[Objective] The aim was to study the precipitation changes and agricultural flood and drought degree of crops in Dalian City in recent 60 years. [Method] The monthly precipitation and average temperature data from Apr...[Objective] The aim was to study the precipitation changes and agricultural flood and drought degree of crops in Dalian City in recent 60 years. [Method] The monthly precipitation and average temperature data from April to October during 1951-2010 in Dalian observation station were selected. By dint of linear regression, climate tendency rate and humidity index, the growth changes and agricultural flood and drought degree of crops in recent 60 years in Dalian City were expounded from the aspects of natural precipitation tendency changes and agricultural water satisfaction degree of crops in growth period. [Result] In recent 60 years, the precipitation of crops during growth period in Dalian City had decreasing tendency. The inclination rate was -15.888 m/10 a. Precipitation decreased 95.3 mm in recent 60 years; precipitation increased a little in spring and decreased a lot in summer, then decreased in autumn. The monthly precipitation in each month distributed unevenly. Precipitation in July and August increased, taking account of 53.8% of the total precipitation during the growth period of crops. The K value of humidity index during the growth period of crops in Dalian in recent 60 years was 0.90 in general. It was light drought climate. The humidity index was decreasing. Climate developed toward drought direction; the drought occurrence frequency was 59%. It was mild drought climate in spring and autumn. The climate was generally wet in summer. Seen from the yearly means, besides of July and August, it reached mild drought degree in other months. [Conclusion] The study provided reference for the regional agricultural production, agricultural structure adjustment and drought and flood disaster prevention.展开更多
Based on the observation data of the average temperature and precipitation of 8 national meteorological stations in the northwest region of Liaoning Province from April to October during 1961-2015,methods such as line...Based on the observation data of the average temperature and precipitation of 8 national meteorological stations in the northwest region of Liaoning Province from April to October during 1961-2015,methods such as linear trend estimation,moving average,standard deviation and Mann-Kendall test are used to analyze the characteristics of average temperature and precipitation during the crop growing season in northwestern Liaoning.The results show that the average temperature during the crop growing season in the study area showed an upward trend,and the climate tendency rate was 0.193 ℃/10 a( P < 0.01).The largest contribution rate to temperature increase was in September,with a climate tendency rate of 0.27 ℃/10 a;the smallest contribution rate to the temperature increase was in July,with a climate tendency rate of 0.10 ℃/10 a.The warming trend was the most obvious in the second base year,with a climate tendency rate of 0.413 ℃/10 a( P < 0.01).The temperature was the lowest in the 1970s and the highest in the 2010s.The warming trend changed suddenly in 1996,and the sudden change reached a significant level of α = 0.05 after 2002.Precipitation was generally decreased,and the climate tendency rate was -7.68 mm/10 a.The decrease in precipitation was the most in July,and the climate tendency rate was -12.08 mm/10 a.The average temperature in the four base years failed to pass the correlation significance test.Among them,it showed an increasing trend in the second and third base year and a decreasing trend in the first and fourth base year.Rainfall was the highest in the 1960s and the lowest in the 1980s.After the abrupt change in 2002,precipitation decreased significantly.The research results provide reference for effective utilization of climate resources,rational adjustment of agricultural planting structure,and improvement of ecological environment quality.展开更多
文摘[Objective] The aim was to study the precipitation changes and agricultural flood and drought degree of crops in Dalian City in recent 60 years. [Method] The monthly precipitation and average temperature data from April to October during 1951-2010 in Dalian observation station were selected. By dint of linear regression, climate tendency rate and humidity index, the growth changes and agricultural flood and drought degree of crops in recent 60 years in Dalian City were expounded from the aspects of natural precipitation tendency changes and agricultural water satisfaction degree of crops in growth period. [Result] In recent 60 years, the precipitation of crops during growth period in Dalian City had decreasing tendency. The inclination rate was -15.888 m/10 a. Precipitation decreased 95.3 mm in recent 60 years; precipitation increased a little in spring and decreased a lot in summer, then decreased in autumn. The monthly precipitation in each month distributed unevenly. Precipitation in July and August increased, taking account of 53.8% of the total precipitation during the growth period of crops. The K value of humidity index during the growth period of crops in Dalian in recent 60 years was 0.90 in general. It was light drought climate. The humidity index was decreasing. Climate developed toward drought direction; the drought occurrence frequency was 59%. It was mild drought climate in spring and autumn. The climate was generally wet in summer. Seen from the yearly means, besides of July and August, it reached mild drought degree in other months. [Conclusion] The study provided reference for the regional agricultural production, agricultural structure adjustment and drought and flood disaster prevention.
基金Supported by Agriculture Research and Achievement Industrialization Project from Department of Science and Technology of Liaoning Province(2014210003)Special Project for Scientific Research on Social Development Program in Fuxin City,Liaoning Province(20151305)。
文摘Based on the observation data of the average temperature and precipitation of 8 national meteorological stations in the northwest region of Liaoning Province from April to October during 1961-2015,methods such as linear trend estimation,moving average,standard deviation and Mann-Kendall test are used to analyze the characteristics of average temperature and precipitation during the crop growing season in northwestern Liaoning.The results show that the average temperature during the crop growing season in the study area showed an upward trend,and the climate tendency rate was 0.193 ℃/10 a( P < 0.01).The largest contribution rate to temperature increase was in September,with a climate tendency rate of 0.27 ℃/10 a;the smallest contribution rate to the temperature increase was in July,with a climate tendency rate of 0.10 ℃/10 a.The warming trend was the most obvious in the second base year,with a climate tendency rate of 0.413 ℃/10 a( P < 0.01).The temperature was the lowest in the 1970s and the highest in the 2010s.The warming trend changed suddenly in 1996,and the sudden change reached a significant level of α = 0.05 after 2002.Precipitation was generally decreased,and the climate tendency rate was -7.68 mm/10 a.The decrease in precipitation was the most in July,and the climate tendency rate was -12.08 mm/10 a.The average temperature in the four base years failed to pass the correlation significance test.Among them,it showed an increasing trend in the second and third base year and a decreasing trend in the first and fourth base year.Rainfall was the highest in the 1960s and the lowest in the 1980s.After the abrupt change in 2002,precipitation decreased significantly.The research results provide reference for effective utilization of climate resources,rational adjustment of agricultural planting structure,and improvement of ecological environment quality.
基金Supported by Special Fund for Climate Change of China Meteorological Administration(CCSF-09-13)Special Fund for Researchof Nonprofit Sector(meteorology)(GYHY200706030)~~
