviation and sustainable development.Globally,industrial civilization is being transformed to ecological civilization and green,low-carbon development is a global trend.Addressing climate change provides new strategic factors to further this development.China should take substantial actions to realize sustainable development in a new road:China is in the critical stage of changing its development mode,so it is vital to choose an appropriate development path.This extensive development comes at the high price of consuming too much resources and scarring the environment.Mitigation and adaptation strategies for addressing climate change can help the transition of development.Based on the analysis of the development data of developed countries,the author introduces the concept of"two-type developed countries"with an understanding that not all developed countries must take the same development mode.He also holds the view that China should achieve modernization in a more energy-saving and more carbon-efficient manner compared with that of two-type developed countries.An analysis of"two competitions"that China is facing shows that changing the developing mode is urgent and China should grasp this opportunity in the next five to ten years,which is a key period for this transition.This paper discusses the low-carbon development goals and the three-step process.Low-carbon development does not necessarily restrict economic development.It,however,can expedite the transition of the development mode and this is a low-carbon and green development path.Transition of the development mode includes implementation of China's green and low-carbon energy strategies,low-carbon society construction,development of agriculture and forestry,garbage sorting and utilization,innovation of urbanization,etc.Improvement of national infrastructure construction includes water safety,environment and climate monitoring system,intelligent energy web,basic database,etc.Addressing climate change can significantly improve the nation's basic research level.In summary,it mitigates backward production capability,extensive development,and environmental damage while promoting technological advancement,scientific development,and ecological civilization.

SAR Image Change Detection Algorithm Based on Different Empirical Mode Decomposition

Empirical mode decomposition (EMD) is a data-driven and multi-scale transform theory, and it is a nonlinear and non-stationary signal processing theory. But each EMD decomposition theory has its advantages and disadvantages. Synthetic aperture radar (SAR) imaging is an important remote sensing technique to obtain the change information, and SAR image data belongs to non-stationary signal. So EMD is very suitable for SAR image processing. There are two kinds of typical EMD theories, which are the ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD) and bidimensional empirical mode decomposition (BEMD). Based on the deep study of the two methods, this paper proposed a new SAR image change detection algorithm, which is called the FCD-EMD algorithm, i.e. fusion change detection based on EMD. So FCD-EMD algorithm can obtain more accurate information, which not only includes the directional information obtained by EEMD, but also can contain the spatial information got by BEMD. The main contribution of the FCD-EMD algorithm is to fuse the detail information in different directions, so that the results obtained are more accurate than the individual method. On the other hand, it can reduce the influence of speckle noise in SAR images by feature selections. The actual SAR image data verify the algorithm proposed in this paper and good experimental results are obtained, which show that the new method is feasible.

Microseism Variations in Response to Antarctic Seasonal Changes in Sea Ice Extent

The temporal and spatial distributions of Antarctic sea ice play important roles in both the generation mechanisms and the signal characteristics of microseisms. This link paves the way for seismological investigations of Antarctic sea ice. Here we present an overview of the current state of seismological research about microseisms on Antarctic sea ice. We first briefly review satellite remote-sensing observations of Antarctic sea ice over the past 50 years. We then systematically expound upon the generation mechanisms and source distribution of microseisms in relation to seismic noise investigations of sea ice, and the characteristics of Antarctic microseisms and relationship with sea ice variations are further analyzed. We also analyze the continuous data recorded at seismic station BEAR in West Antarctica from 2011 to 2018 and compare the microseism observations with the corresponding satellite remotesensing observations of Antarctic sea ice. Our results show that:(1) the microseisms from the coastal regions of West Antarctica exhibit clear seasonal variations,SFM with maximum intensities every April-May and minimum intensities around every October-November;while DFM intensities peak every February-March,and reach the minimum around every October. Comparatively,the strong seasonal periodicity of Antarctic sea ice in better agreement with the observed DFM;and(2) microseism decay is not synchronous with sea ice expansion since the microseism intensity is also linked to the source location,source intensity(e. g.,ocean storms,ocean wave field),and other factors. Finally, we discuss the effect of Southern Annular Mode on Antarctic sea ice and microseisms,as well as the current limitations and potential of employing seismological investigations to elucidate Antarctic sea ice variations and climate change.

Interdecadal change in the lagged relationship between the Victoria mode and ENSO

This paper investigates the interdecadal variability in the lagged relationship between the spring Victoria mode(VM)and the following-winter El Ni?o–Southern Oscillation(ENSO).It is found that the relationship is strong during high correlation(HC)periods,e.g.1957–1964 and 1981–2004,but weak during low correlation(LC)periods,e.g.1907–1924,1926–1956,1965–1980,and2005–2008.The surface air–sea coupling and the evolution of subsurface ocean temperature anomaliesh along the equatorial Paci?c associated with the VM are found to be strong during HC periods and weak during LC periods,which results in a stronger impact of the VM on the following-winter ENSO during HC periods.The interdecadal change in the relationship between the VM and ENSO is mainly due to the interdecadal change in the intensity of the VM,which is found to be in?uenced by the North Paci?c Oscillation.Our?ndings may improve the prediction skill for the onset of ENSO events.

