Accurate and efficient remaining useful life prediction of batteries enabled by physics-informed machine learning

The safe and reliable operation of lithium-ion batteries necessitates the accurate prediction of remaining useful life(RUL).However,this task is challenging due to the diverse ageing mechanisms,various operating conditions,and limited measured signals.Although data-driven methods are perceived as a promising solution,they ignore intrinsic battery physics,leading to compromised accuracy,low efficiency,and low interpretability.In response,this study integrates domain knowledge into deep learning to enhance the RUL prediction performance.We demonstrate accurate RUL prediction using only a single charging curve.First,a generalisable physics-based model is developed to extract ageing-correlated parameters that can describe and explain battery degradation from battery charging data.The parameters inform a deep neural network(DNN)to predict RUL with high accuracy and efficiency.The trained model is validated under 3 types of batteries working under 7 conditions,considering fully charged and partially charged cases.Using data from one cycle only,the proposed method achieves a root mean squared error(RMSE)of 11.42 cycles and a mean absolute relative error(MARE)of 3.19%on average,which are over45%and 44%lower compared to the two state-of-the-art data-driven methods,respectively.Besides its accuracy,the proposed method also outperforms existing methods in terms of efficiency,input burden,and robustness.The inherent relationship between the model parameters and the battery degradation mechanism is further revealed,substantiating the intrinsic superiority of the proposed method.

The development of machine learning-based remaining useful life prediction for lithium-ion batteries

Lithium-ion batteries are the most widely used energy storage devices,for which the accurate prediction of the remaining useful life(RUL)is crucial to their reliable operation and accident prevention.This work thoroughly investigates the developmental trend of RUL prediction with machine learning(ML)algorithms based on the objective screening and statistics of related papers over the past decade to analyze the research core and find future improvement directions.The possibility of extending lithium-ion battery lifetime using RUL prediction results is also explored in this paper.The ten most used ML algorithms for RUL prediction are first identified in 380 relevant papers.Then the general flow of RUL prediction and an in-depth introduction to the four most used signal pre-processing techniques in RUL prediction are presented.The research core of common ML algorithms is given first time in a uniform format in chronological order.The algorithms are also compared from aspects of accuracy and characteristics comprehensively,and the novel and general improvement directions or opportunities including improvement in early prediction,local regeneration modeling,physical information fusion,generalized transfer learning,and hardware implementation are further outlooked.Finally,the methods of battery lifetime extension are summarized,and the feasibility of using RUL as an indicator for extending battery lifetime is outlooked.Battery lifetime can be extended by optimizing the charging profile serval times according to the accurate RUL prediction results online in the future.This paper aims to give inspiration to the future improvement of ML algorithms in battery RUL prediction and lifetime extension strategy.

ZnO Additive Boosts Charging Speed and Cycling Stability of Electrolytic Zn–Mn Batteries

Electrolytic aqueous zinc-manganese(Zn–Mn) batteries have the advantage of high discharge voltage and high capacity due to two-electron reactions. However, the pitfall of electrolytic Zn–Mn batteries is the sluggish deposition reaction kinetics of manganese oxide during the charge process and short cycle life. We show that, incorporating ZnO electrolyte additive can form a neutral and highly viscous gel-like electrolyte and render a new form of electrolytic Zn–Mn batteries with significantly improved charging capabilities. Specifically, the ZnO gel-like electrolyte activates the zinc sulfate hydroxide hydrate assisted Mn^(2+) deposition reaction and induces phase and structure change of the deposited manganese oxide(Zn_(2)Mn_(3)O_8·H_(2)O nanorods array), resulting in a significant enhancement of the charge capability and discharge efficiency. The charge capacity increases to 2.5 mAh cm^(-2) after 1 h constant-voltage charging at 2.0 V vs. Zn/Zn^(2+), and the capacity can retain for up to 2000 cycles with negligible attenuation. This research lays the foundation for the advancement of electrolytic Zn–Mn batteries with enhanced charging capability.

