西北“水三线”生态经济体系与调控模式研究

在黄河流域生态保护和高质量发展以及新时代推进西部大开发形成新格局的战略背景下,地跨黄河流域和内流河流域的西北“水三线”,如何顺应生态本底、资源禀赋和经济社会发展水平,落实2个重大战略,因地制宜构建区域特色的生态经济体系框架及协调发展模式,是当前亟待解决的重大问题。基于已有的生态经济理论成果,遵循“绿水青山就是金山银山”发展理念和“人与自然和谐共生”的系统理念,构建西北“水三线”生态经济体系概念框架,识别体系子系统之间的相互作用关系与作用路径,基于核心理论和基础评价,提出适应西北“水三线”生态经济系的四大发展模式和四大生态经济枢纽区建设,进行生态农业建设布局与农业发展模式总结,明确生态经济枢纽区的城乡统筹发展基本路径。研究认为西北“水三线”生态经济体系概念框架可为建设西北内陆型生态经济枢纽区及其核心模式、实现区域生态-经济协调发展提供关键理论支撑。

中国西北“水三线”空间格局与水资源配置方略

水是西北地区可持续发展的生命线,中国西北地区占国土总面积35.9%,水资源约占全国水资源总量的5.7%。从水文气象、生态景观与社会经济的演变角度,面向水资源优化配置、生态环境与社会经济协调发展,探索提出西北"水三线"的划分格局,即"胡焕庸线""阳关线"和"奇策线"。"水三线"是西北水资源合理开发利用的优化配置线、西北生态文明与环境保护的特征分区线、"一带一路"建设的战略制导线和边疆长治久安、社会稳定的国家安全线。针对西北地区水资源开发利用存在的问题、面临的挑战以及西北稳定发展的地理与历史之忧,本文通过对西北调水方案的初步分析,提出了西北"水三线"建设的空间格局与水资源配置方略,即通过建设南水北调大西线这一重大的基础工程,跨越"胡焕庸线",促进中国东西部地区间适度均衡发展;跨越"阳关线",促进河西走廊社会经济发展;跨越"奇策线",增强新疆水资源及环境承载能力,建设和谐美丽、长治久安的西北边疆,形成以西北"水三线"建设为构架的水资源梯度配置格局,支撑西北地区经济社会稳定发展、生态文明建设,促进国土资源、人口分布、产业经济的空间均衡、优化布局、协调发展,为"一带一路"建设提供水资源保障。

西北“水三线”地区生态经济枢纽区基本理论与建设布局

中国西北地区长期面临资源组合不匹配、区域发展不平衡的问题,而空间区位又决定了其具备促进区域协调、沟通国际国内、调整经济结构、筑牢生态屏障的战略地位。建设具有引领作用的生态经济枢纽区,将有助于改善西北及全国的生态环境问题、提升全域生态安全水平,同时也对国家经济发展具有推动作用。本文立足中国西北“水三线”空间格局,依据国家战略定位与生态经济功能,基于对研究区人地环境、城市群与城镇发展体系、人口布局与民族构成的全面解析,解读生态经济枢纽区的基本内涵,其可归纳为生态功能区、经济枢纽区、文化融生区、深陆通道区四个方面。进一步,本文综合宏观布局、资源禀赋、生态环境、陆海统筹等视角,阐明了生态经济枢纽区建设的功能定位,构建了西北“水三线”地区极点带动、轴带支撑的总体空间布局。并提出河西、兰西、天山北坡、环塔里木盆地绿洲四大生态经济枢纽区的建设格局与发展途径,探索了生态经济枢纽区与国家战略布局的互动关系。以期助力中国新时期西部大开发形成新格局,为中国“一带一路”的“深陆”研究提供科学依据。

