Transport Accessibility and Spatial Connections of Cities in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area

Based on geographic information system(GIS) spatial analysis technology, the spatial pattern of raster grid transport accessibility for the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay area was studied and the states of spatial connectedness were simulated using highway passenger transport, railway passenger transport, port passenger transport and aviation passenger transport data. The result shows that transport accessibility within the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay area costs ‘one hour’ and the spatial distribution of accessibility in the area presents clear ‘core-periphery’ spatial characteristics, with Guangzhou, Foshan, Shenzhen constituting the core. The transport accessibility of Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao is high. Average accessibility of urban nodes as measured by travel time is 0.99 h, and the areas accessible within 1.42 h occupy 79.14% of the total area. Most of the areas with the lowest accessibility are found in the peripheral area, with the worst accessibility being 4.73 h. Compared with the west-side cities, the economically developed east-side cities of the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay area have higher connectivity with roads, railways, ports, and aviation transport. Guangzhou, Foshan, Zhuhai, Shenzhen, Hong Kong and Macao are closely linked. The higher the accessibility, the closer the intercity connectedness.

High-precision geochronology of Mesozoic magmatism in Macao,Southeast China:Evidence for multistage granite emplacement

Six new high precision U-Pb zircon ID-TIMS ages plus thirteen in situ high spatial resolution U-Pb zircon LA-MC-ICPMS ages are reported from Jurassic plutonic(metaluminous to weakly peraluminous biotite granites)and Jurassic to Cretaceous hypabyssal(dacites)rocks from Macao.Despite its relatively small area(~30 km^2),the new ages tightly constrain the Macao granitic magmatism to two periods ranging from 164.5±0.6 Ma to 162.9±0.7 Ma and 156.6±0.2 Ma to 155.5±0.8 Ma,separated by ca.6 Ma.Inherited zircons point to the existence of a basement with ages up to Paleo-Proterozoic and late Archean in the region.In addition,younger dacitic rocks were dated at 150.6±0.6 Ma and<120 Ma.U-Pb zircon ages and whole-rock REE data of Macao granites indicate that the first pulse is also represented in Hong Kong and Southeast(SE)China,while magmatism with the chemical characteristics of the second pulse seems to not be represented outside Macao.The two granitic magmatic pulses have distinct mineralogical and geochemical features that support their discrete nature rather than a continuum of comagmatic activity and suggest that the Macao granitic suite was incrementally assembled during a period of ca.9 Ma,a hypothesis also extendable to the neighboring Hong Kong region for a time lapse of ca.24 Ma.In Macao,the transition from granitic magmatism(Middle to Upper Jurassic)to the younger dacite dykes(Upper Jurassic to Lower Cretaceous)most likely corresponds to a change in the regional tectonic setting,from an extensional regime related with foundering of the subducting paleoPacific plate during the Early Yanshanian period to the reestablishment of a normal subduction system in SE China during the Late Yanshanian period.

Retrospective analysis of results of treatment for nasopharyngeal carcinoma in Macao

Background： Nasopharyngeal carcinoma （NPC） is a common malignancy in Southeast Asia, however, a full consensus has not yet been reached as to the value of comprehensive treatment for NPC. This study was designed to evaluate the epidemiological characteristics of NPC and their prognostic value, as well as the long-term efficacy of NPC treatment. Patients and methods： A total of 248 patients, with different stages of NPC, were included in this study. Results： The 5-year overall survival （OS） rates for patients in stages I, II, lII and IV were 90.48%, 76.71%, 76.89% and 33.87%, respectively （P=0.000）, while the respective 5-year progression-free survival （PFS） rates were 85.15%, 72.36%, 63.88% and 26.26% （P=0.000）. The respective 5-year OS rates, according to stage, for the group that received radiotherapy combined with chemotherapy and for the group that received radiotherapy only were as follows： stages I and II, 81.67% and 79.59% （P=0.753）; stage III, 79.91% and 70.38% （P=0.143）; stage IV,, 35.22% and 0% （P=0.000）. The respective 5-year PFS rates in these groups were as follows： stages I and II, 75.83% and 74.98% （P=0.814）; stage III, 74.08% and 42.25% （P=0.027）; stage IV,, 27.31% and 0% （P=0.000）. Conclusions： Clinical staging appears to be the most important prognostic factor for NPC. As the stage number increases, both the 5-year OS and PFS significantly decrease. Adding chemotherapy to radiotherapy was not advantageous for patients with stage I or II NPC, however the addition of chemotherapy to radiotherapy significantly improved OS and PFS in patients with stage IV NPC. The addition of chemotherapy improved PFS, but not OS in patients with stage III NPC.

