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A STUDY OF THE INFLUENCE OF MICROPHYSICAL PROCESSES ON TYPHOON NIDA(2016) USING A NEW DOUBLE-MOMENT MICROPHYSICS SCHEME IN THE WEATHER RESEARCH AND FORECASTING MODEL 被引量:5
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作者 LI Zhe ZHANG Yu-tao +2 位作者 LIU Qi-jun FU Shi-zuo MA Zhan-shan 《Journal of Tropical Meteorology》 SCIE 2018年第2期123-130,共8页
The basic structure and cloud features of Typhoon Nida(2016) are simulated using a new microphysics scheme(Liuma) within the Weather Research and Forecasting(WRF) model. Typhoon characteristics simulated with the Lium... The basic structure and cloud features of Typhoon Nida(2016) are simulated using a new microphysics scheme(Liuma) within the Weather Research and Forecasting(WRF) model. Typhoon characteristics simulated with the Liuma microphysics scheme are compared with observations and those simulated with a commonly-used microphysics scheme(WSM6). Results show that using different microphysics schemes does not significantly alter the track of the typhoon but does significantly affect the intensity and the cloud structure of the typhoon. Results also show that the vertical distribution of cloud hydrometeors and the horizontal distribution of peripheral rainband are affected by the microphysics scheme. The mixing ratios of rain water and graupel correlate highly with the vertical velocity component and equivalent potential temperature at the typhoon eye-wall region. According to the simulation with WSM 6 scheme,it is likely that the very low typhoon central pressure results from the positive feedback between hydrometeors and typhoon intensity. As the ice-phase hydrometeors are mostly graupel in the Liuma microphysics scheme, further improvement in this aspect is required. 展开更多
关键词 Liuma microphysics scheme typhoon intensity cloud microphysics typhoon structure weather Research and forecasting model
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A Methodological Study on Using Weather Research and Forecasting(WRF) Model Outputs to Drive a One-Dimensional Cloud Model 被引量:1
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作者 JIN Ling Fanyou KONG +1 位作者 LEI Hengchi HU Zhaoxia 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2014年第1期230-240,共11页
A new method for driving a One-Dimensional Stratiform Cold (1DSC) cloud model with Weather Research and Fore casting (WRF) model outputs was developed by conducting numerical experiments for a typical large-scale ... A new method for driving a One-Dimensional Stratiform Cold (1DSC) cloud model with Weather Research and Fore casting (WRF) model outputs was developed by conducting numerical experiments for a typical large-scale stratiform rainfall event that took place on 4-5 July 2004 in Changchun, China. Sensitivity test results suggested that, with hydrometeor pro files extracted from the WRF outputs as the initial input, and with continuous updating of soundings and vertical velocities (including downdraft) derived from the WRF model, the new WRF-driven 1DSC modeling system (WRF-1DSC) was able to successfully reproduce both the generation and dissipation processes of the precipitation event. The simulated rainfall intensity showed a time-lag behind that observed, which could have been caused by simulation errors of soundings, vertical velocities and hydrometeor profiles in the WRF output. Taking into consideration the simulated and observed movement path of the precipitation system, a nearby grid point was found to possess more accurate environmental fields in terms of their similarity to those observed in Changchun Station. Using profiles from this nearby grid point, WRF-1DSC was able to repro duce a realistic precipitation pattern. This study demonstrates that 1D cloud-seeding models do indeed have the potential to predict realistic precipitation patterns when properly driven by accurate atmospheric profiles derived from a regional short range forecasting system, This opens a novel and important approach to developing an ensemble-based rain enhancement prediction and operation system under a probabilistic framework concept. 展开更多
关键词 cloud-seeding model weather Research and forecasting (WRF) model rain enhancement
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Artificial Intelligence Based Meteorological Parameter Forecasting for Optimizing Response of Nuclear Emergency Decision Support System
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作者 BILAL Ahmed Khan HASEEB ur Rehman +5 位作者 QAISAR Nadeem MUHAMMAD Ahmad Naveed Qureshi JAWARIA Ahad MUHAMMAD Naveed Akhtar AMJAD Farooq MASROOR Ahmad 《原子能科学技术》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2024年第10期2068-2076,共9页
