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Reachable set estimation for discrete-time Markovian jump neural networks with unified uncertain transition probability
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作者 Yufeng Tian Wengang Ao Peng Shi 《Journal of Automation and Intelligence》 2023年第3期167-174,共8页
This paper focuses on the reachable set estimation for Markovian jump neural networks with time delay.By allowing uncertainty in the transition probabilities,a framework unifies and enhances the generality and realism... This paper focuses on the reachable set estimation for Markovian jump neural networks with time delay.By allowing uncertainty in the transition probabilities,a framework unifies and enhances the generality and realism of these systems.To fully exploit the unified uncertain transition probabilities,an equivalent transformation technique is introduced as an alternative to traditional estimation methods,effectively utilizing the information of transition probabilities.Furthermore,a vector Wirtinger-based summation inequality is proposed,which captures more system information compared to existing ones.Building upon these components,a novel condition that guarantees a reachable set estimation is presented for Markovian jump neural networks with unified uncertain transition probabilities.A numerical example is illustrated to demonstrate the superiority of the approaches. 展开更多
关键词 Markovian jump neural networks Unified uncertain transition probabilities Reachable set estimation Double-boundary approach Vector wirtinger-based summation inequality
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An Improved Method for Estimating the Transition Probability Using Diameter Growth in Even-aged Forest Stands 被引量:1
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作者 Jia Naiguang Kang Huining Xu SongDepartment of Foundation Courses. Beijing Forestry University 《北京林业大学学报》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 1992年第S2期47-54,共8页
The method of Zeng et al. (1991) employed diameter growth to estimate the transition probability of the matrix model in uneven-aged forest stands. In this paper the Weibull distribution for even-aged forest stands ins... The method of Zeng et al. (1991) employed diameter growth to estimate the transition probability of the matrix model in uneven-aged forest stands. In this paper the Weibull distribution for even-aged forest stands instead of uniform distribution chosen by Zeng is used. By comparing the results of the improved method with those of the original method of Zeng, it turns out that the improved method of Zeng given in this paper is more efficient. 展开更多
关键词 even-aged FOREST STandS matrix model transition probability parameter estimation UNIFORM DISTRIBUTION Weibull DISTRIBUTION
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Brownian Motion of Decaying Particles: Transition Probability, Computer Simulation, and First-Passage Times 被引量:2
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作者 M. P. Silverman 《Journal of Modern Physics》 2017年第11期1809-1849,共41页
Recent developments in the measurement of radioactive gases in passive diffusion motivate the analysis of Brownian motion of decaying particles, a subject that has received little previous attention. This paper report... Recent developments in the measurement of radioactive gases in passive diffusion motivate the analysis of Brownian motion of decaying particles, a subject that has received little previous attention. This paper reports the derivation and solution of equations comparable to the Fokker-Planck and Langevin equations for one-dimensional diffusion and decay of unstable particles. In marked contrast to the case of stable particles, the two equations are not equivalent, but provide different information regarding the same stochastic process. The differences arise because Brownian motion with particle decay is not a continuous process. The discontinuity is readily apparent in the computer-simulated trajectories of the Langevin equation that incorporate both a Wiener process for displacement fluctuations and a Bernoulli process for random decay. This paper also reports the derivation of the mean time of first passage of the decaying particle to absorbing boundaries. Here, too, particle decay can lead to an outcome markedly different from that for stable particles. In particular, the first-passage time of the decaying particle is always finite, whereas the time for a stable particle to reach a single absorbing boundary is theoretically infinite due to the heavy tail of the inverse Gaussian density. The methodology developed in this paper should prove useful in the investigation of radioactive gases, aerosols of radioactive atoms, dust particles to which adhere radioactive ions, as well as diffusing gases and liquids of unstable molecules. 展开更多
关键词 BROWNIAN Motion Random Walk Diffusion RADIOACTIVITY transition probability FOKKER-PLANCK EQUATION LANGEVIN EQUATION First Passage Fick’s Law Wiener Process
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Necessity of Exact Calculation for Transition Probability 被引量:1
