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Integrating unascertained measurement and information entropy theory to assess blastability of rock mass 被引量:15
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作者 周健 李夕兵 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2012年第7期1953-1960,共8页
Due to the complex features of rock mass blastability assessment systems, an evaluation model of rock mass blastability was established on the basis of the unascertained measurement (UM) theory and the actual charac... Due to the complex features of rock mass blastability assessment systems, an evaluation model of rock mass blastability was established on the basis of the unascertained measurement (UM) theory and the actual characteristics of the project. Considering a comprehensive range of intact rock properties and discontinuous structures of rock mass, twelve main factors influencing the evaluation blastability of rock mass were taken into account in the UM model, and the blastability evaluation index system of rock mass was constructed. The unascertained evaluation indices corresponding to the selected factors for the actual situation were solved both qualitatively and quantitatively. Then, the UM function of each evaluation index was obtained based on the initial data for the analysis of the blastability of six rock mass at a highway improvement cutting site in North Wales. The index weights of the factors were calculated by entropy theory, and credible degree identification (CDI) criteria were established according to the UM theory. The results of rock mass blastability evaluation were obtained by the CDI criteria. The results show that the UM model assessment results agree well with the actual records, and are consistent with those of the fuzzy sets evaluation method. Meanwhile, the unascertained superiority degree of rock mass blastability of samples S1-$6 which can be calculated by scoring criteria are 3.428 5, 3.453 3, 4.058 7, 3.675 9, 3.516 7 and 3.289 7, respectively. Furthermore, the proposed method can take into account large amount of uncertain information in blastability evaluation, which can provide an effective, credible and feasible way for estimating the blastability of rock mass. Engineering practices show that it can complete the blastability assessment systematically and scientifically without any assumption by the proposed model, which can be applied to practical engineering. 展开更多
关键词 rock mass BLASTABILITY unascertained measurement (um model information entropy PREDICTION
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Optimization model of unascertained measurement for underground mining method selection and its application 被引量:6
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作者 刘爱华 董蕾 董陇军 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2010年第4期744-749,共6页
