This study investigates the application of the two-parameter Weibull distribution in modeling state holding times within HIV/AIDS progression dynamics. By comparing the performance of the Weibull-based Accelerated Fai...This study investigates the application of the two-parameter Weibull distribution in modeling state holding times within HIV/AIDS progression dynamics. By comparing the performance of the Weibull-based Accelerated Failure Time (AFT) model, Cox Proportional Hazards model, and Survival model, we assess the effectiveness of these models in capturing survival rates across varying gender, age groups, and treatment categories. Simulated data was used to fit the models, with model identification criteria (AIC, BIC, and R2) applied for evaluation. Results indicate that the AFT model is particularly sensitive to interaction terms, showing significant effects for older age groups (50 - 60 years) and treatment interaction, while the Cox model provides a more stable fit across all age groups. The Survival model displayed variability, with its performance diminishing when interaction terms were introduced, particularly in older age groups. Overall, while the AFT model captures the complexities of interactions in the data, the Cox model’s stability suggests it may be better suited for general analyses without strong interaction effects. The findings highlight the importance of model selection in survival analysis, especially in complex disease progression scenarios like HIV/AIDS.展开更多
This paper suggests a new modified version of the traditional Weibull distribution by adding a new shape parameter utilising the modified alpha power transformed technique.We refer to the new model as modified alpha p...This paper suggests a new modified version of the traditional Weibull distribution by adding a new shape parameter utilising the modified alpha power transformed technique.We refer to the new model as modified alpha power transformed Weibull distribution.The attractiveness and significance of the new distribution lie in its power to model monotone and non-monotone failure rate functions,which are quite familiar in environmental investigations.Its hazard rate function can be decreasing,increasing,bathtub and upside-down then bathtub shaped.Diverse structural properties of the proposed model are acquired including quantile function,moments,entropies,order statistics,residual life and reversed failure rate function.The parameters of the distribution were estimated using the maximum likelihood function.The maximum likelihood method is employed to estimate the model parameters and the approximate confidence intervals are also computed.Via a simulation study,the performance of the point and interval estimates are compared using different criteria.Employing real lifetime data sets,we verify that the offered model furnishes a better fit than some other lifetime models including Weibull,gamma and alpha powerWeibull models.展开更多
The objective of this article is to provide a novel extension of the conventional inverse Weibull distribution that adds an extra shape parameter to increase its flexibility.This addition is beneficial in a variety of...The objective of this article is to provide a novel extension of the conventional inverse Weibull distribution that adds an extra shape parameter to increase its flexibility.This addition is beneficial in a variety of fields,including reliability,economics,engineering,biomedical science,biological research,environmental studies,and finance.For modeling real data,several expanded classes of distributions have been established.The modified alpha power transformed approach is used to implement the new model.The datamatches the new inverseWeibull distribution better than the inverse Weibull distribution and several other competing models.It appears to be a distribution designed to support decreasing or unimodal shaped distributions based on its parameters.Precise expressions for quantiles,moments,incomplete moments,moment generating function,characteristic generating function,and entropy expression are among the determined attributes of the new distribution.The point and interval estimates are studied using the maximum likelihood method.Simulation research is conducted to illustrate the correctness of the theoretical results.Three applications to medical and engineering data are utilized to illustrate the model’s flexibility.展开更多
Aim To quantitatively study three characteristics of the Weibull distribution. Methods Theoritical analysis of the three characteristics of parameters of the Weibull distribution was done and mathematics software wa...Aim To quantitatively study three characteristics of the Weibull distribution. Methods Theoritical analysis of the three characteristics of parameters of the Weibull distribution was done and mathematics software was used to make some chart analysis. Results 17 equations and 7 figures were made. Conclusion Under the standard form, the class of the Weibull probable density founction(pdf) curves appear double peak shape. Under the standard form, the maximum value point curve of the Weibull pdf takes line t =0 and t=1 as asymptotes. When β = 3 30-3 40, the Weibull distribution is the most similar to the normal distribution.展开更多