This paper presents a novel artificial intelligence (AI) based approach to predict crucial meteorological parameters such as temperature,pressure,and wind speed,typically calculated from computationally intensive weat... This paper presents a novel artificial intelligence (AI) based approach to predict crucial meteorological parameters such as temperature,pressure,and wind speed,typically calculated from computationally intensive weather research and forecasting (WRF) model.Accurate meteorological data is indispensable for simulating the release of radioactive effluents,especially in dispersion modeling for nuclear emergency decision support systems.Simulation of meteorological conditions during nuclear emergencies using the conventional WRF model is very complex and time-consuming.Therefore,a new artificial neural network (ANN) based technique was proposed as a viable alternative for meteorological prediction.A multi-input multi-output neural network was trained using historical site-specific meteorological data to forecast the meteorological parameters.Comprehensive evaluation of this technique was conducted to test its performance in forecasting various parameters including atmospheric pressure,temperature,and wind speed components in both East-West and North-South directions.The performance of developed network was evaluated on an unknown dataset,and acquired results are within the acceptable range for all meteorological parameters.Results show that ANNs possess the capability to forecast meteorological parameters,such as temperature and pressure,at multiple spatial locations within a grid with high accuracy,utilizing input data from a single station.However,accuracy is slightly compromised when predicting wind speed components.Root mean square error (RMSE) was utilized to report the accuracy of predicted results,with values of 1.453℃for temperature,77 Pa for predicted pressure,1.058 m/s for the wind speed of U-component and 0.959 m/s for the wind speed of V-component.In conclusion,this approach offers a precise,efficient,and wellinformed method for administrative decision-making during nuclear emergencies. 展开更多
关键词 prediction of meteorological parameters weather research and forecasting model artificial neural networks nuclear emergency support system
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A Hybrid Methodology for Short Term Temperature Forecasting
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作者 Wissam Abdallah Nassib Abdallah +2 位作者 Jean-Marie Marion Mohamad Oueidat Pierre Chauvet 《International Journal of Intelligence Science》 2020年第3期65-81,共17页
Developing a reliable weather forecasting model is a complicated task, as it requires heavy IT resources as well as heavy investments beyond the financial capabilities of most countries. In Lebanon, the prediction mod... Developing a reliable weather forecasting model is a complicated task, as it requires heavy IT resources as well as heavy investments beyond the financial capabilities of most countries. In Lebanon, the prediction model used by the civil aviation weather service at Rafic Hariri International Airport in Beirut (BRHIA) is the ARPEGE model, (0.5) developed by the weather service in France. Unfortunately, forecasts provided by ARPEGE have been erroneous and biased by several factors such as the chaotic character of the physical modeling equations of some atmospheric phenomena (advection, convection, etc.) and the nature of the Lebanese topography. In this paper, we proposed the time series method ARIMA (Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average) to forecast the minimum daily temperature and compared its result with ARPEGE. As a result, ARIMA method shows better mean accuracy (91%) over the numerical model ARPEGE (68%), for the prediction of five days in January 2017. Moreover, back to five months ago, in order to validate the accuracy of the proposed model, a simulation has been applied on the first five days of August 2016. Results have shown that the time series ARIMA method has offered better mean accuracy (98%) over the numerical model ARPEGE (89%) for the prediction of five days of August 2016. This paper discusses a multiprocessing approach applied to ARIMA in order to enhance the efficiency of ARIMA in terms of complexity and resources. 展开更多
关键词 Time Series Analysis ARIMA Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average weather forecasting model MULTIPROCESSING
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Numerical Simulation of the Heavy Rainfall in the Yangtze-Huai River Basin during Summer 2003 Using the WRF Model 被引量:13
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作者 LIU Hong-Bo 《Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters》 2012年第1期20-25,共6页
In this study, a 47-day regional climate simulation of the heavy rainfall in the Yangtze-Huai River Basin during the summer of 2003 was conducted using the Weather Research and Forecast (WRY) model. The simulation r... In this study, a 47-day regional climate simulation of the heavy rainfall in the Yangtze-Huai River Basin during the summer of 2003 was conducted using the Weather Research and Forecast (WRY) model. The simulation reproduces reasonably well the evolution of the rainfall during the study period's three successive rainy phases, especially the frequent heavy rainfall events occurring in the Huai River Basin. The model captures the major rainfall peak observed by the monitoring stations in the morning. Another peak appears later than that shown by the observations. In addition, the simulation realistically captures not only the evolution of the low-level winds but also the characteristics of their diurnal variation. The strong southwesterly (low-level jet, LLJ) wind speed increases beginning in the early evening and reaches a peak in the morning; it then gradually decreases until the afternoon. The intense LLJ forms a strong convergent circulation pattern in the early morning along the Yangtze-Huai River Basin. This pattern partly explains the rainfall peak observed at this time. This study furnishes a basis for the further analysis of the mechanisms of evolution of the LLJ and for the further study of the interactions between the LLJ and rainfall. 展开更多
关键词 heavy rainfall Yangtze-Huai River Basin the weather Research and Forecast model low-level jet
