In contrast to most existing works on robust unit commitment(UC),this study proposes a novel big-M-based mixed-integer linear programming(MILP)method to solve security-constrained UC problems considering the allowable...In contrast to most existing works on robust unit commitment(UC),this study proposes a novel big-M-based mixed-integer linear programming(MILP)method to solve security-constrained UC problems considering the allowable wind power output interval and its adjustable conservativeness.The wind power accommodation capability is usually limited by spinning reserve requirements and transmission line capacity in power systems with large-scale wind power integration.Therefore,by employing the big-M method and adding auxiliary 0-1 binary variables to describe the allowable wind power output interval,a bilinear programming problem meeting the security constraints of system operation is presented.Furthermore,an adjustable confidence level was introduced into the proposed robust optimization model to decrease the level of conservatism of the robust solutions.This can establish a trade-off between economy and security.To develop an MILP problem that can be solved by commercial solvers such as CPLEX,the big-M method is utilized again to represent the bilinear formulation as a series of linear inequality constraints and approximately address the nonlinear formulation caused by the adjustable conservativeness.Simulation studies on a modified IEEE 26-generator reliability test system connected to wind farms were performed to confirm the effectiveness and advantages of the proposed method.展开更多
The energy loss of the power grid is one of the key factors affecting the economic operation of power systems. How to calculate the electric energy consumption accurately will have a great influence on the planning, o...The energy loss of the power grid is one of the key factors affecting the economic operation of power systems. How to calculate the electric energy consumption accurately will have a great influence on the planning, operation and management of the power grid. Currently there is a mountain of theoretical methods to calculate the line loss of the power system. However, these methods have some limitation, such as less considering the volatility of wind power resources. This paper presents an improved method to calculate the energy loss of wind power generation, considering the fluctuations of wind power generation. First, data are collected to obtain the curve of the typical daily expected output of wind farms for one month. Second, the curve of the typical daily expected output are corrected by the average electricity and the shape factor to obtain the curve of the typical daily equivalent output of wind farms for one month. Finally, the power flow is calculated by using typical daily equivalent output curve to describe the energy loss for one month. The results in the 110 kV main network show that the method is feasible.展开更多
为实现风电出力时间序列的高性能模拟,文中提出了一种基于SAGA-KM(simulated annealing and genetic algorithms-K-means)算法实现典型风电场景分类和基于Copula函数进行风电日过程马尔可夫过程建模的风电模拟方法。SAGA-KM算法将传统K...为实现风电出力时间序列的高性能模拟,文中提出了一种基于SAGA-KM(simulated annealing and genetic algorithms-K-means)算法实现典型风电场景分类和基于Copula函数进行风电日过程马尔可夫过程建模的风电模拟方法。SAGA-KM算法将传统KM算法与遗传算法和退火算法相结合,能显著提高风电场景分类效果;基于Copula函数建立的马尔可夫链精细概率模型,以去粗粒化方式实现马尔可夫过程蒙特卡洛模拟,克服了粗粒化引起的概率分布偏差。针对甘肃省某风电场数据进行实际模拟,结果表明文中方法生成模拟序列的统计分布特性、自相关函数特性和日均功率的分布特性与实测数据都非常接近,该方法能很好地保留风电序列的概率分布特性和随时间变化的波动特性,具有重要的工程实用价值。展开更多
Due to the low dispatchability of wind power,the massive integration of this energy source in power systems requires short-term and very short-term wind power output forecasting models to be as efficient and stable as...Due to the low dispatchability of wind power,the massive integration of this energy source in power systems requires short-term and very short-term wind power output forecasting models to be as efficient and stable as possible.A study is conducted in the present paper of potential improvements to the performance of artificial neural network(ANN)models in terms of efficiency and stability.Generally,current ANN models have been developed by considering exclusively the meteorological information of the wind farm reference station,in addition to selecting a fixed number of time periods prior to the forecasting.In this respect,new ANN models are proposed in this paper,which are developed by:varying the number of prior 1-h periods(periods prior to the forecasting hour)chosen for the input layer parameters;and/or incorporating in the input layer data from a second weather station in addition to the wind farm reference station.It has been found that the model performance is always improved when data from a second weather station are incorporated.The mean absolute relative error(MARE)of the new models is reduced by up to 7.5%.Furthermore,the longer the forecasting horizon,the greater the degree of improvement.展开更多
基金State Grid Jiangsu Electric Power Co.,Ltd(JF2020001)National Key Technology R&D Program of China(2017YFB0903300)State Grid Corporation of China(521OEF17001C).