Particle Swarm-Based Translation Control for Immersed Tunnel Element in the Hong Kong–Zhuhai–Macao Bridge Project

Immersed tunnel is an important part of the Hong Kong–Zhuhai–Macao Bridge(HZMB) project. In immersed tunnel floating, translation which includes straight and transverse movements is the main working mode. To decide the magnitude and direction of the towing force for each tug, a particle swarm-based translation control method is presented for non-power immersed tunnel element. A sort of linear weighted logarithmic function is exploited to avoid weak subgoals. In simulation, the particle swarm-based control method is evaluated and compared with traditional empirical method in the case of the HZMB project. Simulation results show that the presented method delivers performance improvement in terms of the enhanced surplus towing force.

Nursing student perspectives of high-fidelity simulation in Macao

Objective The purpose of this study was to explore student perspectives of high-fidelity simulation.Methods A descriptive study with semi-structured focus group interviews was conducted in Macao.Twenty-one focus group interviews were held with 113 baccalaureate nursing students who had experienced 36-hour of simulation.Results Students perceived that simulation created a nonrisk learning environment,and was helpful in knowledge and skill enhancement and nurse role understanding.However,lack of realistic interactions in psychosocial responses made it difficult for students to relate simulation experience to real-working situations,and poor group contributions affected their learning.ConclusionInteracting with a human patient simulator does not replicate the experience of working with a live patient.Tutors need to come up with ideas about how to make scenarios more real and give more forthright responses to improve the realism of psychosocial responses during simulation.Students experienced uncertainty with clinical decision making and commented on the minimal contributions of some group members.Tutors should be prepared to provide students with substantial supports in developing their understanding of simulation and engaging in the learning process.