CHANGES FOR CHINA'S FOREIGN TRADE GROWTH

In 1996,China began to set targets for quadrupling its per capitaaverage GNP for a better livelihood and socialist market economicsystem——a kind of mature opening economy in the Ninth Five-YearPlan period(1996-2000),aiming at comformity with the worldeconomy.For these purposes,it is essential to expand China’sopening to the outside for its foreign trade to boom and thus make fulluse of foreign and domestic markets for accelerating our economicdevelopment and upgrading development efficiency.In other words,China’s foreign trade development in the Ninth Five-Year Planperiod will greatly affect and control our economic growth andeconomic system reform.

An Analysis on Teacher-student Role Changing in Interactive Teaching Mode

Teachers and students play important roles in teaching activity,and they are the most essential parts of the system.The relationship between teachers and students,the core schooling interpersonal relationship,directly determines whether the teach ing activities can go smoothly or not,and is an important index to measure the quality of teachers and students'school life,and also is an important factor that affects the social function of education.For a long time,relationship between teachers and students has been a hot topic in education and in different sectors of the society.This dissertation aims at discussing the teacher-student role changing in interactive teaching mode to provide reference for building a harmonious relationship between teachers and stu dents.

S型异质结光催化剂ZnFe_(2)O_(4)/WO_(3)的构筑及光催化还原CO_(2)性能

通过在WO_(3)纳米片表面负载ZnFe_(2)O_(4)纳米颗粒,构建了一系列S型异质结光催化剂ZnFe_(2)O_(4)/WO_(3),并研究了其光催化CO_(2)还原性能。在没有助催化剂和牺牲剂的条件下,所制备的ZnFe_(2)O_(4)/WO_(3)复合材料可对CO_(2)与水蒸汽进行光催化反应。优化后的材料光照5 h后CO_(2)还原产物CO和CH_(4)的产量分别为7.87和4.88μmol·g^(-1)。相对于单相组分,CO和CH_(4)的产量明显提高。光催化活性的提高,归因于ZnFe_(2)O_(4)和WO_(3)异质结的形成以及光生载流子的S型电荷传输模式。

人机环境系统智能与生产方式变革

人机环境系统智能作为新质生产力的重要组成部分,其发展深刻影响人类社会生产方式。人工智能技术不仅能提高生产效率,降低生产成本,还可能在根本上改变劳动的性质和内容,其进步将推动生产关系的调整,并使社会生产力的释放和利用更加高效。人机环境系统智能带来的人机分工不同于以往简单的体力、智力再分配,还需要考虑人、机、环境优势如何融合,这不仅意味着人们工作方式、职业结构和思维方式的改变,也加速推动各个行业的数字化和智能化进程。未来在人机环境系统智能思维下,社会将迎来生产效率更高、公平与环境可持续的新阶段。

基于VMD的地电阻率自适应长期变与年变化提取方法

基于VMD技术,结合地电阻率观测数据固有的数字信号特征,通过分析VMD分解后每层IMF分量的中心频率,研究能够提取地电阻率长趋势变化和年周期变化的VMD算法。结果表明,通过判断VMD分解后第2层IMF分量为年变化的方法,可以给出合理的分解层数K;自适应VMD分解有利于震前地电阻率异常识别,尤其是在地电阻率长趋势变化转折时间的确定以及破年变变化的识别方面。

三门峡水库控制运用方式的优化探讨

三门峡水库“蓄清排浑”运用为多沙河流的治理提供了宝贵经验,随着来水来沙情况的变化及对水库功能需求和对水库泥沙冲淤规律认识的深化,该运行方式亦在实践中不断调整和完善。为此,针对不同的典型年份设定集中敞泄与分段敞泄的敞泄排沙方案,采用一维非恒定水沙数学模型,对选取的2018~2019年丰水少沙年和2014~2016年枯水少沙年设定12种控制运用方案进行模拟,比较各方案下库区冲淤变化的优劣,据此选取适合三门峡水库的控制运用方式。结果表明,2018~2019年分段敞泄方案的冲刷效果优于集中敞泄方案,即使在后汛期的控制水位抬高至310 m,也能达到较好的冲刷效果;2014~2016年分段敞泄方案虽优于集中敞泄方案,但其冲刷主要集中于2014年汛期,2015、2016年整体呈淤积状态,综合考虑建议枯水少沙年份水库采用“泥沙年际调节”运用模式。

新时期国土变更调查工作关键问题探究

年度国土变更调查是依据《土地管理法》和《土地调查条例》开展的一项重要国情基础调查工作。近年来,围绕生态文明建设、自然资源管理体制改革、高质量发展等目标,变更调查成果成为自然资源领域督察、考核、审计的基础材料之一,对调查工作提出了更高要求。系统分析了新时期国土变更调查工作的重大变化和挑战,思考了实施模式、技术方法、工作机制等关键问题;并通过广州市变更调查工作实践,实现了对国土利用变化信息的动态监控和全面掌握,为自然资源精细化管理提供了基础与支撑。