“藏粮于地”视角下西北地区耕地适宜性及开发潜力评价

中国耕地资源匮乏,人均耕地不足世界平均水平的40%。西北“水三线”地区是中国耕地后备资源的关键区域,识别潜在耕地资源中适宜开发的土地数量及空间分布,对确保极端情况下国家耕地红线和粮食安全、推动西部大开发进入新格局具有重大现实意义。基于多源栅格数据,采用综合指数法与极限条件法评价潜在耕地资源的自然适宜性潜力;同时考虑土地利用结构风险、土壤侵蚀风险、土地荒漠化风险限制,构建潜在耕地开发的生态风险模型;将自然适宜性潜力和生态风险评价结果进行叠置分级,评估潜在耕地资源的综合开发潜力。结果表明:旱地农业情景下,西北“水三线”地区具备耕地开发潜力的土地面积约0.2万km2,主要分布在内蒙古半干旱草原区;灌溉农业情景下,西北“水三线”地区具备耕地开发潜力的土地面积约9.5×10^(4) km^(2),这些土地需要通过引水灌溉和土壤改良等措施才能实现粮食生产,主要集中在天山北麓、塔里木河流域、疏勒河流域和内蒙古东部等内陆干旱区,未来如果具备灌溉水源条件,实施适宜的土壤改良措施,有较大可开发潜力。

Intensive Observation of Reservoirinduced Seismicity and Preliminary Analysis on the Causes of Earthquakes in the Three Gorges Reservoir Area,Yangtze River

In accordance with the requirements of the National Key Technology R＆D Program of the 11th ＂Five-year Plan＂, a densified seismic network consisting of 26 seismic stations was established at the Three Gorges Reservoir area in the section of Hubei Province in March 2009 （21 short-period seismographs, 5 broadband digital seismographs）. From March to December, 2009, a total of 2,995 ML -0. 8 - 2. 9 earthquakes were detected during the trial impounding of the Three Gorges Reservoir （ water level rose from 145 m to 172.8m）. Using the double difference earthquake location algorithm, 2,837 earthquakes were precisely re-located. The results show that the pattern of small local earthquake swarms in the Three Gorges Reservoir area took on a linear distribution or mass-like cluster distribution, the mass-like clusters of events were generally within a distance of 5 km from waterfront, and the linear distribution of the earthquakes could be extended to a distance of 16 km away from the waterfront. In the Hubei section of the Three Gorges Reservoir, earthquakes were mainly concentrated in the northern end of the Xiannvshan and Jiuwanxi faults near the Xiangxihe River, and along the banks of the Yangtze River at the west of Xietan township and the Shenlongxi area on the northern bank in the Badong region, with focal depths less than 10km, and 4km in average. Earthquake frequency in the reservoir region had a positive correlation with reservoir water level fluctuations, indicating that the seismicity belongs to reservoir induced earthquakes. Along the Shenlong River in the reservoir area, earthquakes showed three linear distributions in the northern Badong county, and distributed according to Karst distribution. There are underground rivers in the carbonate strata. When the reservoir was impounded, water permeated into the underground rivers, thus inducing earthquakes. Earthquakes in the areas on the crossriver segment of Xiannvshan fault, the Jiuwanxi fault and at the areas west of Xietan, Shazhen and Xizhen, may be related to the softening of discontinuities, such as the Nukou fault, the Xiannvshan fault, or the bedding joints, which would lead to failure of rock masses, thus, inducing earthquakes. However, convincing conclusions about the triggering mechanism still need further study. Additionally, near the areas south of Wenhua and Yanglin of Zigui county and at Rangkou town east of Badong county, mininginduced earthquakes occurred at the mines nearby, and on the shores of the reservoir are some collapse earthquakes.