文摘In contrast to most existing works on robust unit commitment(UC),this study proposes a novel big-M-based mixed-integer linear programming(MILP)method to solve security-constrained UC problems considering the allowable wind power output interval and its adjustable conservativeness.The wind power accommodation capability is usually limited by spinning reserve requirements and transmission line capacity in power systems with large-scale wind power integration.Therefore,by employing the big-M method and adding auxiliary 0-1 binary variables to describe the allowable wind power output interval,a bilinear programming problem meeting the security constraints of system operation is presented.Furthermore,an adjustable confidence level was introduced into the proposed robust optimization model to decrease the level of conservatism of the robust solutions.This can establish a trade-off between economy and security.To develop an MILP problem that can be solved by commercial solvers such as CPLEX,the big-M method is utilized again to represent the bilinear formulation as a series of linear inequality constraints and approximately address the nonlinear formulation caused by the adjustable conservativeness.Simulation studies on a modified IEEE 26-generator reliability test system connected to wind farms were performed to confirm the effectiveness and advantages of the proposed method.
文摘The energy loss of the power grid is one of the key factors affecting the economic operation of power systems. How to calculate the electric energy consumption accurately will have a great influence on the planning, operation and management of the power grid. Currently there is a mountain of theoretical methods to calculate the line loss of the power system. However, these methods have some limitation, such as less considering the volatility of wind power resources. This paper presents an improved method to calculate the energy loss of wind power generation, considering the fluctuations of wind power generation. First, data are collected to obtain the curve of the typical daily expected output of wind farms for one month. Second, the curve of the typical daily expected output are corrected by the average electricity and the shape factor to obtain the curve of the typical daily equivalent output of wind farms for one month. Finally, the power flow is calculated by using typical daily equivalent output curve to describe the energy loss for one month. The results in the 110 kV main network show that the method is feasible.
文摘为实现风电出力时间序列的高性能模拟,文中提出了一种基于SAGA-KM(simulated annealing and genetic algorithms-K-means)算法实现典型风电场景分类和基于Copula函数进行风电日过程马尔可夫过程建模的风电模拟方法。SAGA-KM算法将传统KM算法与遗传算法和退火算法相结合,能显著提高风电场景分类效果;基于Copula函数建立的马尔可夫链精细概率模型,以去粗粒化方式实现马尔可夫过程蒙特卡洛模拟,克服了粗粒化引起的概率分布偏差。针对甘肃省某风电场数据进行实际模拟,结果表明文中方法生成模拟序列的统计分布特性、自相关函数特性和日均功率的分布特性与实测数据都非常接近,该方法能很好地保留风电序列的概率分布特性和随时间变化的波动特性,具有重要的工程实用价值。
基金co-funded with ERDF fundsthe INTERREG MAC 2014-2020 programme,within the ENERMAC project(No.MAC/1.1a/117)。
文摘Due to the low dispatchability of wind power,the massive integration of this energy source in power systems requires short-term and very short-term wind power output forecasting models to be as efficient and stable as possible.A study is conducted in the present paper of potential improvements to the performance of artificial neural network(ANN)models in terms of efficiency and stability.Generally,current ANN models have been developed by considering exclusively the meteorological information of the wind farm reference station,in addition to selecting a fixed number of time periods prior to the forecasting.In this respect,new ANN models are proposed in this paper,which are developed by:varying the number of prior 1-h periods(periods prior to the forecasting hour)chosen for the input layer parameters;and/or incorporating in the input layer data from a second weather station in addition to the wind farm reference station.It has been found that the model performance is always improved when data from a second weather station are incorporated.The mean absolute relative error(MARE)of the new models is reduced by up to 7.5%.Furthermore,the longer the forecasting horizon,the greater the degree of improvement.
