Prediction of methane emissions during the extraction of close-to-roof layer of a seam of large thickness

Prediction of methane emissions at the stage of longwall planning constitutes the basis for the determination of the appropriate method and parameters of ventilation and selection of prevention means including the methane drainage technol- ogy. The growth of methane saturation of coal seams with the extraction depth, with simultaneously increasing output concen- tration, contributes to the increase of the quantity of methane emitted into longwall areas. The subject matter of the article has been directed at the predicted quantity of methane emissions into planned longwalls with roof caving in the layer of seams adjacent to the roof of large thickness. The performed prognostic calculations of methane emissions into the longwall working were referred to two sources, i.e. methane liberated during coal mining by means of a cutter-loader and methane originating from the degasification of the floor layer destressed by the longwall conducted in the close-to-roof layer. The calculations of predictions allow to refer to the planned longwall, on account of the emitting methane, with possible and safe output quantity. Planning of extraction in the close-to-roof layer of a seam of large thickness with roof caving is especially important in con- ditions of increasing methane saturation with the depth of deposition and should be preceded by a prognostic analysis for de- termining the extraction possibilities of the planned longwall.

Comparison of Response Surface Methodology and Artificial Neural Network in Predicting the Microwave-Assisted Extraction Procedure to Determine Zinc in Fish Muscles

In this paper, the estimation capacities of the response surface methodology (RSM) and artificial neural network (ANN), in a microwave-assisted extraction method to determine the amount of zinc in fish samples were investigated. The experiments were carried out based on a 3-level, 4-variable Box–Behnken design. The amount of zinc was considered as a function of four independent variables, namely irradiation power, irradiation time, nitric acid concentration, and temperature. The RSM results showed the quadratic polynomial model can be used to describe the relationship between the various factors and the response. Using the ANN analysis, the optimal configuration of the ANN model was found to be 4-10-1. After predicting the model using RSM and ANN, two methodologies were then compared for their predictive capabilities. The results showed that the ANN model is much more accurate in prediction as compared to the RSM.

Non-invasive prediction of non-alcoholic steatohepatitis in Japanese patients with morbid obesity by artificial intelligence using rule extraction technology

AIM To construct a non-invasive prediction algorithm for predicting non-alcoholic steatohepatitis(NASH), we investigated Japanese morbidly obese patients using artificial intelligence with rule extraction technology.METHODS Consecutive patients who required bariatric surgery underwent a liver biopsy during the operation. Standard clinical, anthropometric, biochemical measurements were used as parameters to predict NASH and were analyzed using rule extraction technology. One hundred and two patients, including 79 NASH and 23 non-NASH patients were analyzed in order to create the predictionmodel, another cohort with 77 patients including 65 NASH and 12 non-NASH patients were analyzed to validate the algorithm.RESULTS Alanine aminotransferase, C-reactive protein, homeostasis model assessment insulin resistance, albumin were extracted as predictors of NASH using a recursive-rule extraction algorithm. When we adopted the extracted rules for the validation cohort using a highly accurate rule extraction algorithm, the predictive accuracy was 79.2%. The positive predictive value, negative predictive value,sensitivity and specificity were 88.9%, 35.7%, 86.2% and 41.7%, respectively.CONCLUSION We successfully generated a useful model for predicting NASH in Japanese morbidly obese patients based on their biochemical profile using a rule extraction algorithm.

Phase equilibrium data prediction and process optimizationin butadiene extraction process

In response to the lack of reliable physical parameters in the process simulation of the butadiene extraction,a large amount of phase equilibrium data were collected in the context of the actual process of butadiene production by acetonitrile.The accuracy of five prediction methods,UNIFAC(UNIQUAC Functional-group Activity Coefficients),UNIFAC-LL,UNIFAC-LBY,UNIFAC-DMD and COSMO-RS,applied to the butadiene extraction process was verified using partial phase equilibrium data.The results showed that the UNIFAC-DMD method had the highest accuracy in predicting phase equilibrium data for the missing system.COSMO-RS-predicted multiple systems showed good accuracy,and a large number of missing phase equilibrium data were estimated using the UNIFAC-DMD method and COSMO-RS method.The predicted phase equilibrium data were checked for consistency.The NRTL-RK(non-Random Two Liquid-Redlich-Kwong Equation of State)and UNIQUAC thermodynamic models were used to correlate the phase equilibrium data.Industrial device simulations were used to verify the accuracy of the thermodynamic model applied to the butadiene extraction process.The simulation results showed that the average deviations of the simulated results using the correlated thermodynamic model from the actual values were less than 2%compared to that using the commercial simulation software,Aspen Plus and its database.The average deviation was much smaller than that of the simulations using the Aspen Plus database(>10%),indicating that the obtained phase equilibrium data are highly accurate and reliable.The best phase equilibrium data and thermodynamic model parameters for butadiene extraction are provided.This improves the accuracy and reliability of the design,optimization and control of the process,and provides a basis and guarantee for developing a more environmentally friendly and economical butadiene extraction process.