This study was carried out to determine the performance of percentile-based Weibull diameter distribution model for Pinus thunbergii stands thriving along the eastern coast of South Korea. The parameter recovery techn...This study was carried out to determine the performance of percentile-based Weibull diameter distribution model for Pinus thunbergii stands thriving along the eastern coast of South Korea. The parameter recovery technique was used to estimate the three parameters of the Weibull model. The analysis demonstrated satisfactory results based on the following test statistics for the principal percentile models: fit index (FI) range from 0.501(minimum diameter) to 0.932 (50th diameter percentiles) and root mean square error (RMSE) range from 0.112 (quadratic mean diameter) to 3.572 (minimum diameter). The developed model was further evaluated by determining the mean bias (E) in trees per ha (TPH) for each diameter class, and the results showed highest over-prediction in the 20 cm, and under-prediction in the x6 cm and 24 cm diameter classes. The goodness of fit tested by Kolmogorov- Smirnov (KS) test showed no significant differences (P〉0.05) between the observed and predicted diameter distributions for almost all plots. Using site index and aboveground biomass (AGB) models developed for P. thunbergii in South Korea, a model to predict the AGB per ha for each diameter class and subsequently the total AGB of the stand was created. An application guide was also created, which will serve as a decision-support tool for forest managers in quantifying the future total AGB in P. thunbergii stands located in the eastern coast of South Korea and, subsequently, the quantification of potential carbon stocks aside from being a vital input in designing efficient management and protection strategies for these stands.展开更多
An isothermal operation is implemented by employing a thermogravimetric analyzer (TGA) for simulating the thermal decomposition behavior of 58μm pine sawdust in air atmosphere.An independent parallel reaction model i...An isothermal operation is implemented by employing a thermogravimetric analyzer (TGA) for simulating the thermal decomposition behavior of 58μm pine sawdust in air atmosphere.An independent parallel reaction model is adopted in this study to describe the thermal decomposition mechanism.The Weibull distribution function is used to record and analyze the weight loss during isothermal decomposition at different temperatures(500,600,700,and 800°C).The total weight loss of the pine sawdust is assumed as a linear combination of individual weight loss from three components,including the char and two volatile matters.The plot of the thermal decomposition rate curve leads to kinetic parameters such as the reaction rate constants and the reaction order.The results show that the Weibull distribution function successfully represents decomposition curves of three components,and fits the experimental data very well.Therefore,this study provides a simple way to evaluate the decomposition rate of biomass combustion in a real combustor.展开更多
In this paper, we consider the construction of the approximate profile-</span><span style="font-family:""> </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">likelihood confiden...In this paper, we consider the construction of the approximate profile-</span><span style="font-family:""> </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">likelihood confidence intervals for parameters of the 2-parameter Weibull distribution based on small type-2 censored samples. In previous research works, the traditional Wald method has been used to construct approximate confidence intervals for the 2-parameter Weibull distribution</span><span style="font-family:""> </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">under type-2 censoring scheme. However, the Wald technique is based on normality assumption and thus may not produce accurate interval estimates for small samples. The profile-likelihood and Wald confidence intervals are constructed for the shape and scale parameters of the 2-parameter Weibull distribution based on simulated and real type-2 censored data, and are hence compared using confidence length and coverage probability.展开更多
In this paper, a new probability distribution is proposed by using Marshall and Olkin transformation. Some of its properties such as moments, moment generating function, order statistics and reliability functions are ...In this paper, a new probability distribution is proposed by using Marshall and Olkin transformation. Some of its properties such as moments, moment generating function, order statistics and reliability functions are derived. The method of </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">maximum likelihood is used to estimate the model parameters. The graphs of the reliability function and hazard rate function are plotted by taken some values of the parameters. Three real life applications are introduced to compare the behaviour of the new distribution with other distributions.展开更多
Given the steady increase in use of alternative energy sources to supply part of the energy demand of the world, and considering that Mexico has enough wind resources to produce all the electricity required by the cou...Given the steady increase in use of alternative energy sources to supply part of the energy demand of the world, and considering that Mexico has enough wind resources to produce all the electricity required by the country, in this work, it is carried out the development of a system of wind resource assessment to determine the volume of water that a windmill pumping system can provide in a specific area. To this end, it has developed a computer program for wind resource assessment by measurements of wind speed, direction, temperature, barometric pressure and relative humidity. Measuring equipments were mounted in a wind measurement tower of 10 m high, within the premises of the University of Quintana Roo which is located along the coast. Until this day, there are records over a period of five months of the variables of wind speed, wind direction, temperature, relative humidity and atmospheric pressure. These variables were used for statistical calculations using the Weibull distributions. To give a better use of the calculated data, they were applied to the evaluation of a Pumping System.展开更多
In this paper, the location parameter δ_(a) in Weibull distribution i.e. the lower limiting CTOD toughness of high strength steel weldments is evaluated from Gleeble simulated coarse grained specimens. The Charpy-V t...In this paper, the location parameter δ_(a) in Weibull distribution i.e. the lower limiting CTOD toughness of high strength steel weldments is evaluated from Gleeble simulated coarse grained specimens. The Charpy-V transition temperature obtained from these specimens is transformed to a fracture toughness K_(IC) value at a given temperature using Sanz' relation. Then, the location parameter a is δ_(a) evaluated. The predicted location parameter arrives at agreement with the lowest CTOD value as obtained from thick multilayer weldments. The improvement of the fracture toughness of multilayer weldments needs the increase of the lowering limiting CTOD.toughness i.e. the toughness of the coarse grained zone.展开更多
