In integrated circuits, the defects associated with photolithography are assumed to be in the shape of circular discs in order to perform the estimation of yield and fault analysis. However,real defects exhibit a grea...In integrated circuits, the defects associated with photolithography are assumed to be in the shape of circular discs in order to perform the estimation of yield and fault analysis. However,real defects exhibit a great variety of shapes. In this paper,a novel yield model is presented and the critical area model of short circuit is correspondingly provided. In comparison with the circular model corrently available, the new model takes the similarity shape to an original defect, the two-dimensional distributional characteristic of defects, the feature of a layout routing and the character of yield estimation into account. As for the aspect of prediction of yield, the experimental results show that the new model may predict the yield caused by real defects more accurately than the circular model does. It is significant that the yield is accurately estimated and improved using the proposed model.展开更多
Growth and yield models were developed for individual tress and stands based on 336 temporary plots with 405 stem analysis trees of dahurian larch ( Larix gmelinii( Rupr. )Rupr.) plantations throughout Daxing'anli...Growth and yield models were developed for individual tress and stands based on 336 temporary plots with 405 stem analysis trees of dahurian larch ( Larix gmelinii( Rupr. )Rupr.) plantations throughout Daxing'anling mountains. Several equations were selected using nonlinear regression analysis. Results showed that the Richards equation was the best model for estimating tree height, stand mean height and stand dominant height from age; The Power equation was the best model for prediction tree volume from DBH and tree height; The logarithmic stand volume equation was good for predicting stand volume from age, mean height, basal area and other stand variables. These models can be used to construct the volume table, the site index table and other forestry tables for dahurian larch plantations.展开更多
Next to excessive nutrient loading,intensive aquaculture is one of the major anthropogenic impacts threatening lake ecosystems.In China,particularly in the shallow lakes of mid-lower Changjiang(Yangtze) River,continuo...Next to excessive nutrient loading,intensive aquaculture is one of the major anthropogenic impacts threatening lake ecosystems.In China,particularly in the shallow lakes of mid-lower Changjiang(Yangtze) River,continuous overstocking of the Chinese mitten crab(Eriocheir sinensis) could deteriorate water quality and exhaust natural resources.A series of crab yield models and a general optimum-stocking rate model have been established,which seek to benefit both crab culture and the environment.In this research,independent investigations were carried out to evaluate the crab yield models and modify the optimum-stocking model.Low percentage errors(average 47%,median 36%) between observed and calculated crab yields were obtained.Specific values were defined for adult crab body mass(135 g/ind.) and recapture rate(18%and 30%in lakes with submerged macrophyte biomass above and below 1 000 g/m^2)to modify the optimum-stocking model.Analysis based on the modified optimum-stocking model indicated that the actual stocking rates in most lakes were much higher than the calculated optimum-stocking rates.This implies that,for most lakes,the current stocking rates should be greatly reduced to maintain healthy lake ecosystems.展开更多
Weather models are essential tools for checking of the effect of the weather elements in terms of their effect on the production of the crop. This research is an attempt to see the effect of only two variables i.e., t...Weather models are essential tools for checking of the effect of the weather elements in terms of their effect on the production of the crop. This research is an attempt to see the effect of only two variables i.e., temperature and rainfall for the division Faisalabad (semitropical region of Pakistan).The model fitted is of the linear form:the values of a,b, c have been found. The expected yield has been calculated by using the aridity indices (X1 and X2 ) and the result in the form of coefficient of determination R2 has been found equal to 0.166. The significance of the regression coefficient has been tested, which shows that the contribution to the yield from aridity index at germination and that at ripening is significant.The wheat yields are the results of a wide variety of variables, most of which show varying degree of relationship with one another, some positive and some negative in terms of output. These variables may be technology, fertilizers, pesticides, epidemics, kinds of seeds used, market price of crop and the area under cultivation etc, which can be the source of variation in the wheat yield. Since rainfall during germination and temperature at the ripening periods are the necessary factors for the yield of wheat, for this purpose these parameters have been studied in order to their contribution.展开更多
Several equations were selected using nonlinear regression analysis for setting up growth and yield modehe of Dahurian larch (Laris gmelinii Rupr.) plantations. Data of 405 stem analysis trees were collected from 336 ...Several equations were selected using nonlinear regression analysis for setting up growth and yield modehe of Dahurian larch (Laris gmelinii Rupr.) plantations. Data of 405 stem analysis trees were collected from 336 temporary plots throughout the Daxing’an Mountains. Results showed that the Richards equation was the best model for estimating tree height, stand mean height and stand dominant height by age, the Power equation was the fdiest model for predicting tree volume by DBH and tree height, and the Logarithmic stand vofume equation was good for predicting stand volume from age, mean height. basal area and other stand variables. These models can be used to construct volume tabIes, site index table and other forestry tables for Dahurian ghantations.展开更多
Application of optimization techniques for determining the optimal operation policy for reservoir is a major area in water resources planning and management. Linear programming, ruled by evolution techniques, has beco...Application of optimization techniques for determining the optimal operation policy for reservoir is a major area in water resources planning and management. Linear programming, ruled by evolution techniques, has become popular for solving optimization problems in diversified fields of science. An LP-based yield model (YM) has been used to reevaluate the annual yield available from the reservoirs for irrigation. This paper extends the basic yield model and presents a yield model for a multiple-reservoir system consisting of single-purpose reservoirs. Optimum yield of reservoirs system is calculated by yield model. The objective is to achieve prespecified reliability for irrigation and to incorporate an allowable deficit in the annual irrigation target. The yield model is applied to a system of two reservoirs in theManarRiverinIndia. This model can act as a better screening tool in planning by providing outputs that can be very useful in improving the efficiency and accuracy of detailed analysis methods such as simulation.展开更多
