Partitioning Calculation Method of Short-Circuit Current for High Proportion DG Access to Distribution Network

Aiming at the problemthat the traditional short-circuit current calculationmethod is not applicable to Distributed Generation(DG)accessing the distribution network,the paper proposes a short-circuit current partitioning calculation method considering the degree of voltage drop at the grid-connected point of DG.Firstly,the output characteristics of DG in the process of low voltage ride through are analyzed,and the equivalent output model of DG in the fault state is obtained.Secondly,by studying the network voltage distribution law after fault in distribution networks under different DG penetration rates,the degree of voltage drop at the grid-connected point of DG is used as a partition index to partition the distribution network.Then,iterative computation is performed within each partition,and data are transferred between partitions through split nodes to realize the fast partition calculation of short-circuit current for high proportion DG access to distribution network,which solves the problems of long iteration time and large calculation error of traditional short-circuit current.Finally,a 62-node real distribution network model containing a high proportion of DG access is constructed onMATLAB/Simulink,and the simulation verifies the effectiveness of the short-circuit current partitioning calculation method proposed in the paper,and its calculation speed is improved by 48.35%compared with the global iteration method.

T lymphocyte proportion in Alzheimer’s disease prognosis

Bai et al investigate the predictive value of T lymphocyte proportion in Alzheimer's disease(AD)prognosis.Through a retrospective study involving 62 AD patients,they found that a decrease in T lymphocyte proportion correlated with a poorer prognosis,as indicated by higher modified Rankin scale scores.While the study highlights the potential of T lymphocyte proportion as a prognostic marker,it suggests the need for larger,multicenter studies to enhance generalizability and validity.Additionally,future research could use cognitive exams when evaluating prognosis and delve into immune mechanisms underlying AD progression.Despite limitations inherent in retrospective designs,Bai et al's work contributes to understanding the immune system's role in AD prognosis,paving the way for further exploration in this under-researched area.

A Note on an Order Level Inventory Model with Varying Two-Phased Demand and Time-Proportional Deterioration

The main purpose of this paper is to generalize the effect of two-phased demand and variable deterioration within the EOQ (Economic Order Quantity) framework. The rate of deterioration is a linear function of time. The two-phased demand function states the constant function for a certain period and the quadratic function of time for the rest part of the cycle time. No shortages as well as partial backlogging are allowed to occur. The mathematical expressions are derived for determining the optimal cycle time, order quantity and total cost function. An easy-to-use working procedure is provided to calculate the above quantities. A couple of numerical examples are cited to explain the theoretical results and sensitivity analysis of some selected examples is carried out.

Ore-proportioning optimization technique with high proportion of Yandi ore in sintering

The basic sintering characteristics of Yandi ore from Australia, including assimilation ability, liquid phase fluidity, self-strength of bonding phase, forming ability of silico ferrite of calcium and aluminum （SFCA）, and so on, were investigated in detail. Besides, the high temperature behavior and function of sintering were obtained. As a result, the techniques for ore-proportioning in sintering were obtained. The results show that Yandi ore possessing higher assimilation ability, better liquid phase fluidity, lower self-strength of bonding phase, and better forming ability of SFCA, should be mixed with iron ores whose properties are opposite to those of Yandi ore. In the optimization of sintering ore-proportioning, Yandi ore, whose price is relatively low, can be mixed as high as 40wt%.

Study on metallurgical properties and pellet proportioning technology of stainless steel cold-rolling sludge

With a complicated composition, large rolling sludge has been a focal point concerning neither at home nor abroad have any technologies suitable for bulk utilization of stainless steel cold- production and serious damage to the environment, stainless steel cold- environmental protection for stainless steel enterprises. Up to now, come into being that are not only proper, safe and economical but also rolling sludge. Based on the characteristics of the stainless steel cold- rolling sludge, orthogonal experiments were carried out on pellet proportioning and high-temperature roasting, and major metallurgical properties of sludge pellets were also tested. As the results show, pellets with 30% addition of cold-rolling sludge are qualified regarding their compressive strength, chemical composition and major metallurgical properties. No adverse impact happens to the blast furnace operation when sludge pellets account for 10% of the blast furnace raw materials. Therefore, the technical route applied in this paper is proved simple, feasible and environmentally friendly for cold-rolling sludge treatment.

