It was all known that Lhasa went through a high temperature of 30.8℃in late June 2019,which hit record highs.To better understand the reasons,based on observations recorded at automatic weather stations in Lhasa,the ...It was all known that Lhasa went through a high temperature of 30.8℃in late June 2019,which hit record highs.To better understand the reasons,based on observations recorded at automatic weather stations in Lhasa,the characteristics of temperature variation at multiple time scales were studied using the linear trend method,Mann-Kendall mutation test,Morlet wavelet analysis,R/S analysis and so on.The results showed that:(a)the annual mean temperature(AMT)is rising at a rate of 0.5℃/10 a,and the average temperature for different seasons also increased significantly,especially in winter.(b)Although there was an intersection in 1995,it was found that AMT,did not pass the reliability test of significance levelα=0.05,this means there are no abrupt changes for AMT,the values are 7.97 and 9.15℃respectively before and after the intersection point.(c)AMT has a periodic oscillation for 18-25 and 25-32 a based on a mass of data and the wavelet variance diagrams in Lhasa.AMT has a main cycle of 28 a,cyclic patterns of temperature changes in spring,summer and autumn is similar to AMT,but it is relatively complex in winter.(d)The Hurst index of AMT and different seasons demonstrates that the temperature is likely to continue to rise in the future in Lhasa.展开更多
基金the National Natural Science Foundation of China(11803024,11747128)the Natural Science Foundation of Tibet,People's Republic of China(XZ2019ZRG-163)+2 种基金the College Students Innovative Training Plan Program,Hefei Institute of Physical Science,Chinese Academy of Sciences(CASHIPS027)the College Students Innovative Training Plan Program of Chinese Academy of Sciences(20204001929)the College Students Innovative Entrepreneurial Training Plan Program of Tibet University(2020XCX010).
文摘It was all known that Lhasa went through a high temperature of 30.8℃in late June 2019,which hit record highs.To better understand the reasons,based on observations recorded at automatic weather stations in Lhasa,the characteristics of temperature variation at multiple time scales were studied using the linear trend method,Mann-Kendall mutation test,Morlet wavelet analysis,R/S analysis and so on.The results showed that:(a)the annual mean temperature(AMT)is rising at a rate of 0.5℃/10 a,and the average temperature for different seasons also increased significantly,especially in winter.(b)Although there was an intersection in 1995,it was found that AMT,did not pass the reliability test of significance levelα=0.05,this means there are no abrupt changes for AMT,the values are 7.97 and 9.15℃respectively before and after the intersection point.(c)AMT has a periodic oscillation for 18-25 and 25-32 a based on a mass of data and the wavelet variance diagrams in Lhasa.AMT has a main cycle of 28 a,cyclic patterns of temperature changes in spring,summer and autumn is similar to AMT,but it is relatively complex in winter.(d)The Hurst index of AMT and different seasons demonstrates that the temperature is likely to continue to rise in the future in Lhasa.