The failure years for a desired annual reliability of a water use were prespecified in the yield model. These failure years were identified prior to the solution of the model by observing the critical period in the gi...The failure years for a desired annual reliability of a water use were prespecified in the yield model. These failure years were identified prior to the solution of the model by observing the critical period in the given annual flow record. Some initial trials of the yield model were usually sufficient to identify the failure years. Simulation can be employed for exact identification of these failure years. A method for determination of failure years through the yield model is presented in this paper, as an alternative to simulation. The yield model employing this method is useful when the reliability of water use is to be considered as a decision variable. The method for determination of failure years by yield model is adopted for further analysis and compare with the simulation model, one of the failure year is not matching with the common set of failure years in the simulation model.展开更多
Climate variability as occasioned by conditions such as extreme rainfall and temperature, rainfall cessation, and irregular temperatures has considerable impact on crop yield and food security. This study develops a p...Climate variability as occasioned by conditions such as extreme rainfall and temperature, rainfall cessation, and irregular temperatures has considerable impact on crop yield and food security. This study develops a predictive model for cassava yield (Manihot esculenta Crantz) amidst climate variability in rainfed zone of Enugu State, Nigeria. This study utilized data of climate variables and tonnage of cassava yield spanning from 1971 to 2012;as well as information from a questionnaire and focus group discussion from farmers across two seasons in 2023 respectively. Regression analysis was employed to develop the predictive model equation for seasonal climate variability and cassava yield. The rainfall and temperature anomalies, decadal change in trend of cassava yield and opinion of farmers on changes in rainfall season were also computed in the study. The result shows the following relationship between cassava and all the climatic variables: R2 = 0.939;P = 0.00514;Cassava and key climatic variables: R2 = 0.560;P = 0.007. The result implies that seasonal rainfall, temperature, relative humidity, sunshine hours and radiation parameters are key climatic variables in cassava production. This is supported by computed rainfall and temperature anomalies which range from −478.5 to 517.8 mm as well as −1.2˚C to 2.3˚C over the years. The questionnaire and focus group identified that farmers experienced at one time or another, late onset of rain, early onset of rain or rainfall cessation over the years. The farmers are not particularly sure of rainfall and temperature characteristics at any point in time. The implication of the result of this study is that rainfall and temperature parameters determine the farming season and quantity of productivity. Hence, there is urgent need to address the situation through effective and quality weather forecasting network which will help stem food insecurity in the study area and Nigeria at large. The study made recommendations such as a comprehensive early warning system on climate variability incidence which can be communicated to local farmers by agro-meteorological extension officers, research on crops that can grow with little or no rain, planning irrigation scheme, and improving tree planting culture in the study area.展开更多
The establishment of crop yield estimating model based on microwave and optical satellite images can conduct the mutual verification of the accuracy of the reported crop yield and the precision of the estimating model...The establishment of crop yield estimating model based on microwave and optical satellite images can conduct the mutual verification of the accuracy of the reported crop yield and the precision of the estimating model. With Shou County and Huaiyuan County of Anhui Province as the experimental fields of winter wheat producing areas, the linear winter wheat yield estimating models were established by adopting backscattering coefficient and Normalized Difference Vegetation Index(NDVI) based on images from the synthetic aperture radar(SAR)—RDARSAT-2 and HJ satellite photographed in mid-April and early May, 2014, and then comparisons were conducted on the accuracy of the yield estimating models. The accuracies of the yield estimating models established using co-polarized(HH) and cross-polarized(HV) modes of SAR in Jiangou Town, Shou County were 68.37% and 74.01%, respectively, while the accuracies in Longkang Town, Huaiyuan County were 63.10%and 69.10%, respectively. Accuracies of yield estimating models established by HJ satellite data were 69.52% and 66.43% in Shou County and Huaiyuan County, respectively. Accuracies of winter yield estimating model based on HJ satellite data and that based on SAR were closed, and the yield difference of winter wheat in the lodging region was analyzed in detail. The model results laid the foundation and accumulated experience for the verification, parameters correction and promotion of the winter wheat yield estimating model.展开更多
In existing integrated circuit (IC) fabrication methods,the yield is typically limited by defects generated in the manufacturing process.In fact,the yield often shows a good correlation with the type and density of th...In existing integrated circuit (IC) fabrication methods,the yield is typically limited by defects generated in the manufacturing process.In fact,the yield often shows a good correlation with the type and density of the defect.As a result,an accurate defect limited yield model is essential for accurate correlation analysis and yield prediction.Since real defects exhibit a great variety of shapes,to ensure the accuracy of yield prediction,it is necessary to select the most appropriate defect model and to extract the critical area based on the defect model.Considering the realistic outline of scratches introduced by the chemical mechanical polishing (CMP) process,we propose a novel scratch-concerned yield model.A linear model is introduced to model scratches.Based on the linear model,the related critical area extraction algorithm and defect density distribution are discussed.Owing to higher correspondence with the realistic outline of scratches,the linear defect model enables a more accurate yield prediction caused by scratches and results in a more accurate total product yield prediction as compared to the traditional circular model.展开更多
The economy of most rural locations in the semi-arid region of Llano Estacado in the southern United States is predominantly based on agriculture, primarily beef and wheat (Triticum aestivum L.) production. This regio...The economy of most rural locations in the semi-arid region of Llano Estacado in the southern United States is predominantly based on agriculture, primarily beef and wheat (Triticum aestivum L.) production. This region is prone to drought and is projected to experience a drier climate. Droughts that coincide with the critical phenological phases of a crop can be remarkably costly. Although drought cannot be prevented, its losses can be minimized through mitigation measures if it is predicted in advance. Predicting yield loss from an imminent drought is an important need of stakeholders. One way to fulfill this need is using an agricultural drought index, such as the Agricultural Reference Index for Drought (ARID). Being plant physiology-based, ARID can represent drought-yield relationships accurately. This study developed an ARID-based yield model for predicting the drought-induced yield loss for winter wheat in this region by accounting for its phenological phase-specific sensitivity to water stress. The reasonable values of the drought sensitivity coefficients of the yield model indicated that it could reflect the phenomenon of water stress decreasing the winter wheat yields in this region reasonably. The values of the various metrics used to evaluate the model, including Willmott Index (0.86), Nash-Sutcliffe Index (0.61), and percentage error (26), indicated that the yield model performed fairly well at predicting the drought-induced yield loss for winter wheat. The yield model may be useful for predicting the drought-induced yield loss for winter wheat in the study region and scheduling irrigation allocation based on phenological phase-specific drought sensitivity.展开更多