An optimization model of underground mining method selection was established on the basis of the unascertained measurement theory.Considering the geologic conditions,technology,economy and safety production,ten main f... An optimization model of underground mining method selection was established on the basis of the unascertained measurement theory.Considering the geologic conditions,technology,economy and safety production,ten main factors influencing the selection of mining method were taken into account,and the comprehensive evaluation index system of mining method selection was constructed.The unascertained evaluation indices corresponding to the selected factors for the actual situation were solved both qualitatively and quantitatively.New measurement standards were constructed.Then,the unascertained measurement function of each evaluation index was established.The index weights of the factors were calculated by entropy theory,and credible degree recognition criteria were established according to the unascertained measurement theory.The results of mining method evaluation were obtained using the credible degree criteria,thus the best underground mining method was determined.Furthermore,this model was employed for the comprehensive evaluation and selection of the chosen standard mining methods in Xinli Gold Mine in Sanshandao of China.The results show that the relative superiority degrees of mining methods can be calculated using the unascertained measurement optimization model,so the optimal method can be easily determined.Meanwhile,the proposed method can take into account large amount of uncertain information in mining method selection,which can provide an effective way for selecting the optimal underground mining method. 展开更多
关键词 mining engineering underground mining method optimization model unascertained measurement theory information entropy
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Safety assessment of platform loadout procedures based on unascertained measures 被引量:4
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作者 李彦苍 索娟娟 《Chinese Journal of Oceanology and Limnology》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2007年第4期354-358,共5页
Safety assessment of offshore platforms is an urgent task. Such assessments are now focusing on the structure, maintenance, and retirement of a platform. Some methods employed have many shortcomings. For example, they... Safety assessment of offshore platforms is an urgent task. Such assessments are now focusing on the structure, maintenance, and retirement of a platform. Some methods employed have many shortcomings. For example, they cannot make the reliability adequately explicable. Therefore, a mathematical tool, the unascertained measure, was introduced. First, the basic knowledge of the unascertained sets was introduced briefly. Second, the unascertained measure was defined and credible identification was set up. The method has been introduced into the fields for safety assessment of a jacket loadout procedure. Engineering practices showed that it can complete the safety assessment systematically and scientifically without any assumption. The work should have significance in theory and practice for offshore engineering. 展开更多
关键词 safety assessment offshore platform INSTALLATION unascertained measure information entropy
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Unascertained measurement classifying model of goal collapse prediction 被引量:8
