Traditional studies on potential yield mainly referred to attainable yield： the maximum yield which could be reached by a crop in a given environment. The new concept of crop yield under average climate conditions wa...Traditional studies on potential yield mainly referred to attainable yield： the maximum yield which could be reached by a crop in a given environment. The new concept of crop yield under average climate conditions was defined in this paper, which was affected by advancement of science and technology. Based on the new concept of crop yield, the time series techniques relying on past yield data was employed to set up a forecasting model. The model was tested by using average grain yields of Liaoning Province in China from 1949 to 2005. The testing combined dynamic n-choosing and micro tendency rectification, and an average forecasting error was 1.24%. In the trend line of yield change, and then a yield turning point might occur, in which case the inflexion model was used to solve the problem of yield turn point.展开更多
By describing the technique of port connection and flow chart ofR/W operation between 24LC01, serial E2PROM, and EM78P447A, features of EM78P447 and its connection with I2C serial bus are introduced. In the end, the p...By describing the technique of port connection and flow chart ofR/W operation between 24LC01, serial E2PROM, and EM78P447A, features of EM78P447 and its connection with I2C serial bus are introduced. In the end, the programe of writing operation is given.展开更多
A general technique to obtain simple analytic approximations for the first kind of modified Bessel functions. The general procedure is shown, and the parameter determination is explained through the applications to th...A general technique to obtain simple analytic approximations for the first kind of modified Bessel functions. The general procedure is shown, and the parameter determination is explained through the applications to this particular case I1/6(x)and I1/7(x). In this way, it shows how to apply the technique to any particular orderν, in order to obtain an approximation valid for any positive value of the variable x. In the present method power series and asymptotic expansion are simultaneously used. The technique is an extension of the multipoint quasirational approximation method, MPQA. The main idea is to look for a bridge function between the power and asymptotic expansion of the I1/6(x), and similar procedure for I1/7(x). To perform this, rational functions are combined with hyperbolic ones and fractional powers. The number of parameters to be determined for each case is four. The maximum relative errors are 0.0049 for ν=1/6, and 0.0047 for ν=7. However, these relative errors decrease outside of the small region of the variables, wherein the maximum relative errors are reached. There is a clear advantage of this procedure compared with any other ones.展开更多
Water level predictions in the river,lake and delta play an important role in flood management.Every year Mekong River delta of Vietnam is experiencing flood due to heavy monsoon rains and high tides.Land subsidence m...Water level predictions in the river,lake and delta play an important role in flood management.Every year Mekong River delta of Vietnam is experiencing flood due to heavy monsoon rains and high tides.Land subsidence may also aggravate flooding problems in this area.Therefore,accurate predictions of water levels in this region are very important to forewarn the people and authorities for taking timely adequate remedial measures to prevent losses of life and property.There are so many methods available to predict the water levels based on historical data but nowadays Machine Learning(ML)methods are considered the best tool for accurate prediction.In this study,we have used surface water level data of 18 water level measurement stations of the Mekong River delta from 2000 to 2018 to build novel time-series Bagging based hybrid ML models namely:Bagging(RF),Bagging(SOM)and Bagging(M5P)to predict historical water levels in the study area.Performances of the Bagging-based hybrid models were compared with Reduced Error Pruning Trees(REPT),which is a benchmark ML model.The data of 19 years period was divided into 70:30 ratio for the modeling.The data of the period 1/2000 to 5/2013(which is about 70%of total data)was used for the training and for the period 5/2013 to 12/2018(which is about 30%of total data)was used for testing(validating)the models.Performance of the models was evaluated using standard statistical measures:Coefficient of Determination(R2),Root Mean Square Error(RMSE)and Mean Absolute Error(MAE).Results show that the performance of all the developed models is good(R2>0.9)for the prediction of water levels in the study area.However,the Bagging-based hybrid models are slightly better than another model such as REPT.Thus,these Bagging-based hybrid time series models can be used for predicting water levels at Mekong data.展开更多
A new singularity extraction technique is presented to calculate accurately the singular integrals in Time Domain Electric Field Integral Equation (TDEFIE).In singularity extraction pro- cedure,through the aid of the ...A new singularity extraction technique is presented to calculate accurately the singular integrals in Time Domain Electric Field Integral Equation (TDEFIE).In singularity extraction pro- cedure,through the aid of the first order Taylor series of time base function including time-retardation,the singularity of the integrand can be removed.The surface current density and backscattered far-field response of a conducting cube illuminated by a Gaussian plane wave is com- puted using the presented technique.Comparisons are made with the results obtained by the Inverse Discrete Fourier Transform (IDFT) of the frequency domain and the results obtained by using Ve- chinski's time averaging technique,which demonstrate that the presented method with this new time domain singularity extraction technique to solve TDEFIE is very accurate and stable.展开更多
As COVID-19 poses a major threat to people’s health and economy,there is an urgent need for forecasting methodologies that can anticipate its trajectory efficiently.In non-stationary time series forecasting jobs,ther...As COVID-19 poses a major threat to people’s health and economy,there is an urgent need for forecasting methodologies that can anticipate its trajectory efficiently.In non-stationary time series forecasting jobs,there is frequently a hysteresis in the anticipated values relative to the real values.The multilayer deep-time convolutional network and a feature fusion network are combined in this paper’s proposal of an enhanced Multilayer Deep Time Convolutional Neural Network(MDTCNet)for COVID-19 prediction to address this problem.In particular,it is possible to record the deep features and temporal dependencies in uncertain time series,and the features may then be combined using a feature fusion network and a multilayer perceptron.Last but not least,the experimental verification is conducted on the prediction task of COVID-19 real daily confirmed cases in the world and the United States with uncertainty,realizing the short-term and long-term prediction of COVID-19 daily confirmed cases,and verifying the effectiveness and accuracy of the suggested prediction method,as well as reducing the hysteresis of the prediction results.展开更多
基金Supported by Agricultural Poor-helping Monopoly of Graduate University of Chinese Academy of Science (40641002)
文摘Traditional studies on potential yield mainly referred to attainable yield： the maximum yield which could be reached by a crop in a given environment. The new concept of crop yield under average climate conditions was defined in this paper, which was affected by advancement of science and technology. Based on the new concept of crop yield, the time series techniques relying on past yield data was employed to set up a forecasting model. The model was tested by using average grain yields of Liaoning Province in China from 1949 to 2005. The testing combined dynamic n-choosing and micro tendency rectification, and an average forecasting error was 1.24%. In the trend line of yield change, and then a yield turning point might occur, in which case the inflexion model was used to solve the problem of yield turn point.