Physical defects have always played an important role in integrated circuit(IC)yields,and the design sensitivity to these physical elements has continued to increase in today’s nanometer technologies.The modeling of ...Physical defects have always played an important role in integrated circuit(IC)yields,and the design sensitivity to these physical elements has continued to increase in today’s nanometer technologies.The modeling of defect out-lines that exhibit a great variety of defect shapes is usually modeled as a circle,which causes the errors of critical area estimation.Since the outlines of 70%defects approximate to elliptical shapes,a novel yield model associated with elliptical outlines of defects is presented.This model is more general than the circular defects model as the latter is only an instance of the proposed model.Comparisons of the new and circular models in the experiment show that the new model can predict yield caused by real defects more accurately than what the circular model does,which is of significance for the prediction and improvement of the yield.展开更多
Fluvial sediment transport data is a very important data for effective water resource management.However,acquiring this data is expensive and tedious hence sediment yield modeling has become an alternative approach in...Fluvial sediment transport data is a very important data for effective water resource management.However,acquiring this data is expensive and tedious hence sediment yield modeling has become an alternative approach in estimating river sediment yields.In Ghana,several sediment yield predicting models have been developed to estimate the sediment yields of ungauged rivers including the Pra River Basin.In this paper,10 months sediment yield data of the Pra River Basin was used to evaluate the existing sediment yield predicting models of Ghana.A regression analysis between predicted sediment yield data derived from the models and the observed suspended sediment yields of the Pra Basin was done to determine the extent of estimation of observed sediment yields.The prediction of suspended sediment yield was done for 4 out of 5 existing sediment yield predicting models in Ghana.There were variations in sediment yield between observed and predicted suspended sediments.All predicted sediment yields were lower than observed data except for equation 3 where the results were mixed.All models were found to be good estimators of fluvial sediments with the best model being equation 4.Sediment yield tends to increase with drainage basin area.展开更多
Wheat (Triticum aestivum L.) production is a major economic activity in most regional and rural areas in the Southern Plains, a semi-arid region of the United States. This region is vulnerable to drought and is projec...Wheat (Triticum aestivum L.) production is a major economic activity in most regional and rural areas in the Southern Plains, a semi-arid region of the United States. This region is vulnerable to drought and is projected to experience a drier climate in the future. Since the interannual variability in climate in this region is linked to an ocean-atmospheric phenomenon, called El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), droughts in this region may be associated with ENSO. Droughts that occur during the critical growth phases of wheat can be extremely costly. However, the losses due to an impending drought can be minimized through mitigation measures if it is predicted in advance. Predicting the yield loss from an imminent drought is crucial for stakeholders. One of the reliable ways for such prediction is using a plant physiology-based agricultural drought index, such as Agricultural Reference Index for Drought (ARID). This study developed ENSO phase-specific, ARID-based models for predicting the drought-induced yield loss for winter wheat in this region by accounting for its phenological phase-specific sensitivity to drought. The reasonable values of the drought sensitivity coefficients of the yield model for each ENSO phase (El Niño, La Niña, or Neutral) indicated that the yield models reflected reasonably well the phenomena of water stress decreasing the winter wheat yields in this region during different ENSO phases. The values of various goodness-of-fit measures used, including the Nash-Sutcliffe Index (0.54 to 0.67), the Willmott Index (0.82 to 0.89), and the percentage error (20 to 26), indicated that the yield models performed fairly well at predicting the ENSO phase-specific loss of wheat yields from drought. This yield model may be useful for predicting yield loss from drought and scheduling irrigation allocation based on the phenological phase-specific sensitivity to drought as impacted by ENSO.展开更多
From 1997 to 2000, four field surveys were conducted in the East China Sea (ECS) (23°30'-33°00'N, 118°30'-128°00'E). A field data yield density model was used to determine the optimal salin...From 1997 to 2000, four field surveys were conducted in the East China Sea (ECS) (23°30'-33°00'N, 118°30'-128°00'E). A field data yield density model was used to determine the optimal salinities for 19 dominant copepod species to establish the relationship between surface salinities and abundance of those species. In addition, ecological groups of the copepods were classified based on optimal salinity and geographical distribution. The results indicate that the yield density model is suitable for determining the relationship between salinity and abundance. Cosmocalanus darwini, Euchaeta rimana, Pleuromamma gracilis, Rhincalanus cornutus, Scolecithrix danae and Pareucalanus attenuatus were determined as oceanic species, with optimal salinities of 〉34.0. They were stenohaline and mainly distributed in waters influenced by the Kuroshio or Taiwan warm current. Temora discaudata, T. stylifera and Canthocalanus pauper were nearshore species with optimal salinities of 〈33.0 and most abundant in coastal waters. The remaining 10 species, including Undinula vulgaris and Subeucalanus suberassus, were offshore species, with optimal salinity ranging from 33.0-34.0. They were widely distributed in nearshore, offshore and oceanic waters but mainly in the mixed water of the ECS.展开更多
Delayed coking is an important process consumption and light oil yield are important factors used to convert heavy oils to light products. Energy for evaluating the delayed coking process. This paper analyzes the ener...Delayed coking is an important process consumption and light oil yield are important factors used to convert heavy oils to light products. Energy for evaluating the delayed coking process. This paper analyzes the energy consumption and product yields of delayed coking units in China. The average energy consumption shows a decreasing trend in recent years. The energy consumption of different refineries varies greatly, with the average value of the highest energy consumption approximately twice that of the lowest energy consumption. The factors affecting both energy consumption and product yields were analyzed, and correlation models of energy consumption and product yields were established using a quadratic polynomial. The model coefficients were calculated through least square regression of collected industrial data of delayed coking units. Both models showed good calculation accuracy. The average absolute error of the energy consumption model was approximately 85 MJ/t, and that of the product yield model ranged from 1 wt% to 2.3 wt%. The model prediction showed that a large annual processing capacity and high load rate will result in a reduction in energy consumption.展开更多