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作者 董陇军 彭刚剑 +2 位作者 付玉华 白云飞 刘有芳 《Journal of Coal Science & Engineering(China)》 2008年第2期221-224,共4页
Based on optimized forecast method of unascertained classifying,a unascer- tained measurement classifying model (UMC) to predict mining induced goaf collapse was established,The discriminated factors of the model are ... Based on optimized forecast method of unascertained classifying,a unascer- tained measurement classifying model (UMC) to predict mining induced goaf collapse was established,The discriminated factors of the model are influential factors including over- burden layer type,overburden layer thickness,the complex degree of geologic structure, the inclination angle of coal bed,volume rate of the cavity region,the vertical goaf depth from the surface and space superposition layer of the goaf region.Unascertained mea- surement (UM) function of each factor was calculated.The unascertained measurement to indicate the classification center and the grade of waiting forecast sample was determined by the UM distance between the synthesis index of waiting forecast samples and index of every classification.The training samples were tested by the established model,and the correct rate is 100%.Furthermore,the seven waiting forecast samples were predicted by the UMC model.The results show that the forecast results are fully consistent with the ac- tual situation. 展开更多
关键词 unascertained measurement classifying model GOAF collapse prediction mining engineering
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Assessment of Traffic Safety State of Ship Based on Unascertained Measure
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作者 段爱媛 赵耀 《Journal of Southwest Jiaotong University(English Edition)》 2007年第2期138-141,共4页
Using the theory and method of unascertained measure, an unascertained measure model and the related confidence rule are established to assess the safety state of ship. Thus, the dangerous factors in the hull system c... Using the theory and method of unascertained measure, an unascertained measure model and the related confidence rule are established to assess the safety state of ship. Thus, the dangerous factors in the hull system can be identified, and the accident possibility, loss, and injury degree can be forcasted. An application result shows that the the proposed method is effective in assessment of the traffic safety of ships, and it is more simple in computation than the fuzzy synthetic evaluation method. The proposed method can provide a scientific basis for realizing shipping transportation security and formulating preventive measures. 展开更多
关键词 unascertained measure Traffic safety SHIP ASSESSMENT
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VW-UM模型在采场稳定性评价中的应用 被引量:3
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作者 康虔 王新民 +2 位作者 张钦礼 李天正 张楚旋 《中国安全科学学报》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2015年第7期128-134,共7页
为避免地下采场稳定性常权分析时容易出现"状态失衡"的问题,将变权重理论(VW)引入其中,结合未确知测度理论(UM)建立采场稳定性VW-UM评价模型。基于对采场稳定性影响最大的14项指标,计算其未确知测度(UM)函数,运用层次分析法(A... 为避免地下采场稳定性常权分析时容易出现"状态失衡"的问题,将变权重理论(VW)引入其中,结合未确知测度理论(UM)建立采场稳定性VW-UM评价模型。基于对采场稳定性影响最大的14项指标,计算其未确知测度(UM)函数,运用层次分析法(AHP)确定各指标常权重,再通过VW理论细化各指标权重的取值,最后根据置信度识别准则预测采场风险等级。用VW-UM模型分析新桥矿和焦家矿5个采场的稳定性,得出各采场的风险等级。实例分析表明,指标权重在常权重的基础上需根据指标值确定,这样使得分析结果的准确度比传统评价模型要高。 展开更多
