Method to measure tree-ring width,density,elemental composition,and stable carbon and oxygen isotopes using one sample

Tree-ring width(RW),density,elemental com-position,and stable carbon and oxygen isotope(δ^(13)C,δ^(18)O)are widely used as proxies to assess climate change,ecology,and environmental pollution;however,a specific pretreat-ment has been needed for each proxy.Here,we developed a method by which each proxy can be measured in the same sample.First,the sample is polished for ring width meas-urement.After obtaining the ring width data,the sample is cut to form a 1-mm-thick wood plate.The sample is then mounted in a vertical sample holder,and gradually scanned by an X-ray beam.Simultaneously,the count rates of the fluorescent photons of elements(for chemical characteriza-tion)and a radiographic grayscale image(for wood density)are obtained,i.e.the density and the element content are obtained.Then,cellulose is isolated from the 1-mm wood plate by removal of lignin,and hemicellulose.After producing this cellulose plate,cellulose subsamples are separated by knife under the microscope for inter-annual and intra-annual stable carbon and oxygen isotope(δ^(13)C,δ^(18)O)analysis.Based on this method,RW,density,elemental composition,δ^(13)C,and δ^(18)O can be measured from the same sample,which reduces sample amount and treatment time,and is helpful for multi-proxy comparison and combination research.

Relationships between tree-ring width index and NDVI of grassland in Delingha

Using five well-replicated Qilian juniper (Sabina przewalskii Kom.) tree-ring width index se- ries, monthly normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) of grassland, and climatic data from 1982 to 2001, the relationships between tree-ring width index, NDVI of grassland, and climatic data were analyzed firstly. Then, the relationship between tree-ring width index and NDVI of grassland was explored. The re- sults showed that: (1) Temperature and precipitation in June influenced tree-ring width index and NDVI of grassland deeply in Delingha. (2) There were sig- nificant relationships between five tree-ring width index series (DLH1-DLH5) and monthly NDVI of grassland from June to September, with the most significant relationship being between tree-ring width index series and NDVI of grassland in August. (3) The PC1 (the first principal component derived from DLH1-DLH5 series) exhibited good agreement with monthly NDVI of grassland in the grass growth sea- son (from June to September) and the averaged NDVI in the growth season, which was attributed to their common responses to water-supply limit in Delingha. This study may allow an increase in studying the past dynamics of grassland in Delingha in that the variation of grassland NDVI during the last millennium has been reconstructed from PC1.

January to August temperature variability since 1776 inferred from tree-ring width of Pinus tabulaeformis in Helan Mountain

Tree-ring standardized chronologies are developed by 78 cores collected from the eastern and western Helan Mountain. Statistical analysis shows that both the STD and RES chronologies correlate negatively with the temperature of different periods of early half year, especially with January to August mean （JA） temperature, which means that JA temperature is one of the predominant limiting factors of tree growth in the Helan Mountain. Based on this analysis, we reconstructed JA temperature, and the explained variance is 43.3% （F=21.422, p〈0.001 ）. The comparatively high temperature periods in the reconstruction were： 1805-1818 1828-1857, 1899-1907, 1919-1931 and 1968-1995; and the comparatively low temperatu re periods happened in 1858-1872, 1883-1895 and 1935-1953. Ten-year moving average curve shows three slow uplifting trends： 1766-1853, 1862-1931 and 1944-1995. Each temperature increase was followed by a sudden temperature decrease about 10 years, that is to say, the JA temperature in the Helan Mountain is characterized by slow increase and sudden decrease. The 70- and 10.77-year periodicities detected in the temperature series correspond to the Gleissberg （80-year） and Schwabe （11-year） periodicities of solar activity respectively, the 2.11-2.62 years cycles are considered to be influenced by QBO （Quasi-Biennial-Oscillation） and the local environmental change.

