Objective:To evaluate the Anaplasma phagocytophilum(A.phagocytophilum),Ehrlichia canis(E.canis,Dirofilaria immitis(D.immitis)(canine heartworm),Borrelia burgdorferi(B.burgdorferi)infections in countryside dogs from Yu...Objective:To evaluate the Anaplasma phagocytophilum(A.phagocytophilum),Ehrlichia canis(E.canis,Dirofilaria immitis(D.immitis)(canine heartworm),Borrelia burgdorferi(B.burgdorferi)infections in countryside dogs from Yunnan,Hainan and Anhui provinces.Methods:Serum samples were collected from 26 dogs in Yunnan.Hainan and Anhui provinces.The samples were tested using a commercial ELISA rapid diagnostic assay kit(SNAP^(?)4Dx^(?);IDEXX Laboratories,Inc.U.S.A.).Meaiiwliile,indirect immunofluorescence assay(IFA)recommended by WHO was conducted to delect IgG to A.phagocytophilum.Two methods were analyzed and compared.Results:The number of serologically positive dogs for IgG to A.phagocytophilum was only 2which was from Hainan province and none of the 26 dogs responded positive for E.canu.D.immitis(canine heartworm,and B.burgdorferi by ELISA rapid diagnostic method.The number of serologically positive dogs for IgG to A.phagocytophilum was 13(50%)by IFA method.Data of the two methods were analyzed by statistical software and the difference was statistically significant(P=0.002).Conclusions:It can be concluded that IFA method was more sensitive than ELISA rapid diagnostic method.However,we need conduct further and intensive epidemiology survey on tick-born diseases pathogens including.4.phagocytophilum,E.canis,D.immitis(canine heartworm),and B.burgdorferi which have public health significance.展开更多
This paper proposes a vector-borne plant disease model with discontinuous treatment strategies. Constructing Lyapunov function and applying non-smooth theory to analyze discontinuous differential equations, the basic ...This paper proposes a vector-borne plant disease model with discontinuous treatment strategies. Constructing Lyapunov function and applying non-smooth theory to analyze discontinuous differential equations, the basic reproductive number R0 is proved, which determines whether the plant disease will be extinct or not. If R0 R0 > 1 , there exists a unique endemic equilibrium which is globally stable. The numerical simulations are provided to verify our theoretical results, which indicate that after infective individuals reach some level, strengthening treatment measures is proved to be beneficial in controlling disease transmission.展开更多
Female mosquitoes of several species require blood from warmblooded animals,including humans for the purpose of reproduction.In this process,several microbes residing in the salivary gland and midgut of mosquitoes als...Female mosquitoes of several species require blood from warmblooded animals,including humans for the purpose of reproduction.In this process,several microbes residing in the salivary gland and midgut of mosquitoes also get transferred from one human individual to the other–a traditional model by which many vector-borne diseases(VBDs)get transmitted in the population through mosquitoes belonging to Anopheles,Aedes,Culex and other genera.展开更多
Vector-borne diseases are highly sensitive to environment and to environmental changes. Rift Valley Fever (RFV) is a mosquito-borne zootic virus associated with severe diseases in human beings and economic consequence...Vector-borne diseases are highly sensitive to environment and to environmental changes. Rift Valley Fever (RFV) is a mosquito-borne zootic virus associated with severe diseases in human beings and economic consequences to livestock sector. Animal and human movements have a fundamental impact on RVF transmission. In recent years, there has been a growing interest in the use of mathematics and agent based models to represent and analyze the dynamic of RFV transmission. However, no previous study has taken into consideration animal herds’ mobility and precipitation factors to understand the disease spread. This limitation underlines the necessity to use computational model approach based on multi-agent system in the study of vector-borne diseases transmission and diffusion. In this paper, a multi-agent system combining conceptual model expressiveness is used to study animal herds’ mobility and the precipitation parameter impact on the Rift Valley Fever outbreak in Ferlo Barkedji in Northern Senegal. Simulation scenarios with various parameters, including rain quality, hosts, vectors, camp dispersal around ponds, etc., are unrolled. The different results we have obtained show that the evolution of the number of infected hosts and infected vectors depend on the degree of animal herds’ mobility and on precipitations. Our model provides a framework that permits predicting the spread of the disease associated with the mobility of animal herds.展开更多
In this paper, we have rigorously analyzed a model to find the effective control strategies on the transmission dynamics of a vector-borne disease. It is proved that the global dynamics of the disease are completely d...In this paper, we have rigorously analyzed a model to find the effective control strategies on the transmission dynamics of a vector-borne disease. It is proved that the global dynamics of the disease are completely determined by the basic reproduction number. The numerical simulations (using MatLab and Maple) of the model reveal that the precautionary measures at the aquatic and adult stage decrease the number of new cases of dengue virus. Numerical simulation indicates that if we take the precautionary measures seriously then it would be more effective than even giving the treatment to the infected individuals.展开更多
We look at the link between climate change and vector-borne diseases in low-and middle-income countries in Africa.The large endemicity and escalating threat of diseases such as malaria and arboviral diseases,intensifi...We look at the link between climate change and vector-borne diseases in low-and middle-income countries in Africa.The large endemicity and escalating threat of diseases such as malaria and arboviral diseases,intensified by climate change,disproportionately affects vulnerable communities globally.We highlight the urgency of prioritizing research and development,advocating for robust scientific inquiry to promote adaptation strategies,and the vital role that the next generation of African research leaders will play in addressing these challenges.Despite significant challenges such as funding shortages within countries,various pan-African-oriented funding bodies such as the African Academy of Sciences,the Africa Research Excellence Fund,the Wellcome Trust,the U.S.National Institutes of Health,and the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation as well as initiatives such as the African Research Initiative for Scientific Excellence and the Pan-African Mosquito Control Association,have empowered(or are empowering)these researchers by supporting capacity building activities,including continental and global networking,skill development,mentoring,and African-led research.This article underscores the urgency of increased national investment in research,proposing the establishment of research government agencies to drive evidence-based interventions.Collaboration between governments and scientific communities,sustained by pan-African funding bodies,is crucial.Through these efforts,African nations are likely to enhance the resilience and adaptive capacity of their systems and communities by navigating these challenges effectively,fostering scientific excellence and implementing transformative solutions against climate-sensitive vector-borne diseases.展开更多
Vector-borne protozoan diseases represent a serious public health challenge,especially in the tropics where poverty together with vector-favorable climates are the aggravating factors.Each of the various strategies cu...Vector-borne protozoan diseases represent a serious public health challenge,especially in the tropics where poverty together with vector-favorable climates are the aggravating factors.Each of the various strategies currently employed to face these scourges is seriously inadequate.Despite enormous efforts,vaccines-which represent the ideal weapon against these parasitic diseases—are yet to be sufficiently developed and implemented.Chemotherapy and vector control are therefore the sole effective attempts to minimize the disease burden.Nowadays,both strategies are also highly challenged by the phenomenon of drug and insecticide resistance,which affects virtually all interventions currently used.The recently growing support from international organizations and governments of some endemic countries is warmly welcome,and should be optimally exploited in the various approaches to drug and insecticide research and development to overcome the burden of these prevalent diseases,especially malaria,leishmaniasis,Human African Trypanosomiasis(HAT),and Chagas disease.展开更多