关键词 采矿 稳定性分析 变权重理论(VW) 采场 未确知测度(um)
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RS-UM信息系统安全保障评估模型 被引量:2
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作者 张雪芹 江常青 +1 位作者 徐萃华 林家骏 《重庆大学学报(自然科学版)》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2012年第6期147-154,共8页
以GB/T20274信息系统安全保障评估框架为基础,介绍了信息系统安全保障模型及其评估指标体系,给出了评估方法的形式化描述和评估流程,提出了一种基于粗糙集(rough set,RS)和未确知测度(unascertained measure,UM)理论的信息安全评估模型... 以GB/T20274信息系统安全保障评估框架为基础,介绍了信息系统安全保障模型及其评估指标体系,给出了评估方法的形式化描述和评估流程,提出了一种基于粗糙集(rough set,RS)和未确知测度(unascertained measure,UM)理论的信息安全评估模型。在标准处理阶段,模型采用粗糙集理论获取关键指标,简化评估指标体系;在综合评估阶段,采用未确知测度模型分析客观数据,实现了对信息系统安全保障能力的定量化综合评价。 展开更多
关键词 安全测评 信息系统安全保障评估模型 粗糙集 未确知测度
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改进G1-RS-UMT模型在某配水工程围岩稳定预测中的应用 被引量:4
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作者 靳春玲 党丹丹 +2 位作者 贡力 魏晓悦 贺思乐 《水资源与水工程学报》 CSCD 北大核心 2021年第6期186-192,共7页
围岩稳定是保证水工隧洞工程安全稳定的重要前提。以某配水工程水工隧洞为研究背景,以提升长距离输水隧洞中围岩稳定性等级预测精度为目标,构建了多因素水工隧洞围岩稳定性预测指标体系,划分了围岩稳定等级,采用G1-改进RS法对影响指标... 围岩稳定是保证水工隧洞工程安全稳定的重要前提。以某配水工程水工隧洞为研究背景,以提升长距离输水隧洞中围岩稳定性等级预测精度为目标,构建了多因素水工隧洞围岩稳定性预测指标体系,划分了围岩稳定等级,采用G1-改进RS法对影响指标进行主客观赋权,并引用博弈论理论运算组合权重,最后基于未确知测度理论提出改进G1-RS-UMT模型,完成了围岩稳定等级预测。结果表明:某配水工程B4标段水工隧洞中9个典型断面中GS19+590~GS20+050段围岩处于不稳定状态,GS21+340~GS28+061里程范围内8段围岩皆处为局部稳定状态。通过论证,改进G1-RS-UMT模型预测结果相比于TOPSIS模型其准确度更高,预测等级与实际情况相符合程度由66.67%提高到了88.89%。该研究为围岩稳定性预测提供了一种新的定量方法,为水工隧洞围岩稳定性预测结果提供更加有效的支撑。 展开更多
关键词 水工隧洞 未确知测度理论 改进G1-RS法 围岩稳定预测 珠江三角洲水资源配置工程
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基于改进G2-AEW-UMT模型的引水隧洞结构安全评价 被引量:8
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作者 陆丽丽 靳春玲 +3 位作者 贡力 祁英弟 王婧 贺思乐 《水资源与水工程学报》 CSCD 2020年第1期172-178,共7页
引水隧洞作为引调水工程的关键环节,决定着引调水工程的整体质量。为避免在运营期间造成非必要的经济损失,结合西北地区寒冷干旱特征,建立引水隧洞安全评价指标体系,引用未确知测度理论(Unascertained measure theory,UMT)模型进行结构... 引水隧洞作为引调水工程的关键环节,决定着引调水工程的整体质量。为避免在运营期间造成非必要的经济损失,结合西北地区寒冷干旱特征,建立引水隧洞安全评价指标体系,引用未确知测度理论(Unascertained measure theory,UMT)模型进行结构安全评价。采用改进G2-反熵权法(Anti-entropy weight,AEW)进行主客观权重计算,用拉格朗日乘子法进行主客观组合赋权计算,在未确知测度理论基础上采用置信度识别准则进行安全等级识别。运用该模型以引大入秦1^#挪威隧洞中4个典型断面进行结构安全评价,得出各断面安全等级,洞段4+757.50~4+797.00与洞段5+071.00~5+135.00评价结果为结构存在轻微破坏,洞段4+247.01~4+281.60和洞段6+240.00~6+346.26评价结果为结构存在较严重破坏。通过论证,评价结果与实际情况一致,表明该模型对西北地区引水隧洞安全评价有效并且实用,可运用于长距离输水工程安全评价。 展开更多
关键词 引水隧洞 结构安全评价 改进G2-反熵权 未确知测度理论
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基于UMT的引水隧洞TBM地质适应性分析 被引量:3
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作者 颉芳弟 顾伟红 《土木工程与管理学报》 北大核心 2020年第5期149-157,共9页
在隧洞施工过程中,地质问题起着明显作用,其地质的好坏直接决定施工方法的选择。隧洞施工建设影响因素较多,地质对机械施工的影响有很多不确定性。为明确地下建设过程中TBM施工与地质是否相适应,运用未确知测度理论(UMT)建立TBM施工地... 在隧洞施工过程中,地质问题起着明显作用,其地质的好坏直接决定施工方法的选择。隧洞施工建设影响因素较多,地质对机械施工的影响有很多不确定性。为明确地下建设过程中TBM施工与地质是否相适应,运用未确知测度理论(UMT)建立TBM施工地质适应性评价模型。以北疆供水二期工程喀双段引水隧洞项目为例,选取破碎带宽、涌水量、透水率、地温等11个影响因子作为未确知测度理论的判别指标,将11个TBM施工地质适应性评价指标代入单指标测度函数中得到单指标测度评价矩阵,结合熵权法以及灰色关联理论得到各个指标的权重,利用置信度识别准则进行等级评判,最后得出TBM施工地质适应性分析评价结果。将评价结果与现场实际情况做对比分析,结果与实际相符,证明该方法有效,可以在实际工程中推广应用。 展开更多
关键词 地质适应性 TBM施工 未确知测度 灰色关联分析 熵权法