Reconstructing the annual precipitation variation since 1899 based on tree-ring width in the western Hedong sandy land of Ningxia

Based on the analysis of the correlation between the tree-ring width of Pinus tabulaeformis and the climate factors in the western Hedong sandy land of Ningxia, a conversion equation between the annual precipitation and the tree-ring width since 1899 was reconstructed. The results of cross verification indicated that the conversion equation is stable and the reconstructed results are reliable. The result of reconstructed annual precipitation showed the remarkable fluctuation of precipitation and dry-to-wet variation before the 1940s. The smaller fluctuation and high frequent changes of precipitation occurred during the period of 1940s-1980s and after the 1980s the change trend of the precipitation became high periodic extent and low frequent. The study found that there were some coincidences with the climate change in Changling Mountains, Helan Mountains and the east of Qilian Mountains. The relatively dry periods in the beginning of 20th century, 1920s to 1930s, the end of the 20th century and 2004 to 2006 in the western Hedong sandy land of Ningxia accelerated the desertification, while the relatively humid period during the periods of the 1910s-1920s, 1930s-1940s and 1990s is favorable to prevent and control the desertification, and to weaken the climate warming and drying. The periods of annual precipitation variation in the western Hedong sandy land of Ningxia since 1899 are approximately 2-4 years, 5-7 years and 10 years.

Dynamics of moisture regime and its reconstruction from a tree-ring width chronology of Pinus sylvestris in the downstream basin of the Selenga River, Russia

Regional tree-ring width chronology of the Scots pine (Pinus sylvestris L.) was constructed from 8 sites in the forest-steppe belt situated in the foothills of the Selenga River basin, Russia. Moisture information contained in tree-ring width chronology was obtained through linear regression reconstruction models of annual August–July precipitation and annual water discharge of the Selenga River during the period 1767–2015. Comparison of the smoothed series allowed estimating long-term variation component of these moisture regime parameters with a high precision. At the same time, regional drought indices are less correlated with pine radial growth, because they have contribution of the other environmental variables, which are much less reflected in the tree-ring of the investigated pine forest stands. Reconstructed dynamic of the moisture regime parameters is supported by documental evident of many socially significant events in the regional history, such as crop failures caused by both droughts and floods, and catastrophic fire in the Irkutsk City in 1879. Also, dependence of the amount of precipitation in the study area on the atmospheric circulation in Central Asia is revealed to have a similar pattern with other regions, i.e., a negative relationship of precipitation with the development of large high atmospheric pressure area within its center in the Altai and Tianshan mountains.

Climatic response of Pinus sylvestris var. mongolica tree-ring width and precipitation reconstruction for the northern Greater Higgnan Mountains, China, since 1720

August-June precipitation has been reconstructed back to AD 1720 for the northern Greater Higgnan Mountains, China, by use ofPinus sylvestris var. mongolica tree-ring width. The reconstruction explains the variance of 39% in observed precipitation from 1973 to 2008. Some extremely dry/wet signals in historical documents and other precipitation reconstructions in previous studies are precisely captured in our reconstruction. Wet periods occurred during the periods of 1730 to 1746, 1789 to 1812, 1844 to 1903, 1920 to 1930, 1942 to 1961, and 1985 to 1998; while periods of 1747 to 1788, 1813 to 1843, 1904 to 1919, 1931 to 1941, and 1962 to 1984 were relatively dry. Power spectral and wavelet analyses demon- strated the existence of significant 24-year, 12-year, and 2-year cycles of variability.

Reconstruction of hydrological changes based on tree-ring data of the Haba River, northwestern China