Proportion Integration Differentiation(PID)Control Strategy of Belt Sander Based on Fuzzy Algorithm

Aiming at solving the problems of response lag and lack of precision and stability in constant grinding force control of industrial robot belts,a constant force control strategy combining fuzzy control and proportion integration differentiation(PID)was proposed by analyzing the signal transmission process and the dynamic characteristics of the grinding mechanism.The simulation results showed that compared with the classical PID control strategy,the system adjustment time was shortened by 98.7%,the overshoot was reduced by 5.1%,and the control error was 0.2%-0.5%when the system was stabilized.The optimized fuzzy control system had fast adjustment speeds,precise force control and stability.The experimental analysis of the surface morphology of the machined blade was carried out by the industrial robot abrasive grinding mechanism,and the correctness of the theoretical analysis and the effectiveness of the control strategy were verified.

Bamboo Fiber Modified Asphalt Mixture Proportion Design and Road Performances Based on Response Surface Method

In order to comprehensively utilize the remaining bamboo residue of bamboo products,this paper presents a research on recycling the bamboo fibers from bamboo residue for improving the performance of the asphalt mixtures.First of all,the basic performance parameters of sinocalamus affinis fiber,phyllostachys pubescens fiber,green bamboo fiber were tested and analyzed,and the optimal content and length were put forward.Then,the mix ratio design of the bamboo fiber modified asphalt mixture was further designed through the response surface method,and was verified the rationality of the mix ratio.Finally,the mixture specimens were made according to the experimental design mix ratio,and the high temperature,low temperature performance and moisture susceptibility of the bamboo fiber modified mixtures asphalt were tested.The results showed that the high temperature performance,low temperature performance and moisture susceptibility of bamboo fiber modified asphalt mixtures were improved compared with the performance of SBS modified asphalt mixture.When the length of bamboo fiber is 7.25 mm and the content of 0.22%,the road performance of the asphalt mixture was optimal.Consequentially,the decomposition of bamboo residue into bamboo fiber and its application in asphalt pavement can improve the reuse of bamboo waste,with remarkable environmental benefits and great promotion value.

Mixed-Effects Parametric Proportional Hazard Model with Generalized Log-Logistic Baseline Distribution

Clustered survival data are widely observed in a variety of setting. Most survival models incorporate clustering and grouping of data accounting for between-cluster variability that creates correlation in order to prevent underestimate of the standard errors of the parameter estimators but do not include random effects. In this study, we developed a mixed-effect parametric proportional hazard (MEPPH) model with a generalized log-logistic distribution baseline. The parameters of the model were estimated by the application of the maximum likelihood estimation technique with an iterative optimization procedure (quasi-Newton Raphson). The developed MEPPH model’s performance was evaluated using Monte Carlo simulation. The Leukemia dataset with right-censored data was used to demonstrate the model’s applicability. The results revealed that all covariates, except age in PH models, were significant in all considered distributions. Age and Townsend score were significant when the GLL distribution was used in MEPPH, while sex, age and Townsend score were significant in MEPPH model when other distributions were used. Based on information criteria values, the Generalized Log-Logistic Mixed-Effects Parametric Proportional Hazard model (GLL-MEPPH) outperformed other models.