Background:More than half of the world’s population currently lives in urban settlements that grow both in size and number.By 2050,approximately 70%of the global population will be living in urban conglomerations,mai...Background:More than half of the world’s population currently lives in urban settlements that grow both in size and number.By 2050,approximately 70%of the global population will be living in urban conglomerations,mainly in low-and middle-income countries.Mobility,poverty,different layers of inequalities as well as climate variability and change are some of the social and environmental factors that influence the exposure of human populations in urban settings to vector-borne diseases,which pose eminent public health threats.Accurate,consistent,and evidencebased interventions for prevention and control of vector-borne and other infectious diseases of poverty in urban settings are needed to implement innovative and cost-effective public policy and to promote inclusive and equitable urban health services.Main body:While there is growing awareness of vector-borne diseases epidemiology at the urban level,there is still a paucity of research and action being undertaken in this area,hindering evidence-based public health policy decisions and practice and strategies for active community engagement.This paper describes the collaboration and partnership of the Special Programme for Research and Training in Tropical Diseases(TDR)hosted by the World Health Organization(WHO)and the“VEctor boRne DiseAses Scoping reviews”(VERDAS)Research Consortium as they joined efforts in response to filling this gap in knowledge and evidence by supporting the development of a series of scoping reviews that highlight priority research gaps and policy implications to address vector-borne and other infectious diseases at the urban level.Conclusions:The set of scoping reviews proposed in this special issue presents a critical analysis of the state-of-the-art of research on urban health interventions for the prevention and control of vector-borne and other infectious diseases of poverty.The authors of the 6 reviews highlighted severe gaps in knowledge and identified organizational and theoretical limitations that need to be urgently tackled to improve cities preparedness and vector control response.The more pressing need at present is to ensure that more implementation research on vector-borne diseases in urban settings is conducted,addressing policy and practice implications and calling for more political commitment and social mobilization through adequate citizen engagement strategies.展开更多
This paper highlights the critical importance of evidence on vector-borne diseases(VBD)prevention and control interventions in urban settings when assessing current and future needs,with a view to setting policy prior...This paper highlights the critical importance of evidence on vector-borne diseases(VBD)prevention and control interventions in urban settings when assessing current and future needs,with a view to setting policy priorities that promote inclusive and equitable urban health services.Research should produce knowledge about policies and interventions that are intended to control and prevent VBDs at the population level and to reduce inequities.Such interventions include policy,program,and resource distribution approaches that address the social determinants of health and exert influence at organizational and system levels.展开更多
Background:Diseases transmitted to humans by vectors account for 17%of all infectious diseases and remain significant public health problems.Through the years,great strides have been taken towards combatting vectorbor...Background:Diseases transmitted to humans by vectors account for 17%of all infectious diseases and remain significant public health problems.Through the years,great strides have been taken towards combatting vectorborne diseases(VBDs),most notably through large scale and coordinated control programmes,which have contributed to the decline of the global mortality attributed to VBDs.However,with environmental changes,including climate change,the impact on VBDs is anticipated to be significant,in terms of VBD-related hazards,vulnerabilities and exposure.While there is growing awareness on the vulnerability of the African continent to VBDs in the context of climate change,there is still a paucity of research being undertaken in this area,and impeding the formulation of evidence-based health policy change.Main body:One way in which the gap in knowledge and evidence can be filled is for donor institutions to support research in this area.The collaboration between the WHO Special Programme for Research and Training in Tropical Diseases(TDR)and the International Centre for Research and Development(IDRC)builds on more than 10 years of partnership in research capacity-building in the field of tropical diseases.From this partnership was born yet another research initiative on VBDs and the impact of climate change in the Sahel and sub-Saharan Africa.This paper lists the projects supported under this research initiative and provides a brief on some of the policy and good practice recommendations emerging from the ongoing implementation of the research projects.Conclusion:Data generated from the research initiative are expected to be uptaken by stakeholders(including communities,policy makers,public health practitioners and other relevant partners)to contribute to a better understanding of the impacts of social,environmental and climate change on VBDs(i.e.the nature of the hazard,vulnerabilities,exposure),and improve the ability of African countries to adapt to and reduce the effects of these changes in ways that benefit their most vulnerable populations.展开更多
Background:Drylands,which are among the biosphere's most naturally limiting and environmentally variable ecosystems,constitute three-quarters of the African continent.As a result,environmental sustainability and h...Background:Drylands,which are among the biosphere's most naturally limiting and environmentally variable ecosystems,constitute three-quarters of the African continent.As a result,environmental sustainability and human development along with vector-borne disease(VBD)control historically have been especially challenging in Africa,particularly in the sub-Saharan and Sahelian drylands.Here,the VBD burden,food insecurity,environmental degradation,and social vulnerability are particularly severe.Changing climate can exacerbate the legion of environmental health threats in Africa,the social dimensions of which are now part of the international development agenda.Accordingly,the need to better understand the dynamics and complex coupling of populations and environments as exemplified by drylands is increasingly recognized as critical to the design of more sustainable interventions.Main body:This scoping review examines the challenge of vector-borne disease control in drylands with a focus on Africa,and the dramatic,ongoing environmental and social changes taking place.Dryland societies persisted and even flourished in the past despite changing climates,extreme and unpredictable weather,and marginal conditions for agriculture.Yet intrusive forces largely out of the control of traditional dryland societies,along with the negative impacts of globalization,have contributed to the erosion of dryland's cultural and natural resources.This has led to the loss of resilience underlying the adaptive capacity formerly widely exhibited among dryland societies.A growing body of evidence from studies of environmental and natural resource management demonstrates how,in light of dryland system's inherent complexity,these factors and top-down interventions can impede sustainable development and vector-borne disease control.Strengthening adaptive capacity through community-based,participatory methods that build on local knowledge and are tailored to local ecological conditions,hold the best promise of reversing current trends.Conclusions:A significant opportunity exists to simultaneously address the increasing threat of vector-borne diseases and climate change through methods aimed at strengthening adaptive capacity.The integrative framework and methods based on social-ecological systems and resilience theory offers a novel set of tools that allow multiple threats and sources of vulnerability to be addressed in combination.Integration of recent advances in vector borne disease ecology and wider deployment of these tools could help reverse the negative social and environmental trends currently seen in African drylands.展开更多
