Eight casing failure modes and 32 risk factors in oil and gas wells are given in this paper. According to the quantitative analysis of the influence degree and occurrence probability of risk factors, the Borda counts ...Eight casing failure modes and 32 risk factors in oil and gas wells are given in this paper. According to the quantitative analysis of the influence degree and occurrence probability of risk factors, the Borda counts for failure modes are obtained with the Borda method. The risk indexes of failure modes are derived from the Borda matrix. Based on the support vector machine （SVM）, a casing life prediction model is established. In the prediction model, eight risk indexes are defined as input vectors and casing life is defined as the output vector. The ideal model parameters are determined with the training set from 19 wells with casing failure. The casing life prediction software is developed with the SVM model as a predictor. The residual life of 60 wells with casing failure is predicted with the software, and then compared with the actual casing life. The comparison results show that the casing life prediction software with the SVM model has high accuracy.展开更多
With the full-vector plane-wave method （FVPWM） and the full-vector beam propagation method （FVBPM）, the dependences of the band-gap and mode characteristics on material index and cladding structure parameter in an...With the full-vector plane-wave method （FVPWM） and the full-vector beam propagation method （FVBPM）, the dependences of the band-gap and mode characteristics on material index and cladding structure parameter in anti- resonance guiding photonic crystal fibres （ARGPCFs） are sufficiently analysed. An ARGPCF operating in the near- infrared wavelength is shown. The influences of the high index cylinders, glass interstitial apexes and silica structure on the characteristics of band-gaps and modes are deeply investigated. The equivalent planar waveguide theory is used for analysing such an ARGPCF filled by the isotropic materials, and the resonance and the anti-resonance characteristics r：~n h~ w~｜] r^r~dlrtpd展开更多
基金support from "973 Project" (Contract No. 2010CB226706)
文摘Eight casing failure modes and 32 risk factors in oil and gas wells are given in this paper. According to the quantitative analysis of the influence degree and occurrence probability of risk factors, the Borda counts for failure modes are obtained with the Borda method. The risk indexes of failure modes are derived from the Borda matrix. Based on the support vector machine （SVM）, a casing life prediction model is established. In the prediction model, eight risk indexes are defined as input vectors and casing life is defined as the output vector. The ideal model parameters are determined with the training set from 19 wells with casing failure. The casing life prediction software is developed with the SVM model as a predictor. The residual life of 60 wells with casing failure is predicted with the software, and then compared with the actual casing life. The comparison results show that the casing life prediction software with the SVM model has high accuracy.
基金partly supported by the National Key Basic Research Special Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 2010CB327605 and 2010CB328300)the National High-Technology Research and Development Program of China (Grant No. 2009AA01Z220)+3 种基金the Key Grant of the Chinese Ministry of Education (Grant No. 109015)the Discipline Co-construction Project of Beijing Municipal Commission of Education,China (Grant No. YB20081001301)the Open Fund of Key Laboratory of Information Photonics and Optical Communications (Beijing University of Posts and Telecommunications),Chinese Ministry of Educationthe Specialized Research Fund for the Doctoral Program of Beijing University of Posts and Telecommunications (Grant No. CX201023)
文摘With the full-vector plane-wave method （FVPWM） and the full-vector beam propagation method （FVBPM）, the dependences of the band-gap and mode characteristics on material index and cladding structure parameter in anti- resonance guiding photonic crystal fibres （ARGPCFs） are sufficiently analysed. An ARGPCF operating in the near- infrared wavelength is shown. The influences of the high index cylinders, glass interstitial apexes and silica structure on the characteristics of band-gaps and modes are deeply investigated. The equivalent planar waveguide theory is used for analysing such an ARGPCF filled by the isotropic materials, and the resonance and the anti-resonance characteristics r：~n h~ w~｜] r^r~dlrtpd