Proportion of thyroid cancer and other cancers in the democratic republic of Congo

BACKGROUND Cancer diagnosis is increasing around the world and in the Democratic Republic of the Congo(DRC).The proportion of thyroid cancer has increased over the past three decades.There are very few studies on cancer epidemiology,and in particular on thyroid cancer in the DRC.AIM To establish the most recent proportion of thyroid cancer in the DRC compared to other cancers.METHODS This is a retrospective and descriptive study of 6106 consecutive cancer cases listed in the pathological registers of 4 Laboratories in the city of Kinshasa.This study included all cancer cases recorded in the registers between 2005 and 2019.RESULTS From a sample of 6106 patients,including all cancer types,68.3%cases were female and 31.7%were male.Breast and cervical cancer were the most common types of cancer in women and,prostate and skin cancer were the most common types in men.Thyroid cancer was sixth in proportion in women and eleventh in men compared to all cancers.Papillary carcinoma was the most common of thyroid cancers.Rare cancers such as anaplastic and medullary thyroid carcinomas had a proportion of 7%and 2%,respectively.CONCLUSION Newer diagnostic tools led to a surge in cancer diagnoses in the DRC.Thyroid cancer has more than doubled its proportion over the last several decades in the country.

自然干旱后不同系号杨树湿心材的特征

以2017年造林材料为对象,比较不同系号杨树湿心材在大旱前和大旱后的变化差异。结果表明:干旱前和干旱后所有系号杨树的湿心材长度比例均呈显著正态分布。所有系号均存在湿心材现象,且整体上湿心材比较严重。杨树径生长由于干旱受到了严重抑制,但随着直径的增加及干旱的影响,湿心材长度比例继续增大,木芯含水率略有下降,干旱会减轻湿心材的危害。不同材料湿心材的pH差异不显著,均为弱碱性,江汉平原主栽的4个品种插干造林生长速度有一定优势,但湿心材相比带根造林更为严重一些。对连续2 a的湿心材特征进行相关分析,发现湿心材主要特征之间存在极显著正相关。

鱼类产卵敏感期河流生态流速的分区分类阈值研究

敏感生态流量目标的合理制定是生态流量管理的重难点问题。针对目前敏感生态流量目标制定中存在的计算方法繁杂、关键参数缺乏等问题,本文以鱼类产卵期为重点,提出了分区分类河流敏感期生态流速和生态流量核算方法,制定了不同区域(东北、黄淮海、西南、长江中下游和东南沿海)、不同类型(按集水面积、山区河段和平原河段等划分)河流敏感期生态流速阈值。结果显示,全部分区分类推荐流速平均值为0.66 m/s,其中山区大站平均值为0.94 m/s、山区小站平均值为0.62 m/s、平原大站平均值为0.63 m/s、平原小站平均值为0.46 m/s。基于阈值核算了全国217个鱼类产卵生境保护河段的敏感期生态流量目标,并结合部分断面湿周法结果对阈值合理性与适应性进行了验证,验证结果表明相关阈值和方法适应于不同类型、不同规模河流,可为我国现阶段河流敏感生态流量管控提供参考。

闽楠-杉木人工混交林混交比对闽楠生长形质和空间利用能力的影响

为了分析混交比例对闽楠-杉木人工混交林中闽楠生长形质性状、空间利用能力的影响,明确珍贵用材树种闽楠的经营方向,以江西省分宜县上村实验林场6年生闽楠-杉木人工混交林和闽楠纯林为研究对象,分析不同混交比例处理对闽楠生长、干形形质、空间利用能力的影响,并通过主成分分析方法综合评价不同混交比例的闽楠生长表现,筛选出最佳混交模式。结果表明:(1)混交处理促进了闽楠生长,改善了闽楠干形形质。2楠1杉混交处理中,闽楠的胸径、树高、单株材积、枝下高、枝下高比例均为最大,分别比闽楠纯林增加了21.44%、31.78%、79.41%、48.00%、30.23%(P<0.05);但尖削度和胸高形数均小于闽楠纯林,尖削度和胸高形数分别降低了24.43%、7.20%。(2)混交处理提升了闽楠的空间利用能力。混交林的平均冠幅、冠高、树冠体积、树冠表面积、生长空间指数均显著高于闽楠纯林,各指标分别提高了6.49%~10.27%、11.28%~27.89%、45.36%~86.09%、27.56%~44.39%、13.24%~36.76%;但混交林的树冠圆满度均低于闽楠纯林。(3)混交处理能够改善闽楠的生长特征和空间利用能力,综合评价得分由高到低依次为2楠1杉(2.282)、1楠1杉(1.479)、3楠1杉(0.973)、纯林(-1.365),2楠1杉混交处理为最优混交比例。因此,营建闽楠-杉木人工混交林可提升闽楠的生长形质和空间利用能力。

