Modeling Simulation Technology Research for Distribution Network Planning

This paper proposes to use the power system simulation software CYME to plan, model and simulate for an actual distribution network for improving the reliability and efficiency, enhancing the efficiency and capacity, simulating the abnormal condition of distribution network, and presenting operation program of safe, reliable and having simulation record statements. The modeling simulation results show that the software module has lots of advantages including high accuracy, ideal reliability, powerful practicality in simulation and analysis of distribution network, it only need to create once model, the model can sufficiently satisfy multifarious types of simulation analysis required for the distribution network planning.

An integrated spatial planning of the mountainous landscapes for ski sports in a case area at the eastern Türkiye

Mountainous regions have disadvantages in economic development because of harsh physical and climatic conditions.However,winter tourism activities are one of the key components for supporting economic development in the highlands.Establishing a ski resort area supports direct and indirect employment in a region,and it stops immigration from mountainous regions to other places.This research aimed to assess the potential ski areas using a multi criteria evaluation technique in the Van region which is located in the eastern part of Türkiye.In this context,snow cover duration,sun effect,slope,slope length,elevation,population density,distance from main roads and lake visibility were used as input factors in the decision making process.Each factor was standardized using a fuzzy technique based on existing well-known ski centers in Türkiye.The weight of inputs was defined by applying a survey to the professional skiers.The most important factors were detected as transportation opportunities and snow covers whereas,the least important factors were elevation and population density.Additionally,lake visibility was very important to make a difference from other existing facilities in the region.Therefore,it was included as constraints and lake visible areas were extracted at the final stage of the research.Potential ski areas were mapped in three levels as professional,intermediate and beginner skiers.One of the suitable areas was selected as a sample projection and for the 3D simulation of the ski investment area.Potential costs and benefits were discussed.It was found that a ski tourism area investment can be amortized in 3 years in the region.

Application of Assembly Modeling and Simulation Technology to a Large Size Wind-drive Generator

Challenges still remain in carrying out assembly modeling efficiently in virtual assembly （VA） fields. One of the root causes is the apparent weakness in effective description of assembly knowledge and information. The assembly modeling, disassembly modeling, assembly interference inspection, assembly sequence planning and optimization, and assembly simulation display for key techniques is studied theoretically in this paper. An example of product assembly modeling is provided to illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed approach. On the basis of re- search, using assembly simulation techniques and multimedia techniques to finish structure design in linkage design of a large size wind-drive generator. The application of the modeling method has shortened the lead time dramatically.

KSUTraffic: A Microscopic Traffic Simulator for Traffic Planning in Smart Cities

Simulation is a powerful tool for improving,evaluating and analyzing the performance of new and existing systems.Traffic simulators provide tools for studying transportation systems in smart cities as they describe the evolution of traffic to the highest level of detail.There are many types of traffic simulators that allow simulating traffic in modern cities.The most popular traffic simulation approach is the microscopic traffic simulation because of its ability to model traffic in a realistic manner.In many cities of Saudi Arabia,traffic management represents a major challenge as a result of expansion in traffic demands and increasing number of incidents.Unfortunately,employing simulation to provide effective traffic management for local scenarios in Saudi Arabia is limited to a number of commercial products in both public and private sectors.Commercial simulators are usually expensive,closed source and inflexible as they allow limited functionalities.In this project,we developed a local traffic simulator“KSUtraffic”for traffic modeling,planning and analysis with respect to different traffic control strategies and considerations.We modeled information specified by GIS and real traffic data.Furthermore,we designed experiments that manipulate simulation parameters and the underlying area.KSUTraffic visualizes traffic and provides statistical results on the simulated traffic which would help to improve traffic management and efficiency.

A Fundamental Study on Multi-agent Pedestrian Model Based on Risk Avoidance Behavior during Road Blockage and Evacuation Simulation of Regional Urban Disaster

Regional cities in Japan are at the risk of experiencing big fire accidents or earthquakes every day.However,neither the number nor the capacity of shelters has increased because local governments might not consider them owing to budget shortfall.By contrast,wide-area evacuation simulations can easily provide an antagonizing image of regional urban disasters.After a disaster,the city collapses and the evacuation routes are closed;consequently,evacuees feel anxious and they cannot move as usual.This anxiety behavior has not been considered in previous related studies and simulations.In this study,a wide-area evacuation simulation is developed;this model can not only calculate the possibility of blocking escape routes when the city is broken but also provide safe and more realistic evacuation plans before a disaster occurs by incorporating into the simulation the risk avoidance behaviors of evacuees from road blockage,such as“the route re-seeking behavior”and“the shelter re-selecting behavior”.

