Impact of US Financial Sanctions on the Dollar's International Status

In 2022,the United States stepped up its sanctions on Russia.Most notably,it restricted the flow of the Russian Central Bank's foreign exchange(forex)assets,using financial administrative power as a source of strategic leverage.This move should have reduced the appeal of US dollar assets but in reality has not accelerated as expected the decline of the greenback as a store of value.The US dollar's share of global forex reserves increased instead of decreased during 2022 and 2023.Despite the rise of economic costs caused by tightened US financial sanctions,countries that recognize the geopolitical role of the United States have further accepted the dollar's international status;their continued willingness to live with the dollar's“security premium”has given a fillip to the US dollar in the short term,boosting its appeal as a reserve currency.Meanwhile,de-dollarization of forex reserves has yet to reach a sufficient scale,thus falling short of significantly challenging the dollar's reign.From a longer-term perspective,as economic and security conditions shift,countries that accept the dollar's international role or seek de-dollarization may change their choices.As a result,four possible scenarios may arise:(i)the preeminence of the US dollar remains unthreatened;(ii)the international monetary system splits into blocs;(iii)the international monetary system fragments;and(iv)the dollar loses its throne.The author believes that the last scenario is the most likely outcome.

Analysis of China’s Sports Diplomacy Path from the Perspective of Soft Power

“When a country prospers,sports thrive.”Building a strong sports country is an important connotation of realizing the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation and building a moderately prosperous society in all respects.Actively engaging in sports diplomacy from the perspective of soft power can expand a country’s international influence,promote friendly cooperation between nations,and enhance the overall image of the country.This article analyzes the concepts of soft power and sports diplomacy and explores the path of China’s sports diplomacy from four aspects:promoting diverse subjects,expanding propaganda channels,optimizing underlying design,and actively participating in competitions.

Does US Dollar Supply Trigger House Price Fluctuations?An International Comparison

Cyclical fluctuations in asset prices are closely related to the overall stability of the macroeconomy and have thus become a significant topic in academic and professional exploration.Among these fluctuations,changes in the supply of the U.S.dollar,the global reserve,and primary settlement currency have a broad and far-reaching impact on international financial markets.Since COVID-19,asset prices across various countries have shown differing trends due to fluctuations in the U.S.dollar supply.Housing prices,a key focus in asset pricing research,have been affected to varying degrees.This thesis utilizes seven house price indices from representative cities worldwide from 2020 to 2023 to compare the differential impacts across various countries using an empirical approach.The results indicate that the impact of the U.S.dollar money supply(M2)diminishes in a gradient from the U.S.to East Asia,and then to Europe.

Trend Analysis of Exchange Rate of the Ghana Cedi against the US Dollar Using Time Series

Exchange rate volatility or its stability is a key determinant of the state of a country’s economy. The Ghana cedi’s performance against the US dollar in recent times has been the worse in the past decade. This has resulted in high inflation, high cost of living and high cost of production in Ghana. Despite the recent economic recovery growth, the cedi continues to strife in high rate of exchange against the dollar. This study examines and models a trend, and makes predictions of future rates of the cedis against the US dollar. Methodology: The study used a 13-year data of exchange rates of Ghana cedi and the US dollar spanning from 2010 to mid-2023 from the Bank of Ghana’s economic data on exchange rates, Ghana Stock Exchange and the World Bank. The ARIMA and SARIMA models were used to model the trends and for forecasting, taking into the consideration the asymmetric and seasonal effect of the data. Results: The outputs show that, the Ghana cedi will continue to rise but steadily against the US dollar for the remaining months of 2023 except in December, and continue to decline afterwards through into 2024. Conclusion: The cedi continues to weaken in value and the strength of its purchasing power. A weaker currency depicts a “junk” economy which affects its foreign investment. As the US dollar continues to rise, the Government and policy makers must implement effective policies to stabilize its rise against the cedi. Export of commodities must increase in addition to import restrictions to balance trade deficit and to strengthen the Ghana Cedi.

