Temporal Change of Runoff and Sediment Load and their Differential Response to Human Activities:A Case Study for a Well-vegetated Mountain Watershed of Southern China

This study examined the temporal trends of runoff and sediment load and their differential response to human activities in the Lishui river,a tributary of the Yangtze river in southern China.The long-term observation data at four gauging stations,generally involving two periods from 1954 to 1985 and from 2007 to 2011,were used.We detected no significant temporal trend for both the annual runoff volume(Q) and the annual suspended Sediment Load(SL) over more than 30 years before 1985.The flow duration curves and the Suspended Sediment Concentration(SSC) also hold constant before 1985.Compared with the period before 1985,SL has decreased by about 80% though Q remains unchanged for the period after 2007.Detailed examination shows that the flow duration curves after 2007 have changed with a significant decrease in the high-flow component,which acts as a major cause for the decreasing SL.In addition,SSC has decreased by several times,which also contributes to the decrease in SL after 2007.Both decreases in high-flow discharges and in SSC can be linked with recent human activities,mainly including vegetation establishment and dam constructions.The constant Q and the decreasing SL are also reported for the main stream of the Yangtze River and other major rivers in southern China,although they are orders of magnitude larger than our study area in drainage area size.The present study highlights the importance of high-flow discharges on SL and suggests that the use of SL is more appropriate to reflect environmental change than Q.

Spatio-temporal trends and causes of variations in runoff and sediment load of the Jinsha River in China

The Jinsha River Basin is an important basin for hydropower in China and it is also the main runoff and sediment source area for the Yangtze River,which greatly influence the runoff and sediment in the Three Gorges Reservoir.This study aims to characterize the spatial distribution,inter-annual variation of runoff and sediment load in the Jinsha River Basin,and to analyze the contribution of rainfall and human activities to the runoff and sediment load changes.The monitoring data on runoff,sediment load and precipitation were collected from 11hydrological stations in the Jinsha River Basin from1966 to 2016.The data observed at the outlet of the basin showed that 71.4%of the runoff is from the upper reaches of the Jinsha River Basin and the Yalong River,while 63.3%of the sediment is from the lower reaches(excluding the Yalong River).There is no significant increase in runoff on temporal scale in the Jinsha River Basin,while it has an abrupt change in runoff in both upstream and midstream in 1985,and an abrupt change in downstream in 1980 and2013.The sediment load demonstrated a significantincreasing trend in the upstream,no significant reducing trend in the midstream,but significant reducing trend in the downstream.The sediment load in upstream showed abrupt change in 1987,in midstream in 1978 and 2014,in downstream in 2012.Rainfall dominated runoff variation,contributing more than 59.0%of the total variation,while human activity,including reservoirs construction,the implementation of soil and water conservation projects,is the major factor to sediment load variation,contributing more than 87.0%of the total variation.

Runoff and Sediment Load from the Right Bank Valleys of Mosul Dam Reservoir

Mosul Dam is a Multipurpose Project on the River Tigris in Iraq with 11.11 billion m3 storage capacity. It is used to store the water for irrigation, hydropower generation, and flood control. As in other dams in the world, this dam also have sedimentation problem. Sediment accumulation in its reservoir can effect the dam operation （pumping station, hydropower plants, and bottom outlets） and it will definitely shorten the life span of the dam. In this study, the SWAT （soil and water assessment tool） under （]IS （Geographical Information System） was applied to simulate the yearly surface rtmoff and sediment load for the main three valleys on the right bank of Mosul Dam Reservoir. The simulation considered for the twenty one years begin from the dam operation in 1988 to 2008. The resultant values of the average annual sediment load are 35.6~ 103, 4.9 ~ 103, and 2.2~ 103 ton, while the average values of sediment concentration are 1.73, 1.65, and 2.73 kg/m3 for the considered valleys one, two and three respectively. This implies that significant sediment load enters the reservoir from these valleys. To minimize the sediment load entering the reservoir, a check dam is to be constructed in suitable sites especially for valley one. The check dam can store the runoff water and trap the sediment load, and then the flow can be released to the reservoir.