Vector-borne plant diseases have significant ecological and economic impacts,affecting farm profitability and forest composition throughout the world.Bacterial vector-borne pathogens have evolved sophisticated strateg...Vector-borne plant diseases have significant ecological and economic impacts,affecting farm profitability and forest composition throughout the world.Bacterial vector-borne pathogens have evolved sophisticated strategies to interact with their hemipteran insect vectors and plant hosts.These pathogens reside in plant vascular tissue,and their study represents an excellent opportunity to uncover novel biological mechanisms regulating intracellular pathogenesis and to contribute to the control of some of the world's most invasive emerging diseases.In this perspective,we highlight recent advances and major unanswered questions in the realm of bacterial vector-borne disease,focusing on liberibacters,phytoplasmas,spiroplasmas,and Xylella fastidiosa.展开更多
Background:Over half the world’s human populations are currently at risk from vector-borne diseases(VBDs),and the heaviest burden is borne by the world’s poorest people,communities,and countries.The aim of this stud...Background:Over half the world’s human populations are currently at risk from vector-borne diseases(VBDs),and the heaviest burden is borne by the world’s poorest people,communities,and countries.The aim of this study was to conduct a review on VBD interventions relevant to housing and hygiene(including sanitation and waste management)in urban areas.Main body:We conducted a scoping review,which involved systematically searching peer-reviewed and grey literature published between 2000 and 2016 using five scientific databases and one database for grey literature.Different data extraction tools were used for data coding and extraction.We assessed the quality of each study using the Mixed Methods Appraisal Tool and extracted descriptive characteristics and data about implementation process and transferability from all studies using the Template for Intervention Description and Replication and ASTAIRE(a tool for analyzing the transferability of health promotion interventions)tools.We reviewed 44 studies.Overall,the studies were judged to be of high risk for bias.Our results suggest multifaceted interventions,particularly community-based interventions,have the potential to achieve wider and more sustained effects than do standard vertical single-component programs.The evaluations of multifaceted interventions tend to include integrated evaluations,using not only entomological indicators but also acceptability and sustainability indicators.Conclusions:This review highlighted the important need for higher quality research in VBDs and improved and standardized reporting of interventions.Significant research gaps were found regarding qualitative research and implementation research,and results highlighted the need for more interventions focus on sanitation and hygiene practices.展开更多
Background:Climate-based disease forecasting has been proposed as a potential tool in climate change adaptation for the health sector.Here we explore the relevance of climate data,drivers and predictions for vector-bo...Background:Climate-based disease forecasting has been proposed as a potential tool in climate change adaptation for the health sector.Here we explore the relevance of climate data,drivers and predictions for vector-borne disease control efforts in Africa.Methods:Using data from a number of sources we explore rainfall and temperature across the African continent,from seasonality to variability at annual,multi-decadal and timescales consistent with climate change.We give particular attention to three regions defined as WHO-TDR study zones in Western,Eastern and Southern Africa.Our analyses include 1)time scale decomposition to establish the relative importance of year-to-year,decadal and long term trends in rainfall and temperature;2)the impact of the El Niño Southern Oscillation(ENSO)on rainfall and temperature at the Pan African scale;3)the impact of ENSO on the climate of Tanzania using high resolution climate products and 4)the potential predictability of the climate in different regions and seasons using Generalized Relative Operating Characteristics.We use these analyses to review the relevance of climate forecasts for applications in vector borne disease control across the continent.Results:Timescale decomposition revealed long term warming in all three regions of Africa-at the level of 0.1-0.3°C per decade.Decadal variations in rainfall were apparent in all regions and particularly pronounced in the Sahel and during the East African long rains(March-May).Year-to-year variability in both rainfall and temperature,in part associated with ENSO,were the dominant signal for climate variations on any timescale.Observed climate data and seasonal climate forecasts were identified as the most relevant sources of climate information for use in early warning systems for vector-borne diseases but the latter varied in skill by region and season.Conclusions:Adaptation to the vector-borne disease risks of climate variability and change is a priority for government and civil society in African countries.Understanding rainfall and temperature variations and trends at multiple timescales and their potential predictability is a necessary first step in the incorporation of relevant climate information into vector-borne disease control decision-making.展开更多
Background:The emergence and re-emergence of vector-borne and other infectious diseases of poverty pose a threat to the health of populations living in urban and low-income settings.A detailed understanding of interve...Background:The emergence and re-emergence of vector-borne and other infectious diseases of poverty pose a threat to the health of populations living in urban and low-income settings.A detailed understanding of intervention strategies,including effectiveness of past outbreak containment,is necessary to improve future practices.The objective was to determine what is known about the effectiveness of containment measures for emerging and re-emerging vector-borne and other infectious diseases of poverty in urban settings and identify research gaps and implications for public health practice.Main body:We conducted a scoping review and systematically searched peer-reviewed and grey literature published between 2000 and 2016.Different data extraction tools were used for data coding and extraction,and data on implementation process and transferability were extracted from all studies.A quality assessment was conducted for each included study.We screened 205 full-text articles and reports for a total of 31 articles included in the review.The quality of the studies was generally low to moderate.The largest body of evidence concerned control activities for Ebola virus and dengue fever.The majority of interventions(87%)relied on multiple types of measures,which were grouped into four categories:1)healthcare provision;2)epidemiological investigation and/or surveillance;3)environmental or sanitary interventions;and 4)community-based interventions.The quality of the majority of studies(90%)was poor or moderate,and one-third of the studies did not provide a clear description of the outcomes and of the procedures and/or tools used for the intervention.Conclusions:Our results highlight the difficulty of establishing causation when assessing the effect of containment measures.Studies that extend beyond solely reporting on effectiveness and take into account the complexity of real-world settings are urgently needed.We recommend the allocation of research efforts to the evaluation of the implementation processes of interventions as well as their comprehensive and systematic description using validated checklists.展开更多
