Forecast Grain “Three Quantities” Based on Grey GM (1, 1) and Promote the Structural Reform of Grain Supply Side

As a special product, the cultivation and production of grain directly affect the consumption of people, which has an important influence on the development of social economy and the national economy and people’s livelihood. Firstly, the present situation of grain production is analyzed, and the problems facing the structural reform of grain supply side in China are analyzed from grain output and its import and export volume. Secondly, we use grey GM (1, 1) model to predict grain output and consumption, grain import and export volume and all kinds of grain crops output in China, and then analyze the future trend of grain production in China. Finally, we put forward construction of grain branding, rational allocation of grain planting varieties, construction of traceability system for grain production, further grain processing and development of “Internet agriculture” industrial model to promote structural reform of grain supply side.

Structural reform of agricultural supply side under the concept of green development

The structural reform of the agricultural supply side is the fundamental way to solve the current agricultural problems in China and an important way to increase the income of farmers. The concept of green development refers to engaging in economic activities under the premise of fully protecting the environment and rationally utilizing resources. It is a good strategy to achieve harmony between man and nature on the basis of respecting the laws of nature. Based on the concept of green development, this paper attempts to explore the implementation path of structural reform of agricultural supply side from four aspects: industrial structure change, agricultural operation subject innovation, agricultural product brand construction and government safeguard measures. Agriculture is the foundation of the national economy.Effectively solving the obstacles in agricultural development and realizing agricultural modernization is of great value for improving China’s overall economic level, maintaining social stability and increasing farmers’ income.

Setting the Structural Reform of Supply-Side as the Focus and Shifting the Economic Development Model

To focus on SRSS during the 13th Five-Year Plan period(2016-2020) is a necessary response to the changes of the international economic environment and to China's goal of achieving the new normal in economic development. The main reason why the focus shifts from changing EDM to reforming the supply-side structure lies in the fact that structural reform boosts the transformation of EDM, and only by accomplishing the former will the latter be realized. Today SRSS is faced with challenges like different ideologies, insufficient conditions and backward regulations. It should be led by the Five Major Development Concepts proposed by President Xi Jinping, "Innovation, coordination, greenness, openness and sharing," and the "supply-side" and "demand-side" must be simultaneously propelled.

The Supply-Side Structural Reforms——Adapting to and Leading China's New Normal

The Central Economic Working Conference proposed supplyside structural reforms which can be regarded as major innovations and necessary measures that adapt to and lead the new normal of economic development. The 13^(th) Five Year Plan is a critical period for the transformation of economic development patterns and economic restructuring, so clarifying the theoretical values and practical significances of the supply-side structural reforms, making a clear explanation of the scientific connotations and policy implications of these reforms from a scientific standpoint, and discussing concrete measures to promote the reforms against the background of the economic new normal not only has academic values but also has important practical implications. Viewed from the practical standpoint of China' s new normal and through analyzing the basic national conditions, this article proposes a roadmap for implementing the proposed reforms and points out that only by doing well in the hybrid operation of "addition, subtraction, multiplication and division", based on the framework of the "five policy pillars", an innovative path of the supply-side structural reforms with Chinese characteristics can be paved.

China's Excess Oil Refining Production Capacity in the Background of the Supply Side Structural Reform

Through analysis of the current situation and newly-increased production capacity-of the oil refining industry of China, this Paper discusses both the continuous expansion trend and the serious excess of production capacity of the oil refining industry of China. Due to the entry of the Chinese economy into the new normal,the accelerated substitution of old energy by new energy and rigid restrictions composed of low carbon and environmental protection requirements, the oil demand of China will continue to increase overall, but the growth will obviously slow down. At the same time, the newly-increased production capacity in Shandong and coastal region will continuously expand, the supply and demand contradiction will intensify, and the structural excess production capacity of the oil refining industry of China will be prominent. It is suggested that the government should attach great importance to the production capacity of the oil refining industry at the macro level, and deeply carry forward the supply side structural reform, and that enterprises should speed up technical innovation,enhance regional and layout optimization, adapt to market changes and adjust product structure, control oil refining but increase chemical engineering, improve product quality and production efficiency, and constantly promote the international competitiveness of the Chinese petrochemical industry.

