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基于耦合推断的时间外延性辅助数据偏倚修正——以森林蓄积量估计为例
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作者 梅安琪 侯正阳 +3 位作者 徐晴 陈芳婷 齐元浩 贾东瑾 《林业科学》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2024年第8期79-94,共16页
【目的】1)量化“过期”模型对推断总体参数(总体均值、方差)的影响;2)提出利用基于模型辅助的估计量修正模型保质期引起的推断偏倚;3)评估度量误差模型对推断偏倚的修正作用。【方法】在基于设计、基于模型和基于模型辅助3种推断框架下... 【目的】1)量化“过期”模型对推断总体参数(总体均值、方差)的影响;2)提出利用基于模型辅助的估计量修正模型保质期引起的推断偏倚;3)评估度量误差模型对推断偏倚的修正作用。【方法】在基于设计、基于模型和基于模型辅助3种推断框架下,应用度量误差模型,修正“过期”模型对总体参数(总体均值、方差)的影响。【结果】1)将二阶抽样的估计值作为参照,对比基于模型的统计推断估计值,无论是线性回归模型还是度量误差模型,其均值估计值与二阶抽样下总体均值估计值6.774 m^(3)·hm^(−2)接近,其方差估计值的平均值为0.117,远小于基于设计的方差估计值0.965,精度提升平均为87.93%;2)遥感数据“过期”引起模型失效,对总体均值估计产生较大偏差,总体均值估计值的偏移程度随着遥感数据获取时间的推移加剧;3)在基于模型辅助推断框架下,线性回归模型和度量误差模型的总体均值估计值均在6.5~6.8波动,波动范围较小,变化趋势相同,二者均值估计值差异较小,后者推断精度更高,精度提升范围为5.71%~22.50%,平均为13.34%。【结论】1)遥感数据作为辅助信息可有效提高估计精度;2)当遥感数据“过期”时模型失效,总体均值估计值偏倚增大,方差估计值被低估;3)基于模型辅助的统计推断可解决模型“过期”造成的推断偏倚问题,保持估计量近似无偏性,且精度与概率样本的样本量呈正相关;4)度量误差模型可降低总体方差估计值,但仅使用度量误差模型无法消除时间外延性遥感数据产生的推断偏倚。 展开更多
关键词 统计推断 森林资源调查 抽样设计 遥感数据 “过期”模型
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The role of nonlinearities associated with air-sea coupling processes in El Nino's peak-phase locking 被引量:2
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作者 DUAN WanSuo ZHANG Rui +1 位作者 YU YanShan TIAN Ben 《Science China Earth Sciences》 SCIE EI CAS 2013年第11期1988-1996,共9页
We use conditional nonlinear optimal perturbation (CNOP) to investigate the optimal precursory disturbances in the Zebiak- Cane El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) model. The conditions of the CNOP-type precursors... We use conditional nonlinear optimal perturbation (CNOP) to investigate the optimal precursory disturbances in the Zebiak- Cane El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) model. The conditions of the CNOP-type precursors are highly likely to evolve into El Nino events in the Zebiak-Cane model. By exploring the dynamic behaviors of these nonlinear El Nino events caused by the CNOP-type precursors, we find that they, as expected, tend to phase-lock to the annual cycles in the Zebiak-Cane model with the SSTA peak at the end of a calendar year. However, E1 Nino events with CNOPs as initial anomalies in the linearized Zebiak-Cane model are inclined to phase-lock earlier than nonlinear E1 Nino events despite the existence of annual cycles in the model. It is clear that nonlinearities play an important role in El Nino's phase-locking. In particular, nonlinear temperature advection increases anomalous zonal SST differences and anomalous westerlies, which weakens anomalous upwelling and acts on the increasing anomalous vertical temperature difference and, as a result, enhances E1 Nino and then delays the peak SSTA. Finally, we demonstrate that nonlinear temperature advection, together with the effect of the annual cycle, causes El Nino events to peak at the end of the calendar year. 展开更多
关键词 El Nino event NONLINEARITY optimal perturbation numerical model
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An expression atlas of miRNAs in Arabidopsis thaliana 被引量:9
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作者 Le Xu Yugang Hu +4 位作者 Ying Cao Jingrui Li Ligeng Ma Yan Li Yijun Qi 《Science China(Life Sciences)》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2018年第2期178-189,共12页
MicroRNAs(miRNAs) are small non-coding RNAs that regulate a variety of biological processes. miRNA expression often exhibits spatial and temporal specificity. However, genome-wide miRNA expression patterns in differen... MicroRNAs(miRNAs) are small non-coding RNAs that regulate a variety of biological processes. miRNA expression often exhibits spatial and temporal specificity. However, genome-wide miRNA expression patterns in different organs during development of Arabidopsis thaliana have not yet been systemically investigated. In this study, we sequenced small RNA libraries generated from 27 different organ/tissue types, which cover the entire life cycle of Arabidopsis. Analysis of the sequencing data revealed that most miRNAs are ubiquitously expressed, whereas a small set of miRNAs display highly specific expression patterns. In addition, different miRNA members within the same family have distinct spatial and temporal expression patterns. Moreover, we found that some miRNAs are produced from different arms of their hairpin precursors at different developmental stages. This work provides new insights into the regulation of miRNA biogenesis and a rich resource for future investigation of miRNA functions in Arabidopsis. 展开更多
关键词 miRNA plant development high-throughput sequencing
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