海洋城市战略与空间规划前瞻

党的十八大报告明确提出“建设海洋强国”的战略目标,要求提高海洋资源开发能力,发展海洋经济,保护海洋生态环境,坚决维护国家海洋权益。2023年10月13日,王世福教授作为国家社科基金重大研究专项首席专家以“建设海洋强国的战略支点与制度创新”为主题组织第十二届“设计城市”圆桌研讨会,并邀请来自规划、海洋、国际关系等多个领域的专家,共同探讨海洋城市在海洋命运共同体中的战略支点作用以及空间规划创新需要。在凝练与会嘉宾观点的基础上,进一步以笔谈形式邀请相关领域专家围绕“海洋城市战略与空间规划”进行论述,期望为未来海洋城市规划与建设提供有益参考。王世福认为对于我国海洋城市建设而言,立足港城关系的规划和注重海陆统筹的战略,有助于在全局视角上认识和响应从港口大国到海洋强国的战略跃升。王兴平等提出建设海洋城市组群是内陆城市经略海洋的重要方式,港口城市与腹地陆域中心城市可通过交通设施网络、多种“流要素”、区域涉海功能与跨界协同治理四个维度的一体化措施构建联系密切且分工合理的海洋功能圈。马向明认为海洋城市战略不应仅局限于海洋资源的开发利用,更应从促进海陆文明交流融合的视角出发,积极应对海洋生态挑战,大力发展文化交流和综合创新功能。海洋城市空间规划应强调陆海功能协调性,从而保证海洋城市健康发展。陈天结合海洋城市所面临的可持续发展问题,从海岸生态系统保护的统筹与修复、沿海城市防灾韧性体系构建和基于气候适应性的沿海城市品质提升三方面,提出沿海高密度城市防灾韧性建设与空间品质提升实施路径。王建军系统论述目前海洋城市战略推进过程中存在的痛点和堵点,并从四个层次梳理当前海洋城市战略核心要解决的问题,即开展陆海资源全要素综合调查与评价、构建陆海统筹的海洋城市发展格局、做好向海而强的资源要素保障以及在更广阔的深远海深度参与全球海洋治理。文超祥等以海洋中心城市作为海洋强国的战略支点,提出科学谋划境内外海洋中心城市的战略布局,并结合我国沿海各省市开展的海岸带空间规划实践总结出:处理好陆域与海域关系、协调好城市与区域发展关系、谋划好陆海发展的战略空间。郑斌认为粤港澳大湾区建设世界级新港城对推动大湾区海洋城市发展具有积极意义,并提出在设施建设、制度建设和推动港口与产业融合发展三方面推进大湾区新港城建设,实现海洋城市的国际化和全球化发展。赵渺希认为随着全球经济的区域化趋势日渐发展,应把握全球供应链、价值链的近岸化趋势,拓展新发展格局下沿海地区高水平对外开放的规划原理,并进一步围绕粤港澳大湾区建设,提出厘清大湾区的全球网络链接机制、解析大湾区区域网络协同机制、大湾区双循环网络发展的规划响应。程遥认为陆海统筹规划是一个全域全要素统筹的系统问题,且最终将落实到陆域的功能与设施规划建设上。陆海统筹导向的国土空间规划在陆海域、邻域、海岸带三个层面对应的规划层次、内容、深度应该是差异化的,并且海域应建立相较陆域更系统的跨界规划管控体系和更严格的传导体系。邓昭华提出中国特色海洋强国的建设,可施行“以陆促港”策略,从“港产联动”以固港、“两丝枢纽”以稳港、集聚资源以强港三方面拓展港口腹地纵深,助力港口实现其陆域的现代化,并通过技术输出助力当地工业化与扩大港群布局稳固其腹地根基。郭海认为我国应提出符合自身国情的海洋理论,以海洋作为中国维护国际社会和平稳定的重要手段,以海港作为中国发展海洋战略的重要抓手,并提出需处理好贸易与军事、国家利益与系统利益、外交功能与经贸功能之间的三对矛盾。刘铮认为海洋城市相关规划具有明显的创新型规划特征,提出应进一步开展海洋城市规划创新并实现对创新目标的制度安排,且需从连通性、支撑性、撬动性三方面思考规划创新的突破点,激活海洋城市战略支点作用。

LOCATIONAL DISTRIBUTION AND SPATIAL DIFFUSION OF FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENTS FROM HONGKONG AND MACAO IN MAINLAND OF CHINA

Foreign direct investments (or FDIs) have been employed since the early 1980s and they have become more and more immportant in Chinese economic development. However, the roles of FDIs are very different between regions, partly due to the different locational preference of various source countries. Some facts show that FDIs from Hongkong - Macao indicate a strong locational preference. Therefore, this paper attempts to make an empirical research on the locational preference of Hongkong - Macao’s FDIs and their spatial diffusion under the support of statistical data with regrereion analysis. In this paper, three statistical models, including the special location model, the general location model and the spatial diffusion model, are created. The results show that this kind of analysis is successful. The major conclusions are as follows. (1) The optimum location for FDIs from Hongkong - Macao lies in the coastal area, especially Guangdong, Hainan, Jiangsu, Shandong, Fujian provinces. Besides, Hubei Province is also an important radon. (2) The FDIs from HongkongMacao in China have diffused gradually from the coastal provinces to the inland regions, the northem and the metropolis and from the locations that had attracted a large number of investments to their vicinities since the 1990s. (3) The special location factors, such as the herder effect, the unique social and kinship ties are the key factors determining the special locational distribution. (4) The general location and spatial diffusion of Hongkong - Macao’s FDIs are the results of interplay of several economic factors. They are the economic scale and advantage, the growth rate, the laier force and economic extrovert etc.