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Measuring Research on County Agricultural Technological Innovation Ability Index 被引量:2
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作者 MA Li-hua YAN Hui-zhe YAN Ping-jian 《Asian Agricultural Research》 2011年第6期16-20,共5页
Taking the mechanism of technological construction guidance theory and mode which consists of "objective-construction-evaluation-construction-objective" as a starting point, on the basis of county agricultur... Taking the mechanism of technological construction guidance theory and mode which consists of "objective-construction-evaluation-construction-objective" as a starting point, on the basis of county agricultural technological innovation ability and its index definition, this paper researches the constructing system of county agricultural technological innovation ability. Firstly, on the basis of defining county agricultural technological innovation ability and the definition of index, according to the principle of purposefulness, scientificity, systematicness, integration of dynamic state and static state, integration of quantitativeness and qualitativeness and so on, we construct the multi-level measuring system of county agricultural technological innovation ability, including 4 first-level indices, namely technological innovation environment, technological innovation basis, technological innovation ability, and technological innovation efficiency; 15 second-level indices, such as technological policy, technological system mechanism, technological institution construction, ability of innovation subject, ability of industrial expansion, scale merit, technological contribution rate. Moreover, this system has 45 third-level indices. Then, by using unascertained mathematics method and AHM method, we establish the multi-level unascertained composite measuring model of county agricultural technological innovation ability index. Finally, by using the survey data of one county in Hebei Province, and the established county agricultural technological innovation ability index model, we get the county agricultural technological innovation ability index of 0.711 by calculation, that is, the innovation ability is at the intermediate level, namely the modern agricultural sub-stage. The empirical research proves the correctness and applicability of this model. 展开更多
关键词 County agriculture Technological innovation ability Index measuring AHM unascertained mathematics China
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基于组合赋权UM的煤炭企业人员流失风险评价
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作者 周佳宁 《河北工程大学学报(自然科学版)》 CAS 2015年第2期109-112,共4页
针对煤炭企业人员流失风险的复杂性和不确定性,建立了基于组合赋权未确知测度(UM)的综合评价模型。在应用AHM-信息熵确定风险评价因素权重的基础上,采用未确知测度方法对煤炭企业内不同职能的人力资源进行分析,评价出风险等级。最后运... 针对煤炭企业人员流失风险的复杂性和不确定性,建立了基于组合赋权未确知测度(UM)的综合评价模型。在应用AHM-信息熵确定风险评价因素权重的基础上,采用未确知测度方法对煤炭企业内不同职能的人力资源进行分析,评价出风险等级。最后运用实例证明了组合赋权的有效性和评价模型的可靠性,为企业的风险管理提供决策依据。 展开更多
关键词 组合赋权 未确知测度 煤炭企业 人员流失风险 综合评价模型
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Appraisal on the Regional Technological Innovation Ability Based on Unascertained Measure Method
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作者 Qingkui Cao Xiangyang Ren Yanli Yang 《Journal of Systems Science and Information》 2006年第3期477-484,共8页