Rice(Oryza sativa L.) is one of the most important staple crops in China. Increasing atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations and associated climate change may greatly affect rice production. We assessed the potentia...Rice(Oryza sativa L.) is one of the most important staple crops in China. Increasing atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations and associated climate change may greatly affect rice production. We assessed the potential impacts of climate change on cold rice production in the Heilongjiang province, one of China's most important rice production regions. Data for a baseline period(1961–1990) and the period 2010–2050 in A2 and B2 scenarios were used as input to drive the rice model ORYZA2000 with and without accounting for the effects of increasing atmospheric CO2 concentration. The results indicate that mean,maximum, and minimum temperature during the rice growing season, in the future period considered, would increase by 1.8 °C under the A2 scenario and by 2.2 °C under the B2 scenario compared with those in the baseline. The rate of change in average maximum and minimum temperatures would increase by 0.6 °C per 10-year period under the A2 scenario and by 0.4 °C per 10-year period under the B2 scenario. Precipitation would increase slightly in the rice growing season over the next 40 years. The rice growing season would be shortened and the yield would increase in most areas in the Heilongjiang province. Without accounting for CO2 effect, the rice growing season in the period 2010–2050 would be shortened by 4.7 and 5.8 days,and rice yields would increase by 11.9% and 7.9%, under the A2 and B2 scenarios, respectively.Areas with simulated rice yield increases greater than 30.0% were in the Xiaoxing'an Mountain region. The simulation indicated a decrease in yield of less than 15% in the southwestern Songnen Plain. The rate of change in simulated rice yield was 5.0% and 2.5% per 10 years under the A2 and B2 scenarios, respectively. When CO2 effect was accounted for, rice yield increased by 44.5% and 31.3% under the A2 and B2 scenarios, respectively. The areas of increasing yield were sharply expanded. The area of decreasing yield in the western region of Songnen Plains disappeared when increasing CO2 concentration was considered. The stability of rice yield would increase from 2010 to 2050. Overall, the simulation indicates that rice production will be affected positively by climate change in the next 40 years in the Heilongjiang province, China.展开更多
Both the additive and multiplicative models of crop yield and water supply are polynomial equations, and the number of parameters increases linearly when the growing period is specified. However, interactions among mu...Both the additive and multiplicative models of crop yield and water supply are polynomial equations, and the number of parameters increases linearly when the growing period is specified. However, interactions among multiple parameters occasionally lead to unreasonable estimations of certain parameters, which were water sensitivity coefficients but with negative value. Additionally, evapotranspiration must be measured as a model input. To facilitate the application of these models and overcome the aforementioned shortcomings, a simple model with only three parameters was derived in this paper based on certain general quantitative relations of crop yield (Y) and water supply (W). The new model, Y/Y-W*/(W*+w*), fits an S or a saturated curve of crop yield with the cumulative amount of water. Three parameters are related to biological factors: the yield potential (Y*), the water requirement to achieve half of the yield potential (half-yield water requirement, wh), and the water sensitivity coefficient (k). The model was validated with data from 24 maize lines obtained in the present study and 17 maize hybrids published by other authors. The results showed that the model was well fit to the data, and the normal root of the mean square error (NRMSE) values were 2.8 to 17.8% (average 7.2%) for the 24 maize lines and 2.7 to 12.7% (average 7.4%) for the 17 maize varieties. According to the present model, the maize water-sensitive stages in descending order were pollen shedding and silking, tasselling, jointing, initial grain filling, germination, middle grain filling, late grain filling, and end of grain filling. This sequence was consistent with actual observations in the maize field. The present model may be easily used to analyse the water use efficiency and drought tolerance of maize at specific stages.展开更多
Mathematical models have been widely employed for the simulation of growth dynamics of annual crops,thereby performing yield prediction,but not for fruit tree species such as jujube tree(Zizyphus jujuba).The objective...Mathematical models have been widely employed for the simulation of growth dynamics of annual crops,thereby performing yield prediction,but not for fruit tree species such as jujube tree(Zizyphus jujuba).The objectives of this study were to investigate the potential use of a modified WOFOST model for predicting jujube yield by introducing tree age as a key parameter.The model was established using data collected from dedicated field experiments performed in 2016-2018.Simulated growth dynamics of dry weights of leaves,stems,fruits,total biomass and leaf area index(LAI) agreed well with measured values,showing root mean square error(RMSE) values of 0.143,0.333,0.366,0.624 t ha^-1 and 0.19,and R2 values of 0.947,0.976,0.985,0.986 and 0.95,respectively.Simulated phenological development stages for emergence,anthesis and maturity were 2,3 and 3 days earlier than the observed values,respectively.In addition,in order to predict the yields of trees with different ages,the weight of new organs(initial buds and roots) in each growing season was introduced as the initial total dry weight(TDWI),which was calculated as averaged,fitted and optimized values of trees with the same age.The results showed the evolution of the simulated LAI and yields profiled in response to the changes in TDWI.The modelling performance was significantly improved when it considered TDWI integrated with tree age,showing good global(R2≥0.856,RMSE≤0.68 t ha^-1) and local accuracies(mean R2≥0.43,RMSE≤0.70 t ha^-1).Furthermore,the optimized TDWI exhibited the highest precision,with globally validated R2 of 0.891 and RMSE of 0.591 t ha^-1,and local mean R2 of 0.57 and RMSE of 0.66 t ha^-1,respectively.The proposed model was not only verified with the confidence to accurately predict yields of jujube,but it can also provide a fundamental strategy for simulating the growth of other fruit trees.展开更多
文摘In integrated circuits, the defects associated with photolithography are assumed to be in the shape of circular discs in order to perform the estimation of yield and fault analysis. However,real defects exhibit a great variety of shapes. In this paper,a novel yield model is presented and the critical area model of short circuit is correspondingly provided. In comparison with the circular model corrently available, the new model takes the similarity shape to an original defect, the two-dimensional distributional characteristic of defects, the feature of a layout routing and the character of yield estimation into account. As for the aspect of prediction of yield, the experimental results show that the new model may predict the yield caused by real defects more accurately than the circular model does. It is significant that the yield is accurately estimated and improved using the proposed model.
