In this paper,we present a brief version of de Finetti-Ramsey’s subjective probability theory and provide a rigorous yet intuitively plausible explanation of expected utility using elementary mathematics.In a final s...In this paper,we present a brief version of de Finetti-Ramsey’s subjective probability theory and provide a rigorous yet intuitively plausible explanation of expected utility using elementary mathematics.In a final section,we take up the case of some“Paradoxes in Expected Utility Theory”and try to reconcile them with the help of subjective probabilities.展开更多
The knowledge of transient temperature of the ladle wall is a key factor in optimizing energy consumption in steelmaking process.The transient temperature needs to be estimated.A nonlinear lumped parameter model was u...The knowledge of transient temperature of the ladle wall is a key factor in optimizing energy consumption in steelmaking process.The transient temperature needs to be estimated.A nonlinear lumped parameter model was used to model the thermal dynamics of the ladle.Then,the bounded Jacobian nonlinear observer was utilized to estimate the temperature.With this method,the estimation model became a closed-loop model and the observer gains were obtained by solving linear matrix inequalities and simply implemented to the system.Comparison between the simulation and recorded data at a participating steel plant in Thailand showed that the nonlinear observer accurately estimated the temperature of the ladle lining.This estimated temperature was very useful in determining suitable tapping temperature for energy conservation and steel quality.展开更多
文摘In this paper,we present a brief version of de Finetti-Ramsey’s subjective probability theory and provide a rigorous yet intuitively plausible explanation of expected utility using elementary mathematics.In a final section,we take up the case of some“Paradoxes in Expected Utility Theory”and try to reconcile them with the help of subjective probabilities.
基金Item Sponsored by Ratchadaphiseksomphot Endowment Fund Part of Research Grant for New Scholar CU Researcher's Project of Thailand(RGN_2559_022_03_21)
文摘The knowledge of transient temperature of the ladle wall is a key factor in optimizing energy consumption in steelmaking process.The transient temperature needs to be estimated.A nonlinear lumped parameter model was used to model the thermal dynamics of the ladle.Then,the bounded Jacobian nonlinear observer was utilized to estimate the temperature.With this method,the estimation model became a closed-loop model and the observer gains were obtained by solving linear matrix inequalities and simply implemented to the system.Comparison between the simulation and recorded data at a participating steel plant in Thailand showed that the nonlinear observer accurately estimated the temperature of the ladle lining.This estimated temperature was very useful in determining suitable tapping temperature for energy conservation and steel quality.