基金Research on Electromagnetic Scatter Character of very Complicate Object(69571021)
文摘By describing the technique of port connection and flow chart ofR/W operation between 24LC01, serial E2PROM, and EM78P447A, features of EM78P447 and its connection with I2C serial bus are introduced. In the end, the programe of writing operation is given.
文摘A general technique to obtain simple analytic approximations for the first kind of modified Bessel functions. The general procedure is shown, and the parameter determination is explained through the applications to this particular case I1/6(x)and I1/7(x). In this way, it shows how to apply the technique to any particular orderν, in order to obtain an approximation valid for any positive value of the variable x. In the present method power series and asymptotic expansion are simultaneously used. The technique is an extension of the multipoint quasirational approximation method, MPQA. The main idea is to look for a bridge function between the power and asymptotic expansion of the I1/6(x), and similar procedure for I1/7(x). To perform this, rational functions are combined with hyperbolic ones and fractional powers. The number of parameters to be determined for each case is four. The maximum relative errors are 0.0049 for ν=1/6, and 0.0047 for ν=7. However, these relative errors decrease outside of the small region of the variables, wherein the maximum relative errors are reached. There is a clear advantage of this procedure compared with any other ones.
基金funded by Vietnam Academy of Science and Technology(VAST)under Project Codes KHCBTÐ.02/19-21 and UQÐTCB.02/19-20.
文摘Water level predictions in the river,lake and delta play an important role in flood management.Every year Mekong River delta of Vietnam is experiencing flood due to heavy monsoon rains and high tides.Land subsidence may also aggravate flooding problems in this area.Therefore,accurate predictions of water levels in this region are very important to forewarn the people and authorities for taking timely adequate remedial measures to prevent losses of life and property.There are so many methods available to predict the water levels based on historical data but nowadays Machine Learning(ML)methods are considered the best tool for accurate prediction.In this study,we have used surface water level data of 18 water level measurement stations of the Mekong River delta from 2000 to 2018 to build novel time-series Bagging based hybrid ML models namely:Bagging(RF),Bagging(SOM)and Bagging(M5P)to predict historical water levels in the study area.Performances of the Bagging-based hybrid models were compared with Reduced Error Pruning Trees(REPT),which is a benchmark ML model.The data of 19 years period was divided into 70:30 ratio for the modeling.The data of the period 1/2000 to 5/2013(which is about 70%of total data)was used for the training and for the period 5/2013 to 12/2018(which is about 30%of total data)was used for testing(validating)the models.Performance of the models was evaluated using standard statistical measures:Coefficient of Determination(R2),Root Mean Square Error(RMSE)and Mean Absolute Error(MAE).Results show that the performance of all the developed models is good(R2>0.9)for the prediction of water levels in the study area.However,the Bagging-based hybrid models are slightly better than another model such as REPT.Thus,these Bagging-based hybrid time series models can be used for predicting water levels at Mekong data.
文摘A new singularity extraction technique is presented to calculate accurately the singular integrals in Time Domain Electric Field Integral Equation (TDEFIE).In singularity extraction pro- cedure,through the aid of the first order Taylor series of time base function including time-retardation,the singularity of the integrand can be removed.The surface current density and backscattered far-field response of a conducting cube illuminated by a Gaussian plane wave is com- puted using the presented technique.Comparisons are made with the results obtained by the Inverse Discrete Fourier Transform (IDFT) of the frequency domain and the results obtained by using Ve- chinski's time averaging technique,which demonstrate that the presented method with this new time domain singularity extraction technique to solve TDEFIE is very accurate and stable.
基金supported by the major scientific and technological research project of Chongqing Education Commission(KJZD-M202000802)The first batch of Industrial and Informatization Key Special Fund Support Projects in Chongqing in 2022(2022000537).
文摘As COVID-19 poses a major threat to people’s health and economy,there is an urgent need for forecasting methodologies that can anticipate its trajectory efficiently.In non-stationary time series forecasting jobs,there is frequently a hysteresis in the anticipated values relative to the real values.The multilayer deep-time convolutional network and a feature fusion network are combined in this paper’s proposal of an enhanced Multilayer Deep Time Convolutional Neural Network(MDTCNet)for COVID-19 prediction to address this problem.In particular,it is possible to record the deep features and temporal dependencies in uncertain time series,and the features may then be combined using a feature fusion network and a multilayer perceptron.Last but not least,the experimental verification is conducted on the prediction task of COVID-19 real daily confirmed cases in the world and the United States with uncertainty,realizing the short-term and long-term prediction of COVID-19 daily confirmed cases,and verifying the effectiveness and accuracy of the suggested prediction method,as well as reducing the hysteresis of the prediction results.