DE-DOLLARIZATION IS TRENDING AND THERE'S NO TURNING BACK

The U.S.dollar has long stood tall as the pre-eminent global currency for international cross-border trade settlements and foreign exchange reserves ever since the launch of the Bretton Woods institutions-International Monetary Fund(IMF)and World Bank(WB).

Research on the Foreign Communication of Chinese Science Fiction Literature in the Perspective of Public Diplomacy

In recent years,China’s public diplomacy has flourished,with literary exchanges and external communication undoubtedly becoming an essential part.Particularly with the progress of Chinese technology,science fiction literature has become a focal point both domestically and internationally.This paper investigates the background of the Chinese science fiction literature’s national characteristics,the manifestation of these characteristics in works,and the advantages of communication from three aspects.It also explores new ideas for the external communication of Chinese science fiction literature from the perspective of public diplomacy,inspiring new pathways for the integration of Chinese culture with the world,and telling Chinese stories to the world.

The Emergence of “Wolf Warrior Diplomacy”: A New and Assertive Brand of Chinese Diplomacy

The study examines the rise of China’s strong and distinctive“Wolf Warrior Diplomacy”,which has gained popularity in recent years.This research attempts to offer a thorough knowledge of the causes,motivators,and essential traits of China’s new global diplomatic strategy.The research aims to provide light on the motivations and goals driving Wolf Warrior Diplomacy by a thorough investigation of historical events,official statements,and media representations.The study uses a mixed-methods approach and includes case studies of significant diplomatic incidents involving Chinese officials as well as qualitative content analysis.The research tries to discover patterns of behavior and evaluate their impact on international relations by looking at the language and strategies employed by China’s diplomatic officials.China’s Wolf Warrior Diplomacy addresses domestic political climate,world power dynamics,and national interests using authoritative language,nationalism,and media participation,influencing global community reactions.Chinese international relations’Wolf Warrior Diplomacy provides insightful information for decision-makers,academics,and practitioners,encouraging civil discourse and international cooperation in an aggressive age.

An Exploration of Key Features of Major-Country Diplomacy with Chinese Characteristics

China,under the guidance of Xi Jinping Thought on Diplomacy,is making all-round efforts to pursue major-country diplomacy with Chinese characteristics and has achieved a series of historical achievements.Major-country diplomacy with Chinese characteristics significantly diverges from conventional Western major-country diplomacy.It is characterized by a vision that prioritizes national rejuvenation,aims to advance human civilizations,emphasizes the establishment of a new type of international relations,and strives for the building of a human community with a shared future.

地缘政治视域下中国参与亚运会历程中的重要议题及杭州亚运会的时代成就

已经胜利落幕的杭州亚运会是在中国境内举办的第3届亚运会。采用文献资料法与历史研究法,回顾中国的亚运会参与史,进一步分析亚运会与亚洲地缘政治格局和体育格局的互动影响后发现,参与亚运会是中国走向世界体育、参与国际体育事务的重要桥梁;是中国施展体育外交坚实且富有弹性的“第一步”,是推动亚洲地缘关系,巩固在亚地位的重要渠道;是处理两岸关系的重要场域。在两个大局背景下,杭州亚运会在加强中国与亚洲国家的联系,促进亚洲国家的交流与团结,树立“可亲可爱”的中国形象,宣传“心心相融”的在亚外交倡议,推动两岸交流,夯实和平统一基础等方面体现出重要的时代价值,并为中国以体育促外交的未来发展提出新的议题。

Exploring the Concept of“Build a Community of a Shared Future for Mankind”in International Diplomacy:A Prehistoric Mythological Perspective

According to the historical records of prehistoric civilisation in China and the existing theories of prehistoric history within the academic community,it can be inferred that all human civilisations on Earth have their origins in the period following the Great Flood,during which human civilisation was rebuilt.Furthermore,there are notable parallels between the figure of“Nuwa”in Chinese prehistoric civilisation and that of“Noah”in Western accounts.By treating the prehistoric flood event as a research approach in historical compilation,scholars can extract valuable insights into“building a community of a shared future for mankind”and use it as a symbol of global diplomatic relations.This approach can foster common values of mutual learning and exchange among nations,ultimately creating a more promising future for developing a new form of human civilisation.