Quantitative Comparison of Predictabilities of Warm and Cold Events Using the Backward Nonlinear Local Lyapunov Exponent Method

The backward nonlinear local Lyapunov exponent method(BNLLE)is applied to quantify the predictability of warm and cold events in the Lorenz model.Results show that the maximum prediction lead times of warm and cold events present obvious layered structures in phase space.The maximum prediction lead times of each warm(cold)event on individual circles concentric with the distribution of warm(cold)regime events are roughly the same,whereas the maximum prediction lead time of events on other circles are different.Statistical results show that warm events are more predictable than cold events.

Using Remote Sensing Data to Delineate the Lineaments for Hydrothermal Mineral Prediction in Heqing Area, Northwest Yunnan Province, China

Lineament extraction and analysis is one of the routine work in mapping medium and large areas using remote sensing data, most of which are satellite images. Landsat Enhanced Thematic Mapper （ETM） of 945×1 232 pixels subscene acquired on 21 March 2000 covering the northwestern part of Yunnan Province has been digitally processed using ER Mapper software. This article aims to produce lineament density map that predicts favorable zones for hydrothermal mineral occurrences and quantify spatial associations between the known hydrothermal mineral deposits. In the process of lineament extraction a number of image processing techniques were applied. The extracted lineaments were imported into MapGIS software and a suitable grid of 100 m×100 m was chosen. The Kriging method was used to create the lineament density map of the area. The results show that remote sensing data could be useful to extract the lineaments in the area. These lineaments are closely correlated with the faults obtained through other geological investigation methods. On comparing with field data the lineament-density map identifies two important high prospective zones, where large-scale deposits are already existing. In addition the map highlights unrecognized target areas that require follow up investigation.

Artificial neural network techniques to predict the moisture ratio content during hot air drying and vacuum drying of Radix isatidis extract

Background:To predict the moisture ratio of Radix isatidis extract during drying.Methods:Artificial neural networks were designed using the MATLAB neural network toolbox to produce a moisture ratio prediction model of Radix isatidis extract during hot air drying and vacuum drying,where regression values and mean squared error were used as evaluation indexes to optimize the number of hidden layer nodes and determine the topological structure of artificial neural networks model.In addition,the drying curves for the different drying parameters were analyzed.Results:The optimal topological structure of the moisture ratio prediction model for hot air drying and vacuum drying of Radix isatidis extract were“4-9-1”and“5-9-1”respectively,and the regression values between the predicted value and the experimental value is close to 1.This indicates that it has a high prediction accuracy.The moisture ratio gradually decreases with an increase in the drying time,reducing the loading,initial moisture content,increasing the temperature,and pressure can shorten the drying time and improve the drying efficiency.Conclusion:Artificial neural networks technology has the advantages of rapid and accurate prediction,and can provide a theoretical basis and technical support for online prediction during the drying process of the extract.

Synthesis前兆群体异常信息提取与地震短期预测研究

建立了Synthesis法前兆群体异常信息提取的数学模型。选取滇东地区 1995～ 2 0 0 0年 9月间常用的 2 0项前兆资料 ,研究中强地震前后Synthesis法前兆群体异常的变化特征。研究结果表明 ,在研究时段内 ,Synthesis法前兆群体异常占时率为 0 15 8,为小概率事件。地震对应率为 5 / 6 =0 83 ,虚报率为 1/ 6 =0 17,地震均是在异常结束后 3个月之内发生 ,是对应概率很高的短期预报指标。成组异常出现均有成组地震对应 ,群体前兆“组异常”特征显著。处于计算前兆观测点中心的澄江地震前 ,异常幅度突出 ,预示了Synthesis值计算有利于提取近源短期异常。实际检验了Synthesis法在地震短期预报中的预报意义 ,获得了满意的效果。

Extraction of Pumpkin Polysaccharide by Complex Enzyme Method and Its Antioxidant Research

[Objective] This paper aims to study a new method of extracting pumpkin polysaccharide from pumpkin. Single factor experiments were conducted to examine the effects of extracting time,temperature,the solid-liquid ratio and pH value on the extraction yield of polysaccharide from pumpkin. [Method] The best enzyme ratio and extraction conditions for complex enzymes extraction were determined through orthogonal tests. Scavenging ·OH and O-2 activities of pumpkin polysaccharides were also investigated by salicylic acid and improved self-oxidation of o-pheno methods respectively. [Results] The results showed that the biggest extraction yield of polysaccharide from pumpkin can be got when adding 1% cellulose enzyme,1.5% pectinase,1.0% papain and Na2HPO4-citric acid buffer solution (pH was 4.6),and oscillating for 30 min under water at 40 ℃ with the solid-liquid ratio of 1:30. In addition,pumpkin polysaccharides had a strong activity of eliminating ·OH,but very weak activity to scavenge O-2. [Conclusion] This study provided basic data for research and application of Pumpkin polysaccharide.