Flexible Zinc-Manganese Dioxide Alkaline Batteries Based on Kelp Electrolytes

Flexible energy-storage devices play a critical role in the development of portable, flexible and wearable electronics. In addition, biological materials including plants or plant-based materials are known for their safety, biodegradability, biocompatibility, environmental benignancy, and low cost. With respect to these advances, a flexible alkaline zinc-manganese dioxide (Zn-MnO2) battery is fabricated with a kelp-based electrolyte in this study. To the best of our knowledge, pure kelp is utilized as a semi-solid electrolyte for flexible Zn-MnO2 alkaline batteries for the first time, with which the as-assembled battery exhibited a specific capacity of 60 mA·h and could discharge for 120 h. Furthermore, the as-assembled Zn-MnO2 battery can be bent into a ring-shape and power a light-emitting diode screen, showing promising potential for the practical application in the future flexible, portable and biodegradable electronic devices.

Reclamation of Mercury from Used Silver Oxide Watch Batteries

This paper deals with the reclamation of mercury from the used silver oxide quartz wristwatch batteries employing leaching-cementation technique. The used batteries are first crushed to liberate the encapsulated active material from the case which is leached in nitric acid to bring all metal contents into solution. After the removal of silver in the solution as silver chloride by precipitation, the mercury which is present as Hg2+ in the solution has been reclaimed through cementation with zinc dust. Various effects like zinc sheet and dust, zinc quantity, pH of the solution, duration and temperature have been carried out to standardise the conditions for maximum mercury reclamation. At a temperature of 45℃ and at 3.9 pH, 92.3% of mercury was recovered using 74 μm size zinc dust with purity greater than 99.78% and the same is characterized by XRF and the results are discussed.

A review of deep learning approach to predicting the state of health and state of charge of lithium-ion batteries

In the field of energy storage,it is very important to predict the state of charge and the state of health of lithium-ion batteries.In this paper,we review the current widely used equivalent circuit and electrochemical models for battery state predictions.The review demonstrates that machine learning and deep learning approaches can be used to construct fast and accurate data-driven models for the prediction of battery performance.The details,advantages,and limitations of these approaches are presented,compared,and summarized.Finally,future key challenges and opportunities are discussed.

A Hybrid Ensemble Deep Learning Approach for Early Prediction of Battery Remaining Useful Life

Accurate estimation of the remaining useful life(RUL)of lithium-ion batteries is critical for their large-scale deployment as energy storage devices in electric vehicles and stationary storage.A fundamental understanding of the factors affecting RUL is crucial for accelerating battery technology development.However,it is very challenging to predict RUL accurately because of complex degradation mechanisms occurring within the batteries,as well as dynamic operating conditions in practical applications.Moreover,due to insignificant capacity degradation in early stages,early prediction of battery life with early cycle data can be more difficult.In this paper,we propose a hybrid deep learning model for early prediction of battery RUL.The proposed method can effectively combine handcrafted features with domain knowledge and latent features learned by deep networks to boost the performance of RUL early prediction.We also design a non-linear correlation-based method to select effective domain knowledge-based features.Moreover,a novel snapshot ensemble learning strategy is proposed to further enhance model generalization ability without increasing any additional training cost.Our experimental results show that the proposed method not only outperforms other approaches in the primary test set having a similar distribution as the training set,but also generalizes well to the secondary test set having a clearly different distribution with the training set.The PyTorch implementation of our proposed approach is available at https://github.com/batteryrul/battery_rul_early_prediction.

State of health and remaining useful life prediction for lithiumion batteries based on differential thermal voltammetry and a long and short memory neural network

As the lithium-ion battery is widely applied,the reliability of the battery has become a high-profile content in recent years.Accurate estimation and prediction of state of health(SOH)and remaining useful life(RUL)prediction are crucial for battery management systems.In this paper,the core contribution is the construction of a datadriven model with the long short-term memory(LSTM)network applicable to the time-series regression prediction problem with the integration of two methods,data-driven methods and feature signal analysis.The input features of model are extracted from differential thermal voltammetry(DTV)curves,which could characterize the battery degradation characteristics,so that the accurate prediction of battery capacity fade could be accomplished.Firstly,the DTV curve is smoothed by the Savitzky-Golay filter,and six alternate features are selected based on the connection between DTV curves and battery degradation characteristics.Then,a correlation analysis method is used to further filter the input features and three features that are highly associated with capacity fade are selected as input into the data driven model.The LSTM neural network is trained by using the root mean square propagation(RMSprop)technique and the dropout technique.Finally,the data of four batteries with different health levels are deployed for model construction,verification and comparison.The results show that the proposed method has high accuracy in SOH and RUL prediction and the capacity rebound phenomenon can be accurately estimated.This method can greatly reduce the cost and complexity,and increase the practicability,which provides the basis and guidance for battery data collection and the application of cloud technology and digital twin.