Sediment Load in Runoff Under Laboratory and Field Simulated Rainfall

Soil erosion is one of the most important problems in the Loess Plateau of China affectingsustainable agriculture. Near Luoyang (Henan Province, China), field plots were constructed tomeasure soil erosion rates under conventional tillage practices using field-simulated rainfall.Field rainfall experiments were carried out to compare previous results from laboratoryrainfall simulations on the same soil for interrill conditions. Although in the laboratoryexperiments, a strong correlation was found between the stream power of the runoff water andthe unit sediment load, this sediment transport equation overestimated the field rainfallsimulation results. Another sediment transport equation derived by Nearing et al. for rillerosion was in better agreement with the results of the field experiments, although it alsooverestimated these values. The measured sediment load values during the field rainfallsimulations were also lower than those found during field experiments on the same soil but witha loosened surface layer. This difference indicates the importance of soil physical conditionof surfce like soil structure and aggregate size, which may contribute to the discrepancybetween the field and laboratory experiment results.

The Intra-Annual Variability of Discharge, Sediment Load and Chemical Flux from the Monitoring: The Yukon River, Alaska

The covered-ice breakup in subarctic to arctic rivers in the early snowmelt season often gives any damage to instruments monitoring physical and chemical factors of water. The serious condition has brought few time series data during the snowmelt runoff except the river stage or discharge. In this study, the contribution of snowmelt runoff to the discharge and sediment load is quantified by monitoring water turbidity and temperature at the lowest gauging station of U. S. Geological Survey in the Yukon River, Alaska, for more than 3 years (June 2006 to September 2009). The turbidity was recorded by a self-recording turbidimeter with a sensor of infrared-ray back-scattering type, of which the window is cleaned by a wiper just before a measurement. The turbidity time series, coupled with frequent river water sampling at mid-channel, produce time series of suspended sediment (SS) concentration, particulate organic carbon (POC) concentration and particulate organic nitrogen (PON) concentration (mg?L–1) by using the high correlation (R2 = 0.747 to 0.790;P 11 to 2.01 × 1011 m3), 8.7% - 22.5% of the annual sediment load (3.94 × 107 to 5.08 × 107 ton), 11.6% - 23.7% of the annual POC flux (4.05 × 105 to 4.77 × 105 ton), and 10.3% - 24.5% of the annual PON flux (2.80 × 104 to 3.44 × 104 ton). In the snowmelt season, the peak suspended sediment concentration preceded the peak discharge by a few days. This probably results from the fluvial sediment erosion in the river channels.

Impact of Land Use and Land Cover Changes on Surface Runoff and Sediment Yield in the Little Ruaha River Catchment

Little Ruaha River catchment (6370 Km2) in the Southern Agricultural Growth Corridor of Tanzania (SAGCOT), is one of the country’s most significant waterways due to its ecological composition and economic value. Regardless of its ecological and economical value, the regional hydrologic condition has been tremendously affected due to land uses alteration, influenced by different socio-economic factors. This study aimed to understand the associated impacts of the present Land Use Land Cover (LULC) change on the surface runoff and sediment yield in the Little Ruaha River Catchment. Hydrological modelling using Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT Model) was done to quantify the impact of land use and land cover dynamics on catchment water balance and sediment loads. The calibration and validation of the SWAT model were performed using sequential uncertainty fitting (SUFI-2). The results showed that, for the given LULC change, the average annual surface runoff increased by 2.78 mm while average annual total sediment loading increased by 3.56 t/ha, the average annual base flow decreased by 2.68 mm, ground water shallow aquifer recharge decreased from 2.97 mm and a slight decrease in average annual ground water deep aquifer recharge by 0.14 mm. The model predicts that in the future, there will be a further increase in both surface runoff and sediment load. Such changes, increased runoff generation and sediment yield with decreased base flow have implications on the sustenance flow regimes particularly the observed reduced dry season river flow of the Little Ruaha River, which in turn cause adverse impacts to the biotic component of the ecosystem, reduced water storage and energy production at Mtera Hydroelectrical dam also increasing the chances of flooding at some times of the year. The study recommends land use planning at the village level, and conservation agricultural practices to ameliorate the current situation. Developing multidisciplinary approaches for integrated catchment management is the key to the sustainability of Little Ruaha River catchment.