Multi-Project in an Integrated BIM Model: Clash Detection and Construction Planning

The Building Information Modelling (BIM) methodology has been adopted in the construction industry, supporting the development of projects. Its implementation has improved the collaboration and integration in the design context, increasing the accuracy of the project preparation and the decreasing additional costs and delays of the construction work. The main objective of the present research is to provide an overview of the state of the art of BIM applications, namely, concerning the construction planning. For that, the generation of a BIM 3D model, involving the disciplines of architecture, structures and water supply system was performed. After, over the model a conflict analysis was applied, in order to verify the consistency of all the disciplines, when linked together. In order to obtain a visual simulation of the construction process, the correspondent 4D BIM model was also generated. Along the development of the study, distinct BIM software was applied over a case study. The main remarks of the capacities of the software, as well as the benefits and limitations verified were identified.

A Strategy for the Integration of Production Planning and Scheduling in Refineries under Uncertainty

A strategy for the integration of production planning and scheduling in refineries is proposed. This strategy relies on rolling horizon strategy and a two-level decomposition strategy. This strategy involves an upper level multiperiod mixed integer linear programming （MILP） model and a lower level simulation system, which is extended from our previous framework for short-term scheduling problems [Luo, C.E, Rong, G, ＂Hierarchical apthis extended framework is to reduce the number of variables and the size of the optimization model and, to quickly find the optimal solution for the integrated planning/scheduling problem in refineries. Uncertainties are also considered in this article. An integrated robust optimization approach is introduced to cope with uncertain parameters with both continuous and discrete probability distribution.

Participatory Disaster Recovery Simulation Modeling for Community Resilience Planning

A major challenge in enhancing the resilience of communities stems from current approaches used to identify needs and strategies that build the capacity of jurisdictions to mitigate loss and improve recovery. A new generation of resilience-based planning processes has emerged in the last several years that integrate goals of community well-being and identity into recovery-based performance measurement frameworks. Specific tools and refined guidance are needed to facilitate evidence-based development of recovery estimates. This article presents the participatory modeling process, a planning system designed to develop recovery-based resilience measurement frameworks for community resilience planning initiatives. Stakeholder engagement is infused throughout the participatory modeling process by integrating disaster recovery simulation modeling into community resilience planning. Within the process, participants get a unique opportunity to work together to deliberate on community concerns through facilitated participatory modeling. The participatory modeling platform combines the DESaster recovery simulation model and visual analytics interfaces.DESaster is an open source Python Library for creating discrete event simulations of disaster recovery. The simulation model was developed using a human-centered design approach whose goal is to be open, modular, and extensible. The process presented in this article is the first participatory modeling approach for analyzing recovery to aid creation of community resilience measurement frameworks.

Research on an Integrated Modeling Method of Virtual Ship Assembly

A new method of virtual ship assembly modeling which integrates ship three-dimensional design and ship construction planning was described in this paper. A workflow model of simulation modeling based on the virtual ship assembly process was also established; furthermore, a method of information transformation between the ship three-dimensional design and ship construction plan was formulated. To meet the requirements of information sharing between different systems in the ship virtual assembly, a simulation database was created by using the software engineering design method and the relational data model. With the application of this database, the information of ship three-dimensional design, construction planning, and virtual assembly can be integrated into one system. Subsequently, this new method was applied as a tool to simulate the virtual assembly of a ship, and the results guarantee its rationality and reliability.

Remote Operation SW for USV: Part I. Integrated Mission Planning System

The integrated Mission Planning System?(MPS) of Unmanned Surface Vehicle?(USV) refers to the process which can recognize, decide, plan situations and carry out missions, such as human beings, for all incidental or complex events occurring at sea. In the actual operating environment, it is necessary to develop a simulation software environment and analyze, verify it in advance so as to make an appropriate mission plan considering equipment, sensor, fuel, and other available resources. The existing USV mission planning process methodology has several limitations in the analysis of USV missions because the scenario to be tested is limited and autonomy of USV is not considered sufficiently. To overcome these problems, we constructed a process that considers various missions and is more autonomous, and an integrated environment in which to experiment. In this study, we designed a multi-agent based USV Integrated Mission Planning System and modeled each component. In addition, we constructed the USV remote operation S/W based on M&S that user can experiment with the modeled process and verified the usefulness of the developed system through simulations.