Data-driven prognostics and remaining useful life estimation for lithium-ion battery: A Review

As an important and necessary part in the intelligent battery management systems(BMS),the prognostics and remaining useful life(RUL)estimation for lithium-ion batteries attach more and more attractions.Especially,the data-driven approaches use only the monitoring data and historical data to model the performance degradation and assess the health status,that makes these methods flexible and applicable in actual lithium-ion battery applications.At first,the related concepts and definitions are introduced.And the degradation parameters identification and extraction is presented,as the health indicator and the foundation of RUL prediction for the lithium-ion batteries.Then,data-driven methods used for lithium-ion battery RUL estimation are summarized,in which several statistical and machine learning algorithms are involved.Finally,the future trend for battery prognostics and RUL estimation are forecasted.

Remaining Useful Life Estimation of Lithium-Ion Battery Based on Gaussian Mixture Ensemble Kalman Filter

The remaining useful life(RUL)prediction is a crucial indicator for the lithium-ion battery health prognostic.The particle filter(PF),used together with an empirical model,has become one of the most well-accepted techniques for RUL prediction.In this work,a novel filtering algorithm,named the Gaussian mixture model(GMM)-ensemble Kalman filter(EnKF)is proposed.It embeds the Gaussian mixture model in the EnKF framework to cope with the non-Gaussian feature of the system state space,and meanwhile address some of the major shortcomings of the PF.The GMM-EnKF and the PF are both applied on public data sets for RUL prediction and the simulation results show superiority of our proposed approach to the PF.

Remaining useful life prediction of aircraft lithium-ion batteries based on F-distribution particle filter and kernel smoothing algorithm

As an emergency and auxiliary power source for aircraft,lithium(Li)-ion batteries are important components of aerospace power systems.The Remaining Useful Life(RUL)prediction of Li-ion batteries is a key technology to ensure the reliable operation of aviation power systems.Particle Filter(PF)is an effective method to predict the RUL of Li-ion batteries because of its uncertainty representation and management ability.However,there are problems that particle weights cannot be updated in the prediction stage and particles degradation.To settle these issues,an innovative technique of F-distribution PF and Kernel Smoothing(FPFKS)algorithm is proposed.In the prediction stage,the weights of the particles are dynamically updated by the F kernel instead of being fixed all the time.Meanwhile,a first-order independent Markov capacity degradation model is established.Moreover,the kernel smoothing algorithm is integrated into PF,so that the variance of the parameters of capacity degradation model keeps invariant.Experiments based on NASA battery data sets show that FPFKS can be excellently applied to RUL prediction of Liion batteries.

Remaining useful life prediction of lithium-ion batteries using a fusion method based on Wasserstein GAN

Lithium-ion batteries are the main power supply equipment in many fields due to their advantages of no memory, high energy density, long cycle life and no pollution to the environment. Accurate prediction for the remaining useful life(RUL) of lithium-ion batteries can avoid serious economic and safety problems such as spontaneous combustion. At present, most of the RUL prediction studies ignore the lithium-ion battery capacity recovery phenomenon caused by the rest time between the charge and discharge cycles. In this paper, a fusion method based on Wasserstein generative adversarial network(GAN) is proposed. This method achieves a more reliable and accurate RUL prediction of lithium-ion batteries by combining the artificial neural network(ANN) model which takes the rest time between battery charging cycles into account and the empirical degradation models which provide the correct degradation trend. The weight of each model is calculated by the discriminator in the Wasserstein GAN model. Four data sets of lithium-ion battery provided by the National Aeronautics and Space Administration(NASA) Ames Research Center are used to prove the feasibility and accuracy of the proposed method.