Transport mechanism of eroded sediment particles under freeze-thaw and runoff conditions

Hydraulic erosion associated with seasonal freeze-thaw cycles is one of the most predominant factors,which drives soil stripping and transportation.In this study,indoor simulated meltwater erosion experiments were used to investigate the sorting characteristics and transport mechanism of sediment particles under different freeze-thaw conditions(unfrozen,shallow-thawed,and frozen slopes)and runoff rates(1,2,and 4 L/min).Results showed that the order of sediment particle contents was silt>sand>clay during erosion process on unfrozen,shallow-thawed,and frozen slopes.Compared with original soils,clay and silt were lost,and sand was deposited.On unfrozen and shallow-thawed slopes,the change of runoff rate had a significant impact on the enrichment of clay,silt,and sand particles.In this study,the sediment particles transported in the form of suspension/saltation were 83.58%–86.54%on unfrozen slopes,69.24%–84.89%on shallow-thawed slopes,and 83.75%–87.44%on frozen slopes.Moreover,sediment particles smaller than 0.027 mm were preferentially transported.On shallow-thawed slope,relative contribution percentage of suspension/saltation sediment particles gradually increased with the increase in runoff rate,and an opposite trend occurred on unfrozen and frozen slopes.At the same runoff rate,freeze-thaw process had a significant impact on the relative contribution percentage of sediment particle transport via suspension/saltation and rolling during erosion process.The research results provide an improved transport mechanism under freeze-thaw condition for steep loessal slopes.

Applications of AnnAGNPS Model for Sediment and Nutrient Loadings for Funiu Mountain Area, China

The main goal of this study was to evaluate the performance of AnnAGNPS(Annualized AGricultural NonPoint Source)pollution model,in calculating runoff,sediment loading and nutrient loadings for Funiu Mountain area.Most of the model input parameters were sourced from Luanchuan Forest Ecology Station(LFES)in Funiu Mountain area.The data on 23 storms in 2018 was used to calibrate the model and the data on 33 storms in 2019 for validation.The whole evaluation consisted of determining the coefficient of determination(R^(2)),Nash-Sutcliffe coefficient of efficiency(E),and the percentage volume error(VE).Results showed that the runoff volumes were underpredicted by 5.0%with R^(2) of 0.93(P<0.05)during calibration and underpredicted by 5.3%with R^(2) of 0.90(P<0.05)during validation.But sediment loading was able to produce a moderate result.The model underpredicted the daily sediment loading by 15.1%with R^(2) of 0.63(P<0.05)during calibration and 13.5%with R^(2) of 0.66(P<0.05)during validation.Nitrogen loading was overpredicted by 20.3%with R^(2)=0.68(P<0.05),and phosphorus loading performance was slightly poor with R^(2)=0.65(P<0.05)during validation.In general,the model performed well in simulating runoff compared to sediment loading and nutrient loadings.

The response of sedimentary record to catchment changes induced by human activities in the western intertidal flat of Yalu River Estuary,China

The response to the catchment changes of the sedimentary environment of the western intertidal flat of Yalu River Estuary was investigated by analyzing the vertical variations of the grain size of sediment cores,along with the hydrologic data and human activities in the catchment.The results demonstrated a stepwise decreasing trend for the variations of both the sediment load and water discharge into the sea,which could be divided into three stages as 1958–1970,1971–1990 and 1991–2009.Reservoir construction and the changes of catchment vegetation coverage turned out to be the two predominant contributors to the changes.There are four periods for the variation of the sensitive components of the sediment cores from 1940 to 2010,i.e.,1940–1950,1951–1980,1981–1990 and 1991–2010.The vertical distribution of grain size in the cores mainly varied with the changes of vegetation coverage in the catchment and reservoir construction from 1960 to 1980,whereas it varied depending on the intensity of water and soil erosion in the catchment from 1980 to 1990.Despite the further reduction of the water and sediment input into the sea from 1990 to 2009,this period was characterized by coarsening trends for the grain size of sediment in the estuarine intertidal flat and correspondingly,the significantly increased silt contents of the sensitive component.

