This study developed a hierarchical Bayesian(HB)model for local and regional flood frequency analysis in the Dongting Lake Basin,in China.The annual maximum daily flows from 15 streamflow-gauged sites in the study are...This study developed a hierarchical Bayesian(HB)model for local and regional flood frequency analysis in the Dongting Lake Basin,in China.The annual maximum daily flows from 15 streamflow-gauged sites in the study area were analyzed with the HB model.The generalized extreme value(GEV)distribution was selected as the extreme flood distribution,and the GEV distribution location and scale parameters were spatially modeled through a regression approach with the drainage area as a covariate.The Markov chain Monte Carlo(MCMC)method with Gibbs sampling was employed to calculate the posterior distribution in the HB model.The results showed that the proposed HB model provided satisfactory Bayesian credible intervals for flood quantiles,while the traditional delta method could not provide reliable uncertainty estimations for large flood quantiles,due to the fact that the lower confidence bounds tended to decrease as the return periods increased.Furthermore,the HB model for regional analysis allowed for a reduction in the value of some restrictive assumptions in the traditional index flood method,such as the homogeneity region assumption and the scale invariance assumption.The HB model can also provide an uncertainty band of flood quantile prediction at a poorly gauged or ungauged site,but the index flood method with L-moments does not demonstrate this uncertainty directly.Therefore,the HB model is an effective method of implementing the flexible local and regional frequency analysis scheme,and of quantifying the associated predictive uncertainty.展开更多
The closed-form solutions of the dynamic problem of heterogeneous piezoelectric materials are formulated by introducing polarizations into a reference medium and using the generalized reciprocity theorem.These solutio...The closed-form solutions of the dynamic problem of heterogeneous piezoelectric materials are formulated by introducing polarizations into a reference medium and using the generalized reciprocity theorem.These solutions can be reduced to the ones of an elastodynamic problem.Based on the effective medium method,these closedform solutions can be used to establish the self-consistent equations about the frequencydependent effective parameters,which can be numerically solved by iteration.Theoretical predictions are compared with the experimental results,and good agreement can be found.Furthermore,the analyses on the effects of microstructure and wavelength on the effective properties,resonance frequencies,and attenuation are also presented,which may provide some guidance for the microstructure design and analysis of piezoelectric composites.展开更多
Introduction:Flood recession farming,locally known as molapo farming,is an important livelihood activity for the subsistence farming community around the Okavango Delta.The study was aimed at investigating the influen...Introduction:Flood recession farming,locally known as molapo farming,is an important livelihood activity for the subsistence farming community around the Okavango Delta.The study was aimed at investigating the influence of cultivation frequency on non-crop species composition.It was carried out in the peripheral settlements of Shorobe,Makalamabedi and Lake Ngami.Methods:Vegetation sampling was conducted from March to April 2016 in 36 fields of varying historical cultivation frequencies.The cultivation frequencies were 5,10 and 15 years with an uncropped control site.Sampling was done in 1-m^(2) quadrats placed 10 m apart along a line transect.Shannon’s diversity and equitability indices were used to compare diversity for each cultivation frequency within and across the study sites.The Kruskal–Wallis test was used to investigate significant differences in diversity between cultivation frequencies.Rank of abundance was used to determine the association of weeds with the cultivation frequencies.Results:Cultivation frequency did not influence species diversity(p>0.05)at either Lake Ngami or Shorobe.Species evenness was significantly different(p<0.05)between the cultivation frequencies at Shorobe,but not at either Makalamabedi or Lake Ngami.There was a significant difference(p<0.05)in diversity indexes across the four cultivation frequencies.The 5-year frequency recorded the highest median score(Md=1.352)while the 15-year frequency recorded the lowest median score(Md=1.035).Corchorus tridens was the most abundant noncrop species at the 5-and 15-year frequencies.Cynodon dactylon was most abundant in the 10-year frequency while Cyperus esculentus was most abundant in uncropped fields.Conclusions:Cultivation frequency influenced weed species diversity and composition in flood recession farming.Flood recession farming fields were dominated by common weed species which are also troublesome in dryland arable farming.Uncropped sites were composed of wetland species that tolerate some dry periods or seasonal flood plains.展开更多
In aircraft wings,aileron mass parameter presents a tremendous effect on the velocity and frequency of the flutter problem.For that purpose,we present the optimization of a composite design wing with an aileron,using ...In aircraft wings,aileron mass parameter presents a tremendous effect on the velocity and frequency of the flutter problem.For that purpose,we present the optimization of a composite design wing with an aileron,using machine-learning approach.Mass properties and its distribution have a great influence on the multi-variate optimization procedure,based on speed and frequency of flutter.First,flutter speed was obtained to estimate aileron impact.Additionally mass-equilibrated and other features were investigated.It can deduced that changing the position and mass properties of the aileron are tangible following the speed and frequency of the wing flutter.Based on the proposed optimization method,the best position of the aileron is determined for the composite wing to postpone flutter instability and decrease the existed stress.The represented coupled aero-structural model is emerged from subsonic aerodynamics model,which has been developed using the panel method in multidimensional space.The structural modeling has been conducted by finite element method,using the p-k method.The fluid-structure equations are solved and the results are extracted.展开更多
