Land, as a key factor of production, is an appropriate indicator of national and regional economic structure transformation. Land use in the Changjiang (Yangtze) River Basin (CRB) since the 1950s has experienced t...Land, as a key factor of production, is an appropriate indicator of national and regional economic structure transformation. Land use in the Changjiang (Yangtze) River Basin (CRB) since the 1950s has experienced these changes. Industrialization has been the most powerful force of the change in the regional development of the CRB. Virtually all regional resources were put into this effort to modernize the industrial production and urban construction systems of the CRB whose industrialization and urbanization has been a success story, with impressive structural change in both production and land use. These changes are evident ih modem urban areas, but even more in traditionally rural areas. The regression analysis of regional development in the CRB over an extended period shows that the dominant factor in regional land use change is widespread industrialization in rural areas rather than the expansion of urban area. Thus, urbanization has had a limited influence on land use change in the CRB. A major task in realizing more sustainable land use in the future development of CRB is to relocate industrial activities from rural to urban areas.展开更多
Based on the inter-provincial panel data for 31 provinces in China from 2000 to 2019,and incorporating geospatial factors,a spatial panel vector autoregressive(SPVAR)model consisting of population mobility,industrial ...Based on the inter-provincial panel data for 31 provinces in China from 2000 to 2019,and incorporating geospatial factors,a spatial panel vector autoregressive(SPVAR)model consisting of population mobility,industrial structure upgrading,and economic growth is constructed.The space-time impulse response function is used to analyze the space-time conduction of exogenous variables on the impact of three endogenous variables.The study found that first,the population influx barely benefited the industrial structure upgrading and economic growth.Second,the upgrading of the industrial structure would aggravate the population mobility in the province,causing low-level laborers to leave the province in shortterm,but in long-term,there would be influx of talents.Third,the economic growth in developed regions plays a significant role in promoting the industrial development of their province and population-rich provinces,but it has less impact on provinces with high-level industrial structure.Finally,policy recommendations are provided in regard to the benign interaction among population mobility,industrial structure upgrading,and economic growth in addition to clarifying the idea of economic development,implementing correct population policies,and promoting the coordinated regional development.展开更多
This paper investigates the history of upgrade of industrial structure in human society from a combined perspective of economic and philosophical history encompassing primitive society,ancient society and recent and m...This paper investigates the history of upgrade of industrial structure in human society from a combined perspective of economic and philosophical history encompassing primitive society,ancient society and recent and modern society.As far as recent and modern society is concerned,this paper divides the upgrade into two basic aspects:the shifting dominant position of primary,secondary and tertiary industries,and that of laborintensive,capital-intensive and knowledge-intensive industries.Moreover,this paper has examined the history of upgrade of industrial structure in China since 1949 and identified that the upgrade of China's industrial structure demonstrates not only the characteristics of middle and late stages of industrialization but characteristics of modernization as well.According to the general pattern of upgrade of industrial structure in recent and modern society and China's reality,great efforts must be made to improve China's indigenous innovation capacity,expedite agriculture modernization,increase competitiveness and qualitative development of manufacturing sector,and vigorously promote service sector(especially producers services),environmental protection industry,culture industry and maritime industry.展开更多
Since reform and opening-up in 1978, changes in China's industrial structure have generally followed the pattern of "Kuznets facts" but still exhibits some unique characteristics, which led us to raise t...Since reform and opening-up in 1978, changes in China's industrial structure have generally followed the pattern of "Kuznets facts" but still exhibits some unique characteristics, which led us to raise the following three questions regarding China's structural transformation:(1) Why did the share of China's agricultural and manufacturing employment reduce/increase intermittently rather than continuously?(2) Why did the share of China's agricultural employment increase during certain periods? When the share of manufacturing employment reduced, why did the workforce reversely flow into agriculture rather than move to the service sector?(3) Why did growth in the share of China's service sector employment decelerate before reaching its peak? Why did the share of employment in the industrial sector suddenly increase after an abrupt decline? This paper creates a multisector economic growth model that contains non-homothetic preferences and differentiated productivity, and incorporates the "two drivers" therein for a demand-side estimation and analysis. The result shows that China's economic growth model driven by net export and investment is a critical factor for explaining the three questions regarding its structural transformation. This paper believes that only by implementing supply-side structural reforms, reducing the dependence on net export and investment, and achieving sustainable endogenous economic growth will China be able to expedite its industrial restructuring.展开更多