Runoff and sediment yield in relation to precipitation,temperature and glaciers on the Tibetan Plateau

The riverine sediment is an essential carrier for nutrients and pollutants delivery and is considered as an important indicator of land degradation and environmental changes.With growing interest in envi-ronmental changes over the Tibetan Plateau,this study investigated mean annual runoff and sediment yield from eight headwater catchments in relation to annual precipitation,air temperature,and glacier area ratio,etc.Results show that runoff(Q)is positively correlated with both precipitation(P)and temperature(T),i.e.,Q¼0.357Pþ20.3T-6.4,indicating combined water supply from rainfall and melt-water,increase of which may exceed the evapotranspiration water loss caused by temperature raise.Sediment yield(S)shows an inverted parabolic relationship with precipitation and at the same time positive correlation with glacier area ratio(Ag),i.e.,S¼0.000609 P2-0.470Pþ48.5 Agþ202.53,indicating that sediment yield is a minimum at about 500e600 mm of precipitation,increasing sharply on both sides of this minimum in one case owing to decreased vegetation protection and in the other to enhanced erosive power and that erosion rate in the glacierized area is generally higher than non-glacierized area.The variation in sediment yield with precipitation can be explained by the operation of two factors,i.e.,rainfall erosive action that increases continuously with increase in precipitation,and vegetation protective action that is unity for zero precipitation and decreases with increases in precip-itation.The above results may be useful in visualizing not only variations in rates of erosion among climatic zones on the Tibetan Plateau but also the probable changes of erosion during a climatic change.

Changes in the sediment load of the Lancang-Mekong River over the period 1965-2003

Changes in the sediment load of a river can have important impacts on river channel evolution,nutrient fluxes,aquatic ecology and delta erosion and sedimentation,and the possibility of changes in the sediment load of the Lancang-Mekong River has attracted increasing concern in recent years.Existing studies present conflicting findings regarding the nature and magnitude of recent changes in the sediment load of the Lancang-Meking River and the authors have attempted to assemble the most reliable data on annual sediment loads for the period 1965-2003,to assess recent trends in the sediment load of the river.The changes in annual sediment load at 7 stations on the river are analyzed.Important sediment contributing areas are found in the reaches between Gajiu and Yunjinghong,Chiang Saen and Luang Prabang and downstream of Nong Khai.The sediment load increased at Gajiu,Yunjinghong and Chiang Saen over the period 1985-1992 because of serious soil erosion caused by the expansion of cultivation,the replacement of natural forest by plantations and land disturbance associated with hydropower dam construction.A marked reduction in sediment load occurred at Gajiu after the impoundment of the Manwan Hydropower dam on the Lancang River,but this reduction was not evident downstream at Yunjinghong and the stations further downstream.Significant increases in sediment load appeared at Mukdahan and Khong Chiam.These contrasting patterns of change reflect the influence of sediment contributions from the intervening catchment areas and channel systems as well as storage and remobilization of sediment from the channel system and the impact of hydraulic works such as irrigation systems.The long term mean annual sediment load of the Mekong River at its mouth is estimated to be ca.145×106ta-1,which is lower than previously reported values and it seems likely that this will be reduced in the foreseeable future.

疏勒河流域径流量和输沙量变化规律

[目的]探索疏勒河流域水沙变化特性,可为国家实施西部生态安全战略提供科学支撑。[方法]基于疏勒河流域昌马堡、潘家庄、党城湾3个水文站的实测径流量和输沙量序列资料,运用滑动平均、Mann-Kendall突变趋势检验和小波分析法等方法,分析了疏勒河流域径流量和输沙量变化规律。[结果]疏勒河流域年径流量和年输沙量均呈递增趋势,且输沙量增大趋势大于径流量,昌马堡、潘家庄、党城湾3个水文站径流量分别在1999年、2016年、1982年发生突变,昌马堡和潘家庄年输沙量突变均发生在1998年,党城湾输沙量没有突变;疏勒河流域3个代表站的径流量和输沙量都呈现出多时间尺度的演化特征,昌马堡径流量主周期为58 a,31 a,14 a,9 a和5 a,输沙量主周期为48 a,23 a,14 a,7 a和5 a,潘家庄径流量主周期为59 a,32 a,14 a,输沙量主周期为37 a,14 a,8 a和5 a,党城湾径流量主周期为42 a和5 a,输沙量主周期为16 a和8 a。[结论]疏勒河流域水沙总体呈递增趋势,且存在明显的周期变化,除党城湾的输沙量没有突变发生以外,其余站点水沙均有突变发生,同一水文站输沙量的突变的发生滞后于径流量的突变。

