风电场准确的风速预测可以减轻或避免风电对电网的不利影响,有利于在开放的电力市场环境下正确制定电能交换计划,提高风电竞争力。基于风速序列的时序性,使用极大似然法对风速序列进行了Box-Cox最优变换,建立了ARMA(p,q)风速预测模型。...风电场准确的风速预测可以减轻或避免风电对电网的不利影响,有利于在开放的电力市场环境下正确制定电能交换计划,提高风电竞争力。基于风速序列的时序性,使用极大似然法对风速序列进行了Box-Cox最优变换,建立了ARMA(p,q)风速预测模型。为检验时间序列模型的有效性,利用最小信息准则中的BIC(Bayesian Information Criterion)函数对ARMA(p,q)模型进行识别,并通过风速频率曲线对预测结果进行了修正。仿真结果和算例验证了该方法在风电场风速预测中的适用性,具有一定的实用价值。展开更多
Streamline box girders are widely applied in the design and construction of long-span bridges all over the world. In order to study the influence of modifications of aerodynamic configuration and accessory components ...Streamline box girders are widely applied in the design and construction of long-span bridges all over the world. In order to study the influence of modifications of aerodynamic configuration and accessory components on flutter and vortex-induced vibration （VIV）, more than 60 cases were tested through a 1：50 scale section model. The test results indicates that the aerodynamic configuration and accessory components of streamline box girders can signifi- cantly affect the wind-induced vibration of bridge, which is in good agreement with the experience of past researchers. From the tests carried out, it is observed that if the horizontal angle of the inclined web of the streamline box girder is below 16°, the critical flutter wind speed of bridge will increase remarkably, and the VIV will diminish. The test results also show that the 15° inclined web can restrain the formation of vortex near the tail, and consequently improve the performance of aerodynamic stability of long-span bridges. Finally, a new streamline box girder with 15° inclined web was presented and strongly recommended in the aerodynamic configuration design of long-span bridges.展开更多
开发有效的风机电磁暂态模型是进行海上风电并网研究的基础。根据不同生产厂家所提供的直驱风机模型,提出了一种基于厂家黑盒模型的直驱风机电磁暂态建模方法。利用厂家所提供的模型测试数据解析风机的故障响应特性,推导了不同厂家在电...开发有效的风机电磁暂态模型是进行海上风电并网研究的基础。根据不同生产厂家所提供的直驱风机模型,提出了一种基于厂家黑盒模型的直驱风机电磁暂态建模方法。利用厂家所提供的模型测试数据解析风机的故障响应特性,推导了不同厂家在电压故障下有功和无功功率响应表达式,包括故障期间的穿越控制过程及不同过程间的暂态切换策略。提出了加权平均压降的风电场等值方法,采用自主研发的全电磁暂态仿真软件(power system model,PSModel)对我国广东某海上风电场进行全电磁暂态建模。根据稳态潮流及暂态特性结果验证了模型可通过系统测试,且有效实现了海上风电场的全电磁暂态建模,从而为该风场接入大电网后的安全稳定分析提供了研究基础。展开更多
文摘风电场准确的风速预测可以减轻或避免风电对电网的不利影响,有利于在开放的电力市场环境下正确制定电能交换计划,提高风电竞争力。基于风速序列的时序性,使用极大似然法对风速序列进行了Box-Cox最优变换,建立了ARMA(p,q)风速预测模型。为检验时间序列模型的有效性,利用最小信息准则中的BIC(Bayesian Information Criterion)函数对ARMA(p,q)模型进行识别,并通过风速频率曲线对预测结果进行了修正。仿真结果和算例验证了该方法在风电场风速预测中的适用性,具有一定的实用价值。
文摘Streamline box girders are widely applied in the design and construction of long-span bridges all over the world. In order to study the influence of modifications of aerodynamic configuration and accessory components on flutter and vortex-induced vibration （VIV）, more than 60 cases were tested through a 1：50 scale section model. The test results indicates that the aerodynamic configuration and accessory components of streamline box girders can signifi- cantly affect the wind-induced vibration of bridge, which is in good agreement with the experience of past researchers. From the tests carried out, it is observed that if the horizontal angle of the inclined web of the streamline box girder is below 16°, the critical flutter wind speed of bridge will increase remarkably, and the VIV will diminish. The test results also show that the 15° inclined web can restrain the formation of vortex near the tail, and consequently improve the performance of aerodynamic stability of long-span bridges. Finally, a new streamline box girder with 15° inclined web was presented and strongly recommended in the aerodynamic configuration design of long-span bridges.
文摘开发有效的风机电磁暂态模型是进行海上风电并网研究的基础。根据不同生产厂家所提供的直驱风机模型,提出了一种基于厂家黑盒模型的直驱风机电磁暂态建模方法。利用厂家所提供的模型测试数据解析风机的故障响应特性,推导了不同厂家在电压故障下有功和无功功率响应表达式,包括故障期间的穿越控制过程及不同过程间的暂态切换策略。提出了加权平均压降的风电场等值方法,采用自主研发的全电磁暂态仿真软件(power system model,PSModel)对我国广东某海上风电场进行全电磁暂态建模。根据稳态潮流及暂态特性结果验证了模型可通过系统测试,且有效实现了海上风电场的全电磁暂态建模,从而为该风场接入大电网后的安全稳定分析提供了研究基础。