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作者 LIUFu-Sui CHENWan-Fang 《Communications in Theoretical Physics》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2003年第2期209-211,共3页
This paper shows that exact calculation for transition probability can make some systems deviate fromFermi golden rule seriously. This paper also shows that the corresponding exact calculation of hopping rate inducedb... This paper shows that exact calculation for transition probability can make some systems deviate fromFermi golden rule seriously. This paper also shows that the corresponding exact calculation of hopping rate inducedby phonons for deuteron in Pd-D system with the many-body electron screening, proposed by Ichimaru, can explainthe experimental fact observed in Pd-D system, and predicts that perfection and low-dimension of Pd lattice are veryimportant for the phonon-induced hopping rate enhancement in Pd-D system. 展开更多
关键词 transition probability Fermi golden rule hopping rate PHONON
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On the Gauge Invariance of the Transition Probability of a Charged Particle in Electromagnetic Field
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作者 QIAN Shang-Wu GU Zhi-Yu 《Communications in Theoretical Physics》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2002年第9期267-270,共4页
This paper suggests a principle to find a unitary operator U which transforms non-physical quantity,zero-potential Hamiltonian Ho, into true physical quantity UHoU+ for a charged particle in classical electromagneticf... This paper suggests a principle to find a unitary operator U which transforms non-physical quantity,zero-potential Hamiltonian Ho, into true physical quantity UHoU+ for a charged particle in classical electromagneticfield, and puts forward a unified form of constructing gauge-independent transition probabilities in this case. Differentmethods correspond to different unitary operators which satisfy the above-mentioned principle. 展开更多
关键词 GAUGE invariance TRUE physical quantity and nonphysical quantity GAUGE INDEPENDENT transition probability
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On the Gauge Invariance of The Transition Probability of A Charged Particle in Electromagnetic Field
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作者 QIANShang-Wu GUZhi-Yu 《Communications in Theoretical Physics》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2002年第3期267-270,共4页
This paper suggests a principle to find a unitary operator U which transforms non-physical quantity, zero-potential Hamiltonian H<SUB>0</SUB>, into true physical quantity UH<SUB>0</SUB>U<SUP... This paper suggests a principle to find a unitary operator U which transforms non-physical quantity, zero-potential Hamiltonian H<SUB>0</SUB>, into true physical quantity UH<SUB>0</SUB>U<SUP>?</SUP> for a charged particle in classical electromagnetic field, and puts forward a unified form of constructing gauge-independent transition probabilities in this case. Different methods correspond to different unitary operators which satisfy the above-mentioned principle. 展开更多
关键词 gauge invariance true physical quantity and nonphysical quantity gauge independent transition probability
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Transition probabilities for NII 2p4f-2p3d and 2s2p^23d-2s2p^23p obtained by a semiclassical method 被引量:4
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作者 申晓志 袁萍 +1 位作者 张华明 王杰 《Chinese Physics B》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2007年第10期2934-2937,共4页
Based on NII spectra, some transition probabilities for 2p4f-2p3d and 2s2p23d-2s2p23p are obtained by a semi- classical method. The results are in good agreement with other measurements and the data reported by the Na... Based on NII spectra, some transition probabilities for 2p4f-2p3d and 2s2p23d-2s2p23p are obtained by a semi- classical method. The results are in good agreement with other measurements and the data reported by the National Institute of Standards and Technology. The transition probability for a line of 424.18nm is reported for the first time. Meanwhile, a feasible method of calculating transition parameters related to special excited configurations or highly excited states is provided. 展开更多
关键词 NII ion transition probability semiclassical method
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Theoretical Calculations of Transition Probabilities and Oscillator Strengths for Sc(Ⅲ) and Y(Ⅲ)
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作者 张天忆 郑能武 《Chinese Journal of Chemical Physics》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2009年第3期246-254,339,共10页
The Weakest Bound Electron Potential Model theory is used to calculate transition probability-values and oscillator strength-values for individual lines of Sc(Ⅲ) and Y(Ⅲ). In this method, by solving the SchrSdin... The Weakest Bound Electron Potential Model theory is used to calculate transition probability-values and oscillator strength-values for individual lines of Sc(Ⅲ) and Y(Ⅲ). In this method, by solving the SchrSdinger equation of the weakest bound electron, the expressions of energy eigenvalue and the radial function can be obtained. And a coupled equation is used to determine the parameters which are needed in the calculations. The ob- tained results of Sc(III) from this work agree very well with the accepted values taken from the National Institute of Standards and Technoligy (NIST) data base, most deviations are within the accepted level. For Y(Ⅲ) there are no accepted values reported by the NIST data base. So we compared our results of Y(Ⅲ) with other theoretical results, good agreement is also obtained. 展开更多