北方主要河流水沙变异及其成因

为研究我国北方河流的水沙变异及主要成因,本文利用M-K检验法和水文量累积曲线法,分析了1950—2020年我国北方河流代表站径流量和输沙量的变化特征,探讨了影响北方河流水沙变化的主要因素。结果表明,淮河代表站年径流量没有明显的变化趋势,其他北方河流的年径流量具有减小或显著减小趋势;松花江代表站年输沙量无趋势变化,其他北方河流代表站年输沙量都有显著减少趋势;影响北方河流水沙变化的主要因素包括水土保持、水库拦沙、流域降水变化、引水引沙与泥沙综合利用、工程建设等,其中水土保持是北方河流流域保水减沙的主要措施,水库拦沙在江河水沙态势变异中发挥重要作用,流域降水变化也是北方河流水沙变异的影响因素,引水引沙与泥沙综合利用也对北方平原河流水沙变化发挥一定的作用。

黄河上游近60年水沙变化特征及其影响因素

由于受人类活动及气候变化影响,黄河上游干流水沙特征发生显著变化。为探究黄河上游水沙变化情况,基于黄河上游5个水文站19642019年水沙、遥感影像等数据,利用Mann-Kendall检验法、滑动t检验法、累积距平曲线和双累积曲线等突变检验方法和小波分析法,对黄河上游水沙变化特征进行研究。利用水沙关系曲线及线性回归法等方法估算人类活动和气候对水沙变化的贡献率,并着重讨论梯级水库建设及土地利用变化对水沙的影响。结果表明:1)黄河上游玛曲-小川段流域内降雨量和径流量变化幅度不明显,贵德站、循化站、小川站19862019年年均输沙量分别减至19641985年的9.8%、24.6%、38.8%,输沙量大大减少。黄河上游玛曲-小川段径流量突变多在1986年,输沙量突变多在1969、1986、2004年,径流量存在8、16、22 a周期,输沙量存在4~8、18~21、27 a周期。2)1969年后,河流输沙能力增强,水沙关系显著改变。在不同时段内,人类活动对径流量变化在19872019年贡献率为66.3%,对输沙量变化在19701986、19872004、20052019年的贡献率为72.96%、70.73%、69.7%。人类活动对黄河上游干流水沙影响占据主导因素。3)刘家峡水库淤积最为严重,单库运行期水库淤积量为2.39亿t,排沙比变化范围为1.39%~10.7%。梯级水库联调使得径流量在19642004年间减少47.8%,19642019年间梯级水库减沙94.8%,梯级水库对输沙量影响远大于对径流量的影响。4)19802020年间,草地面积增加了1880.03 km 2,增幅3.1%,有利于减少输沙量,草地拦沙效益大于截流效益。

渭河径流输沙变化及其对降水和人类活动的响应

[目的]探究渭河径流量与输沙量的变化特征及其驱动因素,为渭河流域水资源管理和生态环境建设提供科学依据。[方法]利用渭河流域降水量数据以及华县和状头两个控制水文站1957—2019年实测径流量及输沙量资料,采用现代数理统计方法,分析渭河流域年降水量、径流量和输沙量的变化趋势,检测水文要素的突变年份,计算了渭河径流量和输沙量变化的驱动因素贡献率,最后探讨了人类活动对渭河径流、输沙变化的主要影响因素。[结果]渭河1957—2019年径流量和输沙量都呈现出极显著的减少趋势(p<0.01);年降水量随机波动,没有明显的变化趋势。年径流量在1990年发生突变(p<0.01),年输沙量在1996年发生突变(p<0.01)。降水因素对渭河流域径流量减少贡献率为19%,对输沙量减少贡献率为17%;人类活动对径流量减少的贡献率为81%,对输沙量减少的贡献率为83%。[结论]人类活动在渭河径流和输沙的变化过程中具有决定性的影响,是导致渭河径流、输沙减少的主要原因。