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Validation of WRF model on simulating forcing data for Heihe River Basin 被引量:10
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作者 XiaoDuo Pan Xin Li 《Research in Cold and Arid Regions》 2011年第4期344-357,共14页
The research of coupling WRF (Weather Research and Forecasting Model) with a land surface model is enhanced to explore the interaction of the atmosphere and land surface; however, regional applicability of WRF model... The research of coupling WRF (Weather Research and Forecasting Model) with a land surface model is enhanced to explore the interaction of the atmosphere and land surface; however, regional applicability of WRF model is questioned. In order to do the validation of WRF model on simulating forcing data for the Heihe River Basin, daily meteorological observation data from 15 stations of CMA (China Meteorological Administration) and hourly meteorological observation data from seven sites of WATER (Watershed Airborne Telemetry Experimental Research) are used to compare with WRF simulations, with a time range of a whole year for 2008. Results show that the average MBE (Mean Bias Error) of daily 2-m surface temperature, surface pressure, 2-m relative humidity and 10-m wind speed were -0.19 ℃, -4.49 hPa, 4.08% and 0.92 m/s, the average RMSE (Root Mean Square Error) of them were 2.11 ℃, 5.37 hPa, 9.55% and 1.73 m/s, and the average R (correlation coefficient) of them were 0.99, 0.98, 0.80 and 0.55, respectively. The average MBE of hourly 2-m surface temperature, surface pressure, 2-m relative humidity, 10-m wind speed, downward shortwave radiation and downward longwave were-0.16 ℃,-6.62 hPa,-5.14%, 0.26 m/s, 33.0 W/m^2 and-6.44 W/m^2, the average RMSE of them were 2.62 ℃, 17.10 hPa, 20.71%, 2.46 m/s, 152.9 W/m^2 and 53.5 W/m^2, and the average R of them were 0.96, 0.97, 0.70, 0.26, 0.91 and 0.60, respectively. Thus, the following conclusions were obtained: (1) regardless of daily or hourly validation, WRF model simulations of 2-m surface temperature, surface pressure and relative humidity are more reliable, especially for 2-m surface air temperature and surface pressure, the values of MBE were small and R were more than 0.96; (2) the WRF simulating downward shortwave radiation was relatively good, the average R between WRF simulation and hourly observation data was above 0.9, and the average R of downward longwave radiation was 0.6; (3) both wind speed and rainfall simulated from WRF model did not agree well with observation data. 展开更多
关键词 forcing data weather research and forecasting model watershed airborne telemetry experimental research Heihe River Basin
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An Assessment of Potential Economic Gain from Weather Forecast Based Irrigation Scheduling for Marginal Farmers in Karnataka, Southern State in India
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作者 Rakesh Vasudevan Nair Ramesh Kalidas Vasanthakumar Eeanki Venkata Surya Prakasa Rao 《Agricultural Sciences》 2021年第5期503-512,共10页
This study is aimed to assess the usefulness of weather forecasts for irrigation scheduling in crops to economize water use. The short-term gains for the farmers come from reducing costs of irrigation with the help of... This study is aimed to assess the usefulness of weather forecasts for irrigation scheduling in crops to economize water use. The short-term gains for the farmers come from reducing costs of irrigation with the help of advisory for when not to irrigate because rain is predicted (risk-free because the wrong forecast only delays irrigation within tolerance). Here, a quantitative assessment of saving (indirect income) if irrigation is avoided as rain is imminent (as per forecast), using a five-year archived forecast data over Karnataka state at hobli (a cluster of small villages) level is presented. Estimates showed that the economic benefits to the farmers from such advisories were significant. The potential gain in annual income from such forecast-based irrigation scheduling was of the order of 10% - 15%. Our analysis also indicated that the use of advisory by a small percentage of more than 10 million marginal farmers (landholding < 3 acres) in Karnataka could lead to huge cumulative savings of the order of many crores. 展开更多
关键词 Agro-Advisories Economic Assessment Environmental Benefits Irrigation Scheduling weather Forecast models weather Informatics
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Parametric sensitivity analysis of precipitation and temperature based on multi-uncertainty quantification methods in the Weather Research and Forecasting model 被引量:3
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作者 DI ZhenHua 《Science China Earth Sciences》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2017年第5期876-898,共23页