Reconstructing the hydrological change based on dendrohydrological data has important implications for understanding the dynamic distribution and evolution pattern of a given river. The widespread, long-living coniferous forests on the Altay Mountains provide a good example for carrying out the dendrohydrological studies. In this study, a regional composite tree-ring width chronology developed by Lariat sibirica Ledeb. and Picea obovata Ledeb. was used to reconstruct a 301-year annual （from preceding July to succeeding June） streamflow for the Haba River, which originates in the southern Altay Mountains, Xinjiang, China. Results indicated that the reconstructed streamflow series and the observations were fitting well, and explained 47.5% of the variation in the observed streamflow of 1957-2008. Moreover, floods and droughts in 1949-2000 were precisely captured by the streamflow reconstruction. Based on the frequencies of the wettest/driest years and decades, we identified the 19th century as the century with the largest occurrence of hydrological fluctuations for the last 300 years. After applying a 21-year moving average, we found five wet （1724-1758, 1780-1810, 1822-1853, 1931-1967, and 1986-2004） and four dry （1759-1779, 1811-1821, 1854-1930, and 1968-1985） periods in the streamflow reconstruction. Furthermore, four periods （1770-1796, 1816-1836, 1884-1949, and 1973-1997） identified by the streamflow series had an obvious increasing trend. The increasing trend of streamflow since the 1970s was the biggest in the last 300 years and coincided with the recent warming-wetting trend in northwestern China. A significant correlation between streamflow and precipitation in the Altay Mountains indicated that the streamflow reconstruction contained not only local, but also broad-scale, hydro-climatic signals. The 24-year, 12-year, and 2.2-4.5-year cycles of the reconstruction revealed that the streamflow variability of the Haba River may be influenced by solar activity and the atmosphere-ocean system.

Tree-ring response of Larix chinensis on regional climate and sea-surface temperature variations in alpine timberline in the Qinling Mountains

Tree-ring width chronologies of Larix chinensis were developed from the northern and southern slopes of the Qinling Mountains in Shaanxi Province,and climatic factors affecting the tree-ring widths of L.chinensis were examined.Correlation analysis showed that similar correlations between tree-ring width chronologies and climatic factors demonstrated that radial growth responded to climate change on both slopes.The radial growth of L.chinensis was mainly limited by temperature,especially the growing season.In contrast,both chronologies were negatively correlated with precipitation in May of the previous year and April of the current year.Spatial climate-correlation analyses with gridded land-surface climate data revealed that our tree-ring width chronologies contained a strong regional temperature signal over much of northcentral and eastern China.Spatial correlation with seasurface temperature fields highlights the influence of the Pacific Ocean,Indian Ocean,and North Atlantic Ocean.Wavelet coherence analysis indicated the existence of some decadal and interannual cycles in the two tree-ring width chronologies.This may suggest the influences of El Nin˜o-Southern Oscillation and solar activity on tree growth in the Qinling Mountains.These findings will help us understand the growth response of L.chinensis to climate change in the Qinling region,and they provide critical information for future climate reconstructions based on this species in semi-humid regions.

Red cell distribution width: A predictor of the severity of hypertriglyceridemia-induced acute pancreatitis

BACKGROUND Compared with patients with other causes of acute pancreatitis,those with hypertriglyceridemia-induced acute pancreatitis(HTG-AP)are more likely to develop persistent organ failure(POF).Therefore,recognizing the individuals at risk of developing POF early in the HTG-AP process is a vital for improving outcomes.Bedside index for severity in acute pancreatitis(BISAP),a simple parameter that is obtained 24 h after admission,is an ideal index to predict HTG-AP severity;however,the suboptimal sensitivity limits its clinical application.Hence,current clinical scoring systems and biochemical parameters are not sufficient for predicting HTG-AP severity.AIM To elucidate the early predictive value of red cell distribution width(RDW)for POF in HTG-AP.METHODS In total,102 patients with HTG-AP were retrospectively enrolled.Demographic and clinical data,including RDW,were collected from all patients on admission.RESULTS Based on the Revised Atlanta Classification,37(33%)of 102 patients with HTG-AP were diagnosed with POF.On admission,RDW was significantly higher in patients with HTG-AP and POF than in those without POF(14.4%vs 12.5%,P<0.001).The receiver operating characteristic curve demonstrated a good discrim-inative power of RDW for POF with a cutoff of 13.1%,where the area under the curve(AUC),sensitivity,and specificity were 0.85,82.4%,and 77.9%,respectively.When the RDW was≥13.1%and one point was added to the original BISAP to obtain a new BISAP score,we achieved a higher AUC,sensitivity,and specificity of 0.89,91.2%,and 67.6%,respectively.CONCLUSION RDW is a promising predictor of POF in patients with HTG-AP,and the addition of RDW can promote the sensitivity of BISAP.