In this paper,we performed an empirical study on the TFP effect of structural transformation based on panel data of economic growth in 169 countries across the world.Our findings are threefold:First,structural transfo...In this paper,we performed an empirical study on the TFP effect of structural transformation based on panel data of economic growth in 169 countries across the world.Our findings are threefold:First,structural transformation has an inverted U-shaped effect on TFP.When the degree of structural transformation is on the left side of the inflection point,structural transformation is conducive to softening industrial structure and inducing TFP;when the degree of structural transformation is on the right side of the inflection point,structural transformation will induce industrial hollowing out and inhibit TFP.Second,since the reform and opening up program was launched in 1978,China’s structural transformation has evolved from the stage of adaptation to the stage of strategic adjustment with an increasingly evident trend towards a service-based economy,but structural transformation remains on the left side of the inflection point of the inverted U-shaped curve,i.e.the TFP effect of structural transformation is positive.Third,TFP improvement lies at the heart of high-quality development.In pursuing high-quality development,China should lower growth rate expectations,attach greater importance to supply-side structural reforms,and accelerate structural transformation to promote TFP improvement.展开更多
For a long time, the factors influencing a regional economic growth are mainly workforce, capital and scientific and technological progress. But with the further promotion of China's reform and opening-up and intensi...For a long time, the factors influencing a regional economic growth are mainly workforce, capital and scientific and technological progress. But with the further promotion of China's reform and opening-up and intensification of the further improvement degree, the main factors influencing a regional economic growth constantly change. This paper utilizes the relevant data of Sichuan to set up the econometric model and quantitatively studies the factors influencing economic growth of Sichuan. Through comparing the greatness that each factor influences the economic growth of Sichuan, the paper takes system changes as leading factor to influence the economic growth during 1984-2003 of Sichuan. At the same time, the upgrading of industrial structure will be a core of economic growth in the future, and the scientific and technological progress is the potential force of economic growth.展开更多
Industry interaction is becoming an important approach to promoting highquality economic development.In this paper,the multi-sector general equilibrium model is developed to clarify the theoretical mechanism among ind...Industry interaction is becoming an important approach to promoting highquality economic development.In this paper,the multi-sector general equilibrium model is developed to clarify the theoretical mechanism among industry interaction,structure transformation,and high-quality economic development;the empirical tests are carried out based on the provincial panel data from 2000 to 2017;and the empowerment paths for digital technologies are explored to drive high-quality economic development.The findings are as follows.(1)The industry interaction can promote high-qualityy economic development in China on the whole,but it shows a significant imbalance and a healthy two-way promotion mode have not been formed.(2)The impact of industry interaction on high-quality economic development is significantly heterogeneous at the sector and regional levels.(3)The current unhealthy industry interaction may widen the productivity gap between manufacturing and service sectors,and transform China's economic into service-oriented structure,thus leading the economic development to a vicious circle of“low efficiency to low-end servitization and further to lower efficiency”and hindering the sustainability of high-quality economic development:.(4)Digitaltlechnologies can break the development dilemma and achieve high-quality economic development by alleviating structural contradictions,boosting healthy industry interaction,and narrowing the productivity gap among sectors.The conclusions provide empirical evidence for the government to promote the integration of advanced manufacturing and modern service sectors and achieve highquality economic development.展开更多
基金Under the auspices of Knowledge Innovation Program of Chinese Academy of Sciences (No. KCZX2-307-01)
文摘Land, as a key factor of production, is an appropriate indicator of national and regional economic structure transformation. Land use in the Changjiang (Yangtze) River Basin (CRB) since the 1950s has experienced these changes. Industrialization has been the most powerful force of the change in the regional development of the CRB. Virtually all regional resources were put into this effort to modernize the industrial production and urban construction systems of the CRB whose industrialization and urbanization has been a success story, with impressive structural change in both production and land use. These changes are evident ih modem urban areas, but even more in traditionally rural areas. The regression analysis of regional development in the CRB over an extended period shows that the dominant factor in regional land use change is widespread industrialization in rural areas rather than the expansion of urban area. Thus, urbanization has had a limited influence on land use change in the CRB. A major task in realizing more sustainable land use in the future development of CRB is to relocate industrial activities from rural to urban areas.
基金This work was supported by 2021 Jiangxi University of Finance and Economics Student Innovation Training Program(No.202110421068).
文摘Based on the inter-provincial panel data for 31 provinces in China from 2000 to 2019,and incorporating geospatial factors,a spatial panel vector autoregressive(SPVAR)model consisting of population mobility,industrial structure upgrading,and economic growth is constructed.The space-time impulse response function is used to analyze the space-time conduction of exogenous variables on the impact of three endogenous variables.The study found that first,the population influx barely benefited the industrial structure upgrading and economic growth.Second,the upgrading of the industrial structure would aggravate the population mobility in the province,causing low-level laborers to leave the province in shortterm,but in long-term,there would be influx of talents.Third,the economic growth in developed regions plays a significant role in promoting the industrial development of their province and population-rich provinces,but it has less impact on provinces with high-level industrial structure.Finally,policy recommendations are provided in regard to the benign interaction among population mobility,industrial structure upgrading,and economic growth in addition to clarifying the idea of economic development,implementing correct population policies,and promoting the coordinated regional development.