糖尿病肾脏疾病预后影响因素的COX比例风险回归模型分析

目的基于COX比例风险回归模型分析糖尿病肾脏疾病(diabetic kidney disease,DKD)预后的影响因素,为临床早期评估和防治DKD提供科学的依据。方法收集多中心(河南中医药大学第一附属医院、河南中医药大学第三附属医院、河南省中医院及郑州市人民医院)2010—2021年就诊治疗的DKD患者资料,包括一般资料、实验室指标、中医辨证分型及中医药治疗,以肾小球滤过率(eGFR)下降≥50%、血肌酐(Scr)翻倍、DKD 5期、死亡为结局指标,随访其发生时间及情况,利用COX比例风险回归模型分析筛选DKD预后影响因素。结果本研究最终纳入1947例患者,随访时间为4.65(4.557~4.746)年,发生复合终点事件305例(15.67%)。单因素COX回归分析结果表明,不同年龄、DKD病程≥4年、饮酒史、吸烟史、高血压、冠心病、脑血管病、糖尿病足、糖尿病眼病、糖化血红蛋白(HbA1c)、血尿酸(SUA)、Scr、24 h尿蛋白定量(24 h-UTP)、eGFR、湿热血瘀证、脾肾气虚兼湿聚血瘀证、脾肾阳虚兼血瘀证、中药熏洗、服用中药患者DKD预后情况比较,差异有统计学意义(P<0.05)。多因素COX回归分析结果表明,年龄[HR(95%CI)=2.52(1.92,3.30)]、DKD病程[HR(95%CI)=1.62(1.09,2.42)]、吸烟史[HR(95%CI)=1.61(1.13,2.29)]、饮酒史[HR(95%CI)=1.41(1.01,1.95)]、脑血管病[HR(95%CI)=1.33(1.01,1.75)]、糖尿病眼病[HR(95%CI)=1.43(1.13,1.82)]、SUA[HR(95%CI)=1.72(1.26,2.33)]、24 h-UTP[HR(95%CI)=1.48(1.14,1.91)]、脾肾气虚兼湿聚血瘀证[HR(95%CI)=2.22(1.44,3.43)]与DKD发生终点事件的风险关系密切(P<0.05),服用中药[HR(95%CI)=2.57(2.00,3.31)]能够减少终点事件的发生(P<0.05)。结论年龄、DKD病程、吸烟史、饮酒史、脑血管病、糖尿病眼病、SUA、24 h-UTP、脾肾气虚兼湿聚血瘀证是影响DKD患者预后的危险因素,而服用中药治疗为其保护因素。