Research on the Socialization of Grassroots Meteorological Services in Agricultural Supply-side Structural Reform

In 2017, the No. 1 Document of the Central Committee proposed that "it is necessary to further promote agricultural supply-side structural reform, accelerate the cultivation of new kinetic energy for agricultural and rural development, and create a new situation in the construction of agricultural modernization". Under the new normal, Zhejiang s agricultural development shows new characteristics and new trends of speed change, structural optimization, and power conversion, and meteorological services for agriculture have stronger demands, higher requirements, and heavier tasks. The socialization of meteorological services is a new type of system arrangement for the provision of meteorological services, and aims to provide high-quality and efficient meteorological service products for the public and promote the equalization of basic meteorological services in urban and rural areas. In this study, through research on the socialization of grassroots meteorological services in a new situation, a new way of the government to provide public weather services is proposed, and a mechanism of the government to purchase public meteorological services is established;social resources and forces are organized and guided to develop the innovation system and mechanism of public weather services, and social resources are fully mobilized to meet the demand for meteorological services in the process of agricultural supply-side structural reform.

On the Planning of Chinese Marine High-tech Industry Demonstration Zones:From the Perspective of Supply-side Structural Reform

China’s national agricultural high-tech industry demonstration zones focus on supply-side structural reform in their overall plan of development.This paper selected the China’s marine industry as its research subject and analyzes its current situation and major problems.After summarizing the current researches of China’s marine industry parks,from the perspective of supply-side structural reform,this paper specifies the tasks and objectives of the construction of the marine hi-tech industry demonstration zones.The overall planning of the demonstration zones must set distinctive developmen as its orientation,and we should emphasize innovation-driven and green development,devise a functional zoning that embraces marine-land and allround integration,and seek mechanism innovations that could invigorate the inner drive of development.The paper also puts forward the major principles that the planning of marine hi-tech industry demonstration zones should obey in the context of supply-side structural reform.

Supply-Side Structural Reform, Digital Economy and Corporate Default Risk

In recent years, a lot of corporate defaults have had an impact on the capital market. How to prevent corporate default risks has become an important topic of concern for the academic community, enterprises and the government. We took China’s A-share listed companies from 2012 to 2018 as a sample, and used the double difference method to analyze the impact of supply-side structural reforms on corporate default risks. We found that supply-side structural reforms have reduced the risk of corporate default, and the inhibitory effect has gradually increased. In the relationship between supply-side structural reforms and corporate default risks, corporate financing capabilities have played an intermediary role. Supply-side structural reforms can improve the company’s endogenous financing capabilities, thereby reducing the risk of corporate default. However, we also found that the mediating effect of a company’s exogenous financing capability is not significant. At the same time, the regression results show that the digital economy can play a regulatory role. It can not only actively regulate the relationship between supply-side structural reforms and corporate default risks, but also mediate the mediating effect of corporate endogenous financing capabilities. The results of this article provide some evidence for the synergy between supply-side structural reforms and the digital economy.

Influencing Factors and Dynamic Mechanism of Industrial Structure from the Perspective of Supply-side Reform

The supply-side reform is an important measure for the high-quality development of China's economy in the new era. The purpose of this paper is to explore the mechanism and influence of technological progress,human capital,consumption demand,resource endowment and government intervention on the adjustment and upgrading of industrial structure,and to deepen the understanding of supply-side reform.

Study of the Development of Chinese sports Industry in the Context of Supply-side Structura Reform

In recent years,China’s sports industry has witnessed rapid development gradually forming an emerging strength in its Supply-side Structural Reform and thus increasingly being highlighted in the development of the nationa economy.Being integrated,society-based,green and sustainable,the sports industry is gaining popularity among the Chinese people.This paper studies the overall development of Chinese sports industry during the 12th FiveYear Plan period(2011-2015)and unveils the key achievements it made,such as the expansion of scale,the diversification of products and services,the improvement of industry policies,the apparent upgrading and optimization of the industry’s structure and its further integration with the Internet However,there are still some problems in the development of China’s sports industry&Chinese sports industry accounts for a fairly low proportion in the gross domestic product(GDP)and cannot yet compare with those of developed countries.Besides,given that its the sports services make up only a small share and that a supply-demand imbalance still exists in the sports products and services,its industrial structure requires further upgrading and optimization.In addition,failure to fully stimulate an innovation initiative restricts this industry’s further development.Targeting the bottleneck facing Chinese sports industry and corresponding path selection,this paper mainly analyzes its institutional mechanism reform,structural upgrading and layout product quality improvement and talent supply optimization.Based on the analysis,it is concluded that the development of Chinese sports industry is of great importance to China’s economic transformation,upgrading and healthy development and it echoes the call of Supply-side Structural Reform.