Background:The control of vector-borne diseases(VBD)is one of the greatest challenges on the global health agenda.Rapid and uncontrolled urbanization has heightened the interest in addressing these challenges through ...Background:The control of vector-borne diseases(VBD)is one of the greatest challenges on the global health agenda.Rapid and uncontrolled urbanization has heightened the interest in addressing these challenges through an integrated vector management(IVM)approach.The aim was to identify components related to impacts,economic evaluation,and sustainability that might contribute to this integrated approach to VBD prevention.Main body:We conducted a scoping review of available literature(2000-2016)using PubMed,Web of Science,Cochrane,CINAHL,Econlit,LILACS,Global Health Database,Scopus,and Embase,as well as Tropical Diseases Bulletin,WHOLIS,WHO Pesticide Evaluation Scheme,and Google Scholar.MeSH terms and free-text terms were used.A data extraction form was used,including TIDieR and ASTAIRE.MMAT and CHEERS were used to evaluate quality.Of the 42 documents reviewed,30 were focused on dengue,eight on malaria,and two on leishmaniasis.More than a half of the studies were conducted in the Americas.Half used a quantitative descriptive approach(n=21),followed by cluster randomized controlled trials(n=11).Regarding impacts,outcomes were:a)use of measures for vector control;b)vector control;c)health measures;and d)social measures.IVM reduced breeding sites,the entomology index,and parasite rates.Results were heterogeneous,with variable magnitudes,but in all cases were favourable to the intervention.Evidence of IVM impacts on health outcomes was very limited but showed reduced incidence.Social outcomes were improved abilities and capacities,empowerment,and community knowledge.Regarding economic evaluation,only four studies performed an economic analysis,and intervention benefits outweighed costs.Costeffectiveness was dependent on illness incidence.The results provided key elements to analyze sustainability in terms of three dimensions(social,economic,and environmental),emphasizing the implementation of a community-focused eco-bio-social approach.Conclusions:IVM has an impact on reducing vector breeding sites and the entomology index,but evidence of impacts on health outcomes is limited.Social outcomes are improved abilities and capacities,empowerment,and community knowledge.Economic evaluations are scarce,and cost-effectiveness is dependent on illness incidence.Community capacity building is the main component of sustainability,together with collaboration,institutionalization,and routinization of activities.Findings indicate a great heterogeneity in the interventions and highlight the need for characterizing interventions rigorously to facilitate transferability.展开更多
Background:Dengue virus,an Aedes mosquito-borne flavivirus,is associated with close to 400 million reported infections per annum worldwide.Reduction of dengue virus transmission depends entirely on limiting Aedes bree...Background:Dengue virus,an Aedes mosquito-borne flavivirus,is associated with close to 400 million reported infections per annum worldwide.Reduction of dengue virus transmission depends entirely on limiting Aedes breeding or preventing adult female contact with humans.Currently,the World Health Organization promotes the strategic approach of integrated vector management in order to optimise resources for mosquito control.Main text:Neglected tropical disease researchers focus on geographical zones where the incidence of clinical cases,and prevalence of vectors,are high.In combatting those infectious diseases such as dengue that affect mainly low-income populations in developing regions,a mosquito-centric approach is frequently adopted.This prioritises environmental factors that facilitate or impede the lifecycle progression of the vector.Climatic variables(such as rainfall and wind speed)that impact the vector's lifecycle either causally or by happenstance also affect the human host's lifecycle',but in very different ways.The socioeconomic impacts of the same variables that influence vector control impact host vulnerability but at different points in the human lifecycle to those of the vector.Here,we argue that the vulnerability of the vector and that of the host interact in complex and unpredictable ways that are characteristic of(complex and intransigent)'wicked problems'.Moreover,they are treated by public health programs in ways that may ignore this complexity.This opinion draws on recent evidence showing that the best climate predictors of the scale of dengue outbreaks in Bangladesh cannot be explained through a simple vector-tohost causal model.Conclusions:In mapping causal pathways for vector-borne diseases this article makes a case to elevate the lifecycle of the human host to a level closer in equivalence to that of the veaor.Here,we suggest value may be gained from transferring Rittel and Webber's concept of a wicked(social)problem to dengue,malaria and other mosquito-transmitted public health concerns.This would take a'problem definition,rather than a,solution-finding,approach,particularly when considering problems in which climate impacts simultaneously on human and vector vulnerability.展开更多
We examine how spatial heterogeneity combines with mobility network structure to influence vector-borne disease dynamics.Specifically,we consider a Ross-Macdonald-type disease model on n spatial locations that are cou...We examine how spatial heterogeneity combines with mobility network structure to influence vector-borne disease dynamics.Specifically,we consider a Ross-Macdonald-type disease model on n spatial locations that are coupled by host movement on a strongly connected,weighted,directed graph.We derive a closed form approximation to the domain reproduction number using a Laurent series expansion,and use this approximation to compute sensitivities of the basic reproduction number to model parameters.To illustrate how these results can be used to help inform mitigation strategies,as a case study we apply these results to malaria dynamics in Namibia,using published cell phone data and estimates for local disease transmission.Our analytical results are particularly useful for understanding drivers of transmission when mobility sinks and transmission hot spots do not coincide.展开更多
Background:In 2015,following a call for proposals from the Special Programme for Research and Training in Tropical Diseases(TDR),six scoping reviews on the prevention and control of vector-borne diseases in urban area...Background:In 2015,following a call for proposals from the Special Programme for Research and Training in Tropical Diseases(TDR),six scoping reviews on the prevention and control of vector-borne diseases in urban areas were conducted.Those reviews provided a clear picture of the available knowledge and highlighted knowledge gaps,as well as needs and opportunities for future research.Based on the research findings of the scoping reviews,a concept mapping exercise was undertaken to produce a list of priority research needs to be addressed.Methods:Members of the six research teams responsible for the“VEctor boRne DiseAses Scoping reviews”(VERDAS)consortium’s scoping reviews met for 2 days with decision-makers from Colombia,Brazil,Peru,Pan-American Health Organization,and World Health Organization.A total of 11 researchers and seven decision-makers(from ministries of health,city and regional vector control departments,and vector control programs)completed the concept mapping,answering the question:“In view of the knowledge synthesis and your own expertise,what do we still need to know about vector-borne diseases and other infectious diseases of poverty in urban areas?”Participants rated each statement on two scales from 1 to 5,one relative to‘priority’and the other to‘policy relevance’,and grouped statements into clusters based on their own individual criteria and expertise.Results:The final map consisted of 12 clusters.Participants considered those entitled“Equity”,“Technology”,and“Surveillance”to have the highest priority.The cluster considered the most important concerns equity issues,confirming that these issues are rarely addressed in research on vector-borne diseases.On the other hand,the“Population mobility”and“Collaboration”clusters were considered to be the lowest priority but remained identified by participants as research priorities.The average policy relevance scores for each of the 12 clusters were roughly the same as the priority scores for all clusters.Some issues were not addressed during the brain-storming.This is the case for governance and for access and quality of care.Conclusions:Based on this work,and adopting a participatory approach,the concept mapping exercise conducted collaboratively with researchers from these teams and high-level decision-makers identified research themes for which studies should be carried out as a priority.展开更多