基于改进麻雀优化PID的波浪补偿控制方法

随着海上风电“十四五”规划的不断推动,在深远海域对兆瓦级大功率海上风机的需求量随之增加,其规模也在不断扩大。但是,在吊运、安装等海上工作过程中,复杂海浪对船舶产生的持续影响导致风机安装的精度和效率大幅下降,甚至会对人员安全以及财产造成重大损失。在深远海域复杂海况下对工程船舶进行有效的波浪补偿,可提供稳定的作业环境以保证精准高效地完成各项工作,因此,本文提出了一种基于改进麻雀优化PID的波浪补偿控制方法并将其应用于Stewart补偿平台。首先,建立波浪补偿平台动力学以及运动学反解模型,并设计正解模型迭代求解算法。随后,使用PID进行波浪补偿控制,并通过麻雀搜索算法优化参数。接着,采用Circle混沌映射对其进行初始化分布,以解决初始化不均匀的问题;并采用动态自适应加权、柯西突变以及反向学习以提升算法全局寻优能力。最后,生成4~6级海况下的某工程船运动数据作为系统输入,利用MATLAB和Simulink软件平台搭建模型进行补偿控制验证,并在Stewart硬件平台上做补偿试验。结果表明,改进麻雀搜索算法具有较快的收敛速度、较高的精度和更好的寻优能力,优化后的PID控制方法更适合用于复杂海况下波浪补偿平台的控制优化,可为大功率海上风机安装的补偿平台控制系统设计提供参考。

高比例新能源送端系统暂态电压运行风险分析

针对交、直流故障下的高比例新能源送端系统暂态电压演化传播机理及运行风险尚不明晰的问题,首先,基于交直流系统间的无功电压交互作用机理分析,明确了交、直流系统故障下的暂态电压特性及主导影响因素,阐明了高比例新能源送端系统电力电子设备主导的暂态电压演化传播路径。其次,从“交直流故障强耦合作用持续加强,暂态无功功率成分复杂”、“新能源比例不断提升,暂态电压问题凸显”及“故障承载与调节能力下降,连锁脱网风险增大”三方面系统地阐述了暂态电压运行风险。然后,基于DIgSILENT/PowerFactory建立了实际高比例新能源多直流外送系统仿真模型,不同新能源占比、不同故障工况下的仿真结果验证了暂态电压运行风险分析的正确性。最后,从增强耦合运行特性机理认识、提升新能源涉网性能、增加多尺度协同控制策略、加强交流网架结构等方面提出了应对暂态电压运行风险的技术展望。

模型信息联合校正型自抗扰控制策略

为解决微电网受到不确定扰动时,会对直-直变换器输出的电能质量产生严重影响的问题,该文提出一种模型信息联合校正型自抗扰控制技术(ADRC-MIR)。在该控制策略中,首先借助串联超前校正的思想,以比例微分校正环节对线性扩张状态观测器的扰动观测传递函数进行修正,使其可实现对总和扰动更精确的跟踪;然后,根据状态空间平均法从被控系统中提取部分模型信息,将其写入修正后的线性扩张状态观测器的系数矩阵并最终构建出ADRC-MIR;随后基于理论推导,给出改进控制器的参数整定公式及其物理意义,并从噪声抑制、扰动抑制及其频域特性等方面指出改进后的控制器可提升控制品质的原因。最后通过对比不同工况下的数值仿真验证所提控制策略的可行性与正确性。

未来30年中国耕地和高标准农田分布的省级预测

科学预测中国未来耕地和高标准农田分布对于保障我国粮食安全和提高耕地质量具有重要意义。该研究假设未来各省份耕地和高标准农田占全国总面积比例不变,根据各省份耕地和高标准农田实际面积、未来全国耕地及各省份高标准农田规划面积等数据,基于最小二乘法的二次多项式拟合预测未来30 a全国及各省份耕地面积和高标准农田面积,进而预测未来各省份耕地面积保有率和高标准农田占耕地比例。结果表明:(1)到2050年,我国耕地面积稳定在1.20×10^(8)hm^(2),耕地面积保有率稳定在100%,高标准农田面积达到1.03×10^(8)hm^(2),高标准农田占耕地比例从2020年的43.59%增长到2050年的85.89%,增长近一倍。(2)七大区域中,黄淮海区、长江中下游区、东南区的高标准农田占耕地比例较高,在2020年均已达到70%以上,东北区、西北区、青藏区、西南区高标准农田占耕地比例则处于40%~60%之间。到2050年,受耕地比例稳定中略有下降的趋势影响,黄淮海区、长江中下游区、东南区、青藏区高标准农田占耕地比例均达90%以上,东北区、西北区、西南区则处于70%~90%之间。(3)从各省份来看,江西省、浙江省、福建省、广东省等南方省份的高标准农田建设比例较高,而内蒙古自治区、黑龙江省、辽宁省、吉林省、山东省等北方省份的耕地面积保有率较高。研究得到的耕地面积及其保有率、高标准农田面积及其占耕地比例等指标的分省份预测值可以为未来相关部门制定国土空间规划等提供科学依据,也可以为未来耕地布局和农田利用等研究提供分省份的总量参考。