关键词 Weakest bound election potential model theory transition probability Oscil-lator strength Sc(Ⅲ) Y(Ⅲ)
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Phase Transitions Governed by the Fifth Power of the Golden Mean and Beyond 被引量:6
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作者 Hans Hermann Otto 《World Journal of Condensed Matter Physics》 2020年第3期135-158,共24页
In this contribution results from different disciplines of science were compared to show their intimate interweaving with each other having in common the golden ratio <i><span style="font-family:Verdana;... In this contribution results from different disciplines of science were compared to show their intimate interweaving with each other having in common the golden ratio <i><span style="font-family:Verdana;">φ</span></i><span style="font-family:Verdana;"> respectively its fifth power </span><i><span style="font-family:Verdana;">φ</span></i><sup><span style="font-family:Verdana;">5</span></sup><span style="font-family:Verdana;">. The research fields cover model calculations of statistical physics associated with phase transitions, the quantum probability of two particles, new physics of everything suggested by the information relativity theory (</span><i><span style="font-family:Verdana;">IRT</span></i><span style="font-family:Verdana;">) including explanations of cosmological relevance, the </span><i><span style="font-family:Verdana;">ε</span></i><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;">-</span></span></span><span><span><span style="font-family:;" "=""><span style="font-family:Verdana;">infinity theory, superconductivity, and the </span><i><span style="font-family:Verdana;">Tammes</span></i><span style="font-family:Verdana;"> problem of the largest diameter of </span><i><span style="font-family:Verdana;">N</span></i><span style="font-family:Verdana;"> non-overlapping circles on the surface of a sphere with its connection to viral morphology and crystallography. Finally, </span><i><span style="font-family:Verdana;">Fibo</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">nacci</span></i><span style="font-family:Verdana;"> anyons proposed for topological quantum</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"> computation (</span><i><span style="font-family:Verdana;">TQC</span></i><span style="font-family:Verdana;">) were briefly described in comparison to the recently formulated reverse </span><i><span style="font-family:Verdana;">Fibonacci</span></i><span style="font-family:Verdana;"> approach using the </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><em>Jani</em></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="white-space:nowrap;"><em>&#269;</em></span><em>ko</em></span></span></span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;"> number sequence. An architecture applicable for a quantum computer is proposed consisting of 13-step twisted microtubules similar to tubulin microtubules of living matter. Most topics point to the omnipresence of the golden mean as the numerical dominator of our world.</span></span></span> 展开更多
关键词 Golden Mean Phase transitions Hard-Hexagon Respectively Hard-Square Gas Model Quantum probability Information Relativity Theory (IRT) ε-Infinity Theory Superconductivity Tammes Problem Viral Morphology Helical Microtubules Janičko Number Sequence Topological Quantum Computation Fibonacci Lattice CRYSTALLOGRAPHY
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Electric-dipole allowed(E1) and forbidden(E2,M1 and M2) transition probabilities of 4f for N^+
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作者 申晓志 袁萍 刘娟 《Chinese Physics B》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2010年第5期219-223,共5页
By applying systematically enlarged multi-configuration Dirac-Fock wavefunction, the transitions for electricdipole allowed (E1) and forbidden (E2, M1 and M2) lines are studied among 4f pair coupling and low-lying... By applying systematically enlarged multi-configuration Dirac-Fock wavefunction, the transitions for electricdipole allowed (E1) and forbidden (E2, M1 and M2) lines are studied among 4f pair coupling and low-lying configurations for singly ionized nitrogen. Most important effects of relativity, electron correlation, the rearrangement of electron density, Breit interaction, and quantum electrodynamic effects are included in the computation. Then, allowed (E1) and forbidden (E2, M1 and M2) transition probabilities of 4f for N+ are obtained and compared with experimental results. Good agreement with available experimental results is found and most of the data of 4f are presented for the first time. 展开更多
关键词 allowed forbidden transition probability
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Theoretical Calculations of Thermal Broadenings and Transition Probabilities of R, R' and B Line-Groups for Ruby