Sensitivity analysis(SA) has been widely used to screen out a small number of sensitive parameters for model outputs from all adjustable parameters in weather and climate models, helping to improve model predictions b... Sensitivity analysis(SA) has been widely used to screen out a small number of sensitive parameters for model outputs from all adjustable parameters in weather and climate models, helping to improve model predictions by tuning the parameters. However, most parametric SA studies have focused on a single SA method and a single model output evaluation function, which makes the screened sensitive parameters less comprehensive. In addition, qualitative SA methods are often used because simulations using complex weather and climate models are time-consuming. Unlike previous SA studies, this research has systematically evaluated the sensitivity of parameters that affect precipitation and temperature simulations in the Weather Research and Forecasting(WRF) model using both qualitative and quantitative global SA methods. In the SA studies, multiple model output evaluation functions were used to conduct various SA experiments for precipitation and temperature. The results showed that five parameters(P3, P5, P7, P10, and P16) had the greatest effect on precipitation simulation results and that two parameters(P7 and P10) had the greatest effect for temperature. Using quantitative SA, the two-way interactive effect between P7 and P10 was also found to be important, especially for precipitation. The microphysics scheme had more sensitive parameters for precipitation, and P10(the multiplier for saturated soil water content) was the most sensitive parameter for both precipitation and temperature. From the ensemble simulations, preliminary results indicated that the precipitation and temperature simulation accuracies could be improved by tuning the respective sensitive parameter values, especially for simulations of moderate and heavy rain. 展开更多
关键词 Multi-uncertainty quantification methods Qualitative parameters screening Quantitative sensitivity analysis weather Research and forecasting model
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Improving the Forecasts of Coastal Wind Speeds in Tianjin,China Based on the WRF Model with Machine Learning Algorithms
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作者 Weihang ZHANG Meng TIAN +5 位作者 Shangfei HAI Fei WANG Xiadong AN Wanju LI Xiaodong LI Lifang SHENG 《Journal of Meteorological Research》 SCIE CSCD 2024年第3期570-585,共16页
Characterized by sudden changes in strength,complex influencing factors,and significant impacts,the wind speed in the circum-Bohai Sea area is relatively challenging to forecast.On the western side of Bohai Bay,as the... Characterized by sudden changes in strength,complex influencing factors,and significant impacts,the wind speed in the circum-Bohai Sea area is relatively challenging to forecast.On the western side of Bohai Bay,as the economic center of the circum-Bohai Sea,Tianjin exhibits a high demand for accurate wind forecasting.In this study,three machine learning algorithms were employed and compared as post-processing methods to correct wind speed forecasts by the Weather Research and Forecast(WRF)model for Tianjin.The results showed that the random forest(RF)achieved better performance in improving the forecasts because it substantially reduced the model bias at a lower computing cost,while the support vector machine(SVM)performed slightly worse(especially for stronger winds),but it required an approximately 15 times longer computing time.The back propagation(BP)neural network produced an average forecast significantly closer to the observed forecast but insufficiently reduced the RMSE.In regard to wind speed frequency forecasting,the RF method commendably corrected the forecasts of the frequency of moderate(force 3)wind speeds,while the BP method showed a desirable capability for correcting the forecasts of stronger(force>6)winds.In addition,the 10-m u and v components of wind(u_(10)and v_(10)),2-m relative humidity(RH_(2))and temperature(T_(2)),925-hPa u(u925),sea level pressure(SLP),and 500-hPa temperature(T_(500))were identified as the main factors leading to bias in wind speed forecasting by the WRF model in Tianjin,indicating the importance of local dynamical/thermodynamic processes in regulating the wind speed.This study demonstrates that the combination of numerical models and machine learning techniques has important implications for refined local wind forecasting. 展开更多
关键词 machine learning weather Research and Forecast(WRF)model wind speed forecasting coastal region
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Solar Energy Resource Characteristics of Photovoltaic Power Station in Shandong Province 被引量:2
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作者 薛德强 王新 王新堂 《Agricultural Science & Technology》 CAS 2013年第4期666-671,共6页
[Objective] The aim was to analyze characters of solar energy in photo- voltaic power stations in Shandong Province. [Method] The models of total solar radiation and scattered radiation were determined, and solar ener... [Objective] The aim was to analyze characters of solar energy in photo- voltaic power stations in Shandong Province. [Method] The models of total solar radiation and scattered radiation were determined, and solar energy resources in pho-tovoltaic power stations were evaluated based on illumination in horizontal plane and cloud data in 123 counties or cities and observed information in Jinan, Fushan and Juxian in 1988-2008. [Result] Solar energy in northern regions in Shandong proved most abundant, which is suitable for photovoltaic power generation; the optimal angle of tilt of photovoltaic array was at 35°, decreasing by 2°-3° compared with local latitude. Total solar radiation received by the slope with optimal angle of tilt exceeded 1 600 kw.h/(m2.a), increasing by 16% compared with horizontal planes. The maximal irradiance concluded by WRF in different regions tended to be volatile in 1 020-1 060 W/m2. [Conclusion] The research provides references for construction of photovoltaic power stations in Shandong Province. 展开更多