The lifetime data of products with multiple failure modes which are collected from life testing are often fitted by the mixed Weibull distributions. Since the mixed Weibull distributions contain no less than five para...The lifetime data of products with multiple failure modes which are collected from life testing are often fitted by the mixed Weibull distributions. Since the mixed Weibull distributions contain no less than five parameters,the parameter estimation is difficult and inaccurate. In order to enhance the accuracy,a new method of parameter estimation based on Cuckoo search( CS) is proposed. An optimization model for the mixed Weibull distribution is formulated by minimizing the residual sum of squares. The optimal parameters are searched via CS algorithm. In the case study,the lifetime data come from the life testing of diesel injectors and are fitted by the twocomponent Weibull mixture. Regarding the maximum absolute error and the accumulative absolute error between estimated and observed values as the accuracy index of parameter estimation,the results of four parameter estimation methods that the graphic estimation method,the nonlinear least square method,the optimization method based on particle swarm optimization( PSO) and the proposed method are compared. The result shows that the proposed method is more efficient and more accurate than the other three methods.展开更多
Product testing is a key ingredient in maintaining the quality of a pro-duction process.The production process is considered an efficient process if it is capable of quick identification of faulty products.The items p...Product testing is a key ingredient in maintaining the quality of a pro-duction process.The production process is considered an efficient process if it is capable of quick identification of faulty products.The items produced by any production process are usually packed and acceptance or rejection of the pack depends upon its conformity to some specified quality level.Generally,the specified quality level is based upon the number of defective items found in the inspected number of items.Such decisions are based upon some rules and usually acceptance of the pack is based upon a fewer number of defective items in the pack.Such questions can be answered by using acceptance sampling plans.The acceptance sampling plans assume the fact that the quality level of the item follows some probability distribution.The sampling plans based upon some classical probability distributions are available but often it happens that the quality behavior of the product does not follow a simple probability model and hence the available sampling plans fail.In this paper,we have developed acceptance sampling plans when the product life follows a general Weibull distribution.The sampling plans have been constructed by considering the crisp and fuzzy behavior of the acceptance probability.These sampling plans have been constructed by assuming an infinite lot size.It has been found that the number of items required for inspection decreases with an increase in some parameters.展开更多
Moments of generalized order statistics appear in several areas of science and engineering.These moments are useful in studying properties of the random variables which are arranged in increasing order of importance,f...Moments of generalized order statistics appear in several areas of science and engineering.These moments are useful in studying properties of the random variables which are arranged in increasing order of importance,for example,time to failure of a computer system.The computation of these moments is sometimes very tedious and hence some algorithms are required.One algorithm is to use a recursive method of computation of these moments and is very useful as it provides the basis to compute higher moments of generalized order statistics from the corresponding lower-order moments.Generalized order statistics pro-vides several models of ordered data as a special case.The moments of general-ized order statistics also provide moments of order statistics and record values as a special case.In this research,the recurrence relations for single,product,inverse and ratio moments of generalized order statistics will be obtained for Lindley–Weibull distribution.These relations will be helpful for obtained moments of gen-eralized order statistics from Lindley–Weibull distribution recursively.Special cases of the recurrence relations will also be obtained.Some characterizations of the distribution will also be obtained by using moments of generalized order statistics.These relations for moments and characterizations can be used in differ-ent areas of computer sciences where data is arranged in increasing order.展开更多
Probability distributions have been in use for modeling of random phenomenon in various areas of life.Generalization of probability distributions has been the area of interest of several authors in the recent years.Se...Probability distributions have been in use for modeling of random phenomenon in various areas of life.Generalization of probability distributions has been the area of interest of several authors in the recent years.Several situations arise where joint modeling of two random phenomenon is required.In such cases the bivariate distributions are needed.Development of the bivariate distributions necessitates certain conditions,in a field where few work has been performed.This paper deals with a bivariate beta-inverse Weibull distribution.The marginal and conditional distributions from the proposed distribution have been obtained.Expansions for the joint and conditional density functions for the proposed distribution have been obtained.The properties,including product,marginal and conditional moments,joint moment generating function and joint hazard rate function of the proposed bivariate distribution have been studied.Numerical study for the dependence function has been implemented to see the effect of various parameters on the dependence of variables.Estimation of the parameters of the proposed bivariate distribution has been done by using the maximum likelihood method of estimation.Simulation and real data application of the distribution are presented.展开更多