Climate change influences more and more of our activities. These changes led to envi- ronmental changes which has in turn affected the spatial and temporal distribution of the incidence of vector-borne diseases. To es...Climate change influences more and more of our activities. These changes led to envi- ronmental changes which has in turn affected the spatial and temporal distribution of the incidence of vector-borne diseases. To establish the impact of climate on contact rate of vector-borne diseases, we examine the variation of prevalence of diseases according to season. In this paper, the goal is to establish that the basic reproductive number R0 depends on the duration of transmission period and the date of the first conta- mination case that was declared (to) in the specific ease of malaria. We described the dynamics of transmission of malaria by using non-autonomous differential equations. We analyzed the stability of endemic equilibrium (EE) and disease-free equilibrium (DFE). We prove that the persistence of disease depends on minimum and maximum values of contact rate of vector-borne diseases.展开更多
基金supported by the National Basic Research Program of China(973 Program)2010CB530200(2010CB530206)the China-US Collaborative Program on Emerging and Re-emerging Infectious Disease(No.1U2GGH000018-01)
文摘Objective:To evaluate the Anaplasma phagocytophilum(A.phagocytophilum),Ehrlichia canis(E.canis,Dirofilaria immitis(D.immitis)(canine heartworm),Borrelia burgdorferi(B.burgdorferi)infections in countryside dogs from Yunnan,Hainan and Anhui provinces.Methods:Serum samples were collected from 26 dogs in Yunnan.Hainan and Anhui provinces.The samples were tested using a commercial ELISA rapid diagnostic assay kit(SNAP^(?)4Dx^(?);IDEXX Laboratories,Inc.U.S.A.).Meaiiwliile,indirect immunofluorescence assay(IFA)recommended by WHO was conducted to delect IgG to A.phagocytophilum.Two methods were analyzed and compared.Results:The number of serologically positive dogs for IgG to A.phagocytophilum was only 2which was from Hainan province and none of the 26 dogs responded positive for E.canu.D.immitis(canine heartworm,and B.burgdorferi by ELISA rapid diagnostic method.The number of serologically positive dogs for IgG to A.phagocytophilum was 13(50%)by IFA method.Data of the two methods were analyzed by statistical software and the difference was statistically significant(P=0.002).Conclusions:It can be concluded that IFA method was more sensitive than ELISA rapid diagnostic method.However,we need conduct further and intensive epidemiology survey on tick-born diseases pathogens including.4.phagocytophilum,E.canis,D.immitis(canine heartworm),and B.burgdorferi which have public health significance.
文摘This paper proposes a vector-borne plant disease model with discontinuous treatment strategies. Constructing Lyapunov function and applying non-smooth theory to analyze discontinuous differential equations, the basic reproductive number R0 is proved, which determines whether the plant disease will be extinct or not. If R0 R0 > 1 , there exists a unique endemic equilibrium which is globally stable. The numerical simulations are provided to verify our theoretical results, which indicate that after infective individuals reach some level, strengthening treatment measures is proved to be beneficial in controlling disease transmission.
文摘Female mosquitoes of several species require blood from warmblooded animals,including humans for the purpose of reproduction.In this process,several microbes residing in the salivary gland and midgut of mosquitoes also get transferred from one human individual to the other–a traditional model by which many vector-borne diseases(VBDs)get transmitted in the population through mosquitoes belonging to Anopheles,Aedes,Culex and other genera.
文摘Vector-borne diseases are highly sensitive to environment and to environmental changes. Rift Valley Fever (RFV) is a mosquito-borne zootic virus associated with severe diseases in human beings and economic consequences to livestock sector. Animal and human movements have a fundamental impact on RVF transmission. In recent years, there has been a growing interest in the use of mathematics and agent based models to represent and analyze the dynamic of RFV transmission. However, no previous study has taken into consideration animal herds’ mobility and precipitation factors to understand the disease spread. This limitation underlines the necessity to use computational model approach based on multi-agent system in the study of vector-borne diseases transmission and diffusion. In this paper, a multi-agent system combining conceptual model expressiveness is used to study animal herds’ mobility and the precipitation parameter impact on the Rift Valley Fever outbreak in Ferlo Barkedji in Northern Senegal. Simulation scenarios with various parameters, including rain quality, hosts, vectors, camp dispersal around ponds, etc., are unrolled. The different results we have obtained show that the evolution of the number of infected hosts and infected vectors depend on the degree of animal herds’ mobility and on precipitations. Our model provides a framework that permits predicting the spread of the disease associated with the mobility of animal herds.
文摘In this paper, we have rigorously analyzed a model to find the effective control strategies on the transmission dynamics of a vector-borne disease. It is proved that the global dynamics of the disease are completely determined by the basic reproduction number. The numerical simulations (using MatLab and Maple) of the model reveal that the precautionary measures at the aquatic and adult stage decrease the number of new cases of dengue virus. Numerical simulation indicates that if we take the precautionary measures seriously then it would be more effective than even giving the treatment to the infected individuals.
基金the financial assistance of the European Union(Grant no.ARISE-PP-FA-072),through the African Research Initiative for Scientific Excellence(ARISE),pilot programme.ARISE is implemented by the African Academy of Sciences with support from the European Commission and the African Union Commission.
文摘We look at the link between climate change and vector-borne diseases in low-and middle-income countries in Africa.The large endemicity and escalating threat of diseases such as malaria and arboviral diseases,intensified by climate change,disproportionately affects vulnerable communities globally.We highlight the urgency of prioritizing research and development,advocating for robust scientific inquiry to promote adaptation strategies,and the vital role that the next generation of African research leaders will play in addressing these challenges.Despite significant challenges such as funding shortages within countries,various pan-African-oriented funding bodies such as the African Academy of Sciences,the Africa Research Excellence Fund,the Wellcome Trust,the U.S.National Institutes of Health,and the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation as well as initiatives such as the African Research Initiative for Scientific Excellence and the Pan-African Mosquito Control Association,have empowered(or are empowering)these researchers by supporting capacity building activities,including continental and global networking,skill development,mentoring,and African-led research.This article underscores the urgency of increased national investment in research,proposing the establishment of research government agencies to drive evidence-based interventions.Collaboration between governments and scientific communities,sustained by pan-African funding bodies,is crucial.Through these efforts,African nations are likely to enhance the resilience and adaptive capacity of their systems and communities by navigating these challenges effectively,fostering scientific excellence and implementing transformative solutions against climate-sensitive vector-borne diseases.
基金The present work was supported by a research grant awarded to Dr.Denis Zofou by the International Foundation for Science(IFS),Stockholm,Swedenthe Organization for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons,The Hague,Netherlands(IFS-OPCW,Grant No F/5122-1).