关键词 Shandong Province Solar energy resource Photovoltaic power stations Optimum tilt angle WRF(weather research and forecasting model Maximal daily irradiance
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Simulation of Quasi-Linear Mesoscale Convective Systems in Northern China:Lightning Activities and Storm Structure 被引量:7
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作者 Wanli LI Xiushu QIE +2 位作者 Shenming FU Debin SU Yonghai SHEN 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2016年第1期85-100,共16页
Two intense quasi-linear mesoscale convective systems(QLMCSs) in northern China were simulated using the WRF(Weather Research and Forecasting) model and the 3D-Var(three-dimensional variational) analysis system ... Two intense quasi-linear mesoscale convective systems(QLMCSs) in northern China were simulated using the WRF(Weather Research and Forecasting) model and the 3D-Var(three-dimensional variational) analysis system of the ARPS(Advanced Regional Prediction System) model.A new method in which the lightning density is calculated using both the precipitation and non-precipitation ice mass was developed to reveal the relationship between the lightning activities and QLMCS structures.Results indicate that,compared with calculating the results using two previous methods,the lightning density calculated using the new method presented in this study is in better accordance with observations.Based on the calculated lightning densities using the new method,it was found that most lightning activity was initiated on the right side and at the front of the QLMCSs,where the surface wind field converged intensely.The CAPE was much stronger ahead of the southeastward progressing QLMCS than to the back it,and their lightning events mainly occurred in regions with a large gradient of CAPE.Comparisons between lightning and non-lightning regions indicated that lightning regions featured more intense ascending motion than non-lightning regions;the vertical ranges of maximum reflectivity between lightning and non-lightning regions were very different;and the ice mixing ratio featured no significant differences between the lightning and non-lightning regions. 展开更多
关键词 quasi-linear mesoscale convective system weather Research and forecasting model Advanced Regional Prediction System model precipitation and non-precipitation ice
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Simulations of Microphysics and Precipitation in a Stratiform Cloud Case over Northern China:Comparison of Two Microphysics Schemes 被引量:4
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作者 Tuanjie HOU Hengchi LEI +2 位作者 Zhaoxia HU Jiefan YANG Xingyu LI 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2020年第1期117-129,共13页
Using the Weather Research and Forecasting(WRF)model with two different microphysics schemes,the Predicted Particle Properties(P3)and the Morrison double-moment parameterizations,we simulated a stratiform rainfall eve... Using the Weather Research and Forecasting(WRF)model with two different microphysics schemes,the Predicted Particle Properties(P3)and the Morrison double-moment parameterizations,we simulated a stratiform rainfall event on 20–21 April 2010.The simulation output was compared with precipitation and aircraft observations.The aircraft-observed moderate-rimed dendrites and plates indicated that riming contributed significantly to ice particle growth at the mature precipitation stage.Observations of dendrite aggregation and capped columns suggested that aggregation coexisted with deposition or riming and played an important role in producing many large particles.The domain-averaged values of the 24-h surface precipitation accumulation from the two schemes were quite close to each other.However,differences existed in the temporal and spatial evolutions of the precipitation distribution.An analysis of the surface precipitation temporal evolution indicated faster precipitation in Morrison,while P3 indicated slower rainfall by shifting the precipitation pattern eastward toward what was observed.The differences in precipitation values between the two schemes were related to the cloud water content distribution and fall speeds of rimed particles.P3 simulated the stratiform precipitation event better as it captured the gradual transition in the mass-weighted fall speeds and densities from unrimed to rimed particles. 展开更多
关键词 stratiform cloud RIMING weather Research and forecasting model fall speed
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Simulation of a torrential rainstorm in Xinjiang and gravity wave analysis 被引量:4
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作者 Rui Yang Yi Liu +1 位作者 Ling-Kun Ran Yu-Li Zhang 《Chinese Physics B》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2018年第5期573-580,共8页
We used a weather research and forecasting model to simulate a torrential rainstorm that occurred in Xinjiang,China during June 16–17,2016.The model successfully simulated the rainfall area,precipitation intensity,an... We used a weather research and forecasting model to simulate a torrential rainstorm that occurred in Xinjiang,China during June 16–17,2016.The model successfully simulated the rainfall area,precipitation intensity,and changes in precipitation.We identified a clear wave signal using the two-dimensional fast Fourier transform method;the waves propagated westwards,with wavelengths of 45–20 km,periods of 50–120 min,and phase velocities mainly concentrated in the-25 m/s to-10 m/s range.The results of wavelet cross-spectral analysis further confirmed that the waves were gravity waves,peaking at 11:00 UTC,June 17,2016.The gravity wave signal was identified along 79.17–79.93°E,81.35–81.45°E and 81.5–81.83°E.The gravity waves detected along 81.5–81.83°E corresponded well with precipitation that accumulated in 1 h,indicating that gravity waves could be considered a rainstorm precursor in future precipitation forecasts. 展开更多