窟野河流域水沙变化及其驱动因素

[目的]探究窟野河流域径流和输沙变化特征,量化气候变化及人类活动对流域水沙变化的贡献,以期为窟野河流域水资源合理利用和水土保持措施的优化配置提供科学依据。[方法]基于窟野河流域新庙、王道恒塔、神木和温家川水文站1960—2020年径流、输沙及降雨资料,采用线性趋势法、Mann-Kendall趋势检验和Pettitt突变检验法分析了流域径流输沙时空变化特征,结合双累积曲线法定量分析了不同时期气候变化与人类活动对河流水沙变化的贡献。[结果]窟野河流域1960—2020年径流输沙均呈现极显著减少趋势(p<0.01),新庙、王道恒塔、神木和温家川4站径流量减少速率分别为0.024亿m^(3)/a,0.034亿m^(3)/a,0.081亿m^(3)/a,0.106亿m^(3)/a,输沙量减少速率分别为43.8万t/a,69.3万t/a,160.3万t/a,272.1万t/a,且各水文站年径流量和输沙量均在1979年、1996年发生突变,由此可将径流输沙序列划分为基准期(1960—1979年,P 1期)和变化期(1980—1996年,P 2期;1997—2020年,P 3期)。研究时段内不同子流域多年平均径流深和输沙模数均呈减小趋势,但在空间上存在差异。[结论]流域不断增强的人类活动(水利水保措施与煤矿开采等)是窟野河流域水沙变化的主导因素,相较基准期,各水文站径流输沙量在P 2期、P 3期均减少,且P 3期减少幅度更剧烈,不同水文站在P 2和P 3期内,人类活动对径流输沙减少的贡献高于降雨变化。

水库运用对金沙江下游水沙变化的影响

大型水库运用后,金沙江下游水沙时空分布发生重大变化。本文基于金沙江下游干支流水沙观测资料,分析了下游流域水沙时空分布特性。1954-2021年,金沙江下游径流主要来源为金沙江中游及雅砻江,两者年均径流量为1150.73亿m^(3),占总来水量的80.75%;年输沙量主要来自下游区间,其年均来沙量为9943.17万t,占总输沙量的48.12%。运用Mann-Kendall突变检验、R/S分析以及双累积曲线法,分析水库运用对金沙江下游水沙变化趋势的影响。结果表明:1954-2021年金沙江下游水库运用对年径流量变化趋势无明显影响,而对流域年输沙量影响显著。金沙江下游出口水沙关系在1998、2010及2012年发生突变,主要原因为雅砻江、金沙江中游、下游干流上大型水库的拦沙运用,导致下游出口含沙量由1.82 kg/m^(3)逐步降低为1.31、0.86、0.01 kg/m^(3)。利用金沙江下游干支流水沙关系及沙量平衡原理,分别计算局部区间水库拦沙对流域总减沙量的贡献度。1998-2009年二滩水电站建成运行,金沙江下游出口总减沙率为35.16%,雅砻江水库拦沙对下游总减沙贡献度为32.88%;2010-2012年金安桥等中游水电站运行后,下游出口总减沙率为51.43%,金沙江中游、雅砻江、三堆子至白鹤滩区间和白鹤滩至向家坝区间对下游总减沙贡献度分别为21.54%、23.10%、30.67%、24.69%;2013-2021年金沙江下游梯级水库运行后,下游出口总减沙率为99.37%,4个区间对来沙量减少的贡献度分别为19.64%、14.72%、12.34%、53.30%。