Properly Understanding Supply–side Structural Reform in the Cultural Sector

The proposal of supply–side structural reform in the cultural sector is based on theoretical inspiration from the economic sector and actual issues in the cultural sector. A proper understanding of the proposal is crucial to the implementation of the reform which should be based on the backgrounds of macroscopic reform and cultural development of the country as well as the need for theoretical innovation. The reform should be carried out with a clear understanding of China's current conditions, a clarification of the reform thinking, the similarities and differences of supply–side structural reforms between the cultural and the economic sectors, as well as an analysis of issues related to the "supply–side" and "structure" in the cultural sector. Concerted efforts from the government through guidance, and market entities through operation should be made to apply appropriately to the reform principle of "unity of doubles effects." Innovations, especially those in technology and institutions, should be promoted as a new momentum to drive cultural development. Concerted efforts from the government and enterprises should underpin optimal supply and a mechanism for competition should be established to ensure effective supply in the cultural sector. In the meantime, the upgrading of demand should be used as a new guidance for effective supply and investment should be oriented to supplement the need for public cultural services. Attention should be paid to a satisfaction–oriented approach to fill the gaps in cultural consumption. For the cultural industry and undertakings, it is now the prime time which brings along great opportunities for development and challenges for reform. From now on the cultural sector should seek its development from transformation and upgrading. Supported by the central government through policy incentives and driven by technological innovations and the capital markets, the cultural industry will maintain stable growth for a relatively long period. In the implementation of supply–side structural reform in a well–organized and all–round way, governments, markets, enterprises, and the industry should each perform their functions and make concerted efforts for innovation to jointly promote the sound development and sustainable growth of the cultural sector.

Study on the "Going out" Strategy in Reform of the Supply Front for Agriculture

The three rural issues have been always valued by all circles. At present,the main conflict of agriculture in China has been changed from insufficient total amount to structural conflict. Thus,deeply promoting the reform of agricultural supply front has become a primary work in rural areas. It is required to follow the national grain security strategy based on domestic supply and moderate imports,to ensure production capacity. Besides,China should make full use of domestic and foreign markets and resources to protect the domestic agricultural consumption demand,which is favorable for resolving the current structural conflict and also favorable for sustainable agricultural development.

Economy, Environment and Government: Study on the Path of Supply-Side Reform Forced by the Fog-Haze

Unbalanced development in term as industrial structure and the efficiency use of energy have aggravated environmental pollution to different degrees resulting in the increase of range, time and degree of fog-haze. This, in turn, forced the government to carry out supply-side reforms, to improve energy efficiency and optimize the industrial structure to weaken the environmental pollution. To tackle these problems, this work provides an index system for the issues related to fog-haze, uses a non-linear ST-SVAR model to reflect the effects of industrial structure and energy use efficiency on fog-haze. Results indicated that: First, current industrial structure and energy use efficiency have greater impact on the comprehensive equation of fog-haze risk than itself. With the passage of time, this influence is still gradually expanding. Second, the equations of industrial structure and energy use efficiency are strongly influenced by themselves, and other variables as the current period have less impact on them. Finally, the non-linear or asymmetric relationship is shown among industrial structure, energy use efficiency, and the fog-haze comprehensive risk equation.

Research on Development Strategies of Small Towns and Villages under the Background of New Countryside Construction —A Case Study of Bixi Town of Changshu City of Jiangsu Province in China

By taking Bixi Town of Changshu City of Jiangsu Province in China for example,through the analysis of its development including villages types,industrial layout and existing problems,development strategies for basic facilities in villages of Bixi Town have been illustrated from the perspective of road system,water supply and drainage system,power supply engineer,communication facilities,cable television engineer and sanitation engineer.Strategies contain building famous historical and cultural villages,developing leisure agriculture and developing distinctive agricultural undertakings.It is expected to provide development strategies for small towns and villages under the background of new countryside construction.

How to Optimize the Structure of Agricultural Products in the Context of Reform of the Supply Front?

Based on reform of the supply front,this paper analyzes the main constraints on China's current structure of agricultural products,including irrational allocation of resources between agricultural products,prominent problems concerning agricultural product quality and safety,disconnection between market demand and agricultural product R&D,and low processing capacity of agricultural products. Based on summing up the experience of the countries with developed agriculture,this paper proposes the path and mechanism for the optimization of structure of agricultural products in China: optimizing resource allocation of agricultural products; improving the quality of agricultural products; enhancing the R&D capacity of agricultural enterprises; promoting the processing and conversion capacity of agricultural products; perfecting the policy support and subsidy mode.