基于正交设计的大比例模型采场煤体相似材料配比试验研究

针对传统模型材料难以满足大比例模型采场材料需求,结合大比例模型相似模拟试验特点及相似理论,以陶粒、河沙、粉煤、水泥和石膏为原料,设计正交试验,测试试件的物理力学等参数。结果表明:大比例模型采场材料基本特征为低容重、高强度。煤体材料密度随陶粒/骨料比值的增大而减小,抗压强度和抗拉强度随陶粒/骨料、水膏比的增大而减小,随水胶比的增大而增大,弹性模量、黏聚力和内摩擦角随陶粒/骨料和骨胶比的增大而减小。通过多元线性回归分析反算大比例模型采场煤体相似材料配比模型,并通过试验得到不同尺寸试件各试验指标误差在20%内波动,证实了该配比模型的可靠性。

Survival Analysis Using Cox Proportional Hazards Regression for Pile Bridge Piles Under Wet Service Conditions

This paper studies the deterioration of bridge substructures utilizing the Long-Term Bridge Performance(LTBP)Program InfoBridge^(TM)and develops a survival model using Cox proportional hazards regression.The survival anal­ysis is based on the National Bridge Inventory(NBI)dataset.The study calculates the survival rate of reinforced and prestressed concrete piles on bridges under marine conditions over a 29-year span(from 1992 to 2020).The state of Maryland is the primary focus of this study,with data from three neighboring regions,the District of Columbia,Vir­ginia,and Delaware to expand the sample size.The data obtained from the National Bridge Inventory are condensed and filtered to acquire the most relevant information for model development.The Cox proportional hazards regres­sion is applied to the condensed NBI data with six parameters:Age,ADT,ADTT,number of spans,span length,and structural length.Two survival models are generated for the bridge substructures:Reinforced and prestressed concrete piles in Maryland and reinforced and prestressed concrete piles in wet service conditions in the District of Columbia,Maryland,Delaware,and Virginia.Results from the Cox proportional hazards regression are used to construct Markov chains to demonstrate the sequence of the deterioration of bridge substructures.The Markov chains can be used as a tool to assist in the prediction and decision-making for repair,rehabilitation,and replacement of bridge piles.Based on the numerical model,the Pile Assessment Matrix Program(PAM)is developed to facilitate the assessment and main­tenance of current bridge structures.The program integrates the NBI database with the inspection and research reports from various states’department of transportation,to serve as a tool for condition state simulation based on mainte­nance or rehabilitation strategies.

新发展格局下中国制造业合理占比的理论探讨

制造业是国民经济命脉所系。近年来,我国制造业增加值占GDP比重呈较大幅度下降趋势,“保持制造业比重基本稳定”成为未来产业发展政策的重要指导思想。然而关于制造业的合理占比尚未有一致的看法及统一的测算标准。应用计量统计方法的测算结果显示:在新发展格局下,为保障内需,我国制造业占比应长期维持不低于26.6%,这是制造业占比的底线值;为满足就业及国际市场需求,需增加制造业占比3.7个百分点,那么满足国内国际双循环,应保持我国制造业占比不低于30.3%。目前我国制造业占比已逼近临界值,应采取符合市场需求及经济发展规律的产业政策,以维持制造业合理占比的稳定。