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作者 MA Dong-Ping LIU Yan-Yun CHEN Ju-Rong 《Communications in Theoretical Physics》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2001年第12期723-728,共6页
On the basis of the unified calculation of the thermal shifts of R1 line, R2 line and ground-state-splitting transition probabilities of direct and Raman processes have theoretically been calculated. The thermal broad... On the basis of the unified calculation of the thermal shifts of R1 line, R2 line and ground-state-splitting transition probabilities of direct and Raman processes have theoretically been calculated. The thermal broadenings of R,The theoretically predicted transition probabilities are in good agreement with the experimental ones.PACS numbers: 71.70.Ch, 78.20.Nv, 63.20.Mt, 63.20. 展开更多
关键词 crystal fields ELECTRON-PHONON interaction THERMAL broadening transition probability direct and Raman processes
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Extreme ultraviolet and x-ray transition wavelengths in Rb XXIV
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作者 Indu Khatri Arun Goyal +2 位作者 Sunny Aggarwal A.K.Singh Man Mohan 《Chinese Physics B》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2015年第10期115-126,共12页
Energy levels, radiative rates, oscillator strengths and line strengths are reported for transitions among the lowest 97 levels of the(1s22s22p6) 3s23p2, 3s23p3 d, 3s3p3, 3p4, 3s3p23 d, and 3s23d2 configurations of ... Energy levels, radiative rates, oscillator strengths and line strengths are reported for transitions among the lowest 97 levels of the(1s22s22p6) 3s23p2, 3s23p3 d, 3s3p3, 3p4, 3s3p23 d, and 3s23d2 configurations of Rb XXIV. A multiconfiguration Dirac-Fock(MCDF) method is adopted for the calculations. Radiative rates, oscillator strengths, and line strengths are provided for all electric dipole(E1), magnetic dipole(M1), electric quadrupole(E2), and magnetic quadrupole(M2)transitions from the ground level to all 97 levels, although calculations are performed for a much larger number of levels.To achieve the accuracy of the data, comparisons are provided with similar data obtained from the Flexible Atomic Code(FAC) and also with the available theoretical and experimental results. Our energy levels are found to be accurate to better than 1.2%. Wavelengths calculated are found to lie in EUV(extreme ultraviolet) and x-ray regions. Additionally, lifetimes for all 97 levels are obtained for the first time. 展开更多
关键词 atomic data energy levels transition probability
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Transition probabilities and lifetimes of the low-lying levels of Fe XIV
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作者 范建中 汪青敏 +1 位作者 常志伟 董晨钟 《Chinese Physics B》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2012年第6期141-149,共9页
The multi-configuration Dirac-Fock method is employed to calculate the transition energies, probabilities, and oscillator strengths for electric dipole allowed (El) and forbidden (M1, E2, M2) lines for the 3s^23p,... The multi-configuration Dirac-Fock method is employed to calculate the transition energies, probabilities, and oscillator strengths for electric dipole allowed (El) and forbidden (M1, E2, M2) lines for the 3s^23p, 3s3p^2, 3s^23d, 3p^3, and 3s3p3d configurations of Fe XIV. The lifetimes of all 40 levels of these low-lying configurations are also derived. The valence valence and core-valence correlation effects are accounted for in a systematic way. Breit interactions and quantum electrodynamics (QED) effects are estimated in subsequent relativistic configuration interaction (CI) calculations. The present results are in good agreement with other available theoretical and experimental values, and therefore can be used for the further astrophysical investigations. 展开更多
关键词 transition probability LIFETIME Fe XIV
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Most probable transition paths in eutrophicated lake ecosystem under Gaussian white noise and periodic force
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作者 Jinlian Jiang Wei Xu +1 位作者 Ping Han Lizhi Niu 《Chinese Physics B》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2022年第6期155-162,共8页
The effects of stochastic perturbations and periodic excitations on the eutrophicated lake ecosystem are explored.Unlike the existing work in detecting early warning signals,this paper presents the most probable trans... The effects of stochastic perturbations and periodic excitations on the eutrophicated lake ecosystem are explored.Unlike the existing work in detecting early warning signals,this paper presents the most probable transition paths to characterize the regime shifts.The most probable transition paths are obtained by minimizing the Freidlin-Wentzell(FW)action functional and Onsager-Machlup(OM)action functional,respectively.The most probable path shows the movement trend of the lake eutrophication system under noise excitation,and describes the global transition behavior of the system.Under the excitation of Gaussian noise,the results show that the stability of the eutrophic state and the oligotrophic state has different results from two perspectives of potential well and the most probable transition paths.Under the excitation of Gaussian white noise and periodic force,we find that the transition occurs near the nearest distance between the stable periodic solution and the unstable periodic solution. 展开更多