文摘Growth and yield models were developed for individual tress and stands based on 336 temporary plots with 405 stem analysis trees of dahurian larch ( Larix gmelinii( Rupr. )Rupr.) plantations throughout Daxing'anling mountains. Several equations were selected using nonlinear regression analysis. Results showed that the Richards equation was the best model for estimating tree height, stand mean height and stand dominant height from age; The Power equation was the best model for prediction tree volume from DBH and tree height; The logarithmic stand volume equation was good for predicting stand volume from age, mean height, basal area and other stand variables. These models can be used to construct the volume table, the site index table and other forestry tables for dahurian larch plantations.
基金Supported by the State Key Laboratory of Freshwater Ecology and Biotechnology(Nos.2014FB14,2011FBZ14)the Hubei Province(No.2001AA201A05)+2 种基金the National Basic Research Program of China(973Program)(No.2008CB418006)the Chinese Academy of Sciences(No.KZCX1-SW-12)supported by the Youth Innovation Association of Chinese Academy of Sciences(No.2014312)
文摘Next to excessive nutrient loading,intensive aquaculture is one of the major anthropogenic impacts threatening lake ecosystems.In China,particularly in the shallow lakes of mid-lower Changjiang(Yangtze) River,continuous overstocking of the Chinese mitten crab(Eriocheir sinensis) could deteriorate water quality and exhaust natural resources.A series of crab yield models and a general optimum-stocking rate model have been established,which seek to benefit both crab culture and the environment.In this research,independent investigations were carried out to evaluate the crab yield models and modify the optimum-stocking model.Low percentage errors(average 47%,median 36%) between observed and calculated crab yields were obtained.Specific values were defined for adult crab body mass(135 g/ind.) and recapture rate(18%and 30%in lakes with submerged macrophyte biomass above and below 1 000 g/m^2)to modify the optimum-stocking model.Analysis based on the modified optimum-stocking model indicated that the actual stocking rates in most lakes were much higher than the calculated optimum-stocking rates.This implies that,for most lakes,the current stocking rates should be greatly reduced to maintain healthy lake ecosystems.
文摘Weather models are essential tools for checking of the effect of the weather elements in terms of their effect on the production of the crop. This research is an attempt to see the effect of only two variables i.e., temperature and rainfall for the division Faisalabad (semitropical region of Pakistan).The model fitted is of the linear form:the values of a,b, c have been found. The expected yield has been calculated by using the aridity indices (X1 and X2 ) and the result in the form of coefficient of determination R2 has been found equal to 0.166. The significance of the regression coefficient has been tested, which shows that the contribution to the yield from aridity index at germination and that at ripening is significant.The wheat yields are the results of a wide variety of variables, most of which show varying degree of relationship with one another, some positive and some negative in terms of output. These variables may be technology, fertilizers, pesticides, epidemics, kinds of seeds used, market price of crop and the area under cultivation etc, which can be the source of variation in the wheat yield. Since rainfall during germination and temperature at the ripening periods are the necessary factors for the yield of wheat, for this purpose these parameters have been studied in order to their contribution.
文摘Several equations were selected using nonlinear regression analysis for setting up growth and yield modehe of Dahurian larch (Laris gmelinii Rupr.) plantations. Data of 405 stem analysis trees were collected from 336 temporary plots throughout the Daxing’an Mountains. Results showed that the Richards equation was the best model for estimating tree height, stand mean height and stand dominant height by age, the Power equation was the fdiest model for predicting tree volume by DBH and tree height, and the Logarithmic stand vofume equation was good for predicting stand volume from age, mean height. basal area and other stand variables. These models can be used to construct volume tabIes, site index table and other forestry tables for Dahurian ghantations.
文摘Application of optimization techniques for determining the optimal operation policy for reservoir is a major area in water resources planning and management. Linear programming, ruled by evolution techniques, has become popular for solving optimization problems in diversified fields of science. An LP-based yield model (YM) has been used to reevaluate the annual yield available from the reservoirs for irrigation. This paper extends the basic yield model and presents a yield model for a multiple-reservoir system consisting of single-purpose reservoirs. Optimum yield of reservoirs system is calculated by yield model. The objective is to achieve prespecified reliability for irrigation and to incorporate an allowable deficit in the annual irrigation target. The yield model is applied to a system of two reservoirs in theManarRiverinIndia. This model can act as a better screening tool in planning by providing outputs that can be very useful in improving the efficiency and accuracy of detailed analysis methods such as simulation.