文摘Vector-borne protozoan diseases represent a serious public health challenge,especially in the tropics where poverty together with vector-favorable climates are the aggravating factors.Each of the various strategies currently employed to face these scourges is seriously inadequate.Despite enormous efforts,vaccines-which represent the ideal weapon against these parasitic diseases—are yet to be sufficiently developed and implemented.Chemotherapy and vector control are therefore the sole effective attempts to minimize the disease burden.Nowadays,both strategies are also highly challenged by the phenomenon of drug and insecticide resistance,which affects virtually all interventions currently used.The recently growing support from international organizations and governments of some endemic countries is warmly welcome,and should be optimally exploited in the various approaches to drug and insecticide research and development to overcome the burden of these prevalent diseases,especially malaria,leishmaniasis,Human African Trypanosomiasis(HAT),and Chagas disease.
基金The scoping reviews received funding support from the UNICEF/UNDP/World Bank/WHO Special Programme for Research and Training in Tropical Diseases(TDR),Geneva,Switzerland.
文摘Background:More than half of the world’s population currently lives in urban settlements that grow both in size and number.By 2050,approximately 70%of the global population will be living in urban conglomerations,mainly in low-and middle-income countries.Mobility,poverty,different layers of inequalities as well as climate variability and change are some of the social and environmental factors that influence the exposure of human populations in urban settings to vector-borne diseases,which pose eminent public health threats.Accurate,consistent,and evidencebased interventions for prevention and control of vector-borne and other infectious diseases of poverty in urban settings are needed to implement innovative and cost-effective public policy and to promote inclusive and equitable urban health services.Main body:While there is growing awareness of vector-borne diseases epidemiology at the urban level,there is still a paucity of research and action being undertaken in this area,hindering evidence-based public health policy decisions and practice and strategies for active community engagement.This paper describes the collaboration and partnership of the Special Programme for Research and Training in Tropical Diseases(TDR)hosted by the World Health Organization(WHO)and the“VEctor boRne DiseAses Scoping reviews”(VERDAS)Research Consortium as they joined efforts in response to filling this gap in knowledge and evidence by supporting the development of a series of scoping reviews that highlight priority research gaps and policy implications to address vector-borne and other infectious diseases at the urban level.Conclusions:The set of scoping reviews proposed in this special issue presents a critical analysis of the state-of-the-art of research on urban health interventions for the prevention and control of vector-borne and other infectious diseases of poverty.The authors of the 6 reviews highlighted severe gaps in knowledge and identified organizational and theoretical limitations that need to be urgently tackled to improve cities preparedness and vector control response.The more pressing need at present is to ensure that more implementation research on vector-borne diseases in urban settings is conducted,addressing policy and practice implications and calling for more political commitment and social mobilization through adequate citizen engagement strategies.
基金Valery Ridde holds a CIHR-funded Research Chair in Applied Public Health(CPP-137901).
文摘This paper highlights the critical importance of evidence on vector-borne diseases(VBD)prevention and control interventions in urban settings when assessing current and future needs,with a view to setting policy priorities that promote inclusive and equitable urban health services.Research should produce knowledge about policies and interventions that are intended to control and prevent VBDs at the population level and to reduce inequities.Such interventions include policy,program,and resource distribution approaches that address the social determinants of health and exert influence at organizational and system levels.
基金This research portfolio received funding support from the UNICEF/UNDP/World Bank/WHO Special Programme for Research and Training in Tropical Diseases(TDR)Geneva,Switzerland and the International Development Research Center,Canada.
文摘Background:Diseases transmitted to humans by vectors account for 17%of all infectious diseases and remain significant public health problems.Through the years,great strides have been taken towards combatting vectorborne diseases(VBDs),most notably through large scale and coordinated control programmes,which have contributed to the decline of the global mortality attributed to VBDs.However,with environmental changes,including climate change,the impact on VBDs is anticipated to be significant,in terms of VBD-related hazards,vulnerabilities and exposure.While there is growing awareness on the vulnerability of the African continent to VBDs in the context of climate change,there is still a paucity of research being undertaken in this area,and impeding the formulation of evidence-based health policy change.Main body:One way in which the gap in knowledge and evidence can be filled is for donor institutions to support research in this area.The collaboration between the WHO Special Programme for Research and Training in Tropical Diseases(TDR)and the International Centre for Research and Development(IDRC)builds on more than 10 years of partnership in research capacity-building in the field of tropical diseases.From this partnership was born yet another research initiative on VBDs and the impact of climate change in the Sahel and sub-Saharan Africa.This paper lists the projects supported under this research initiative and provides a brief on some of the policy and good practice recommendations emerging from the ongoing implementation of the research projects.Conclusion:Data generated from the research initiative are expected to be uptaken by stakeholders(including communities,policy makers,public health practitioners and other relevant partners)to contribute to a better understanding of the impacts of social,environmental and climate change on VBDs(i.e.the nature of the hazard,vulnerabilities,exposure),and improve the ability of African countries to adapt to and reduce the effects of these changes in ways that benefit their most vulnerable populations.
文摘Background:Drylands,which are among the biosphere's most naturally limiting and environmentally variable ecosystems,constitute three-quarters of the African continent.As a result,environmental sustainability and human development along with vector-borne disease(VBD)control historically have been especially challenging in Africa,particularly in the sub-Saharan and Sahelian drylands.Here,the VBD burden,food insecurity,environmental degradation,and social vulnerability are particularly severe.Changing climate can exacerbate the legion of environmental health threats in Africa,the social dimensions of which are now part of the international development agenda.Accordingly,the need to better understand the dynamics and complex coupling of populations and environments as exemplified by drylands is increasingly recognized as critical to the design of more sustainable interventions.Main body:This scoping review examines the challenge of vector-borne disease control in drylands with a focus on Africa,and the dramatic,ongoing environmental and social changes taking place.Dryland societies persisted and even flourished in the past despite changing climates,extreme and unpredictable weather,and marginal conditions for agriculture.Yet intrusive forces largely out of the control of traditional dryland societies,along with the negative impacts of globalization,have contributed to the erosion of dryland's cultural and natural resources.This has led to the loss of resilience underlying the adaptive capacity formerly widely exhibited among dryland societies.A growing body of evidence from studies of environmental and natural resource management demonstrates how,in light of dryland system's inherent complexity,these factors and top-down interventions can impede sustainable development and vector-borne disease control.Strengthening adaptive capacity through community-based,participatory methods that build on local knowledge and are tailored to local ecological conditions,hold the best promise of reversing current trends.Conclusions:A significant opportunity exists to simultaneously address the increasing threat of vector-borne diseases and climate change through methods aimed at strengthening adaptive capacity.The integrative framework and methods based on social-ecological systems and resilience theory offers a novel set of tools that allow multiple threats and sources of vulnerability to be addressed in combination.Integration of recent advances in vector borne disease ecology and wider deployment of these tools could help reverse the negative social and environmental trends currently seen in African drylands.