文摘This paper investigates the history of upgrade of industrial structure in human society from a combined perspective of economic and philosophical history encompassing primitive society,ancient society and recent and modern society.As far as recent and modern society is concerned,this paper divides the upgrade into two basic aspects:the shifting dominant position of primary,secondary and tertiary industries,and that of laborintensive,capital-intensive and knowledge-intensive industries.Moreover,this paper has examined the history of upgrade of industrial structure in China since 1949 and identified that the upgrade of China's industrial structure demonstrates not only the characteristics of middle and late stages of industrialization but characteristics of modernization as well.According to the general pattern of upgrade of industrial structure in recent and modern society and China's reality,great efforts must be made to improve China's indigenous innovation capacity,expedite agriculture modernization,increase competitiveness and qualitative development of manufacturing sector,and vigorously promote service sector(especially producers services),environmental protection industry,culture industry and maritime industry.
文摘Since reform and opening-up in 1978, changes in China's industrial structure have generally followed the pattern of "Kuznets facts" but still exhibits some unique characteristics, which led us to raise the following three questions regarding China's structural transformation:(1) Why did the share of China's agricultural and manufacturing employment reduce/increase intermittently rather than continuously?(2) Why did the share of China's agricultural employment increase during certain periods? When the share of manufacturing employment reduced, why did the workforce reversely flow into agriculture rather than move to the service sector?(3) Why did growth in the share of China's service sector employment decelerate before reaching its peak? Why did the share of employment in the industrial sector suddenly increase after an abrupt decline? This paper creates a multisector economic growth model that contains non-homothetic preferences and differentiated productivity, and incorporates the "two drivers" therein for a demand-side estimation and analysis. The result shows that China's economic growth model driven by net export and investment is a critical factor for explaining the three questions regarding its structural transformation. This paper believes that only by implementing supply-side structural reforms, reducing the dependence on net export and investment, and achieving sustainable endogenous economic growth will China be able to expedite its industrial restructuring.
文摘In this paper,we performed an empirical study on the TFP effect of structural transformation based on panel data of economic growth in 169 countries across the world.Our findings are threefold:First,structural transformation has an inverted U-shaped effect on TFP.When the degree of structural transformation is on the left side of the inflection point,structural transformation is conducive to softening industrial structure and inducing TFP;when the degree of structural transformation is on the right side of the inflection point,structural transformation will induce industrial hollowing out and inhibit TFP.Second,since the reform and opening up program was launched in 1978,China’s structural transformation has evolved from the stage of adaptation to the stage of strategic adjustment with an increasingly evident trend towards a service-based economy,but structural transformation remains on the left side of the inflection point of the inverted U-shaped curve,i.e.the TFP effect of structural transformation is positive.Third,TFP improvement lies at the heart of high-quality development.In pursuing high-quality development,China should lower growth rate expectations,attach greater importance to supply-side structural reforms,and accelerate structural transformation to promote TFP improvement.
文摘For a long time, the factors influencing a regional economic growth are mainly workforce, capital and scientific and technological progress. But with the further promotion of China's reform and opening-up and intensification of the further improvement degree, the main factors influencing a regional economic growth constantly change. This paper utilizes the relevant data of Sichuan to set up the econometric model and quantitatively studies the factors influencing economic growth of Sichuan. Through comparing the greatness that each factor influences the economic growth of Sichuan, the paper takes system changes as leading factor to influence the economic growth during 1984-2003 of Sichuan. At the same time, the upgrading of industrial structure will be a core of economic growth in the future, and the scientific and technological progress is the potential force of economic growth.
基金the research results of the"Research on Major Issues of Building an Autonomous and Controllable Modern Sector System under the Economic Conditions of a Large Country"(No.21&ZD099)a major project of the National Social Science Fund of China,and the"Internal Mechanism,Effect Evaluation and Policy Innovation of the Optimization and Transformation of Economic Structure Driven by Digital Technologies"(No.2021YJSB037),one of the postgraduate research innovation projects in Tianjin.
文摘Industry interaction is becoming an important approach to promoting highquality economic development.In this paper,the multi-sector general equilibrium model is developed to clarify the theoretical mechanism among industry interaction,structure transformation,and high-quality economic development;the empirical tests are carried out based on the provincial panel data from 2000 to 2017;and the empowerment paths for digital technologies are explored to drive high-quality economic development.The findings are as follows.(1)The industry interaction can promote high-qualityy economic development in China on the whole,but it shows a significant imbalance and a healthy two-way promotion mode have not been formed.(2)The impact of industry interaction on high-quality economic development is significantly heterogeneous at the sector and regional levels.(3)The current unhealthy industry interaction may widen the productivity gap between manufacturing and service sectors,and transform China's economic into service-oriented structure,thus leading the economic development to a vicious circle of“low efficiency to low-end servitization and further to lower efficiency”and hindering the sustainability of high-quality economic development:.(4)Digitaltlechnologies can break the development dilemma and achieve high-quality economic development by alleviating structural contradictions,boosting healthy industry interaction,and narrowing the productivity gap among sectors.The conclusions provide empirical evidence for the government to promote the integration of advanced manufacturing and modern service sectors and achieve highquality economic development.