文摘The failure years for a desired annual reliability of a water use were prespecified in the yield model. These failure years were identified prior to the solution of the model by observing the critical period in the given annual flow record. Some initial trials of the yield model were usually sufficient to identify the failure years. Simulation can be employed for exact identification of these failure years. A method for determination of failure years through the yield model is presented in this paper, as an alternative to simulation. The yield model employing this method is useful when the reliability of water use is to be considered as a decision variable. The method for determination of failure years by yield model is adopted for further analysis and compare with the simulation model, one of the failure year is not matching with the common set of failure years in the simulation model.
文摘Climate variability as occasioned by conditions such as extreme rainfall and temperature, rainfall cessation, and irregular temperatures has considerable impact on crop yield and food security. This study develops a predictive model for cassava yield (Manihot esculenta Crantz) amidst climate variability in rainfed zone of Enugu State, Nigeria. This study utilized data of climate variables and tonnage of cassava yield spanning from 1971 to 2012;as well as information from a questionnaire and focus group discussion from farmers across two seasons in 2023 respectively. Regression analysis was employed to develop the predictive model equation for seasonal climate variability and cassava yield. The rainfall and temperature anomalies, decadal change in trend of cassava yield and opinion of farmers on changes in rainfall season were also computed in the study. The result shows the following relationship between cassava and all the climatic variables: R2 = 0.939;P = 0.00514;Cassava and key climatic variables: R2 = 0.560;P = 0.007. The result implies that seasonal rainfall, temperature, relative humidity, sunshine hours and radiation parameters are key climatic variables in cassava production. This is supported by computed rainfall and temperature anomalies which range from −478.5 to 517.8 mm as well as −1.2˚C to 2.3˚C over the years. The questionnaire and focus group identified that farmers experienced at one time or another, late onset of rain, early onset of rain or rainfall cessation over the years. The farmers are not particularly sure of rainfall and temperature characteristics at any point in time. The implication of the result of this study is that rainfall and temperature parameters determine the farming season and quantity of productivity. Hence, there is urgent need to address the situation through effective and quality weather forecasting network which will help stem food insecurity in the study area and Nigeria at large. The study made recommendations such as a comprehensive early warning system on climate variability incidence which can be communicated to local farmers by agro-meteorological extension officers, research on crops that can grow with little or no rain, planning irrigation scheme, and improving tree planting culture in the study area.
基金co-supported by the Guangdong Major Project of Basic and Applied Basic Research [grant number 2021B0301030007]the National Key Research and Development Program of China [grant number 2017YFA0604302]+1 种基金the National Natural Science Foundation of China [grant number 41875137]the National Key Scientific and Technological Infrastructure project"Earth System Science Numerical Simulator Facility"(EarthLab)
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(41205126)the Discipline Construction and Macroscopic Agricultural Research Project of Anhui Academy of Agricultural Sciences(13A1424)+2 种基金the Fund for Youth Innovation of Anhui Academy of Agricultural Sciences(14B1460)the Innovative Research Team for Agricultural Disaster Risk Analysis in Anhui ProvinceAnhui Academy of Agricultural Sciences(14C1409)~~
文摘The establishment of crop yield estimating model based on microwave and optical satellite images can conduct the mutual verification of the accuracy of the reported crop yield and the precision of the estimating model. With Shou County and Huaiyuan County of Anhui Province as the experimental fields of winter wheat producing areas, the linear winter wheat yield estimating models were established by adopting backscattering coefficient and Normalized Difference Vegetation Index(NDVI) based on images from the synthetic aperture radar(SAR)—RDARSAT-2 and HJ satellite photographed in mid-April and early May, 2014, and then comparisons were conducted on the accuracy of the yield estimating models. The accuracies of the yield estimating models established using co-polarized(HH) and cross-polarized(HV) modes of SAR in Jiangou Town, Shou County were 68.37% and 74.01%, respectively, while the accuracies in Longkang Town, Huaiyuan County were 63.10%and 69.10%, respectively. Accuracies of yield estimating models established by HJ satellite data were 69.52% and 66.43% in Shou County and Huaiyuan County, respectively. Accuracies of winter yield estimating model based on HJ satellite data and that based on SAR were closed, and the yield difference of winter wheat in the lodging region was analyzed in detail. The model results laid the foundation and accumulated experience for the verification, parameters correction and promotion of the winter wheat yield estimating model.
文摘In existing integrated circuit (IC) fabrication methods,the yield is typically limited by defects generated in the manufacturing process.In fact,the yield often shows a good correlation with the type and density of the defect.As a result,an accurate defect limited yield model is essential for accurate correlation analysis and yield prediction.Since real defects exhibit a great variety of shapes,to ensure the accuracy of yield prediction,it is necessary to select the most appropriate defect model and to extract the critical area based on the defect model.Considering the realistic outline of scratches introduced by the chemical mechanical polishing (CMP) process,we propose a novel scratch-concerned yield model.A linear model is introduced to model scratches.Based on the linear model,the related critical area extraction algorithm and defect density distribution are discussed.Owing to higher correspondence with the realistic outline of scratches,the linear defect model enables a more accurate yield prediction caused by scratches and results in a more accurate total product yield prediction as compared to the traditional circular model.