In market economics, the regional technological innovation ability has become an important factor in the sustainable development of this region and important position in the region's competition. In this paper, the a... In market economics, the regional technological innovation ability has become an important factor in the sustainable development of this region and important position in the region's competition. In this paper, the application of unascertained measure method in the ability of the regional technological innovation is studied. The appraisal index system is setup and the unascertained measure model is given . At last, an example is given to verify the theory model. 展开更多
关键词 index system information entropy technological innovation ability unascertained measure
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Evaluation of Organizational Learning Ability Based on Fuzzy C-means and Unascertained Measure
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作者 Runliang Wang Zhiqiang Liu Zhixia Cui Xiangyang Ren 《Journal of Systems Science and Information》 2006年第4期621-630,共10页
The purpose of objective and quantitative evaluating the organizational learning ability is to make the enterprise have reliable criterions and operable procedures during the process of improving the organizational le... The purpose of objective and quantitative evaluating the organizational learning ability is to make the enterprise have reliable criterions and operable procedures during the process of improving the organizational learning ability and founding learning organization. In this paper, an evaluating indicator system is established by analyzing the whole process of organizational learning; both qualitative and quantitative analyses are used, and a new combined evaluating method is presented. A measurement case involving twenty enterprises is given to prove the validity of this method. In conclusion, learning strategies are presented according to measurement result. This paper applies 4 models synthetically. The evaluating effect is superior to other methods. 展开更多
关键词 organizational learning ability evaluating indicator system principal component analysis fuzzy C-means unascertained measure
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未确知测度理论在盾构下穿既有隧道安全风险评价中的应用 被引量:1
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作者 顾伟红 毛梦薇 赵雪 《安全与环境学报》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2024年第2期461-469,共9页
盾构下穿既有隧道工程施工通常存在较大风险,为了对风险等级做出准确有效的评价,提出了基于未确知测度理论的盾构下穿既有隧道安全风险评价模型。首先,通过对相关规范和现有文献的研究,并结合盾构下穿隧道施工的特点,构建了盾构下穿既... 盾构下穿既有隧道工程施工通常存在较大风险,为了对风险等级做出准确有效的评价,提出了基于未确知测度理论的盾构下穿既有隧道安全风险评价模型。首先,通过对相关规范和现有文献的研究,并结合盾构下穿隧道施工的特点,构建了盾构下穿既有隧道安全风险评价指标体系,包括盾构掘进参数、新建隧道条件、既有隧道条件、地质条件和施工管理条件5个一级指标,以及掘进速度、掘进推力、注浆压力等19个二级指标;其次,将综合安全风险划分为5个等级,并明确了各指标的等级划分标准;然后基于熵权-未确知测度理论构建盾构下穿既有隧道安全风险评价模型,采用熵权法确定指标权重,根据未确知测度理论构建各指标的单指标未确知测度函数,将各指标数据值代入单指标未确知测度函数中得到单指标测度评价矩阵,结合指标权重和单指标测度评价矩阵计算得到多指标测度评价向量,依照置信度准则确定安全风险等级;最后,将提出的模型应用于实际盾构下穿既有隧道工程中,对其进行安全风险等级评价。结果表明,模型评价结果与实际风险等级一致,并通过与模糊层析分析法对比验证了所提模型应用于工程实践的有效性,研究结果可为实际施工安全管理提供决策支持。 展开更多
关键词 安全工程 盾构法隧道 下穿施工 风险评价 熵权法 未确知测度理论