Satellite lithium-ion battery remaining useful life estimation with an iterative updated RVM fused with the KF algorithm

Lithium-ion batteries have become the third-generation space batteries and are widely utilized in a series of spacecraft. Remaining Useful Life （RUL） estimation is essential to a spacecraft as the battery is a critical part and determines the lifetime and reliability. The Relevance Vector Machine （RVM） is a data-driven algorithm used to estimate a battery＇s RUL due to its sparse feature and uncertainty management capability. Especially, some of the regressive cases indicate that the RVM can obtain a better short-term prediction performance rather than long-term prediction. As a nonlinear kernel learning algorithm, the coefficient matrix and relevance vectors are fixed once the RVM training is conducted. Moreover, the RVM can be simply influenced by the noise with the training data. Thus, this work proposes an iterative updated approach to improve the long-term prediction performance for a battery＇s RUL prediction. Firstly, when a new estimator is output by the RVM, the Kalman filter is applied to optimize this estimator with a physical degradation model. Then, this optimized estimator is added into the training set as an on-line sample, the RVM model is re-trained, and the coefficient matrix and relevance vectors can be dynamically adjusted to make next iterative prediction. Experimental results with a commercial battery test data set and a satellite battery data set both indicate that the proposed method can achieve a better performance for RUL estimation.

Application of Digital Twin in Smart Battery Management Systems

Lithium-ion batteries have always been a focus of research on new energy vehicles,however,their internal reactions are complex,and problems such as battery aging and safety have not been fully understood.In view of the research and preliminary application of the digital twin in complex systems such as aerospace,we will have the opportunity to use the digital twin to solve the bottleneck of current battery research.Firstly,this paper arranges the development history,basic concepts and key technologies of the digital twin,and summarizes current research methods and challenges in battery modeling,state estimation,remaining useful life prediction,battery safety and control.Furthermore,based on digital twin we describe the solutions for battery digital modeling,real-time state estimation,dynamic charging control,dynamic thermal management,and dynamic equalization control in the intelligent battery management system.We also give development opportunities for digital twin in the battery field.Finally we summarize the development trends and challenges of smart battery management.

Massive energy storage system for effective usage of renewable energy

The current energy trend indicates a strong thrust toward transforming renewable energy as a major power source.To achieve this mission,battery energy storage systems(BESSs)are indispensable.Although BESSs are expensive,cost reduction can be achieved by using BESSs for multiple purposes,such as load leveling,business continuity planning,frequency control,capacity market,arbitrage,and emergency power.In this paper,various applications of BESSs are classified.The possibility of achieving conflict-free combination of different applications is demonstrated.The total required energy storage capacity in Japan is estimated to be 150–200 GWh by 2030.The present status of NaS batteries for multipurpose use and new trends in battery-based businesses are introduced.

Automated Autonomous Vehicles: Prospects and Impacts on Society

All automobile manufacturing companies, Google and Microsoft have announced recently their production of the Fully Automated Autonomous Vehicles (FAAVs), otherwise known as driverless cars. A few FAAVs would be available in the market as early as in 2018, but mostly in 2020’s. When FAAVs will be available to and become affordable by the average consumers, the implications to the society would be far reaching. The purpose of the paper is to examine the prospect of the popularity of FAAVs and their socio-economic implications to the future society of the World. The paper examines potential impacts on selected sectors of the society including changes in demand for automobiles, its impact on the use of oil, on the environment, and on urban land uses, to list a few.

ZnMn_(3)O_(7):A New Layered Cathode Material for Fast-Charging Zinc-Ion Batteries

Low-cost and high-energy-density manganese-based compounds are promising cathode materials for rechargeable aqueous zinc-ion batteries(AZIBs),however,they often experience cycling instability issues and inferior rate capability.Herein,we report a new layered manganese-based cathode material,ZnMn_(3)O_(7)(ZMO),which possesses a large interlayer spacing of 4.8Åand allows the intercalation of~1.23 Zn-ions per formula unit(corresponding to a capacity of~170 mAh/g).Importantly,ZMO exhibits good cycling stability(72.9%capacity retention over 400 cycles),ultrafast-charging capability(73%state of charge in 1.5 min),and an ultrahigh power density(3510 W/kg at 88 Wh/kg).Through kinetic characterization,the favorable diffusion of ions and the dominant capacitor contribution are found to be conducive to the achievement of superior fast charging capability.Furthermore,the charge storage mechanism is revealed by ex-situ XRD and ex-situ XPS.This work may shed light on the design of high-performance electrode materials for AZIBs.

Recycling Of NEV Used Power Battery Taking Shape

Used power battery is rich in valuable metals like lithium,nickel and cobalt.Recycling of used power battery means a lot to resource recycling.In order to raise comprehensive utilization level of used power battery,MIIT released Industrial Norms for Comprehensive Utilization of NEV Used Power Battery and implemented interim measures for announcement management.