In this paper we present the accurate estimation of total fertility rates, prove the theorem of upper and lower bounds of double-edged limit and provide the formulas of upper and lower bounds of total fertility rates....In this paper we present the accurate estimation of total fertility rates, prove the theorem of upper and lower bounds of double-edged limit and provide the formulas of upper and lower bounds of total fertility rates. Based on these estimations and statistical data, we calculate the upper and lower bounds of the double-edged limit for 46 countries including China. Furthermore, we describe the positive growth rate, negative growth rate and zero growth rate of population development. These results are of great importance for us to control population not only in theory but also in practice.展开更多
Based on China fertility survey 2017,this report presents the national fertility level,age-specific fertility rate and parity distribution.The survey results show that during 2006-2016 the mean ages at first marriage ...Based on China fertility survey 2017,this report presents the national fertility level,age-specific fertility rate and parity distribution.The survey results show that during 2006-2016 the mean ages at first marriage and first birth increased by 2.7 and 2.6 years respectively.From 2006 to 2011,the total fertility rate was around 1.60-1.70,and experienced notable fluctuations during 2012-2016.Compared the age-specific fertility in 2006 with in 2011,the curve in 2016 shifted significantly to the right side.Affected by the relaxation of the fertility policy,the proportion of second births among the total births had increased year by year since 2012.展开更多
文摘In this paper we present the accurate estimation of total fertility rates, prove the theorem of upper and lower bounds of double-edged limit and provide the formulas of upper and lower bounds of total fertility rates. Based on these estimations and statistical data, we calculate the upper and lower bounds of the double-edged limit for 46 countries including China. Furthermore, we describe the positive growth rate, negative growth rate and zero growth rate of population development. These results are of great importance for us to control population not only in theory but also in practice.
文摘Based on China fertility survey 2017,this report presents the national fertility level,age-specific fertility rate and parity distribution.The survey results show that during 2006-2016 the mean ages at first marriage and first birth increased by 2.7 and 2.6 years respectively.From 2006 to 2011,the total fertility rate was around 1.60-1.70,and experienced notable fluctuations during 2012-2016.Compared the age-specific fertility in 2006 with in 2011,the curve in 2016 shifted significantly to the right side.Affected by the relaxation of the fertility policy,the proportion of second births among the total births had increased year by year since 2012.