Historical Change and Future Scenarios of Sea Level Rise in Macao and Adjacent Waters

Against a background of climate change, Macao is very exposed to sea level rise （SLR） because of its low elevation, small size, and ongoing land reclamation. Therefore, we evaluate sea level changes in Macao, both historical and, especially, possible future scenarios, aiming to provide knowledge and a framework to help accommodate and protect against future SLR. Sea level in Macao is now rising at an accelerated rate： 1.35 mm yr-1 over 1925-2010 and jumping to 4.2 mm yr I over 1970-2010, which outpaces the rise in global mean sea level. In addition, vertical land movement in Macao contributes little to local sea level change. In the future, the rate of SLR in Macao will be about 20% higher than the global average, as a consequence of a greater local warming tendency and strengthened northward winds. Specifically, the sea level is projected to rise 8-12, 22-51 and 35-118 cm by 2020, 2060 and 2100, respectively, depending on the emissions scenario and climate sensitivity. Under the --8.5 W m 2 Representative Concentration Pathway （RCP8.5） scenario the increase in sea level by 2100 will reach 65 118 cm--double that under RCP2.6. Moreover, the SLR will accelerate under RCP6.0 and RCP8.5, while remaining at a moderate and steady rate under RCP4.5 and RCP2.6. The key source of uncertainty stems from the emissions scenario and climate sensitivity, among which the discrepancies in SLR are small during the first half of the 21st century but begin to diverge thereafter.

MULTIPLE TIME SCALE ANALYSIS OF CLIMATE VARIATION IN Macao DURING THE LAST 100 YEARS

The multiple time scale climate changes are studied and calculated with statistical analysis and wavelet transformation on the basis of daily series of observed data over the period 1901-2007 in Macao.The result shows that statistically significant oscillations with 2 to 5 years of period generally exist in the series of climate variables(e.g.annual mean surface air temperature and precipitation as well as evaporation etc.),but with obvious locality in time domain.The variation of annual mean surface air temperature has a quasi 60-year period.The phases of the 60-year variation approximately and consistently match that of Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation(AMO).The oscillations of seasonal mean surface air temperature in summer and winter have the periods of quasi 30-year and quasi 60-year,respectively.These two periods of oscillations have statistically significant correlation with Pacific decadal oscillation(PDO) and AMO,individually.The multidecadal variations of the precipitation of the annually first flood period and annual evaporation are dominated by periods of quasi 30-year and quasi 50-year,respectively.

Self-directed learning readiness and social problem solving of nursing students in Macao

Objective The aims of this study were to describe nursing students′self-directed learning readiness and social problem solving and test their correlations in Macao.Methods This descriptive cross-sectional study was conducted on 140baccalaureate nursing students.A stratified random sampling was performed.The Self-directed Learning Readiness(SDLR)Scale and Chinese Social Problem-Solving Inventory-Revised(C-SPSI-R)were used.Results The response rate was 79.3%.Students possessed readiness for self-directed learning(mean 149.09±12.53,51.4%at high level,48.6%at low level).Regarding to social problem solving,the mean scores of each subscale were 9.35±3.25(Rational Problem Solving,RPS),10.26±3.23(Positive Problem Orientation,PPO),8.14±4.06(Negative Problem Orientation,NPO),5.67±4.44(Avoidance Style,AS),and 4.84±3.03(Impulsivity/Carelessness Style,ICS).SDLR was positively related to RPS and PPO,but was negatively related to AS.Conclusion Half of students possessed stronger readiness for self-directed learning.Students had a belief in the ability to solve problems,and adopted relevant strategies in solving problems.However,students still had negative and dysfunctional orientation and defective attempts in solving problems.Self-directed learning was positively related to positive and constructive orientation,but was negatively related to defective problem-solving pattern.Nurse educators should create educational climates for promoting student confidence and mutual responsibility for learning and their thinking process for problem solving.