七一冰川融水径流中悬移质与推移质动态输沙特征

[目的]冰川融水输沙不仅可以反映冰川侵蚀速率,而且是下游河流泥沙的重要来源之一,因此,认识青藏高原地区冰川融水径流中悬移质和推移质动态输沙特征对于冰川地貌演化预测和下游防灾减灾工作具有十分重要的意义。[方法]基于2023年8月11-24日七一冰川下游河道的水文泥沙实测数据,分别构建流量-水位、悬移质含沙量-流量和单宽推移质输沙率-水流剪切应力之间的相关关系,进而重建整个研究时段的流量、悬移质和推移质动态输沙过程。[结果]七一冰川融水径流中悬移质含沙量和推移质输沙率受径流变化控制,日变化十分剧烈。悬移质含沙量每日最小值一般出现在10:00,最大值出现在16:00,中值粒径约为0.3 mm。推移质输沙过程与悬移质含沙量的日变化趋势基本相同,但推移质中值粒径远大于悬移质,约12 mm,而且在每日05:00-09:00时段,由于水流搬运能力的限制,没有推移质输沙。就输沙量而言,七一冰川融水输沙以悬移质泥沙为主,推移质日输沙量远小于悬移质日输沙量,约占悬移质日输沙量的1.73%~2.81%。冰面气温是影响冰川融水径流量、悬移质含沙量和推移质输沙率的关键因素,随着冰面气温的增加,径流量和悬移质含沙量均呈线性增加趋势而推移质输沙率呈指数函数增加趋势。[结论]在未来气候变化情景下冰川融水径流增加时,七一冰川融水径流中悬移质和推移质输沙均将变得更加显著,值得更加重视。

Geomorphic change in Dingzi Bay, East China since the 1950s： impacts of human activity and fluvial input

This study examines the geomorphic evolution of Dingzi Bay, East China in response to human activity and variations in fluvial input since the 1950s. The analysis is based on data from multiple mathematical methods, along with information obtained from Remote Sensing, Geographic Information System and Global Position System technology. The results show that the annual runoff and sediment load discharged into Dingzi Bay display significant decreasing trends overall, and marked downward steps were observed in 1966 and 1980. Around 60%-80% of the decline is attributed to decreasing precipitation in the Wulong River Basin. The landform types in Dingzi Bay have changed significantly since the 1950s, especially over the period between 1981 and 1995. Large areas of tidal fiats, swamp, salt fields, and paddy fields have been reclaimed, and aquaculture ponds have been constructed. Consequently, the patterns of erosion and deposition in the bay have changed substantially. Despite a reduction in sediment input of 65.68% after 1966, low rates of sediment deposition continued in the bay. However, deposition rates changed significantly after 1981 owing to large-scale development in the bay, with a net depositional area approximately 10 times larger than that during 1961-1981. This geomorphic evolution stabilized following the termination of large-scale human activity in the bay after 1995. Overall, Dingzi Bay has shown a tendency towards silting-up during 1952-2010, with the bay head migrating seaward, the number of channels in the tidal creek system decreasing, and the tidal inlet becoming narrower and shorter. In conclusion, large- scale development and human activity in Dingzi Bay have controlled the geomorphic evolution of the bay since the 1950s.

百年尺度黄河上中游水沙变化趋势分析

根据黄河有实测资料以来的水文泥沙定位观测数据,利用非线性统计方法分析了1919—2012年黄河潼关以上河段水沙系列变化趋势。20世纪80年代中期以来水沙变化特点表明,黄河年径流量、年输沙量自20世纪80年代中期以来总体呈不断减少之趋势,而上中游水沙关系则早于20世纪60年代末已发生突变,1986年发生的突变属上中游同时发生的第2次突变。从百年尺度看,黄河水沙变化在1960年以前主要受到气候等自然因素影响,径流泥沙系列随降雨丰歉而出现相应的丰枯变化,之后黄河水沙变化受气候等自然因素和人类活动因素的双重影响,尽管不同时段降雨有丰歉变化,但径流量、输沙量都持续减少;近百年内年输沙量趋势度的绝对值明显大于年径流量趋势度的绝对值,中游的年径流量、年输沙量的趋势度的绝对值明显大于上游的;近30年是黄河水沙百年尺度中最枯的时段,其变化的突出特点表现在来水来沙量不断显著减少,水沙变化程度在空间上分布不均,泥沙主要减于中游而径流主要减于上游,水沙年内分配趋于均匀,来沙系数趋于降低,水沙搭配关系趋好。