基金P.R.-C.,S.S.,and G.C.are supported by grants from the USDA CDRE(2019-70016-29796,2016-70016-24833)G.C.L.B.is supported by an INRAE Department of Plant Health and Environment(SPE)grant(VMP-ADAPT),grants from the University of Bordeaux,and SFR Integrative Biology and Ecology.M.H.and M.M.are supported by a grant from the USDA ARS CRIS(8062-22410-006-00-D)+1 种基金M.H.W.H.and S.A.H.were funded from the BBSRC Institute Strategy Program(BB/P012574/1)the John Innes Foundation.M.H.and M.M.are funded by USDA ARS project 8062-22410-006-00-D.R.P.P.A.was funded by the Pierce's Disease Research Program,California Department of Food and Agriculture.
文摘Vector-borne plant diseases have significant ecological and economic impacts,affecting farm profitability and forest composition throughout the world.Bacterial vector-borne pathogens have evolved sophisticated strategies to interact with their hemipteran insect vectors and plant hosts.These pathogens reside in plant vascular tissue,and their study represents an excellent opportunity to uncover novel biological mechanisms regulating intracellular pathogenesis and to contribute to the control of some of the world's most invasive emerging diseases.In this perspective,we highlight recent advances and major unanswered questions in the realm of bacterial vector-borne disease,focusing on liberibacters,phytoplasmas,spiroplasmas,and Xylella fastidiosa.
文摘Background:Over half the world’s human populations are currently at risk from vector-borne diseases(VBDs),and the heaviest burden is borne by the world’s poorest people,communities,and countries.The aim of this study was to conduct a review on VBD interventions relevant to housing and hygiene(including sanitation and waste management)in urban areas.Main body:We conducted a scoping review,which involved systematically searching peer-reviewed and grey literature published between 2000 and 2016 using five scientific databases and one database for grey literature.Different data extraction tools were used for data coding and extraction.We assessed the quality of each study using the Mixed Methods Appraisal Tool and extracted descriptive characteristics and data about implementation process and transferability from all studies using the Template for Intervention Description and Replication and ASTAIRE(a tool for analyzing the transferability of health promotion interventions)tools.We reviewed 44 studies.Overall,the studies were judged to be of high risk for bias.Our results suggest multifaceted interventions,particularly community-based interventions,have the potential to achieve wider and more sustained effects than do standard vertical single-component programs.The evaluations of multifaceted interventions tend to include integrated evaluations,using not only entomological indicators but also acceptability and sustainability indicators.Conclusions:This review highlighted the important need for higher quality research in VBDs and improved and standardized reporting of interventions.Significant research gaps were found regarding qualitative research and implementation research,and results highlighted the need for more interventions focus on sanitation and hygiene practices.
基金Funding for the work came from WHO PO 21353027(PI MCT)in support of WHO-TDR IDRC-funded project:“Population health vulnerabilities to vectorborne diseases:increasing resilience under climate change conditions in Africa”WHO PO 201487225(PI MCT)as a technical contribution to the Global Framework for Climate Services.ÁM was supported via the Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences(AOS)Program at Princeton University.
文摘Background:Climate-based disease forecasting has been proposed as a potential tool in climate change adaptation for the health sector.Here we explore the relevance of climate data,drivers and predictions for vector-borne disease control efforts in Africa.Methods:Using data from a number of sources we explore rainfall and temperature across the African continent,from seasonality to variability at annual,multi-decadal and timescales consistent with climate change.We give particular attention to three regions defined as WHO-TDR study zones in Western,Eastern and Southern Africa.Our analyses include 1)time scale decomposition to establish the relative importance of year-to-year,decadal and long term trends in rainfall and temperature;2)the impact of the El Niño Southern Oscillation(ENSO)on rainfall and temperature at the Pan African scale;3)the impact of ENSO on the climate of Tanzania using high resolution climate products and 4)the potential predictability of the climate in different regions and seasons using Generalized Relative Operating Characteristics.We use these analyses to review the relevance of climate forecasts for applications in vector borne disease control across the continent.Results:Timescale decomposition revealed long term warming in all three regions of Africa-at the level of 0.1-0.3°C per decade.Decadal variations in rainfall were apparent in all regions and particularly pronounced in the Sahel and during the East African long rains(March-May).Year-to-year variability in both rainfall and temperature,in part associated with ENSO,were the dominant signal for climate variations on any timescale.Observed climate data and seasonal climate forecasts were identified as the most relevant sources of climate information for use in early warning systems for vector-borne diseases but the latter varied in skill by region and season.Conclusions:Adaptation to the vector-borne disease risks of climate variability and change is a priority for government and civil society in African countries.Understanding rainfall and temperature variations and trends at multiple timescales and their potential predictability is a necessary first step in the incorporation of relevant climate information into vector-borne disease control decision-making.
文摘Background:The emergence and re-emergence of vector-borne and other infectious diseases of poverty pose a threat to the health of populations living in urban and low-income settings.A detailed understanding of intervention strategies,including effectiveness of past outbreak containment,is necessary to improve future practices.The objective was to determine what is known about the effectiveness of containment measures for emerging and re-emerging vector-borne and other infectious diseases of poverty in urban settings and identify research gaps and implications for public health practice.Main body:We conducted a scoping review and systematically searched peer-reviewed and grey literature published between 2000 and 2016.Different data extraction tools were used for data coding and extraction,and data on implementation process and transferability were extracted from all studies.A quality assessment was conducted for each included study.We screened 205 full-text articles and reports for a total of 31 articles included in the review.The quality of the studies was generally low to moderate.The largest body of evidence concerned control activities for Ebola virus and dengue fever.The majority of interventions(87%)relied on multiple types of measures,which were grouped into four categories:1)healthcare provision;2)epidemiological investigation and/or surveillance;3)environmental or sanitary interventions;and 4)community-based interventions.The quality of the majority of studies(90%)was poor or moderate,and one-third of the studies did not provide a clear description of the outcomes and of the procedures and/or tools used for the intervention.Conclusions:Our results highlight the difficulty of establishing causation when assessing the effect of containment measures.Studies that extend beyond solely reporting on effectiveness and take into account the complexity of real-world settings are urgently needed.We recommend the allocation of research efforts to the evaluation of the implementation processes of interventions as well as their comprehensive and systematic description using validated checklists.