从场空间到流网络:粤港澳大湾区城市群空间结构特征及优化路径研究

检视粤港澳大湾区城市群空间结构演化趋势,对纵深推动大湾区高质量发展意义重大。本研究因应数字经济对区域要素流动结构的影响,提出粤港澳大湾区“流网络”分析框架,并以首位度和齐普夫法则测度传统空间结构特征,以上市企业的“总部—分支”机构分布测度流网络特征。结果表明:大湾区总体经历了先集聚再分散的发展过程;各城市人口分布梯度不合理,核心城市的人口扩张推动了城市群的定型。大湾区经济规模结构呈现帕累托分布模式,各城市经济规模变差较大。从城际联系来看,广州深圳之间具有高联通度,形成了联通走廊,2000年以来深圳的相对联通度高居首位,区域网络日渐完善。未来,应织密高效的综合交通网络,加速市场一体化进程、构建“双核三圈”网络型城市群体系、设立“广深接合片区”并加快打造“广深联动走廊”,开创大湾区高质量协同发展新格局。

Research on the Status Quo of Waterfront Space Construction on the Macao Peninsula

Waterfront space is an important part of waterfront cities, and it carries the functions of ecological protection, tourism and urban landscape. As a city built on an island, Macao has abundant waterfront space. However, due to the geographical location, cultural and historical reasons, the waterfront space of Macao has a development gap in the use of urban waterfront space. The internal reasons for the differences in the waterfront space construction in which regions of the island are more perfect are the issues to be studied in this article. It is hoped that through the study of the current situation of Macao’s local waterfront space infrastructure construction, the main points that affect advanced cases will be sorted out. From the location, industry, and infrastructure, find out its enlightenment to other waterfront spaces in Macao that are relatively backward in construction.

粤港澳大湾区内地城市群路网韧性的贝叶斯网络评估

随着我国城市化进程的推进,城市路网的韧性问题愈发凸显。构建了一种基于贝叶斯网络模型的城市路网韧性评价模型,并以粤港澳大湾区内地城市群为例,评估了2000—2019年该地区9个城市的路网韧性。基于韧性功能函数从容灾性、稳定性、重构性、恢复性4个方面建立功能层,选取稳定性、可变性、可维护性、可靠性、服务性、安全性、鲁棒性、可修性、适应性9个因素建立性能层,选取客运量、公共汽车数量、道路面积率、出租车数量、交通事故死亡人数、公共交通投资、每万人公共汽车数、道路运输从业人数、人均道路面积9个因素建立因素层。研究结果表明:路网韧性指数最高的为深圳(60%),而最低的为中山(43%);广州、深圳、珠海、东莞的路网韧性一直稳定增长,其余城市的路网韧性浮动较小;路网韧性并非总是随着城市GDP的增长而提高,还与人均GDP有关;敏感性分析表明,路网重构性、路网可靠性、交通事故死亡人数分别为各自所在层中对路网韧性影响最大的因素;加强中心城市与其他城市之间的联系可以提高城市路网韧性。研究成果可为粤港澳大湾区城市群交通路网功能完善与韧性提升提供技术参考。

Discussion on Road Traffic Problems and “Public Transport Priority” Policy in the Macao Peninsula

The roads on the Macao Peninsula are famous for their short, fast, and small features. At the same time, due to the protection of historical and cultural sites, the road network system is mostly based on the planning and design of the previous road network system. Although the planning of the contemporary road network system is quite unique, it has not been considered to the contemporary transporting needs of the citizens of Macao. At the same time, the complexity of the road network makes zonings unobvious functional and mixes urban functions in the region. Therefore, through field surveys, the relevant data of the Macao Transport Bureau (DSAT) is combined to find out the current problems of the road traffic on the Macao Peninsula and analyze the strategy of optimizing the “public transport priority” public transportation prove system. At Last, regarding the citizen as the core and find out the relationship between passengers and the public transportation system to explore the future development direction of the road traffic planning and design of the Macao Peninsula will become the main direction of this study.