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基于未确知测度方法的装配式建筑吊装风险研究
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作者 姚静 姜安民 +2 位作者 董彦辰 王飞飞 张福天 《安全》 2024年第4期42-47,共6页
为实现对装配式建筑吊装风险的科学评价,基于AHP-熵组合赋权的未确知测度方法提出装配式建筑吊装风险量化评价方法。首先,遵循“4M1E”原则对风险因素进行梳理,从“人、物、技、环、管”5个方面对装配式建筑吊装风险因素进行识别,建立... 为实现对装配式建筑吊装风险的科学评价,基于AHP-熵组合赋权的未确知测度方法提出装配式建筑吊装风险量化评价方法。首先,遵循“4M1E”原则对风险因素进行梳理,从“人、物、技、环、管”5个方面对装配式建筑吊装风险因素进行识别,建立风险量化评价指标体系;然后,运用AHP计算评价指标主观权重,熵权法计算评价指标客观权重,结合最小熵原理计算组合权重,基于该权重与未确知测度方法提出装配式建筑吊装风险量化评价方法;最后,对湖南地区某装配式住宅项目进行实例研究。研究表明:该项目吊装总体风险判定为c4级(风险较小)。AHP-熵组合赋权未确知测度方法的可操作性较强,可用于装配式建筑吊装风险的量化评价。 展开更多
关键词 AHP-熵组合赋权 未确知测度方法 装配式建筑 吊装风险 量化评价
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基于EW-AHP改良未确知测度理论的泥石流危险性评价方法
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作者 贾世济 孙硕 高帅 《河北地质大学学报》 2024年第1期51-55,共5页
针对泥石流危险性评价中确定指标权重过度主观的缺陷,以甘肃省陇南市武都区两水村大湾沟泥石流为例,根据其地质环境特征,选取一次泥石流最大冲出量、流域面积、主沟长度、流域相对高差、泥沙补给段长度比、24 h最大降雨量、人口密度共7... 针对泥石流危险性评价中确定指标权重过度主观的缺陷,以甘肃省陇南市武都区两水村大湾沟泥石流为例,根据其地质环境特征,选取一次泥石流最大冲出量、流域面积、主沟长度、流域相对高差、泥沙补给段长度比、24 h最大降雨量、人口密度共7个因子作为泥石流危险性评价指标,引入熵权和层次分析法(EW-AHP)组合赋权确定指标权重,建立基于未确知测度理论的单钩泥石流危险性评价模型。对研究区泥石流危险性评价结果表明:结合评价指标的主、客观赋权,本评价模型的评价结果较符合现场调查结论,说明评价方法合理有效,可为今后泥石流危险性评价提供一种新途径。 展开更多
关键词 EW-AHP 未确知测度理论 泥石流 危险性评价
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武汉中城悦城项目造价风险控制研究
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作者 秦芳 苏恒恒 《江西建材》 2024年第3期274-276,共3页
为了科学有效评价工程项目造价风险,提高项目的抗风险能力,文中首先利用文献调研法构建了由4个一级指标和15个二级指标组成的工程项目造价风险指标体系;其次利用熵权法对指标赋值,将熵权法与未确知测度理论相结合,构建了工程项目造价风... 为了科学有效评价工程项目造价风险,提高项目的抗风险能力,文中首先利用文献调研法构建了由4个一级指标和15个二级指标组成的工程项目造价风险指标体系;其次利用熵权法对指标赋值,将熵权法与未确知测度理论相结合,构建了工程项目造价风险评价模型;最后以武汉中城悦城项目为例,分析了该模型的可行性。结果表明,该评价模型可以较好地量化风险等级,评价结果与实际情况基本一致。 展开更多
关键词 熵权法 未确知测度理论 造价风险 风险评价
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金川二矿区上盘贫矿采矿方法优选及采动效应分析
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作者 盛佳 万文 +2 位作者 张海云 王玉丁 李向东 《地下空间与工程学报》 CSCD 北大核心 2024年第4期1389-1400,共12页
金川镍矿为我国最大的镍矿资源生产基地,随着二矿区富矿资源逐渐减少,为稳定矿区生产能力,亟需开采上盘贫矿资源。富矿开采过程破坏了原岩应力环境,造成上盘贫矿和围岩体变形破坏,严重影响贫矿资源开采的整体稳定性。针对上盘贫矿开采... 金川镍矿为我国最大的镍矿资源生产基地,随着二矿区富矿资源逐渐减少,为稳定矿区生产能力,亟需开采上盘贫矿资源。富矿开采过程破坏了原岩应力环境,造成上盘贫矿和围岩体变形破坏,严重影响贫矿资源开采的整体稳定性。针对上盘贫矿开采技术难题,研发了下向进路充填与分段中深孔嗣后充填联合采矿法等3种开采方法,采用未确知测度理论方法确定最优开采方案。通过构建二矿区整体数值模型及其可靠性验证,开展贫矿资源开采采动效应数值模拟分析,表明机械化盘区下向分层大进路胶结充填采矿法应力集中程度最小、总位移量相对最小,更有利于盘区的整体稳定。基于矿山生产实际,开展了机械化盘区下向分层大进路胶结充填采矿法现场试验,建立了矿区全数字型微震监测系统及多参数权重预警模型,实时预警并采取对策措施。采场开采损失率为7.0%,贫化率为6.5%。研究成果可为贫矿资源或二次资源高效安全开采提供技术支撑。 展开更多
关键词 贫矿开采 下向充填采矿法 未确知测度理论 可靠性验证 采动效应
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基于未确知测度理论的矿井巷道安全风险评价分析
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作者 何尚森 刘瑞鹏 +1 位作者 余宏 宋乐 《能源与环保》 2024年第6期24-29,共6页
矿井巷道的安全性是保证矿山掘进与煤炭开采的重要保障之一,对其进行安全风险评价也是工程开展过程中不可或缺的关键环节。过往的评价方法往往更依赖于主观的定性分析,缺乏定量以及对各影响因素之间的主次关系考虑。基于此,从人、机、... 矿井巷道的安全性是保证矿山掘进与煤炭开采的重要保障之一,对其进行安全风险评价也是工程开展过程中不可或缺的关键环节。过往的评价方法往往更依赖于主观的定性分析,缺乏定量以及对各影响因素之间的主次关系考虑。基于此,从人、机、环、管4个方面出发,选取其中17个关键影响因素,运用未确知测度理论,科学建立了矿井巷道的安全评价体系;利用熵权法计算各影响因素的权重,再依据置信度识别准则对结果进行科学判定;最终对结果进行重要性排序,构建基于未确知测度理论的矿井巷道安全风险评价方法。结合工程实例分析结果表明,该评价方法客观全面,能够准确判别影响巷道安全状态的关键因素,与工程实际情况基本相符,证明该方法具有较高的准确性以及实际应用价值,可用于类似条件矿井巷道的综合安全评价。 展开更多
关键词 矿井巷道 未确知测度 置信度 安全评价
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