文摘The economy of most rural locations in the semi-arid region of Llano Estacado in the southern United States is predominantly based on agriculture, primarily beef and wheat (Triticum aestivum L.) production. This region is prone to drought and is projected to experience a drier climate. Droughts that coincide with the critical phenological phases of a crop can be remarkably costly. Although drought cannot be prevented, its losses can be minimized through mitigation measures if it is predicted in advance. Predicting yield loss from an imminent drought is an important need of stakeholders. One way to fulfill this need is using an agricultural drought index, such as the Agricultural Reference Index for Drought (ARID). Being plant physiology-based, ARID can represent drought-yield relationships accurately. This study developed an ARID-based yield model for predicting the drought-induced yield loss for winter wheat in this region by accounting for its phenological phase-specific sensitivity to water stress. The reasonable values of the drought sensitivity coefficients of the yield model indicated that it could reflect the phenomenon of water stress decreasing the winter wheat yields in this region reasonably. The values of the various metrics used to evaluate the model, including Willmott Index (0.86), Nash-Sutcliffe Index (0.61), and percentage error (26), indicated that the yield model performed fairly well at predicting the drought-induced yield loss for winter wheat. The yield model may be useful for predicting the drought-induced yield loss for winter wheat in the study region and scheduling irrigation allocation based on phenological phase-specific drought sensitivity.
基金supported by the Hi-Tech Research and Development Program of China(No.2003AA1Z2163).
文摘Physical defects have always played an important role in integrated circuit(IC)yields,and the design sensitivity to these physical elements has continued to increase in today’s nanometer technologies.The modeling of defect out-lines that exhibit a great variety of defect shapes is usually modeled as a circle,which causes the errors of critical area estimation.Since the outlines of 70%defects approximate to elliptical shapes,a novel yield model associated with elliptical outlines of defects is presented.This model is more general than the circular defects model as the latter is only an instance of the proposed model.Comparisons of the new and circular models in the experiment show that the new model can predict yield caused by real defects more accurately than what the circular model does,which is of significance for the prediction and improvement of the yield.
文摘Fluvial sediment transport data is a very important data for effective water resource management.However,acquiring this data is expensive and tedious hence sediment yield modeling has become an alternative approach in estimating river sediment yields.In Ghana,several sediment yield predicting models have been developed to estimate the sediment yields of ungauged rivers including the Pra River Basin.In this paper,10 months sediment yield data of the Pra River Basin was used to evaluate the existing sediment yield predicting models of Ghana.A regression analysis between predicted sediment yield data derived from the models and the observed suspended sediment yields of the Pra Basin was done to determine the extent of estimation of observed sediment yields.The prediction of suspended sediment yield was done for 4 out of 5 existing sediment yield predicting models in Ghana.There were variations in sediment yield between observed and predicted suspended sediments.All predicted sediment yields were lower than observed data except for equation 3 where the results were mixed.All models were found to be good estimators of fluvial sediments with the best model being equation 4.Sediment yield tends to increase with drainage basin area.
文摘Wheat (Triticum aestivum L.) production is a major economic activity in most regional and rural areas in the Southern Plains, a semi-arid region of the United States. This region is vulnerable to drought and is projected to experience a drier climate in the future. Since the interannual variability in climate in this region is linked to an ocean-atmospheric phenomenon, called El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), droughts in this region may be associated with ENSO. Droughts that occur during the critical growth phases of wheat can be extremely costly. However, the losses due to an impending drought can be minimized through mitigation measures if it is predicted in advance. Predicting the yield loss from an imminent drought is crucial for stakeholders. One of the reliable ways for such prediction is using a plant physiology-based agricultural drought index, such as Agricultural Reference Index for Drought (ARID). This study developed ENSO phase-specific, ARID-based models for predicting the drought-induced yield loss for winter wheat in this region by accounting for its phenological phase-specific sensitivity to drought. The reasonable values of the drought sensitivity coefficients of the yield model for each ENSO phase (El Niño, La Niña, or Neutral) indicated that the yield models reflected reasonably well the phenomena of water stress decreasing the winter wheat yields in this region during different ENSO phases. The values of various goodness-of-fit measures used, including the Nash-Sutcliffe Index (0.54 to 0.67), the Willmott Index (0.82 to 0.89), and the percentage error (20 to 26), indicated that the yield models performed fairly well at predicting the ENSO phase-specific loss of wheat yields from drought. This yield model may be useful for predicting yield loss from drought and scheduling irrigation allocation based on the phenological phase-specific sensitivity to drought as impacted by ENSO.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Nos. 40776047, 90511005)the National Basic Research Program of China (973 Project) (No. 2010CB428705)
文摘From 1997 to 2000, four field surveys were conducted in the East China Sea (ECS) (23°30'-33°00'N, 118°30'-128°00'E). A field data yield density model was used to determine the optimal salinities for 19 dominant copepod species to establish the relationship between surface salinities and abundance of those species. In addition, ecological groups of the copepods were classified based on optimal salinity and geographical distribution. The results indicate that the yield density model is suitable for determining the relationship between salinity and abundance. Cosmocalanus darwini, Euchaeta rimana, Pleuromamma gracilis, Rhincalanus cornutus, Scolecithrix danae and Pareucalanus attenuatus were determined as oceanic species, with optimal salinities of 〉34.0. They were stenohaline and mainly distributed in waters influenced by the Kuroshio or Taiwan warm current. Temora discaudata, T. stylifera and Canthocalanus pauper were nearshore species with optimal salinities of 〈33.0 and most abundant in coastal waters. The remaining 10 species, including Undinula vulgaris and Subeucalanus suberassus, were offshore species, with optimal salinity ranging from 33.0-34.0. They were widely distributed in nearshore, offshore and oceanic waters but mainly in the mixed water of the ECS.