The Airport Economy Development of ZAEZ's Innovation on the Regional Development Pattern

Regional economic development can be enhanced through the development of an airport economy that includes: changing the regional elements endowment at the micro scale, coupling with regional industries at the medium scale, and accelerating tax revenues and employment growth at the macro scale. As a representative example of the Chinese airport economy, the Zhengzhou Airport Economic Zone(ZAEZ) has played a significant leading and demonstrating role in the following fields: deepening the system reforms in an all-round way, promoting the "synchronization of five modernizations", building "one carrier and four systems", constructing "Four Henan", advancing the structural reform of supply-side and integrating the resources of the Henan airport. This article concludes: The supply-side structural reform needs to be accelerated and integrated into the international frontiers under "the Belt and Road" initiative. The ZAEA development has promoted the innovation of regional development patterns and showed the tendency toward the "five modernizations" of future regional development. The airport economy has developed rapidly based on the international aviation transportation system, and may change the traditional development patterns of regional centers located in coastal areas, and open a new era of regional development in the inland regions.

Strategic Measures for Implementing 300 Demonstration Projects to Lead the Construction of Modern Agricultural Industrial Clusters with Output of 100 Billion Yuan

To carefully implement the rural revitalization strategy,further promote the structural reform of the agricultural supply front,implement the "155 Development Strategy",speed up the cultivation of the modern agricultural industrial clusters with output of 100 billion yuan,and constantly consolidate the industrial foundation of the " Second City in Chengdu-Chongqing Line",the Municipal Party Committee and the Municipal Government of Nanchong City decided to implement the " 300 Demonstration Projects" of modern agriculture. It firmly grasps the " bull nose"( key part) of the project,energetically implements the construction of 100 modern circular agricultural demonstration parks,100 agricultural leading enterprises with output value of 100 billion yuan,and 100 agricultural new business model demonstration projects( hereinafter referred to as 300 Demonstration Projects),to realize the goal of the output value of the modern agriculture industrial clusters of Nanchong City exceeds 100 billion yuan in 2020.

以有效需求牵引供给以高水平供给创造需求——学习习近平宏观经济治理供求关系良性互动的论述

学习和领会习近平宏观经济治理思想尤其是关于供求关系良性互动的论述,有助于梳理我国宏观经济治理与宏观调控政策的发展脉络,进一步深化认识和自觉遵循新时代客观经济规律,对于加快构建新发展格局和实现高质量发展具有非常重要的理论与实践意义。面对经济发展有效需求不足等失衡特点,“深化供给侧结构性改革和扩大有效需求协同发力”已成为新时代做好经济工作需要认识和遵循的重要规律。当前实现需求与供给两端协同发力,在政策目标和政策导向上必须追求以有效需求牵引供给、以高水平供给创造需求,还要从政策制定和传导机制、治理机制和体制基础等方面持续发力以切实提升宏观经济治理和政策调控的有效性。

教育供给侧结构性改革视角下高校创新创业教育的长效机制构建

教育供给侧结构性改革是当前教育领域的关键议题,强调教育供给主体的协同、要素的优化配置和制度的保障,以促进供需衔接,推动“大众创新,万众创业”。高校以此理论为指导,积极建立“国家—高校—企业外循环”和“高校管理人员—教师—学生内循环”的协同机制,构建三维合一的长效发展模式,有助于解决高等教育中存在的协同碎片化、要素融合难、制度供给不足等问题,推动创新人才培养,促进学科、技术融合,培养大学生创新意识和创业精神,推动高校创新创业教育的可持续发展。

金融化能够提升制造业企业盈利能力吗——来自中国A股市场的证据

以2012-2022年沪深A股制造业上市公司的财务数据为样本,实证检验制造业企业金融化对企业盈利能力的影响。研究表明:制造业企业金融化对制造业企业利润率有显著抑制作用;机制检验发现货币政策在二者关系中起调节作用,金融化通过挤出实体投资和加剧融资约束来抑制制造业企业利润率增长;大型企业、非国有企业以及持有长期金融资产的企业金融化对制造业企业利润率的抑制作用更显著。因此,应加强对制造业企业金融投资监管力度,强化供给侧结构性改革,将经济发展着力点放在实体企业上,以提升企业盈利能力为目的,促进制造业企业金融活动和生产经营的良性循环。