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Application of discrete choice model in trip mode structure forecast:a case study of Bengbu
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作者 任刚 周竹萍 张浩然 《Journal of Southeast University(English Edition)》 EI CAS 2011年第1期83-87,共5页
In order to find the main factors that influence the urban traffic structure,a relational model between the travelers' characteristics and the trip mode choice is built.The data of urban residents' characteristics a... In order to find the main factors that influence the urban traffic structure,a relational model between the travelers' characteristics and the trip mode choice is built.The data of urban residents' characteristics are obtained from statistical data,while the trip mode split data is collected through a trip survey in Bengbu.In addition,the discrete choice model is adopted to build the functional relationship between the mode choice and the travelers' personal characteristics,as well as family characteristics and trip characteristics.The model shows that the relationship between the mode split and the personal,as well as family and trip characteristics is stable and changes little as the time changes.Deduced by the discrete model,the mode split result is relatively accurate and can be feasibly used for trip mode structure forecasts.Furthermore,the proposed model can also contribute to find the key influencing factors on trip mode choice,and restructure or optimize the urban trip mode structure. 展开更多
关键词 trip mode split trip mode structure discrete choice model forecasting
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