Weapon system portfolio selection based on structural robustness

The system portfolio selection is a fundamental frontier issue in the development planning and demonstration of weapon equipment.The scientific and reasonable development of the weapon system portfolio is of great significance for optimizing the design of equipment architecture,realizing effective resource allocation,and increasing the campaign effectiveness of integrated joint operations.From the perspective of system-ofsystems,this paper proposes a unified framework called structure-oriented weapon system portfolio selection(SWSPS)to solve the weapon system portfolio selection problem based on structural invulnerability.First,the types of equipment and the relationship between the equipment are sorted out based on the operation loop theory,and a heterogeneous combat network model of the weapon equipment system is established by abstracting the equipment and their relationships into different types of nodes and edges respectively.Then,based on the combat network model,the operation loop comprehensive evaluation index(OLCEI)is introduced to quantitatively describe the structural robustness of the combat network.Next,a weapon system combination selection model is established with the goal of maximizing the operation loop comprehensive evaluation index within the constraints of capability requirements and budget limitations.Finally,our proposed SWSPS is demonstrated through a case study of an armored infantry battalion.The results show that our proposed SWSPS can achieve excellent performance in solving the weapon system portfolio selection problem,which yields many meaningful insights and guidance to the future equipment development planning.

Service-oriented weapon systems of system portfolio selection method

Weapon system portfolio selection is an important combinatorial problem that arises in various applications,such as weapons development planning and equipment procurement,which are of concern to military decision makers.However,the existing weapon system-of-systems(SoS)is tightly coupled.Because of the diversity and connectivity of mission requirements,it is difficult to describe the direct mapping relationship from the mission to the weapon system.In the latest service-oriented research,the introduction of service modules to build a service-oriented,flexible,and combinable structure is an important trend.This paper proposes a service-oriented weapon system portfolio selection method,by introducing service to serve as an intermediary to connect missions and system selection,and transferring the weapon system selection into the service portfolio selection.Specifically,the relation between the service and the task is described through the service-task mapping matrix;and the relation between the service and the weapon system is constructed through the servicesystem mapping matrix.The service collaboration network to calculate the flexibility and connectivity of each service portfolio is then established.Through multi-objective programming,the optimal service portfolios are generated,which are further decoded into weapon system portfolios.

Weapons system portfolio selection based on the contribution rate evaluation of system of systems

The weapons system portfolio selection problem arises at the equipment demonstration stage and deals with the military application requirements.Further,the contribution rate of the system is one of the important indicators to evaluate the role of a system,which can facilitate the weapons system portfolio selection.Therefore,combining the system contribution rate with system portfolio selection is the focus of this study.It also focuses on calculating the contribution rates of multiple equipment systems with various types of capabilities.The contribution rate is measured by establishing a hierarchical multi-criteria value model from three dimensions.Based on the value model,the feasible portfolios are developed under certain cost constraints and the optimal weapons system portfolios are obtained by using the classification optimization selection strategy.Finally,an illustrative example is presented to verify the feasibility of the proposed model.

基于效果作战的武器系统组合效费分析

武器系统效费分析多用于基于靶基研究中,同时没有考虑到武器系统之间的相互影响以及偏好不确定性情况。提出了一种基于效果作战的武器系统组合效费分析方法。基于效果作战的武器系统分配框架结构,运用贝叶斯网络建立目标与效果的联系,利用鲁棒投资组合模型对武器系统组合效费进行建模。针对鲁棒投资组合问题计算量大的问题,提出了一种基于切比雪夫范数和线性整数规划近似算法。仿真结果说明了所提出的方法的有效性。

基于动态能力需求的鲁棒性武器系统组合决策

针对动态能力需求下武器系统组合决策问题,建立了鲁棒性武器系统组合决策模型。首先,基于能力需求动态演化的不确定性,采取决策树的形式建立能力需求多阶段演化模型;然后,基于能力需求的演化模型,定义了考虑鲁棒性的"系统组合能力-能力需求"的能力风险及相关函数,将该能力风险作为决策的准则;为了解决系统组合爆炸的问题,采用差分进化算法获取鲁棒性武器系统组合决策问题的最优解;最后,通过一个实例验证所构建模型的有效性和合理性。

系统组合选择方法及典型军事应用

联合作战与体系对抗是现代战争的重要发展趋势,在体系作战中武器投产、配置以及使用对战局的胜败至关重要。系统组合选择是从“系统”角度对待投产武器系统、待配置武器系统以及列装武器系统进行选择,力求找到能发挥最大军事价值的系统组合方案。首先,介绍了系统组合选择的概念以及主要问题,细致分析了系统组合选择问题的核心元素,明确了系统组合选择的流程;然后,论述了武器系统组合选择问题中所涉及到的军事特征和问题的本质,介绍了解决此类问题的技术方法,并给出一个方法应用示例;此外,探讨了军事领域组合选择的应用与发展;最后,分析和论述了未来武器装备组合选择面临的挑战。

武器装备体系规划备选方案生成方法

针对武器装备体系规划备选方案生成时存在空间规模大、效率低的特点,在对能力需求定量描述的基础上,构建了双目标优化模型,采用混合遗传算法生成方案空间,并运用组合决策分析方法对方案空间进行优选,从而得到备选方案,最后采用仿真计算进行验证。实验结果证明该方法解决此类问题的可行性和有效性。