Rockburst hazard assessment based on electromagnetic emission in Xingfu Mine

In order to research the danger caused by the rockburst, the electromagnetic emission （EME） in the coal rock was monitored and analyzed. The higher the stress in the coal is, the stronger the deformation and the failure are, and also the signal of the EME will be. The EME is increased by a relatively large margin before the slight shock and rockburst break out at spot. Therefore, some methods to monitor and forecast the danger of rockburst were proposed, including the critical point and devia- tion values, which was by non-contract method. In the end, the observation of EME in Xingfu was used to analyze and forecast the danger level by the rockburst. Then, the measures were proposed to prevent and cure the rockburst.

Knowledge and data jointly driven aeroengine gas path performance assessment method

Aeroengines,as the sole power source for aircraft,play a vital role in ensuring flight safety.The gas path,which represents the fundamental pathway for airflow within an aeroengine,directly impacts the aeroengine's performance,fuel efficiency,and safety.Therefore,timely and accurate evaluation of gas path performance is of paramount importance.This paper proposes a knowledge and data jointly driven aeroengine gas path performance assessment method,combining Fingerprint and gas path parameter deviation values.Firstly,Fingerprint is used to correct gas path parameter deviation values,eliminating parameter shifts caused by non-component performance degradation.Secondly,coarse errors are removed using the Romanovsky criterion for short-term data divided by an equal-length overlapping sliding window.Thirdly,an Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition and Non-Local Means(EEMD-NLM)filtering method is designed to“clean”data noise,completing the preprocessing for gas path parameter deviation values.Afterward,based on the characteristics of gas path parameter deviation values,a Dynamic Temporary Blended Network(DTBN)model is built to extract its temporal features,cascaded with Multi-Layer Perceptron(MLP),and combined with Fingerprint to construct a Dynamic Temporary Blended AutoEncoder(DTB-AutoEncoder).Eventually,by training this improved autoencoder,the aeroengine gas path multi-component performance assessment model is formed,which can sufficiently decouple the nonlinear mapping relationship between aeroengine gas path multi-component performance degradation and gas path parameter deviation values,thereby achieving the performance assessment of engine gas path components.Through practical application cases,the effectiveness of this model in assessing the aeroengine gas path multi-component performance is verified.

Forecasting Gas Consumption Based on a Residual Auto-Regression Model and Kalman Filtering Algorithm

Consumption of clean energy has been increasing in China.Forecasting gas consumption is important to adjusting the energy consumption structure in the future.Based on historical data of gas consumption from 1980 to 2017,this paper presents a weight method of the inverse deviation of fitted value,and a combined forecast based on a residual auto-regression model and Kalman filtering algorithm is used to forecast gas consumption.Our results show that:(1)The combination forecast is of higher precision:the relative errors of the residual auto-regressive model,the Kalman filtering algorithm and the combination model are within the range(–0.08,0.09),(–0.09,0.32)and(–0.03,0.11),respectively.(2)The combination forecast is of greater stability:the variance of relative error of the residual auto-regressive model,the Kalman filtering algorithm and the combination model are 0.002,0.007 and 0.001,respectively.(3)Provided that other conditions are invariant,the predicted value of gas consumption in 2018 is 241.81×10~9 m^3.Compared to other time-series forecasting methods,this combined model is less restrictive,performs well and the result is more credible.