城市群人口集聚对共同富裕的影响——基于粤港澳大湾区的分析

共同富裕是中国式现代化的重要特征和中国特色社会主义的本质要求,如何推进共同富裕目标的实现成为政府和学界亟待解决的难题。以粤港澳大湾区为样本探讨城市群人口集聚对城市群内部以及周边区域共同富裕的影响,在理论分析的基础上采用“全面FGLS”方法以及动态面板空间杜宾模型进行估计得到如下结论:粤港澳大湾区人口集聚无论是对于城市群内部共同富裕还是带动周边区域共同富裕均具有积极的促进作用,在短期内存在正向的空间溢出作用,但长期而言粤港澳大湾区人口不可能无限集聚,当发展到一定程度后拥挤效应将超过集聚效应对共同富裕产生负面影响。上述结论意味着当前粤港澳大湾区内部形成的多中心集聚的态势,空间协调发展程度较高,在推动城市群内部共同富裕的同时,短期内也带动了周边区域的发展,但长期持续的发展仍需人口在粤港澳全域更为均衡地分布,而非无限向粤港澳大湾区集聚。基于上述结论,提出应重视基础设施的互联互通、产业互联、城市互联等,促进粤港澳大湾区与粤东西两翼及山区人口等要素资源更为顺畅地流动,优化资源配置,促进粤港澳全域发展,实现真正意义上的先富带动后富,最终实现共同富裕。

跨界一体化导向下的横琴粤澳深度合作区规划与治理创新

以《横琴粤澳深度合作区建设总体方案》的发展目标为导向,结合横琴粤澳深度合作区总体城市设计实践,搭建“空间研判—挑战剖析—规划响应—治理创新”的跨界合作区一体化规划编制框架。通过剖析横琴粤澳深度合作区空间发展情况与琴澳融合瓶颈,从空间布局、产业功能、综合交通、民生服务一体化方面提出规划响应路径,弥补琴澳一体化空间规划的研究空白,在此基础上进一步探索跨界治理机制创新,以规划编制实现功能和形态的空间一体化,通过治理创新增强琴澳协同、破除边界的发展阻力,最终实现一个共建共享的琴澳都会区。

数字经济产业区域协同发展机理及路径研究--基于江西与粤港澳、长三角、长江中游城市群协同发展视角

数字经济产业区域协同发展对推动区域经济效率变革、质量变革和动力变革具有积极推动作用。近年来,江西充分发挥毗邻粤港澳大湾区、长三角以及位居长江中游城市群的地理优势,积极推动数字经济产业区域协同发展,打造了赣深电子信息产业集聚区、承接长三角数字产业转移示范区、赣湘电子信息产业园等,为江西数字经济产业高质量发展奠定了扎实基础,但是在数字经济产业区域协同发展过程中仍然存在协同规划缺乏、协同层次偏低、协同结构失衡、产业数字化滞后、数字技术协同创新弱和数据要素共建共享不畅等问题。这需从强化规划引领、提高协同层次、优化协同结构、加快数字化转型、推动数字技术协同创新和促进数据互联互通共用等方面加以破解。

大湾区如何先行先试国际高标准经贸规则

与WTO相关规则对比分析发现,CPTPP等国际高标准经贸规则在全球价值链分工、数字贸易、“边境(后)”规则等方面进行拓展和完善,从经济领域和规则领域两个层面对中国产生诸多影响。结合粤港澳大湾区的发展实际,粤港澳大湾区可在非关税壁垒领域(削减非关税壁垒,对标国际高标准)、服务贸易领域(促进服务贸易高水平自由化)、国有企业和指定垄断领域(营造企业公平竞争的制度环境)、数字贸易领域(审慎管理数据要素,统筹好开放与安全)、中小企业领域(推动中小企业转型升级,提升竞争力)先行先试部分国际高标准经贸规则,为中国改进经贸规则,提出国际经贸规则的“中国模板”提供智力支持。

全球海洋中心城市的湾区实践——以粤港澳大湾区为例

粤港澳大湾区是加快实施海洋强国战略的重要支点,全球海洋中心城市建设则是进一步推动粤港澳大湾区建设的关键抓手。全球海洋中心城市作为当前海洋城市建设与评价最具影响力的目标对象,需要分别在全球与湾区视角下考察粤港澳大湾区的优势与挑战。本研究通过解读全球海洋中心城市的概念与内涵,剖析了典型全球海洋中心城市的显著特征,以及与国际一流湾区发展的关系。研究发现,粤港澳大湾区在全球海洋中心城市数量和航运物流方面具有优势,但是在海事技术、竞争力与吸引力等方面面临巨大的竞争挑战。粤港澳大湾区推进全球海洋中心城市建设,着重要加快提升国际航运能力、加强海洋科技创新、参与全球海洋治理、强化海洋战略规划等。