关键词 eutrophicated lake ecosystem Freidlin-Wentzell action functional Onsager-Machlup action functional most probable transition path
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Transition Modeling of Land-Use Dynamics in the Pipestem Creek, North Dakota, USA
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作者 Papia F. Rozario Peter Oduor +1 位作者 Larry Kotchman Michael Kangas 《Journal of Geoscience and Environment Protection》 2017年第3期182-201,共20页
Significant land-use changes in North Dakota have been reported and are widespread over the entire state. Such changing patterns may portend localized impairment to agricultural watersheds. In this study, Land-use Lan... Significant land-use changes in North Dakota have been reported and are widespread over the entire state. Such changing patterns may portend localized impairment to agricultural watersheds. In this study, Land-use Land-cover (LULC) change was modeled using geostatistics. The study area was within the Pipestem Creek watershed, a part of the Missouri Watershed James Subregion of North Dakota, USA. Landsat Thematic mapper images from the years 2007, 2011 and 2015 were used as preliminary data. LULC information for these datasets was acquired from the Global Land-cover facility and Landsat Program. Data analysis, spectral classification and post classification techniques were applied on the datasets. A transition matrix was derived using a Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) model. This study demonstrates that the integration of satellite remote sensing, GIS and statistics may be an effective approach for analyzing the direction, rate, and spatial pattern of land-use change. 展开更多
关键词 MARKOV CHAIN LULC CHANGE transition Probabilities
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Determination Multipole Mixing Ratios and Transition Strengths of Gamma Rays from Level Studies of 93Mo (p, nγ) Reaction
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作者 Mayyada M. Hamarashid 《Journal of Physical Science and Application》 2012年第7期253-257,共5页
The multipole mixing ratios have been calculated by a2-ratio method, from levels of 93Mo(p, nγ) reaction. The branching ratios of such γ-transitions are used to calculate the total gamma widths. Besides, the trans... The multipole mixing ratios have been calculated by a2-ratio method, from levels of 93Mo(p, nγ) reaction. The branching ratios of such γ-transitions are used to calculate the total gamma widths. Besides, the transition strengths and probabilities have been calculated for γ-transitions from excited states whose life times have been reported previously. The results are found to be in general in good agreement with the previous results populated from the previous work. 展开更多
关键词 Moltipole mixing ratio mean lifetime gamma widths transitions strength transitions probabilities.
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Energy Levels, Oscillator Strengths, and Transition Probabilities of Ni XIX and Cu XX
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作者 Wessameldin S. Abdelaziz M. Atta Khedr +2 位作者 Mai E. Ahmed Laila Gaabour Tharwat El-Shirbini 《Optics and Photonics Journal》 2014年第3期54-89,共36页
Energy levels, oscillator strengths, and transition probabilities, for the 1s2 2s2 2p6, 2p53l (l = 0, 1, 2), 2p54l (l = 0, 1, 2, 3) states in Ni XIX and Cu XX are calculated using COWAN code. The Correlation and relat... Energy levels, oscillator strengths, and transition probabilities, for the 1s2 2s2 2p6, 2p53l (l = 0, 1, 2), 2p54l (l = 0, 1, 2, 3) states in Ni XIX and Cu XX are calculated using COWAN code. The Correlation and relativistic effects are considered. The calculations are compared with other results in the literature. A good agreement is found. We also report on some unpublished energy values. 展开更多
关键词 ENERGY LEVELS OSCILLATOR Strengths transition Probabilities
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Development of diabetic complications and influencing factors among 32653 type 2 diabetes patients:retrospective cohort study using a multi-state Markov
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作者 Shu-Yuan Shi Hou-Yu Zhao +5 位作者 Zhi-Ke Liu Ruo-Gu Meng Peng Shen Si-Yan Zhan Hong-Bo Lin Feng Sun 《Medical Data Mining》 2024年第2期1-8,共8页