文摘Delayed coking is an important process consumption and light oil yield are important factors used to convert heavy oils to light products. Energy for evaluating the delayed coking process. This paper analyzes the energy consumption and product yields of delayed coking units in China. The average energy consumption shows a decreasing trend in recent years. The energy consumption of different refineries varies greatly, with the average value of the highest energy consumption approximately twice that of the lowest energy consumption. The factors affecting both energy consumption and product yields were analyzed, and correlation models of energy consumption and product yields were established using a quadratic polynomial. The model coefficients were calculated through least square regression of collected industrial data of delayed coking units. Both models showed good calculation accuracy. The average absolute error of the energy consumption model was approximately 85 MJ/t, and that of the product yield model ranged from 1 wt% to 2.3 wt%. The model prediction showed that a large annual processing capacity and high load rate will result in a reduction in energy consumption.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (30771249)the National Key Technology R&D Program of China (2012BAD20B04)
文摘Rice(Oryza sativa L.) is one of the most important staple crops in China. Increasing atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations and associated climate change may greatly affect rice production. We assessed the potential impacts of climate change on cold rice production in the Heilongjiang province, one of China's most important rice production regions. Data for a baseline period(1961–1990) and the period 2010–2050 in A2 and B2 scenarios were used as input to drive the rice model ORYZA2000 with and without accounting for the effects of increasing atmospheric CO2 concentration. The results indicate that mean,maximum, and minimum temperature during the rice growing season, in the future period considered, would increase by 1.8 °C under the A2 scenario and by 2.2 °C under the B2 scenario compared with those in the baseline. The rate of change in average maximum and minimum temperatures would increase by 0.6 °C per 10-year period under the A2 scenario and by 0.4 °C per 10-year period under the B2 scenario. Precipitation would increase slightly in the rice growing season over the next 40 years. The rice growing season would be shortened and the yield would increase in most areas in the Heilongjiang province. Without accounting for CO2 effect, the rice growing season in the period 2010–2050 would be shortened by 4.7 and 5.8 days,and rice yields would increase by 11.9% and 7.9%, under the A2 and B2 scenarios, respectively.Areas with simulated rice yield increases greater than 30.0% were in the Xiaoxing'an Mountain region. The simulation indicated a decrease in yield of less than 15% in the southwestern Songnen Plain. The rate of change in simulated rice yield was 5.0% and 2.5% per 10 years under the A2 and B2 scenarios, respectively. When CO2 effect was accounted for, rice yield increased by 44.5% and 31.3% under the A2 and B2 scenarios, respectively. The areas of increasing yield were sharply expanded. The area of decreasing yield in the western region of Songnen Plains disappeared when increasing CO2 concentration was considered. The stability of rice yield would increase from 2010 to 2050. Overall, the simulation indicates that rice production will be affected positively by climate change in the next 40 years in the Heilongjiang province, China.
基金supported by grants provided by the National Sci-Tech Key Program of Development of Transgenic Animals and Plants,Ministry of Science and Technology,China(2014ZX08003-004)
文摘Both the additive and multiplicative models of crop yield and water supply are polynomial equations, and the number of parameters increases linearly when the growing period is specified. However, interactions among multiple parameters occasionally lead to unreasonable estimations of certain parameters, which were water sensitivity coefficients but with negative value. Additionally, evapotranspiration must be measured as a model input. To facilitate the application of these models and overcome the aforementioned shortcomings, a simple model with only three parameters was derived in this paper based on certain general quantitative relations of crop yield (Y) and water supply (W). The new model, Y/Y-W*/(W*+w*), fits an S or a saturated curve of crop yield with the cumulative amount of water. Three parameters are related to biological factors: the yield potential (Y*), the water requirement to achieve half of the yield potential (half-yield water requirement, wh), and the water sensitivity coefficient (k). The model was validated with data from 24 maize lines obtained in the present study and 17 maize hybrids published by other authors. The results showed that the model was well fit to the data, and the normal root of the mean square error (NRMSE) values were 2.8 to 17.8% (average 7.2%) for the 24 maize lines and 2.7 to 12.7% (average 7.4%) for the 17 maize varieties. According to the present model, the maize water-sensitive stages in descending order were pollen shedding and silking, tasselling, jointing, initial grain filling, germination, middle grain filling, late grain filling, and end of grain filling. This sequence was consistent with actual observations in the maize field. The present model may be easily used to analyse the water use efficiency and drought tolerance of maize at specific stages.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(41561088 and 61501314)the Science&Technology Nova Program of Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps,China(2018CB020)
文摘Mathematical models have been widely employed for the simulation of growth dynamics of annual crops,thereby performing yield prediction,but not for fruit tree species such as jujube tree(Zizyphus jujuba).The objectives of this study were to investigate the potential use of a modified WOFOST model for predicting jujube yield by introducing tree age as a key parameter.The model was established using data collected from dedicated field experiments performed in 2016-2018.Simulated growth dynamics of dry weights of leaves,stems,fruits,total biomass and leaf area index(LAI) agreed well with measured values,showing root mean square error(RMSE) values of 0.143,0.333,0.366,0.624 t ha^-1 and 0.19,and R2 values of 0.947,0.976,0.985,0.986 and 0.95,respectively.Simulated phenological development stages for emergence,anthesis and maturity were 2,3 and 3 days earlier than the observed values,respectively.In addition,in order to predict the yields of trees with different ages,the weight of new organs(initial buds and roots) in each growing season was introduced as the initial total dry weight(TDWI),which was calculated as averaged,fitted and optimized values of trees with the same age.The results showed the evolution of the simulated LAI and yields profiled in response to the changes in TDWI.The modelling performance was significantly improved when it considered TDWI integrated with tree age,showing good global(R2≥0.856,RMSE≤0.68 t ha^-1) and local accuracies(mean R2≥0.43,RMSE≤0.70 t ha^-1).Furthermore,the optimized TDWI exhibited the highest precision,with globally validated R2 of 0.891 and RMSE of 0.591 t ha^-1,and local mean R2 of 0.57 and RMSE of 0.66 t ha^-1,respectively.The proposed model was not only verified with the confidence to accurately predict yields of jujube,but it can also provide a fundamental strategy for simulating the growth of other fruit trees.