术前血小板分布宽度联合系统性炎症指数对结肠癌术后复发转移的预测价值

目的研究术前血小板分布宽度(Platelet volume distribution width,PDW)联合系统性炎症指数(Systemic inflammation response index,SIRI)对结肠癌术后复发转移的预测价值。方法以2020年1月-2021年6月江苏大学附属医院胃肠外科就诊并接受根治性切除手术治疗的194例结肠癌患者为结肠癌组,选择同期在本院体检中心招募的100例健康体检者为对照组。术前检测并记录PDW和SIRI,收集患者的一般资料包括:性别、年龄、身高、体重、家族肿瘤史、是否吸烟、酗酒、体质指数(Body mass index,BMI)、肿瘤最大径、TNM分期(Tumor node metastasis,TNM)和分化程度。对患者随访2年,记录结肠癌复发转移情况。采用ROC曲线确定相关变量的临界最佳值,通过AUC(ROC曲线下面积)评价其预后的准确性。结果与对照组比较,结肠癌组PDW和SIRI均显著增高,差异有统计学意义(P<0.05)。术后发生复发转移患者术前PDW与SIRI高于术后未发生复发转移的患者,差异有统计学意义(P<0.05)。TNM分期Ⅲ~Ⅳ期和中低分化程度术后复发转移患者的PDW高于Ⅰ~Ⅱ期患者和高分化程度患者,差异有统计学意义(P<0.05)。肿瘤最大径≥5 cm、TNM分期Ⅲ~Ⅳ期和中低分化程度术后复发转移患者的PDW高于肿瘤最大径<5 cm、TNM分期Ⅰ~Ⅱ期和高分化程度的患者,差异有统计学意义(P<0.05)。PDW、SIRI及两者联合预测结肠癌术后复发转移的曲线下面积(Area under curve,AUC)分别为0.761(95%CI:0.691~0.831),0.836(95%CI:0.775~0.897)和0.918(95%CI:0.876~0.960)。术后复发转移患者的PDW与SIRI呈显著正相关关系(r=0.574,P=0.003)。结论PDW、SIRI与结肠癌患者临床病理特征和术后复发转移有关,两者联合预测术后复发转移的效能较好,可为临床应用提供一定参考价值。

红细胞分布宽度/白蛋白比值对重症社区获得性肺炎不良结局预测价值

目的 探讨红细胞分布宽度/白蛋白(RDW/ALB)比值对重症社区获得性肺炎(sCAP)不良结局的预测价值。方法 分析107例sCAP患者的临床资料,根据30 d预后情况分为预后不良组和预后良好组。采用单因素和多因素Logistic回归分析,揭示预后的影响因素。采用受试者特征工作(ROC)曲线分析RDW/ALB比值预测预后的能力。结果 sCAP患者预后不良组RDW/ALB比值的中位数显著高于预后良好组(P<0.05),RDW/ALB比值越高,30 d预后不良发生率越高(OR=1.155,95%CI:1.007~2.430,P<0.05)。计算RDW/ALB比值曲线下面积(AUC)为0.761(95%CI:0.665~0.857),高于肺炎严重程度指数(PSI)评分的0.740(95%CI:0.643~0.837)(P<0.05)。当RDW/ALB比值与PSI评分结合时,AUC值增加到0.817(95%CI:0.736~0.899),高于PSI评分或单独的RDW/ALB比值(P<0.05)。结论 RDW/ALB比值具有较好预测重症社区获得性肺炎不良结局的价值。

Interpreting Larix principis-rupprechtii radial growth in northern China based on the Vaganov-Shashkin model

Changes in annual radial growth is an important indication of climate change. Dendroclimatology studies in northern China have focused on linear statistical analysis,but lacking studies based on the process of ring formation to clarify the radial growth of trees. Tree-ring width standard chronology(STD) was established using samples of Larix principis-rupprechtii collected at 2303 m altitude on Luya Mountain. Using the Vaganov-Shashkin(VS) model to simulate growth and development, the internal physiological mechanism of radial growth is identified. It was concluded that:(1) the growing season of L. principis-rupprechtii was May to September;(2) soil moisture was a significant factor in the early and late growing seasons, and temperature was the dominant factor in its main growth period;and(3) formation of narrow ring widths was closely related to drought stress, the development of wide ring widths will be restricted by increasing future temperatures. The VS model is applicable for radial growth simulation of subalpine coniferous forests and for guiding the cultivation of local tree species in the future.