In seismic design of tapered high pier, the analysis of natural vibration frequency is of great importance. According to the engineering features of tapered high pier in mountainous area, a vibration calculation model...In seismic design of tapered high pier, the analysis of natural vibration frequency is of great importance. According to the engineering features of tapered high pier in mountainous area, a vibration calculation model was set up considering the tapered pier characteristics and pile-soil interaction. Based on Southwell frequency composition theory, it consists of elastic deformation of bridge pier and the rigid deformation of group piles, which are respectively solved by the finite-element method and energy method, and then the natural frequency is derived. The comparison between the measured and calculated results shows that the calculation errors with and without considering pile-soil interaction are 4.9% and 14.7%, respectively. Additionally, the main parameters (pier height, section variation coefficient and lateral foundation horizontal proportional coefficient) affecting natural frequency were investigated. The result shows that natural frequency ascends with the increase of the lateral foundation horizontal proportional coefficient; and it is quite necessary to consider the pile-soil interaction in natural frequency calculation of tapered high pier.展开更多
A low-frequency multi-mode ultrasonic Lamb wave method suitable for character- izing the thickness, the density and the elastic constants of the ultra-thin transversely isotropic laminate composite is presented. The &...A low-frequency multi-mode ultrasonic Lamb wave method suitable for character- izing the thickness, the density and the elastic constants of the ultra-thin transversely isotropic laminate composite is presented. The 'ultra-thin' here means that the thickness of the plate is much less than the wavelength of the ultrasonic wave so that the echoes from the front and back faces of the plate can't be separated in the time domain. The dispersion equations for the low frequency ultrasonic Lamb waves with the propagation directions parallel and vertical to the fiber direction are derived. In conjunction with the least square algorithm method, the secant algorithm is used to estimate the parameters of the ultra-thin fiber-reinforced composite layer. The evaluation errors and the sensitivity of the method to different paramters of the thin composite are analyzed. The technique has been used to characterize the ultra-thin grass fiber reinforced PES composite with thickness down to ten percents of the ultrasonic wavelength. It is observed that the agreement between the nominal and the estimation values is reasonably good.展开更多
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grants No.51779074 and 41371052)the Special Fund for the Public Welfare Industry of the Ministry of Water Resources of China(Grant No.201501059)+3 种基金the National Key Research and Development Program of China(Grant No.2017YFC0404304)the Jiangsu Water Conservancy Science and Technology Project(Grant No.2017027)the Program for Outstanding Young Talents in Colleges and Universities of Anhui Province(Grant No.gxyq2018143)the Natural Science Foundation of Wanjiang University of Technology(Grant No.WG18030)
文摘This study developed a hierarchical Bayesian(HB)model for local and regional flood frequency analysis in the Dongting Lake Basin,in China.The annual maximum daily flows from 15 streamflow-gauged sites in the study area were analyzed with the HB model.The generalized extreme value(GEV)distribution was selected as the extreme flood distribution,and the GEV distribution location and scale parameters were spatially modeled through a regression approach with the drainage area as a covariate.The Markov chain Monte Carlo(MCMC)method with Gibbs sampling was employed to calculate the posterior distribution in the HB model.The results showed that the proposed HB model provided satisfactory Bayesian credible intervals for flood quantiles,while the traditional delta method could not provide reliable uncertainty estimations for large flood quantiles,due to the fact that the lower confidence bounds tended to decrease as the return periods increased.Furthermore,the HB model for regional analysis allowed for a reduction in the value of some restrictive assumptions in the traditional index flood method,such as the homogeneity region assumption and the scale invariance assumption.The HB model can also provide an uncertainty band of flood quantile prediction at a poorly gauged or ungauged site,but the index flood method with L-moments does not demonstrate this uncertainty directly.Therefore,the HB model is an effective method of implementing the flexible local and regional frequency analysis scheme,and of quantifying the associated predictive uncertainty.
基金Project supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.12072240)。
文摘The closed-form solutions of the dynamic problem of heterogeneous piezoelectric materials are formulated by introducing polarizations into a reference medium and using the generalized reciprocity theorem.These solutions can be reduced to the ones of an elastodynamic problem.Based on the effective medium method,these closedform solutions can be used to establish the self-consistent equations about the frequencydependent effective parameters,which can be numerically solved by iteration.Theoretical predictions are compared with the experimental results,and good agreement can be found.Furthermore,the analyses on the effects of microstructure and wavelength on the effective properties,resonance frequencies,and attenuation are also presented,which may provide some guidance for the microstructure design and analysis of piezoelectric composites.