Background:Patients with type 2 diabetes are at high risk for developing multiple chronic complications.However,there is a lack of studies of the cumulative number of diabetic complications in China.Methods:A retrospe... Background:Patients with type 2 diabetes are at high risk for developing multiple chronic complications.However,there is a lack of studies of the cumulative number of diabetic complications in China.Methods:A retrospective cohort study was performed from 2009 to 2021.Type 2 diabetes patients who were first diagnosed after the age of 35 years between January 1,2009,and December 31,2017,were included.Five states were defined according to the number of chronic complications:no(S0),one(S1),two(S2),three(S3),and four or more complications(S4).A multi-state Markov model was constructed to estimate transition probability,transition intensity,mean sojourn time,and the possible factors for each state.Results:The study included 32653 type 2 diabetes patients(mean age,59.59 years;15929(48.8%)male),and mean follow-up time of 7.75 years.In all,4375 transitions were observed.The 12-year transition probability of from state S0 to S1 was the lowest at 16.4%,while that from S2 to S3 was the highest,at 45.6%.Higher fasting blood glucose,lower high-density lipoprotein cholesterol,higher total cholesterol,and an unhealthy diet were associated with higher risk of progression from S0 to S1.Being female,less than 60 years old,weekly physical activity,and vegetarian diet decreased this risk.Being female and less than 60 years old reduced the likelihood of transition from S1 to S2,whereas lower high-density lipoprotein cholesterol increased this likelihood.Conclusions:Following the occurrence of two complications in type 2 diabetes patients,the risk for accumulating a third complication within a short time is significantly increased.It is important to take advantage of the stable window period when patients have fewer than two complications,strengthen the monitoring of blood glucose and blood lipids,and encourage patients to maintain good living habits to prevent further deterioration. 展开更多
关键词 multi-state Markov model transition probability type 2 diabetes diabetic chronic complications
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Robust analysis of discounted Markov decision processes with uncertain transition probabilities 被引量:2
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作者 LOU Zhen-kai HOU Fu-jun LOU Xu-ming 《Applied Mathematics(A Journal of Chinese Universities)》 SCIE CSCD 2020年第4期417-436,共20页
Optimal policies in Markov decision problems may be quite sensitive with regard to transition probabilities.In practice,some transition probabilities may be uncertain.The goals of the present study are to find the rob... Optimal policies in Markov decision problems may be quite sensitive with regard to transition probabilities.In practice,some transition probabilities may be uncertain.The goals of the present study are to find the robust range for a certain optimal policy and to obtain value intervals of exact transition probabilities.Our research yields powerful contributions for Markov decision processes(MDPs)with uncertain transition probabilities.We first propose a method for estimating unknown transition probabilities based on maximum likelihood.Since the estimation may be far from accurate,and the highest expected total reward of the MDP may be sensitive to these transition probabilities,we analyze the robustness of an optimal policy and propose an approach for robust analysis.After giving the definition of a robust optimal policy with uncertain transition probabilities represented as sets of numbers,we formulate a model to obtain the optimal policy.Finally,we define the value intervals of the exact transition probabilities and construct models to determine the lower and upper bounds.Numerical examples are given to show the practicability of our methods. 展开更多
关键词 Markov decision processes uncertain transition probabilities robustness and sensitivity robust optimal policy value interval
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Quantifying the parameter dependent basin of the unsafe regime of asymmetric Lévy-noise-induced critical transitions 被引量:1
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作者 Jinzhong MA Yong XU +3 位作者 Yongge LI Ruilan TIAN Shao juan MA J.KURTHS 《Applied Mathematics and Mechanics(English Edition)》 SCIE EI CSCD 2021年第1期65-84,共20页
In real systems,the unpredictable jump changes of the random environment can induce the critical transitions(CTs)between two non-adjacent states,which are more catastrophic.Taking an asymmetric Lévy-noise-induced... In real systems,the unpredictable jump changes of the random environment can induce the critical transitions(CTs)between two non-adjacent states,which are more catastrophic.Taking an asymmetric Lévy-noise-induced tri-stable model with desirable,sub-desirable,and undesirable states as a prototype class of real systems,a prediction of the noise-induced CTs from the desirable state directly to the undesirable one is carried out.We first calculate the region that the current state of the given model is absorbed into the undesirable state based on the escape probability,which is named as the absorbed region.Then,a new concept of the parameter dependent basin of the unsafe regime(PDBUR)under the asymmetric Lévy noise is introduced.It is an efficient tool for approximately quantifying the ranges of the parameters,where the noise-induced CTs from the desirable state directly to the undesirable one may occur.More importantly,it may provide theoretical guidance for us to adopt some measures to avert a noise-induced catastrophic CT. 展开更多
关键词 tri-stable model asymmetric Lévy noise critical transition(CT) escape probability absorbed region parameter dependent basin of unsafe regime(PDBUR)
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