Phase equilibria for the pseudo-ternary system(NaCl+Na2SO4+H2O)of coal gasification wastewater at T=(268.15 to 373.15)K

The pseudo-ternary system(Na Cl + Na_2SO_4+ H_2O) of coal gasification wastewater was studied at T =(268.15 to 373.15) K. The solubility and density of the equilibrium liquid phase were determined by the isothermal solution saturation method. The equilibrium solids were also investigated by the Schreinemaker's method of wet residues and X-ray powder diffraction(XRD). According to the experimental data, the phase diagrams were determined. It was found that there was no significant solubility difference on the Na Cl-rich side between the ternary system(Na Cl + Na_2SO_4+ H_2O) in coal gasification wastewater and in pure water. However, the solubility on the Na_2SO_4-rich side of coal gasification wastewater was apparently higher than that of pure water. The increase in the solubility of Na_2SO_4 was most likely caused by the effects of other impurities apart from Na Cl and Na_2SO_4 in coal gasification wastewater. The measured data and phase equilibrium diagrams can provide fundamental basis for salt recovery in coal gasification wastewater.

The Deformation and Stress Analysis of Na Ba Reservoir Concrete Face Rock-Fill Dam

Based on the APDL （ANSYS Parametric Design Language） and combined with the actual project related to parameters of filling material, imported Duncan-Chang constitutive model which has been widely applied in soil mass and rock-fill in the ANSYS software. With the three-dimensional nonlinear finite element analysis by the mid-point incremental method, what have been computed are the deformation and stress analysis ofNa Ba reservoir CFRD （Concrete Face Rock-fill Dam） in filling period. The calculation results provide practical reference for the dam during construction safety filling stress and deformation analysis and real-time monitoring.

3D Finite Element Simulation of Tunnel Boring Machine Construction Processes in Deep Water Conveyance Tunnel

Applying stiffness migration method,a 3D finite element mechanical model is established to simulate the excavation and advance processes.By using 3D nonlinear finite element method,the tunnel boring machine(TBM) excavation process is dynamically simulated to analyze the stress and strain field status of surrounding rock and segment.The maximum tensile stress of segment ring caused by tunnel construction mainly lies in arch bottom and presents zonal distribution.The stress increases slightly and limitedly in the course of excavation.The maximum and minimum displacements of segment,manifesting as zonal distribution,distribute in arch bottom and vault respectively.The displacements slightly increase with the advance of TBM and gradually tend to stability.

Preparation of microsized single-crystalline Co_3O_4 by high-temperature hydrolysis

Microsized single-crystalline Co3O4 has been synthesized by high-temperature hydrolysis of CoCD2H20 at 600℃. The samples were characterized by powder X-ray diffraction （XRD）, scanning electron microscopy （SEM） and transmission electron microscopy （TEM）. The results reveal that the as-prepared powders are microsized single-crystalline CO3O4 with cubic spinel structure. An increase in the high-temperature hydrolysis time results in the evolution of particle shapes from cube to quasi-sphere, and then to octahedron. The effect of NaCl additive on the surface morphologies of Co3O4 particles was experimentally investigated. The results indicate that the NaCl additive acts as an inert disperse phase in the high-temperature hydrolysis, and prevents the aggregation of Co3O4 particles effectively.

Chinese Water Resource Management and Application of the Harmony Theory

Chinese water resource management （CWRM） has passed through four stages： infancy, initial development, rapid development, and formation. In the last of these stages some problems persist and will affect management performance. CWRM was a decentralised, imperfectly codified and weakly implemented system that lacked a sound market policy, rational water prices, water conservation awareness, technical support and a performance appraisal system. The government of China proposed two new strategies in 2009： the Three Red Lines and the Interconnected River System Network （IRSN）. This paper analyses these two strategies and reflects on new CWRM concepts. Both strategies strive for the sustainable utilisation of water resources and human-water harmony. The concepts, quantification method and application of harmony theory to water resources management is discussed. Applications of harmony theory to water resources management include （i） harmony between humans and nature; （ii） a harmony strategy for water resources management; （iii） a rational allocation model for water resources among different areas and departments based on harmony theory; （iv） harmony-based water allocation issues associated with transboundary rivers; （v） harmony-based interbasin water transfer problems; and （vi） harmony-based control of pollution discharge. We conclude by discussing how harmony theory and its applications provide an appropriate pathway for water resource management in China.