Remote Operation SW for USV: Part II. Simulation Development

For contingencies occurring in a complex marine environment, Unmanned Surface Vehicle (USV) has to recognize the situation and decide behaviors,?and?plan the following actions through the Integrated Mission Planning Process. Therefore, researches are actively being carried out about it. However, since it is difficult to test the actual USV with the mission planning process, it is necessary to develop a virtual experimental environment based on Modeling?&?Simulation (M&S). In this study, we developed an integrated simulation environment capable of simulating and analyzing the overall mission of USV. In Part?I, we modelled the USV Integrated Mission Planning Process and in Part?II, we developed an experimental framework and interface for loading them. In addition, we verified the suitability of this model through scenarios and defined the Mission of Effectiveness (MOE) concept for USV mission analysis.

Machine learning inspired workflow to revise field development plan under uncertainty

We present an efficient and risk-informed closed-loop field development (CLFD) workflow for recurrently revising the field development plan (FDP) using the accrued information. To make the process practical, we integrated multiple concepts of machine learning, an intelligent selection process to discard the worst FDP options and a growing set of representative reservoir models. These concepts were combined and used with a cluster-based learning and evolution optimizer to efficiently explore the search space of decision variables. Unlike previous studies, we also added the execution time of the CLFD workflow and worked with more realistic timelines to confirm the utility of a CLFD workflow. To appreciate the importance of data assimilation and new well-logs in a CLFD workflow, we carried out researches at rigorous conditions without a reduction in uncertainty attributes. The proposed CLFD workflow was implemented on a benchmark analogous to a giant field with extensively time-consuming simulation models. The results underscore that an ensemble with as few as 100 scenarios was sufficient to gauge the geological uncertainty, despite working with a giant field with highly heterogeneous characteristics. It is demonstrated that the CLFD workflow can improve the efficiency by over 85% compared to the previously validated workflow. Finally, we present some acute insights and problems related to data assimilation for the practical application of a CLFD workflow.

无人驾驶农机避障路径跟踪仿真与验证

【目的】为便于验证无人驾驶农机避障路径跟踪的效果,减少实际无人农机试验次数与消耗,设计一种无人驾驶农机避障路径跟踪仿真验证方法,构建一个仿真验证应用系统。【方法】以无人农机为基础,集成真实复杂地形环境仿真、实际作业农机仿真和路径规划算法植入,构建一个一体化仿真验证应用系统。基于三维SLAM技术,采集环境点云数据,实现农田地形环境仿真建模,构建阿克曼转向机械结构的农机仿真建模,提出一种基于农机动力学约束的TEB局部路径规划算法;在仿真验证应用系统中实现路径规划跟踪及避障,并通过多次测试验证该算法的有效性。【结果】避障路径跟踪有效性对比测试和避障路径跟踪平顺性验证测试结果表明,无人农机行驶过程中可有效动态避障,最短有效避障距离为4.1 m。路径跟踪控制效果良好,障碍物距离大于5.0 m时,可控平均误差≤0.4305 m,均方根误差≤0.3151 m;障碍物距离在4.5~5.0 m时,可控误差均值≤1.3538 m,均方根误差≤1.6126 m。【结论】本文提出的改进TEB算法具有较强的作业能力以及较高的作业精度,满足农业机械导航避障路径跟踪仿真验证的需求,该算法可应用于无人农机在实际农田环境的避障路径跟踪。该应用系统易于扩充,为精准农业中针对各种复杂作业环境的农机运作状态的优化设计研究提供基础。

超高速公路自动驾驶车辆换道轨迹规划策略

为提高自动驾驶车辆在超高速公路行驶的安全性,提出了一种换道轨迹规划策略。首先,采用5次多项式生成一般变道轨迹簇,以车辆动力学极限和周围交通车辆为约束,将轨迹规划问题量化为求解换道行为持续时间;接着,考虑车辆动力学约束,建立了车辆动力学模型和Brush轮胎模型,基于所建立汽车模型的轮胎侧向力数据求解轮胎侧偏刚度,辅以魔术轮胎模型,验证所求轮胎侧偏刚度;然后,引入质心侧偏角-横摆角速度相平面,得到高速车辆安全驾驶包络线,并给定多组车速和附着系数进行CarSim仿真训练,确定满足车辆动力学约束的最短换道时间;最后,考虑与周围交通车辆的避撞约束,分析3种典型的换道场景,基于单障碍车的位置,确定满足避撞要求的最短与最长换道持续时间,建立满足安全换道要求的换道持续时间阈值模型。经多参数安全换道域检验,所建立的车辆安全换道持续时间边界模型能够在给定参数下求解出安全可行的换道轨迹,为超高速公路换道行为提供轨迹参考,提高超高速公路换道行为的安全性。