关键词 gravity wave RAINSTORM spectral analysis methods weather research and forecasting model
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Increases in Anthropogenic Heat Release from Energy Consumption Lead to More Frequent Extreme Heat Events in Urban Cities 被引量:2
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作者 Bin LIU Zhenghui XIE +8 位作者 Peihua QIN Shuang LIU Ruichao LI Longhuan WANG Yan WANG Binghao JIA Si CHEN Jinbo XIE Chunxiang SHI 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2021年第3期430-445,共16页
With economic development and rapid urbanization,increases in Gross Domestic Product and population in fastgrowing cities since the turn of the 21st Century have led to increases in energy consumption.Anthropogenic he... With economic development and rapid urbanization,increases in Gross Domestic Product and population in fastgrowing cities since the turn of the 21st Century have led to increases in energy consumption.Anthropogenic heat flux released to the near-surface atmosphere has led to changes in urban thermal environments and severe extreme temperature events.To investigate the effects of energy consumption on urban extreme temperature events,including extreme heat and cold events,a dynamic representation scheme of anthropogenic heat release(AHR)was implemented in the Advanced Research version of the Weather Research and Forecasting(WRF)model,and AHR data were developed based on energy consumption and population density in a case study of Beijing,China.Two simulations during 1999−2017 were then conducted using the developed WRF model with 3-km resolution with and without the AHR scheme.It was shown that the mean temperature increased with the increase in AHR,and more frequent extreme heat events were produced,with an annual increase of 0.02−0.19 days,as well as less frequent extreme cold events,with an annual decrease of 0.26−0.56 days,based on seven extreme temperature indices in the city center.AHR increased the sensible heat flux and led to surface energy budget changes,strengthening the dynamic processes in the atmospheric boundary layer that reduce AHR heating efficiency more in summer than in winter.In addition,it was concluded that suitable energy management might help to mitigate the impact of extreme temperature events in different seasons. 展开更多
关键词 anthropogenic heat release extreme temperature event weather Research and forecasting model Beijing
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Deriving Changjiang coastal zone wind from C-band SAR and its application to salinity simulation 被引量:1
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作者 王利花 周云轩 +2 位作者 朱建荣 沈芳 田波 《Chinese Journal of Oceanology and Limnology》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2014年第4期946-957,共12页
Wind plays an important role in hydrodynamic processes such as the expansion of Changjiang (Yangtze) River Diluted Water (CDW), and shelf circulation in the Changjiang estuary. Thus, it is essential to include win... Wind plays an important role in hydrodynamic processes such as the expansion of Changjiang (Yangtze) River Diluted Water (CDW), and shelf circulation in the Changjiang estuary. Thus, it is essential to include wind in the numerical simulation of these phenomena. Synthetic aperture radar (SAR) with high resolution and wide spatial coverage is valuable for measuring spatially inhomogeneous ocean surface wind fields. We have collected 87 ERS-2 SAR images with wind-induced streaks that cover the Cbangjiang coastal area, to verify and improve the validity of wind direction retrieval using the 2D fast Fourier transform method. We then used these wind directions as inputs to derive SAR wind speeds using the C-band model. To demonstrate the applicability of the algorithms, we validated the SAR-retrieved wind fields using QuikSCAT measurements and the atmospheric Weather Research Forecasting model. In general, we found good agreement between the datasets, indicating the reliability and applicability of SAR- retrieved algorithms under different atmospheric conditions. We investigated the main error sources of this process, and conducted sensitivity analyses to estimate the wind speed errors caused by the effect of speckle, uncertainties in wind direction, and inaccuracies in the normalized radar cross section. Finally, we used the SAR-retrieved wind fields to simulate the salinity distribution off the Changjiang estuary. The findings of this study will be valuable for wind resource assessment and the development of future numerical ocean models based on SAR images. 展开更多
关键词 synthetic aperture radar (SAR) Changjiang estuary fast Fourier transformation (FFT) C-bandmodel (CMOD4) weather research forecasting model (WRF)
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A numerical simulation of latent heating within Typhoon Molave 被引量:1
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作者 LIU Yang LIN Wenshi +3 位作者 LI Jiangnan WANG Gang YANG Song FENG Yerong 《Acta Oceanologica Sinica》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2017年第7期39-47,共9页