Resilience and response:Unveiling the impacts of extreme droughts on forests through integrated dendrochronological and remote sensing analyses

Extreme droughts are anticipated to have detrimental impacts on forest ecosystems,especially in water-limited regions,due to the influence of climate change.However,considerable uncertainty remains regarding the patterns in species-specific responses to extreme droughts.Here,we conducted a study integrating dendrochronology and remote sensing methods to investigate the mosaic-distributed maple-oak(native)natural forests and poplar plantations(introduced)in the Horqin Sandy Land,Northeast China.We assessed the impacts of extreme droughts on tree performances by measuring interannual variations in radial growth and vegetation index.The results showed that precipitation and self-calibrated palmer drought severity index(scPDSI)are the major factors influencing tree-ring width index(RWI)and normalized difference vegetation index(NDVI).The severe droughts between 2000 and 2004 resulted in reduced RWI in the three studied tree species as well as led to NDVI reductions in both the maple-oak natural forests and the poplar plantations.The RWI reached the nadir during the2000-2004 severe droughts and remained at low levels two years after the severe drought,creating a legacy effect.In contrast to the lack of significant correlation between RWI and scPDSI,NDVI exhibited a significant positive correlation with scPDSI indicating the greater sensitivity of canopy performance to droughts than radial growth.Furthermore,interspecific differences in RWI and NDVI responses were observed,with the fast-growing poplar species experiencing a more significant RWI decrease and more negative NDVI anomaly during severe droughts than native species,highlighting the species-specific trade-offs between drought resilience and growth rate.This study emphasizes the importance of combining tree-level radial growth with landscape-scale canopy remote sensing to understand forest resilience and response.Our study improves our understanding of forest responses to extreme drought and highlights species differences in climate responses,offering crucial insights for optimizing species selection in sustainable afforestation and forest management in water-limited regions under the influence of climate change.

老年脓毒症患者住院期间死亡风险预测模型的建立与验证

目的建立并验证可预测老年脓毒症患者住院死亡风险的模型。方法回顾性纳入2019年1月—2022年12月哈尔滨医科大学附属第一医院重症医学科住院治疗的238例脓毒症患者,以住院期间转归情况为主要结局指标,分为死亡组68例(28.57%)和生存组170例(71.43%)。采用多因素Logistic回归法筛选脓毒症患者住院死亡的独立危险因素,并根据影响因素构建预测脓毒症患者住院死亡风险的模型。采用受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线对预测模型的性能进行评定,结果以曲线下面积(AUC)表示;基于2016年1月—2018年12月的176例脓毒症患者的临床资料进行外部验证。结果单因素分析显示,与生存组比较,死亡组年龄>70岁的比率、急性肾损伤(AKI)Ⅲ期比率及红细胞分布宽度(RDW)、纤维蛋白原、乳酸、血肌酐、英国早期预警评分(NEWS)、快速序贯器官衰竭评分(qSOFA)升高,氧合指数、白蛋白降低,差异均有统计学意义(P<0.05)。多因素Logistic回归分析结果显示,年龄>70岁(OR=1.426,95%CI:1.055~1.928)、乳酸>6 mmol/L(OR=1.436,95%CI:1.105~1.867)、RDW>16%(OR=1.354,95%CI:1.080~1.698)、AKIⅢ期(OR=1.982,95%CI:1.407~2.791)、qSOFA>2分(OR=1.853,95%CI:1.255~2.738)是脓毒症患者住院期间死亡的独立危险因素(P<0.05)。根据回归分析结果,建立脓毒症患者死亡风险方程,一致性指数(Cindex)=-1.694+0.355×年龄+0.303×RDW+0.362×乳酸+0.684×AKIⅢ期+0.617×qSOFA。ROC曲线显示,内部验证时Cindex预测脓毒症患者住院期间死亡的AUC为0.882(95%CI:0.834~0.929),灵敏度为83.82%,特异度为77.06%;外部验证时Cindex预测脓毒症患者住院期间死亡的AUC为0.823(95%CI:0.757~0.889),灵敏度为74.13%,特异度为81.36%。结论年龄、乳酸、RDW、AKI分期、qSOFA与老年脓毒症死亡风险具有相关性,基于这些参数构建的模型可能有助于预测老年脓毒症住院期间全因死亡风险。

