Jacket-type offshore platforms are widely used for oil, gas field, and energy development in shallow water. The design of a jacket structure is highly dependent on target environmental variables. This study focuses on...Jacket-type offshore platforms are widely used for oil, gas field, and energy development in shallow water. The design of a jacket structure is highly dependent on target environmental variables. This study focuses on a strategy to estimate design loads for offshore jacket structures based on an environmental contour approach. In addition to the popular conditional distribution model, various classes of bivariate copulas are adopted to construct joint distributions of environmental variables. Analytical formulations of environmental contours based on various models are presented and discussed in this study. The design loads are examined by dynamic response analysis of jacket platform. Results suggest that the conditional model is not recommended for use in estimating design loads in sampling locations due to poor fitting results. Independent copula produces conservative design loads and the extreme response obtained using the conditional model are smaller than those determined by copulas. The suitability of a model for contour construction varies with the origin of wave data. This study provides a reference for the design load estimation of jacket structures and offers an alternative procedure to determine the design criteria for offshore structures.展开更多
该文引入信息理论分析电力系统的负荷预测,将其描述为信息决策过程,并提出了短期负荷预测中的最小信息损失(minimization of information loss,MIL)综合模型,利用历史负荷与预测误差的分布情况在信息损失最小的原则下求解最可能的负荷...该文引入信息理论分析电力系统的负荷预测,将其描述为信息决策过程,并提出了短期负荷预测中的最小信息损失(minimization of information loss,MIL)综合模型,利用历史负荷与预测误差的分布情况在信息损失最小的原则下求解最可能的负荷取值。针对MIL综合模型中概率分布的估计问题,文中应用了正态分布参数估计和Parzen窗估计2种不同的方法,给出了各自的算法。展开更多
基金supported by the National Key Research and Development Program (No. 2016YFC0303401)the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 51779236)the National Natural Science Foundation of China–Shandong Joint Fund Project (No. U1706226)。
文摘Jacket-type offshore platforms are widely used for oil, gas field, and energy development in shallow water. The design of a jacket structure is highly dependent on target environmental variables. This study focuses on a strategy to estimate design loads for offshore jacket structures based on an environmental contour approach. In addition to the popular conditional distribution model, various classes of bivariate copulas are adopted to construct joint distributions of environmental variables. Analytical formulations of environmental contours based on various models are presented and discussed in this study. The design loads are examined by dynamic response analysis of jacket platform. Results suggest that the conditional model is not recommended for use in estimating design loads in sampling locations due to poor fitting results. Independent copula produces conservative design loads and the extreme response obtained using the conditional model are smaller than those determined by copulas. The suitability of a model for contour construction varies with the origin of wave data. This study provides a reference for the design load estimation of jacket structures and offers an alternative procedure to determine the design criteria for offshore structures.
文摘该文引入信息理论分析电力系统的负荷预测,将其描述为信息决策过程,并提出了短期负荷预测中的最小信息损失(minimization of information loss,MIL)综合模型,利用历史负荷与预测误差的分布情况在信息损失最小的原则下求解最可能的负荷取值。针对MIL综合模型中概率分布的估计问题,文中应用了正态分布参数估计和Parzen窗估计2种不同的方法,给出了各自的算法。