If I Had a Million Dollars

If I had a million dollars,I would study abroad to major in English and management.After completing my studies,I would return to work in my motherland.I would work hard and try my best to make more contributions to society.My good friends Mike,David and Mary may have their own ideas.

冷战后日本与东南亚地区秩序的构建:观念与政策

冷战后日本与东南亚地区秩序的构建问题应引起学界足够的重视。地区秩序与国际秩序有相通之处,但也有其独特性。地区范围、地区制度框架及地区统合原则是地区秩序的构成要素。在东南亚秩序构建进程中,日本形成相互并存的、多层次地区概念。从亚太到扩大的东亚、“自由与繁荣之弧”和“两洋交会”再到“印太构想”,日本的地区秩序观经历经济导向、价值观导向及印太框架3个时期的演变。日本从强调包容性转变为强调同质性,价值观外交愈发突出。日本通过双边与小多边主义强化安全合作,安全议题的分量不断上升。以新版“安保三文件”为指导,日本在2023年推进名为“政府安全保障能力强化支援”(OSA)的安全合作新框架,使援助外交从单一的经济发展援助走向“经济+安全”双轨并行的新态势。日本从均势与陆海对立的思维定势出发,地区概念的适用范围不断扩大,试图借此阻滞与稀释中国的影响力。

南南合作的中国实践与贡献——基于“全球南方”的视角

“全球南方”这一术语的定义多种多样,在一定程度上为学术研究和外交实践增添了难度。虽然中国的经济实力不断提升,国际影响力不断扩大,但中国依然是一个发展中国家。如果说“全球南方”是“发展中国家”的同义词,那么中国就是“全球南方”的天然成员。面对世界百年未有之大变局,进一步推动南南合作的必要性和重要意义日益凸显。作为“全球南方”的重要成员,中国为推动南南合作作出了重大贡献,主要体现在以下几个方面:力所能及地向其他发展中国家提供经济援助;在涉及发展中国家切身利益的重大问题上给予道义上的支持;加强技术转移转化,帮助发展中国家提升科技创新能力;大力支持联合国为推动南南合作而开展的工作。

理解中国共产党政党外交--基于议程设置的视角

中国共产党政党外交实践的日益蓬勃发展,呼唤创新的理论视角对其进行考察。为理解中国共产党政党外交如何服务中国特色大国外交,借助议程设置理论构建一个“提出政党外交议题—以政党外交渠道传播议题—推动政党外交议程制度化”分析框架。在此框架下,中国共产党政党外交,是服务国家总体外交提出议题、主导创建政党外交机制传播议题、参与国际议程设置竞争的重要渠道和手段。中国共产党政党外交,既是一个系统性、整体性的外交过程,也是一个可划分为数个有先后顺序、有彼此关联步骤的过程,更是一个可过程化、多维度考察的对象。

美国涉疆舆论战:政治媒介化与舆论外交

2018年以来,美国针对中国新疆发起一波波舆论战,罗织的罪名令人匪夷所思。文本以政治媒介化理论观照美国涉疆舆论战。政治媒介化指在美西方市场逻辑作用下,政治逐渐依赖、内化媒介逻辑,政治过程受媒介逻辑长期形塑的现象。美国涉疆舆论战通过政治媒介化策略,将其遏制中国的目的隐蔽地转换为一个个“悲情故事”,妄图实现其舆论外交目的。文本深入剖析了美国涉疆舆论战中的政治媒介化过程与策略,揭露了美国涉疆舆论战的真相与本质。