文摘Background:The control of vector-borne diseases(VBD)is one of the greatest challenges on the global health agenda.Rapid and uncontrolled urbanization has heightened the interest in addressing these challenges through an integrated vector management(IVM)approach.The aim was to identify components related to impacts,economic evaluation,and sustainability that might contribute to this integrated approach to VBD prevention.Main body:We conducted a scoping review of available literature(2000-2016)using PubMed,Web of Science,Cochrane,CINAHL,Econlit,LILACS,Global Health Database,Scopus,and Embase,as well as Tropical Diseases Bulletin,WHOLIS,WHO Pesticide Evaluation Scheme,and Google Scholar.MeSH terms and free-text terms were used.A data extraction form was used,including TIDieR and ASTAIRE.MMAT and CHEERS were used to evaluate quality.Of the 42 documents reviewed,30 were focused on dengue,eight on malaria,and two on leishmaniasis.More than a half of the studies were conducted in the Americas.Half used a quantitative descriptive approach(n=21),followed by cluster randomized controlled trials(n=11).Regarding impacts,outcomes were:a)use of measures for vector control;b)vector control;c)health measures;and d)social measures.IVM reduced breeding sites,the entomology index,and parasite rates.Results were heterogeneous,with variable magnitudes,but in all cases were favourable to the intervention.Evidence of IVM impacts on health outcomes was very limited but showed reduced incidence.Social outcomes were improved abilities and capacities,empowerment,and community knowledge.Regarding economic evaluation,only four studies performed an economic analysis,and intervention benefits outweighed costs.Costeffectiveness was dependent on illness incidence.The results provided key elements to analyze sustainability in terms of three dimensions(social,economic,and environmental),emphasizing the implementation of a community-focused eco-bio-social approach.Conclusions:IVM has an impact on reducing vector breeding sites and the entomology index,but evidence of impacts on health outcomes is limited.Social outcomes are improved abilities and capacities,empowerment,and community knowledge.Economic evaluations are scarce,and cost-effectiveness is dependent on illness incidence.Community capacity building is the main component of sustainability,together with collaboration,institutionalization,and routinization of activities.Findings indicate a great heterogeneity in the interventions and highlight the need for characterizing interventions rigorously to facilitate transferability.
文摘Background:Dengue virus,an Aedes mosquito-borne flavivirus,is associated with close to 400 million reported infections per annum worldwide.Reduction of dengue virus transmission depends entirely on limiting Aedes breeding or preventing adult female contact with humans.Currently,the World Health Organization promotes the strategic approach of integrated vector management in order to optimise resources for mosquito control.Main text:Neglected tropical disease researchers focus on geographical zones where the incidence of clinical cases,and prevalence of vectors,are high.In combatting those infectious diseases such as dengue that affect mainly low-income populations in developing regions,a mosquito-centric approach is frequently adopted.This prioritises environmental factors that facilitate or impede the lifecycle progression of the vector.Climatic variables(such as rainfall and wind speed)that impact the vector's lifecycle either causally or by happenstance also affect the human host's lifecycle',but in very different ways.The socioeconomic impacts of the same variables that influence vector control impact host vulnerability but at different points in the human lifecycle to those of the vector.Here,we argue that the vulnerability of the vector and that of the host interact in complex and unpredictable ways that are characteristic of(complex and intransigent)'wicked problems'.Moreover,they are treated by public health programs in ways that may ignore this complexity.This opinion draws on recent evidence showing that the best climate predictors of the scale of dengue outbreaks in Bangladesh cannot be explained through a simple vector-tohost causal model.Conclusions:In mapping causal pathways for vector-borne diseases this article makes a case to elevate the lifecycle of the human host to a level closer in equivalence to that of the veaor.Here,we suggest value may be gained from transferring Rittel and Webber's concept of a wicked(social)problem to dengue,malaria and other mosquito-transmitted public health concerns.This would take a'problem definition,rather than a,solution-finding,approach,particularly when considering problems in which climate impacts simultaneously on human and vector vulnerability.
基金support of the Mathematical Biosciences Institute-DMS 1440386,NSF grant-DMS 1814737.
文摘We examine how spatial heterogeneity combines with mobility network structure to influence vector-borne disease dynamics.Specifically,we consider a Ross-Macdonald-type disease model on n spatial locations that are coupled by host movement on a strongly connected,weighted,directed graph.We derive a closed form approximation to the domain reproduction number using a Laurent series expansion,and use this approximation to compute sensitivities of the basic reproduction number to model parameters.To illustrate how these results can be used to help inform mitigation strategies,as a case study we apply these results to malaria dynamics in Namibia,using published cell phone data and estimates for local disease transmission.Our analytical results are particularly useful for understanding drivers of transmission when mobility sinks and transmission hot spots do not coincide.
文摘Background:In 2015,following a call for proposals from the Special Programme for Research and Training in Tropical Diseases(TDR),six scoping reviews on the prevention and control of vector-borne diseases in urban areas were conducted.Those reviews provided a clear picture of the available knowledge and highlighted knowledge gaps,as well as needs and opportunities for future research.Based on the research findings of the scoping reviews,a concept mapping exercise was undertaken to produce a list of priority research needs to be addressed.Methods:Members of the six research teams responsible for the“VEctor boRne DiseAses Scoping reviews”(VERDAS)consortium’s scoping reviews met for 2 days with decision-makers from Colombia,Brazil,Peru,Pan-American Health Organization,and World Health Organization.A total of 11 researchers and seven decision-makers(from ministries of health,city and regional vector control departments,and vector control programs)completed the concept mapping,answering the question:“In view of the knowledge synthesis and your own expertise,what do we still need to know about vector-borne diseases and other infectious diseases of poverty in urban areas?”Participants rated each statement on two scales from 1 to 5,one relative to‘priority’and the other to‘policy relevance’,and grouped statements into clusters based on their own individual criteria and expertise.Results:The final map consisted of 12 clusters.Participants considered those entitled“Equity”,“Technology”,and“Surveillance”to have the highest priority.The cluster considered the most important concerns equity issues,confirming that these issues are rarely addressed in research on vector-borne diseases.On the other hand,the“Population mobility”and“Collaboration”clusters were considered to be the lowest priority but remained identified by participants as research priorities.The average policy relevance scores for each of the 12 clusters were roughly the same as the priority scores for all clusters.Some issues were not addressed during the brain-storming.This is the case for governance and for access and quality of care.Conclusions:Based on this work,and adopting a participatory approach,the concept mapping exercise conducted collaboratively with researchers from these teams and high-level decision-makers identified research themes for which studies should be carried out as a priority.
文摘Climate change influences more and more of our activities. These changes led to envi- ronmental changes which has in turn affected the spatial and temporal distribution of the incidence of vector-borne diseases. To establish the impact of climate on contact rate of vector-borne diseases, we examine the variation of prevalence of diseases according to season. In this paper, the goal is to establish that the basic reproductive number R0 depends on the duration of transmission period and the date of the first conta- mination case that was declared (to) in the specific ease of malaria. We described the dynamics of transmission of malaria by using non-autonomous differential equations. We analyzed the stability of endemic equilibrium (EE) and disease-free equilibrium (DFE). We prove that the persistence of disease depends on minimum and maximum values of contact rate of vector-borne diseases.