异种胶原基质在种植体周角化黏膜增宽中的美学效果评价

目的评价异种胶原基质在种植体周角化黏膜增宽中的稳定性及美学效果,为异种胶原基质材料的临床应用提供参考依据。方法获得医院伦理委员会审批及患者知情同意,收集2020年7月至2022年9月于滨州医学院附属烟台口腔医院因种植位点颊侧角化黏膜宽度(keratinized mucosa width,KMW)<2 mm行角化黏膜增宽的20例患者,共纳入36颗种植体,年龄(52.0±10.4)岁,其中女性18例,男性2例。根据移植材料的不同分为游离龈移植(free gingival graft,FGG)对照组和异种胶原基质试验组。测量术后1、3个月种植体颊侧KMW的增量效果及黏膜收缩率,评价术后黏膜瘢痕指数(mucosal scarring index,MSI)。结果术后3个月对照组的KMW为(3.67±1.06)mm,试验组的KMW为(2.96±0.98)mm,差异有统计学意义(t=2.076,P<0.05)。术后1个月试验组KMW收缩率为(33.34±16.30)%,对照组为(22.05±15.47)%,差异有统计学意义(P<0.05);术后3个月试验组KMW收缩率为(51.95±12.60)%,对照组为(37.44±16.30)%,差异有统计学意义(P<0.05)。术后3个月试验组在瘢痕5项指标中(瘢痕宽度、瘢痕凸度、瘢痕颜色、缝合痕迹、整体外观)均优于对照组,差异具有统计学意义(P<0.05)。结论异种胶原基质在种植体周角化黏膜增宽中可以增加KMW,同时获得更加自然协调的软组织美学效果,但具有较大的收缩率。

Prognostic value of a nomogram model for postoperative liver metastasis of colon cancer

BACKGROUND Colon cancer is one of the most common malignant tumors of the digestive system.Liver metastasis after colon cancer surgery is the primary cause of death in patients with colon cancer.AIM To construct a novel nomogram model including various factors to predict liver metastasis after colon cancer surgery.METHODS We retrospectively analyzed 242 patients with colon cancer who were admitted and underwent radical resection for colon cancer in Zhejiang Provincial People’s Hospital from December 2019 to December 2022.Patients were divided into liver metastasis and non-liver metastasis groups.Sex,age,and other general and clinicopathological data(preoperative blood routine and biochemical test indexes)were compared.The risk factors for liver metastasis were analyzed using singlefactor and multifactorial logistic regression.A predictive model was then constructed and evaluated for efficacy.RESULTS Systemic inflammatory index(SII),C-reactive protein/albumin ratio(CAR),red blood cell distribution width(RDW),alanine aminotransferase,preoperative carcinoembryonic antigen level,and lymphatic metastasis were different between groups(P<0.05).SII,CAR,and RDW were risk factors for liver metastasis after colon cancer surgery(P<0.05).The area under the curve was 0.93 for the column-line diagram prediction model constructed based on these risk factors to distinguish whether liver metastasis occurred postoperatively.The actual curve of the column-line diagram predicting the risk of postoperative liver metastasis was close to the ideal curve,with good agreement.The prediction model curves in the decision curve analysis showed higher net benefits for a larger threshold range than those in extreme cases,indicating that the model is safer.CONCLUSION Liver metastases after colorectal cancer surgery could be well predicted by a nomogram based on the SII,CAR,and RDW.