Pegmatite remote sensing extraction and metallogenic prediction in Azubai area,Xinjiang

Remote sensing technique plays an important role in geological prospecting in Altay because of the remote location and steep terrain with mountains. Pegmatite has important implications for metallogenic prospecting as most of rare metals occurs in it. Pegmatite information from optical and radar images was extracted, and the spatial distribution and scale of pegmatite were generalized in Azubai, Altay. Three mining targets, that is, Halon-Azubai, Kuermutu-Tuyibaguo and Zhuolute-Akuoyige, were delineated based on the analysis of pegmatite information, structure interpretation and other geological data.

Extracting Result Schema Based on Query Instances in the Deep Web

Deep Web sources contain a large of high-quality and query-related structured date. One of the challenges in the Deep Web is extracting result schemas of Deep Web sources. To address this challenge, this paper describes a novel approach that extracts both result data and the result schema of a Web database. The approach first models the query interface of a Deep Web source and fills in it with a specifically query instance. Then the result pages of the Deep Web sources are formatted in the tree structure to retrieve subtrees that contain elements of the query instance, Next, result schema of the Deep Web source is extracted by matching the subtree＇ nodes with the query instance, in which, a two-phase schema extraction method is adopted for obtaining more accurate result schema. Finally, experiments on real Deep Web sources show the utility of our approach, which provides a high precision and recall.

FP-STE: A Novel Node Failure Prediction Method Based on Spatio-Temporal Feature Extraction in Data Centers

The development of cloud computing and virtualization technology has brought great challenges to the reliability of data center services.Data centers typically contain a large number of compute and storage nodes which may fail and affect the quality of service.Failure prediction is an important means of ensuring service availability.Predicting node failure in cloud-based data centers is challenging because the failure symptoms reflected have complex characteristics,and the distribution imbalance between the failure sample and the normal sample is widespread,resulting in inaccurate failure prediction.Targeting these challenges,this paper proposes a novel failure prediction method FP-STE(Failure Prediction based on Spatio-temporal Feature Extraction).Firstly,an improved recurrent neural network HW-GRU(Improved GRU based on HighWay network)and a convolutional neural network CNN are used to extract the temporal features and spatial features of multivariate data respectively to increase the discrimination of different types of failure symptoms which improves the accuracy of prediction.Then the intermediate results of the two models are added as features into SCSXGBoost to predict the possibility and the precise type of node failure in the future.SCS-XGBoost is an ensemble learning model that is improved by the integrated strategy of oversampling and cost-sensitive learning.Experimental results based on real data sets confirm the effectiveness and superiority of FP-STE.

PREDICTION TECHNIQUES OF CHAOTIC TIME SERIES AND ITS APPLICATIONS AT LOW NOISE LEVEL

The paper not only studies the noise reduction methods of chaotic time series with noise and its reconstruction techniques, but also discusses prediction techniques of chaotic time series and its applications based on chaotic data noise reduction. In the paper, we first decompose the phase space of chaotic time series to range space and null noise space. Secondly we restructure original chaotic time series in range space. Lastly on the basis of the above, we establish order of the nonlinear model and make use of the nonlinear model to predict some research. The result indicates that the nonlinear model has very strong ability of approximation function, and Chaos predict method has certain tutorial significance to the practical problems.

Machine-learning-aided precise prediction of deletions with next-generation sequencing

When detecting deletions in complex human genomes,split-read approaches using short reads generated with next-generation sequencing still face the challenge that either false discovery rate is high,or sensitivity is low.To address the problem,an integrated strategy is proposed.It organically combines the fundamental theories of the three mainstream methods(read-pair approaches,split-read technologies and read-depth analysis) with modern machine learning algorithms,using the recipe of feature extraction as a bridge.Compared with the state-of-art split-read methods for deletion detection in both low and high sequence coverage,the machine-learning-aided strategy shows great ability in intelligently balancing sensitivity and false discovery rate and getting a both more sensitive and more precise call set at single-base-pair resolution.Thus,users do not need to rely on former experience to make an unnecessary trade-off beforehand and adjust parameters over and over again any more.It should be noted that modern machine learning models can play an important role in the field of structural variation prediction.