The weather research and forecasting(WRF) model is a new generation mesoscale numerical model with a fine grid resolution(2 km), making it ideal to simulate the macro-and micro-physical processes and latent heatin... The weather research and forecasting(WRF) model is a new generation mesoscale numerical model with a fine grid resolution(2 km), making it ideal to simulate the macro-and micro-physical processes and latent heating within Typhoon Molave(2009). Simulations based on a single-moment, six-class microphysical scheme are shown to be reasonable, following verification of results for the typhoon track, wind intensity, precipitation pattern, as well as inner-core thermodynamic and dynamic structures. After calculating latent heating rate, it is concluded that the total latent heat is mainly derived from condensation below the zero degree isotherm, and from deposition above this isotherm. It is revealed that cloud microphysical processes related to graupel are the most important contributors to the total latent heat. Other important latent heat contributors in the simulated Typhoon Molave are condensation of cloud water, deposition of cloud ice, deposition of snow, initiation of cloud ice crystals, deposition of graupel, accretion of cloud water by graupel, evaporation of cloud water and rainwater,sublimation of snow, sublimation of graupel, melting of graupel, and sublimation of cloud ice. In essence, the simulated latent heat profile is similar to ones recorded by the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission, although specific values differ slightly. 展开更多
关键词 latent heat weather research and forecasting model Typhoon Molave thermodynamic structure cloud microphysics zero degree isotherm
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Challenges in Developing Finite-Volume Global Weather and Climate Models with Focus on Numerical Accuracy
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作者 Yuanfu XIE Zilong QIN 《Journal of Meteorological Research》 SCIE CSCD 2021年第5期775-788,共14页
High-resolution global non-hydrostatic gridded dynamic models have drawn significant attention in recent years in conjunction with the rising demand for improving weather forecasting and climate predictions.By far it ... High-resolution global non-hydrostatic gridded dynamic models have drawn significant attention in recent years in conjunction with the rising demand for improving weather forecasting and climate predictions.By far it is still challenging to build a high-resolution gridded global model,which is required to meet numerical accuracy,dispersion relation,conservation,and computation requirements.Among these requirements,this review focuses on one significant topic—the numerical accuracy over the entire non-uniform spherical grids.The paper discusses all the topic-related challenges by comparing the schemes adopted in well-known finite-volume-based operational or research dynamical cores.It provides an overview of how these challenges are met in a summary table.The analysis and validation in this review are based on the shallow-water equation system.The conclusions can be applied to more complicated models.These challenges should be critical research topics in the future development of finite-volume global models. 展开更多
关键词 global weather forecast model finite-volume methods model accuracy irregular spherical grids C-grid and Z-grid schemes
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Impacts of Roof/Ground Mitigation Strategies on Improving the Urban Thermal Environment and Human Comfort over the Yangtze River Delta, China
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作者 Hongyun MA Mi ZHANG +1 位作者 Haishan CHEN Yan WANG 《Journal of Meteorological Research》 SCIE CSCD 2024年第1期108-125,共18页
The combined effects of global warming and the urban heat islands exacerbate the risk of urban heat stress. It is crucial to implement effective cooling measures in urban areas to improve the comfort of the thermal en... The combined effects of global warming and the urban heat islands exacerbate the risk of urban heat stress. It is crucial to implement effective cooling measures in urban areas to improve the comfort of the thermal environment. In this study, the Weather Research and Forecasting Model(WRF), coupled with a single-layer Urban Canopy Model(UCM), was used to study the impact of heat mitigation strategies. In addition, a 5-km resolution land-cover dataset for China(ChinaLC), which is based on satellite remote sensing data, was adjusted and used, and 18 groups of numerical experiments were designed, to increase the albedo and vegetation fraction of roof/ground parameters. The experiments were conducted for four heatwave events that occurred in the summer of 2013 in the Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration of China. The simulated results demonstrated that, for the single roof/ground schemes, the mitigation effects were directly proportional to the albedo and greening. Among all the experimental schemes, the superposed schemes presented better cooling effects. For the ground greening scheme, with similar net radiation flux and latent heat flux, its storage heat was lower than that of the roof greening scheme, resulting in more energy flux into the atmosphere, and its daytime cooling effect was not as good as that of the roof greening scheme. In terms of human thermal comfort(HTC), the improvement achieved by the ground greening scheme was better than any other single roof/ground schemes, because the increase in the relative humidity was small. The comprehensive evaluation of the mitigation effects of different schemes on the thermal environment presented in this paper provides a theoretical basis for improving the urban environment through rational urban planning and construction. 展开更多