上皮下结缔组织瓣移植术对牙周炎附着龈过窄患者附着龈宽度及牙周指标的影响

目的:探究上皮下结缔组织瓣移植术对牙周炎附着龈过窄患者附着龈宽度及牙周指标的影响。方法:选取瑞金市人民医院口腔科在2021年6月—2023年2月收治的101例牙周炎附着龈过窄患者作为研究对象,按随机数字表法分为观察组(51例)和对照组(50例)。对照组行根向复位瓣术,观察组行上皮下结缔组织瓣移植术。观察两组疗效、附着龈宽度、牙周指标及并发症情况。结果:观察组总有效率(96.08%)高于对照组(82.00%),差异有统计学意义(P<0.05)。术后3个月,观察组的附着龈宽度大于对照组(P<0.05);与术前相比,术后3个月两组出血指数(bleeding index,BI)、菌斑指数(plaque index,PI)、探诊深度(probing depth,PD)均降低,观察组均低于对照组(P<0.05)。观察组并发症发生率为1.96%,对照组为6.00%,差异无统计学意义(P>0.05)。结论:上皮下结缔组织瓣移植术对牙周炎附着龈过窄患者有良好的疗效,可有效增加附着龈宽度,改善牙周指标。

MCTSI评分及MPV、RDW对急性胰腺炎患者预后不良的预测价值

目的探讨改良CT严重指数(MCTSI)评分及血小板平均体积(MPV)、红细胞分布宽度(RDW)对急性胰腺炎预后不良的预测价值。方法选取2018年1月至2022年6月在兵器工业五二一医院住院的318例急性胰腺炎患者作为研究对象,根据患者出院后90 d均是否死亡分为预后不良组和预后良好组。比较两组患者的性别、年龄、体质量指数(BMI)、疾病类型、MCTSI评分、MPV、RDW、白细胞计数、红细胞计数、血细胞比容、血红蛋白、总胆固醇(TC)、甘油三酯(TG)、肌酐(Cr)、总胆红素(TBIL)水平。绘制受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线分析MCTSI评分、MPV、RDW对急性胰腺炎患者预后不良的预测价值。采用多因素Logistic回归分析急性胰腺炎患者预后不良的危险因素。结果预后不良组有48例患者,预后良好组有270例患者。预后不良组MCTSI评分高于预后良组,MPV、RDW大于预后良好组,差异均有统计学意义(P<0.05)。ROC曲线分析结果显示,3项指标联合及MCTSI评分、MPV、RDW单独预测急性胰腺炎患者预后不良的曲线下面积分别为0.902、0.852、0.815、0.866。多因素Logistic回归分析结果显示,MCTSI评分≥6.274分、MPV≥11.795 fL、RDW≥15.025%是急性胰腺炎患者预后不良的危险因素(P<0.05)。结论MCTSI评分联合MPV、RDW在急性胰腺炎预后不良中的预测价值较高,在疾病早期对患者的预后进行预测可及时采取有效的治疗措施,改善患者预后。

冷轧机仿真分析及板形控制

为进一步提升板带材的质量,尤其是其平直度和几何尺寸的精确性,以六辊式冷轧机为研究对象,在对其基本结构分析的基础上构建了三维模型和有限元仿真模型,结合其轧制基础工艺参数,重点对弯辊技术和板形宽度对板形的影响进行仿真分析。结果显示:工作辊弯辊力为280 kN、中间辊弯辊力为250 kN以及板形宽度为900 mm时,所得轧件的平直度及光滑度效果最佳,为相关研究成果及实践生产提供了理论参考。

基于无人机可见光植被指数的森林冠幅信息提取研究——以内蒙古旺业甸林场为例

基于无人机遥感影像,以内蒙古自治区赤峰市喀喇沁旗旺业甸林场实验样地为例,提取树冠信息,再利用可见光植被指数对影像进行增强,以样地与单木两个尺度进行提取研究,并对提取精度进行分析。结果表明:影像灰度值标准差提高了162.61%;使用增强后的影像进行多尺度分割对林分树冠进行提取,精度提高了14.22%,对单木树冠进行提取,精度提高了11.48%。使用基于无人机可见光植被指数的影像增强方法可消除或降低无人机影像容易受到阴影及树冠间交叉重叠的影响,对利用遥感技术进行森林资源调查具有重要意义。