习近平外交思想中的合作发展理念:逻辑构成、理论贡献与现实意义

改革开放以来,中国以合作的和平方式走出崛起于世界的和平发展道路。习近平外交思想中的合作发展理念作为新时代中国坚持和平发展道路的理论总结,由以人类命运与共的利益交融为动力、共商共建共享的合作形式为进程、强劲联动均衡的共同发展为目标所构成,是中国共产党人立足于中国特色大国地位建构的合作发展观。随着中国迈向全面建设社会主义现代化的新征程,习近平外交思想中的合作发展理念为国内全面推进社会主义现代化建设营造有利的外部发展环境,也为发展中国家现代化建设提供新的道路选择,更为遭受严重冲击的全球发展进程提供中国方案。

百年变局之变、历史启示及中国的战略选择

当今世界处于百年未有之大变局,“东升西降”的历史大势与国际体系加速转型相互叠加演进,而中国也正处于实现第二个百年奋斗目标、实现中华民族伟大复兴的关键时期。客观冷静地厘清世界百年变局的内涵要义,是准确把握当前国际形势风云变幻的逻辑起点。中国未来发展,需要顺应时代特征、国际格局、大国关系、全球治理、世界矛盾的新变化进行战略运筹谋划。对比中国和其他国家百年发展走过的道路与取得的经验,有助于更加坚定中国式现代化发展的基本遵循和道路方向,进一步增强在新的动荡变革期把握战略机遇、驾驭战略风险的能力。

“三大倡议”与新时期中国的中亚外交

自2021年以来,习近平主席相继提出了全球发展倡议、全球安全倡议和全球文明倡议三大全球性倡议。“三大倡议”不仅为解决全球性问题提供了重要方案,而且为中国的中亚外交提供了理论支持和战略引领。中国同中亚五国是命运与共的好邻居、好朋友、好伙伴、好兄弟。三十多年来,中国的中亚外交取得了令人瞩目的巨大成就。当前,中国应以全球发展倡议为引领,推动中国与中亚国家实现共同发展;以全球安全倡议为引领,助力中国与中亚国家实现共同安全;以全球文明倡议为引领,促进中国与中亚国家实现民心相通与文明互鉴,进而促进中国与中亚国家走上更加稳定和友好的发展轨道,并保障中国—中亚命运共同体的构建取得更多切实成效。

科技外交理论的概念演化、范畴界定及欧美实践的启示

在当前的新形势下,科技外交在应对全球性挑战及地缘政治和国际关系中的作用愈加重要。科技外交运用科技和创新国际合作作为软实力工具,建立和改善与其他国家及地区的关系,当国家间的其他直接关系遭遇困境和挫折时,科技外交仍可充当国家间保持彼此联系的桥梁作用。科技外交包括在国际关系决策中需要明确考虑科学知识和科学建议,为便利国际科技合作和人员交流、促进国内创新而采取的外交政策活动,以及促进与其他国家关系的合作性科技活动等三重功能,国家利益是科技外交的主要驱动力。欧盟及其成员国和美国都重视科技在决策系统和外交政策中的作用,从早期增设使馆科技专员到任命美国国务卿和欧盟对外行动署的科技顾问再到向海外派驻科技大使,资助科技外交研究和培训等,不少做法值得借鉴。我国应在完善国家科技决策咨询机制、建立既精通科技又具有外交知识和技能的人才储备和人才培养及培训机制、鼓励参加国际性科技外交研究和实践交流合作网络等方面加强科技外交工作,制定科技外交战略。

确立习近平外交思想指导地位的时代背景和重大意义

习近平外交思想是当代中国马克思主义、二十一世纪马克思主义在中国外交领域的最新成果。在百年未有之大变局与中华民族伟大复兴交汇、中国同世界关系发生历史性变化的背景下,确立习近平外交思想对新时代中国对外工作的指导地位具有重大意义。习近平外交思想坚持马克思主义基本观点,继承新中国外交传统并不断创新,形成了科学完备、逻辑严密的思想理论体系。在习近平外交思想指引下,中国对外工作取得了举世瞩目的成就,展示了强大的实践伟力。习近平外交思想坚定维护国家利益并履行国际责任,推动世界和平发展,推动世界社会主义事业不断走向新胜利,是新时代中国特色大国外交不断开创新局面的强大引领。