基金Gratitude is extended to the University of Botswana (Office of Research and Development) for funding this project.
文摘Introduction:Flood recession farming,locally known as molapo farming,is an important livelihood activity for the subsistence farming community around the Okavango Delta.The study was aimed at investigating the influence of cultivation frequency on non-crop species composition.It was carried out in the peripheral settlements of Shorobe,Makalamabedi and Lake Ngami.Methods:Vegetation sampling was conducted from March to April 2016 in 36 fields of varying historical cultivation frequencies.The cultivation frequencies were 5,10 and 15 years with an uncropped control site.Sampling was done in 1-m^(2) quadrats placed 10 m apart along a line transect.Shannon’s diversity and equitability indices were used to compare diversity for each cultivation frequency within and across the study sites.The Kruskal–Wallis test was used to investigate significant differences in diversity between cultivation frequencies.Rank of abundance was used to determine the association of weeds with the cultivation frequencies.Results:Cultivation frequency did not influence species diversity(p>0.05)at either Lake Ngami or Shorobe.Species evenness was significantly different(p<0.05)between the cultivation frequencies at Shorobe,but not at either Makalamabedi or Lake Ngami.There was a significant difference(p<0.05)in diversity indexes across the four cultivation frequencies.The 5-year frequency recorded the highest median score(Md=1.352)while the 15-year frequency recorded the lowest median score(Md=1.035).Corchorus tridens was the most abundant noncrop species at the 5-and 15-year frequencies.Cynodon dactylon was most abundant in the 10-year frequency while Cyperus esculentus was most abundant in uncropped fields.Conclusions:Cultivation frequency influenced weed species diversity and composition in flood recession farming.Flood recession farming fields were dominated by common weed species which are also troublesome in dryland arable farming.Uncropped sites were composed of wetland species that tolerate some dry periods or seasonal flood plains.
基金This work was supported by China Medical University.
文摘In aircraft wings,aileron mass parameter presents a tremendous effect on the velocity and frequency of the flutter problem.For that purpose,we present the optimization of a composite design wing with an aileron,using machine-learning approach.Mass properties and its distribution have a great influence on the multi-variate optimization procedure,based on speed and frequency of flutter.First,flutter speed was obtained to estimate aileron impact.Additionally mass-equilibrated and other features were investigated.It can deduced that changing the position and mass properties of the aileron are tangible following the speed and frequency of the wing flutter.Based on the proposed optimization method,the best position of the aileron is determined for the composite wing to postpone flutter instability and decrease the existed stress.The represented coupled aero-structural model is emerged from subsonic aerodynamics model,which has been developed using the panel method in multidimensional space.The structural modeling has been conducted by finite element method,using the p-k method.The fluid-structure equations are solved and the results are extracted.
基金Project(50708033) supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China
文摘In seismic design of tapered high pier, the analysis of natural vibration frequency is of great importance. According to the engineering features of tapered high pier in mountainous area, a vibration calculation model was set up considering the tapered pier characteristics and pile-soil interaction. Based on Southwell frequency composition theory, it consists of elastic deformation of bridge pier and the rigid deformation of group piles, which are respectively solved by the finite-element method and energy method, and then the natural frequency is derived. The comparison between the measured and calculated results shows that the calculation errors with and without considering pile-soil interaction are 4.9% and 14.7%, respectively. Additionally, the main parameters (pier height, section variation coefficient and lateral foundation horizontal proportional coefficient) affecting natural frequency were investigated. The result shows that natural frequency ascends with the increase of the lateral foundation horizontal proportional coefficient; and it is quite necessary to consider the pile-soil interaction in natural frequency calculation of tapered high pier.
基金the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 69631020) and theOffice of Naval Research of America (00014-93-1-0340).
文摘A low-frequency multi-mode ultrasonic Lamb wave method suitable for character- izing the thickness, the density and the elastic constants of the ultra-thin transversely isotropic laminate composite is presented. The 'ultra-thin' here means that the thickness of the plate is much less than the wavelength of the ultrasonic wave so that the echoes from the front and back faces of the plate can't be separated in the time domain. The dispersion equations for the low frequency ultrasonic Lamb waves with the propagation directions parallel and vertical to the fiber direction are derived. In conjunction with the least square algorithm method, the secant algorithm is used to estimate the parameters of the ultra-thin fiber-reinforced composite layer. The evaluation errors and the sensitivity of the method to different paramters of the thin composite are analyzed. The technique has been used to characterize the ultra-thin grass fiber reinforced PES composite with thickness down to ten percents of the ultrasonic wavelength. It is observed that the agreement between the nominal and the estimation values is reasonably good.