Prediction of SMILE surgical cutting formula based on back propagation neural network

AIM:To predict cutting formula of small incision lenticule extraction(SMILE)surgery and assist clinicians in identifying candidates by deep learning of back propagation(BP)neural network.METHODS:A prediction program was developed by a BP neural network.There were 13188 pieces of data selected as training validation.Another 840 eye samples from 425 patients were recruited for reverse verification of training results.Precision of prediction by BP neural network and lenticule thickness error between machine learning and the actual lenticule thickness in the patient data were measured.RESULTS:After training 2313 epochs,the predictive SMILE cutting formula BP neural network models performed best.The values of mean squared error and gradient are 0.248 and 4.23,respectively.The scatterplot with linear regression analysis showed that the regression coefficient in all samples is 0.99994.The final error accuracy of the BP neural network is-0.003791±0.4221102μm.CONCLUSION:With the help of the BP neural network,the program can calculate the lenticule thickness and residual stromal thickness of SMILE surgery accurately.Combined with corneal parameters and refraction of patients,the program can intelligently and conveniently integrate medical information to identify candidates for SMILE surgery.

A valid evaluation method for UPLC fingerprint analysis and moisture ratio prediction model:application to microwave vacuum drying of Radix isatidis extract

Background:Drying is a necessary component of traditional Chinese medicine extracts.The heating principle of microwave vacuum drying is different from that of the conventional heat method.However,at present,there is paucity of information on the drying process of traditional Chinese medicine extract by microwave vacuum drying,and the results of such process are unclear.Methods:To study the dynamic changes in the chemical characteristics of microwave vacuum drying under different drying conditions,ultrahigh-performance liquid chromatography fingerprint profiles were established using Radix isatidis extract as a model drug and analyzed using similarity analysis,partial least squares-discriminant analysis,and semi-quantitative analysis.In addition,a backpropagation artificial neural network model was developed to predict the moisture ratio of the drying process.Results:Qualitative results showed that the similarity between different drying conditions was greater than 0.95,and 2 amino acid components(peaks 5 and 6)affected by process fluctuations were screened out.The quantitative results showed that the mass concentration of component 1 fluctuated after drying,while that of component 2 increased.The optimal backpropagation artificial neural network model structure used to predict the moisture ratio was 5-4-1,with regression and mean squared error values of 0.996 and 0.0003,respectively,after training,which were well fitted and had a strong approximation ability.Conclusion:Upon comparison of fingerprints and the evaluation of statistical methods,common components of Radix isatidis extract had little variation under different drying conditions,and the selected components provided a reference for the establishment of process evaluation indexes.The establishment of backpropagation artificial neural network provides a theoretical basis for the application of microwave vacuum drying technology and online monitoring of moisture ratio.

Prediction of Wind Speed Using a Hybrid Regression-Optimization Approach

Predicting wind speed is a complex task that involves analyzing various meteorological factors such as temperature, humidity, atmospheric pressure, and topography. There are different approaches that can be used to predict wind speed, and a hybrid optimization approach is one of them. In this paper, the hybrid optimization approach combines a multiple linear regression approach with an optimization technique to achieve better results. In the context of wind speed prediction, this hybrid optimization approach can be used to improve the accuracy of existing prediction models. Here, a Grey Wolf Optimizer based Wind Speed Prediction (GWO-WSP) method is proposed. This approach is tested on the 2016, 2017, 2018, and 2019 Raw Data files from the Great Lakes Environmental Research Laboratories and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s (GLERL-NOAA) Chicago Metadata Archive. The test results show that the implementation is successful and the approach yields accurate and feasible results. The computation time for execution of the algorithm is also superior compared to the existing methods in literature.

Mining-Induced Seismicity in the Kola Peninsula Mines

Mining-induced seismicity is a reflection of rock geomechanical evolution of geological environment in the natural and man-made systems and in the mining-technical systems. In order to predict and prevent mining-induced seismicity, it is necessary to research geodynamics and stress state of intact rock mass, to determine possible deformations and additional stresses as a result of large-scale rock extraction, conditions of accumulated energy release. For that a geodynamical monitoring is required on every stage of deposit development and a closing. The report considers principal influencing factors of preparation and occurrence of mining-induced earthquakes. Also it estimates precursors and indicators of rock mass breaking point, and experience concerning prediction and prevention of mining-induced seismicity in the Khibiny apatite mines in the Murmansk region, which is the largest mining province.

基于EOF-SVD模型的多元时间序列相关性研究及预测

将奇异值分解同自然正交分解相结合,提出一种改进的正交奇异值分解方法。通过对原始数据进行自然正交分解,削弱原始数据之间的相关性,增强其用于分析及预测的能力,并得到相互正交的主成分代替原始数据进行奇异值分解,分析两个变量场之间的相关关系。在此基础上建立神经网络预测模型,实现多元时间序列的预测。采用该方法对三门峡处径流量同太平洋海温的耦合关系进行分析,并同常规奇异值分解方法进行比较,仿真结果验证了所提方法的有效性。