渭河流域浅层包气带土体温度分布规律及变化模式

大气温度、太阳辐射强度、降雨量、空气湿度等气象要素决定浅层土体温度的变化.以黄土高原渭河流域西部黄土丘陵沟壑区作为研究区域,建立野外观测站,对该区域浅层包气带土体温度对气候变化的响应过程进行实时监测.通过现场监测和理论分析发现土体温度分布规律及变化模式如下:气象要素只对变温带的土体的温度有影响,且大气温度和太阳辐射强度是影响变温带土体温度的主要因素,土层越深,其影响程度越小;相位随着土体的深度呈线性平移,即土体温度是存在滞后效应的,经分析,土体在地下深度760 cm处的温度曲线的相位与地表处正好相反,此处温度恰好滞后于地表半年时间.通过监测数据预测该地区恒温带深度为1193 cm,恒温带温度为13.152℃;在计算土体温度理论滞后时间时将土体的热扩散系数看作是一常数,导致土体温度滞后时间的理论值与实测值有所差异,随着土层的加深,两者的差距越来越小.

Geo-information Tupu Analysis of Land Use Change in Haihe River Basin

[Objective] This study was to provide basis for the scientific management of land use in Haihe River Basin （HRB） through the quantitative exploration of the land use conversion, changes of intensity and spatial distribution in this region. [Method] With the support of remote sensing technology and geographic information technology, the land use maps of the study area in 40 years （1970-2010） were in- terpreted and plotted. Four kinds of tupu, namely, land use change tupu, process tupu, arising tupu and evolution mode tupu were built through the spatial overlay of the land use maps to analyze the change rules of land use patterns. [Result] The conversion of arable land to construction land was the main characteristics of land use changes in HRB for the 40 years; the area of non-stable region accounted for 35% of the total, indicating that the land use changed remarkably, thus, it was nec- essary to strengthen the scientific land management in HRB; the new conversions to all land use patterns were all the lowest in 1980-1990, indicating that land use changed slowly during this period. [Conclusion] The results indicate that, compared with conventional transfer matrix method, geo-information tupu has obvious advantage in analyzing land use changes that it can demonstrate the spatial distribution of interest region, display the multi-dimensional spatial information.

过去40 a来祁连山地区植被变化特征及其与气候的关系

在全球变暖背景下,祁连山植被生长状态发生了明显变化,研究祁连山植被与气候的关系对西北地区生态建设具有重要意义。基于1982—2022年GIMMS NDVI数据及ERA5气温和降水数据,分析祁连山地区NDVI的变化趋势及其与气候因子的相关性。结果表明,祁连山地区NDVI高值区主要集中在东段(0.6~0.8),并自东向西逐渐减小。过去40 a,祁连山地区NDVI整体呈增加趋势,主要由于生长季NDVI的显著增加,而在非生长季,祁连山中、东部部分地区NDVI呈减小趋势。祁连山地区NDVI的变化与气温、降水整体呈正相关关系,但生长季NDVI与降水在祁连山东部部分地区呈负相关,非生长季NDVI与气温在祁连山西部部分地区呈负相关。祁连山夏季NDVI与对应时段气温和降水之间存在显著耦合模态,气温和降水的增加整体上对NDVI增加有益,但祁连山东部地区生长季NDVI增加主要由气温升高所致。

基于自编码器的多功能雷达工作状态切换点检测方法

先进多功能雷达可以实现复杂的工作状态调制和灵活的波束调度,为识别不同的雷达工作状态并检测状态之间的切换点带来了巨大的挑战.为此提出了一种对多功能雷达层次化模型中的“符号−脉冲”层中的调制参数级工作状态的种切换点检测方法.所提出算法基于自编码器,并对真实电磁环境中观测非理想的情况进行设计,不仅可以在无监督的情况下准确地检测出工作状态切换点,并且不需要对数据的分布情况进行假设.仿真实验验证了本文提出算法相较于切换点检测算法的有效性和优越性,对于0~20%的脉冲丢失情况相较于对比方法具有更好的性能,在20%脉冲丢失的极端情况下,也可以达到0.7的F_(1)-score.

改进无模型自适应迭代学习的直线电机滑模控制

二维直线电机具有非线性、多变量及强耦合等特点,其精确模型无法获得,同时,在实际过程中由于参数摄动及扰动而造成的运行不稳定现象,致使对其跟踪控制十分困难。针对以上问题,根据无模型自适应迭代学习控制不依赖被控系统精确数学模型的特点,及滑模控制具有可设计且与对象参数和扰动无关的滑动模态,提出一种改进无模型自适应迭代学习的滑模结构复合控制策略。在无模型自适应迭代学习控制方案的准则函数中加入误差变化率,并对其收敛性进行分析论证;然后在紧格式动态线性化基础上,设计指数趋近律滑模控制,使改进无模型自适应迭代学习的滑模控制复合策略能够克服不稳定现象并具有很强的鲁棒性,从而进一步提高系统响应速度和控制精度。最后通过仿真和实物验证,控制精度稳定在1μm范围内,并与其他控制方案相比,验证了所提方法的准确性和有效性。