基于Modelica的卷包车间生产物流建模与仿真研究

针对中烟工业企业卷包车间生产物流前期规划问题,基于Modelica语言对卷包车间生产设备和物流设备进行模型化表达和模块化封装,以逻辑关系类模型为核心,构建一套可重用、可扩展的适用于卷包车间生产物流的模型库。同时以某卷烟厂卷包车间两条产线改造升级为例,搭建了包括卷接机、装卸盘机、包装机以及相关托盘、自动导向车在内的产线级系统模型,研究了自动导向车参数、托盘配比对生产的影响,并给出优化参数,用于指导产线改造,避免系统性资源浪费风险,为后续工厂级多领域建模探索出一条道路。

长输原油管道并管混输运行方案研究

为实现长庆油田第三输油处姬惠线和油惠线不加降凝剂和减阻剂运行,实现节能降耗,通过建模仿真,开展并管混输运行模式研究。首先,建立管网仿真模型,利用现场近5年历史数据进行模型调试与校验,使模型精度达到95%以上,能够准确描述现场的水力和热力特征;然后,分析并管混输后的管道沿线水热力分布,结合各站场设备和管线情况,研究并管混输的可行性;接着,通过控制边界条件,模拟分析并管混输的输量和温度控制范围。最后,进行现场试验验证,对比分析理论与实际。结果表明:姬惠线通过姬马复线或新建联络线分输一部分原油至油惠线,均可实现姬惠线不加减阻剂、油惠线不加降凝剂运行;根据输油计划,最大可分输320 m^(3)/h,最小需分输182 m^(3)/h,冬季最低出站温度为57℃,与并管混输前相比,可降低33℃;经过现场试验与应用,研究结果与现场运行结果一致,实现了节能降耗。

基于改进蚁群算法的邮船舱室模块移运路径规划

针对大型邮船舱室模块运输过程中存在的移运路线长、路线混乱、舱室模块易与障碍物发生碰撞等问题,提出应用加入动态搜索模型的蚁群算法对邮船舱室模块进行路线规划,为运输舱室模块提供清晰、便捷的移运路线。对主竖区的障碍物进行分析,建立模拟实际工况的栅格地图,采用改进蚁群算法寻找移运路径。对不同位置所经过的栅格地图和蚁群数量进行动态调整。采用模拟退火算法寻找蚁群算法的参数。采用离散点分析确定移运路径的主、支通道。仿真试验结果表明,应用改进蚁群算法建立主、支通道进行舱室模块移运可有效提高舱室模块的运输效率。

基于虚拟现实的森林灭火指挥训练系统研究

森林消防队伍日常训练和考评主要以森林灭火应急预案进行实装演练,针对训练中成本高、环境受限、内容不足等问题,迫切需要采用虚拟现实、人工智能等先进技术实现森林灭火指挥训练与考评系统。本文自主研发了一套基于定制化的Unity3D渲染引擎的虚拟仿真训练教学考评系统。对比国外主流虚拟仿真软件,本系统中场景细节更逼真,能进行实景虚拟仿真训练,更加贴近灭火实战;同时系统具有自主可控性、可扩展性,为用户提供简单编辑方式,支持火环境设计制作等森林消防专业应用逻辑。本文研究结果对于探索建立规范化、信息化森林灭火指挥员训练考评体系具有重要的现实意义。

基于居民步行活动模拟的社区生活圈规划:研究框架与议题

社区生活圈是城市居民生活的基本单元,从居民日常行为活动出发进行生活圈规划设计,是以人为本的新型城镇化背景下提升居民生活品质的重要途径。研究以主体建模、空间设计相关理论为基础,在系统回顾国内外生活圈及居民步行活动模拟研究进展的基础上,从数据获取、模型构建、模拟分析、结果应用四方面,阐释基于居民步行活动模拟的社区生活圈研究框架。提出基于主体建模的生活圈步行活动模拟模型构建、多场景居民步行活动模式挖掘、居民步行活动影响机制、生活圈空间设施精准规划与动态规划四大关键议题,为实现以人为本的生活圈规划提供路径参考。

电力巡线便道四足清障机器人步态规划与仿真

针对传统轮式、履带式清障机器人无法克服复杂地形的问题,提出了一种基于四足机器人的巡线便道清障机器人。对作业环境与作业任务要求进行了分析,结合分析结果设计了巡线便道四足清障机器人的虚拟样机模型。针对越障、爬坡、台阶攀登这3种复杂工况对机器人进行步态规划,利用四足机器人单腿运动学模型与动力学模型推导了运动关节的参数。仿真结果表明,此四足清障机器人在上述3种工况下可以稳定运行。