关键词 urban heat island human thermal comfort urban canopy mitigation strategies Yangtze River Delta weather Research and forecasting model(WRF) Urban Canopy model(UCM)
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The Effect of Moisture in Different Altitude Layers on the Eastward Propagation of MJO
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作者 Xiaoyu ZHU Zhong ZHONG +3 位作者 Yimin ZHU Yunying LI Yijia HU Yao HA 《Journal of Meteorological Research》 SCIE CSCD 2024年第3期437-452,共16页
In this study,driven by ERA5 reanalysis data,the Weather Research and Forecasting(WRF)version 4.0 was used to investigate the eastward propagation of the Madden-Julian oscillation(MJO)in the tropical atmosphere during... In this study,driven by ERA5 reanalysis data,the Weather Research and Forecasting(WRF)version 4.0 was used to investigate the eastward propagation of the Madden-Julian oscillation(MJO)in the tropical atmosphere during December-February(DJF)of 2007/2008.The experiment with 11 cumulus parameterization schemes respectively shows that the Grell 3D scheme is one of several worse ones in describing MJO activities.In addition,still by use of the Grell 3D scheme,four nudging assimilation experiments for water vapor in all model vertical layers(Ndg_all),lower layers(Ndg_low),middle layers(Ndg_mid),and upper layers(Ndg_upp)were conducted.It is found that when the water vapor in the model approaches to the observed value,the model performance for MJO activities is improved greatly.Among the four nudging simulations,Ndg_all certainly performs best.Although Ndg_mid is important for the MJO-filtered profiles related to moisture,Ndg_low and Ndg_upp exhibit superiority to Ndg_mid in simulating MJO eastward propagation.Ndg_low has advantages when MJO features are represented by zonal wind at 850 hPa and precipitation because the lower-level MJO-filtered moisture is conducive to the existence of lower-level condensational heating to the east of the MJO convective center.Ndg_upp performs better when describing the MJO eastward propagation features by outgoing longwave radiation(OLR)since it can capture the moisture and cloud top temperature of deep convection associated with MJO,as well as front Walker cell.These results suggest that the lower-level moisture is more important in regulating the MJO eastward propagation,and the observed maximum MJO-filtered moisture in the middle troposphere might be a phenomenon accompanying the MJO deep convection,but not a factor controlling its eastward propagation. 展开更多
关键词 Madden-Julian oscillation(MJO) nudging technique weather Research and forecasting(WRF)model vertical moisture structure
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Ground Passive Microwave Remote Sensing of Atmospheric Profiles Using WRF Simulations and Machine Learning Techniques
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作者 Lulu ZHANG Meijing LIU +4 位作者 Wenying HE Xiangao XIA Haonan YU Shuangxu LI Jing LI 《Journal of Meteorological Research》 SCIE CSCD 2024年第4期680-692,共13页
Microwave radiometer(MWR) demonstrates exceptional efficacy in monitoring the atmospheric temperature and humidity profiles.A typical inversion algorithm for MWR involves the use of radiosonde measurements as the trai... Microwave radiometer(MWR) demonstrates exceptional efficacy in monitoring the atmospheric temperature and humidity profiles.A typical inversion algorithm for MWR involves the use of radiosonde measurements as the training dataset.However,this is challenging due to limitations in the temporal and spatial resolution of available sounding data,which often results in a lack of coincident data with MWR deployment locations.Our study proposes an alternative approach to overcome these limitations by harnessing the Weather Research and Forecasting(WRF) model's renowned simulation capabilities,which offer high temporal and spatial resolution.By using WRF simulations that collocate with the MWR deployment location as a substitute for radiosonde measurements or reanalysis data,our study effectively mitigates the limitations associated with mismatching of MWR measurements and the sites,which enables reliable MWR retrieval in diverse geographical settings.Different machine learning(ML) algorithms including extreme gradient boosting(XGBoost),random forest(RF),light gradient boosting machine(LightGBM),extra trees(ET),and backpropagation neural network(BPNN) are tested by using WRF simulations,among which BPNN appears as the most superior,achieving an accuracy with a root-mean-square error(RMSE) of 2.05 K for temperature,0.67 g m~(-3) for water vapor density(WVD),and 13.98% for relative humidity(RH).Comparisons of temperature,RH,and WVD retrievals between our algorithm and the sounding-trained(RAD) algorithm indicate that our algorithm remarkably outperforms the latter.This study verifies the feasibility of utilizing WRF simulations for developing MWR inversion algorithms,thus opening up new possibilities for MWR deployment and airborne observations in global locations. 展开更多
关键词 microwave radiometer(MWR) weather Research and forecasting(WRF)model extreme gradient boosting(XGBoost) random forest(RF) light gradient boosting machine(LightGBM) extra trees(ET) backpropagation neural network(BPNN) monochromatic radiative transfer model(MonoRTM)
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