In random network models, sizes for pores and throats are distributed according to a truncated Weibull distribution. As a result, parameters defining the shape of the distribution are critical for the characteristic o...In random network models, sizes for pores and throats are distributed according to a truncated Weibull distribution. As a result, parameters defining the shape of the distribution are critical for the characteristic of the network. In this paper, an algorithm to distribute pores and throats in random network was established to more representatively describe the topology of porous media. First, relations between Weibull parameters and the distribution of dimensionless throat sizes were studied and a series of standard curves were obtained. Then, by analyzing the capillary pressure curve of the core sample, frequency distribution histogram of throat sizes was obtained. All the sizes were transformed to dimensionless numbers ranged from 0 to 1. Curves of the core were compared to the standard curves, and truncated Weibull parameters could be determined according an inverse algorithm. Finally, aspect ratio and average length of throats were adjusted to simultaneously fit the porosity and the capillary pressure curves and the whole network was established. The predicted relative permeability curves were in good agreement with the experimental data of cores, indicating the validity of the algorithm.展开更多
In this paper, we introduce a class of Lindley and Weibull distributions (LW) that are useful for modeling lifetime data with a comprehensive mathematical treatment. The new class of generated distributions includes s...In this paper, we introduce a class of Lindley and Weibull distributions (LW) that are useful for modeling lifetime data with a comprehensive mathematical treatment. The new class of generated distributions includes some well-known distributions, such as exponential, gamma, Weibull, Lindley, inverse gamma, inverse Weibull, inverse Lindley, and others. We provide closed-form expressions for the density, cumulative distribution, survival function, hazard rate function, moments, moments generating function, quantile, and stochastic orderings. Moreover, we discuss maximum likelihood estimation and the algorithm for computing the parameters estimates. Some sub models are discussed as an illustration with real data sets to show the flexibility of this class.展开更多
All technical objects are at risk of damages during the consecutive years of their usage. Reliability of an object is an essential issue during its usage. The main problem is the strive to eliminate damage formation. ...All technical objects are at risk of damages during the consecutive years of their usage. Reliability of an object is an essential issue during its usage. The main problem is the strive to eliminate damage formation. Predicting the reliability of an object should allow qualitative and quantitative analysis of the possibility of occurrence of unfavorable events. The adaptation of mathematical models describing the degradation processes in mechanical and electronic devices creates opportunities to develop diagnostic standards for buildings erected in traditional technology. The article presents the methodology of prediction of reliability of a building, and the values of performance features are defined by the parameters of the Weibull distribution function.展开更多
In this paper,we introduce a new four-parameter version of the traditional Weibull distribution.It is able to provide seven shapes of hazard rate,including constant,decreasing,increasing,unimodal,bathtub,unimodal then...In this paper,we introduce a new four-parameter version of the traditional Weibull distribution.It is able to provide seven shapes of hazard rate,including constant,decreasing,increasing,unimodal,bathtub,unimodal then bathtub,and bathtub then unimodal shapes.Some basic characteristics of the proposedmodel are studied,including moments,entropies,mean deviations and order statistics,and its parameters are estimated using the maximum likelihood approach.Based on the asymptotic properties of the estimators,the approximate confidence intervals are also taken into consideration in addition to the point estimators.We examine the effectiveness of the maximum likelihood estimators of the model’s parameters through simulation research.Based on the simulation findings,it can be concluded that the provided estimators are consistent and that asymptotic normality is a good method to get the interval estimates.Three actual data sets for COVID-19,engineering and blood cancer are used to empirically demonstrate the new distribution’s usefulness inmodeling real-world data.The analysis demonstrates the proposed distribution’s ability in modeling many forms of data as opposed to some of its well-known sub-models,such as alpha powerWeibull distribution.展开更多
In engineering applications,the notch effect and size effect significantly influence the evaluation of fatigue performance in components,necessitating special attention in life prediction.This study proposes a new pro...In engineering applications,the notch effect and size effect significantly influence the evaluation of fatigue performance in components,necessitating special attention in life prediction.This study proposes a new probabilistic model,based on the theory of critical distance(TCD),to predict fatigue life,with the aim of quantitatively assessing the impact of notch effect and size effect.The stress distribution on the critical plane is first characterized using a sixth-order multinomial function,and the relative stress gradient function is utilized to calculate the value of the critical distance.Furthermore,the effect of the ratio of shear strain to normal strain on fatigue life under multiaxial loading is considered.Additionally,the integration of the Weibull distribution into the TCD is employed for conducting probabilistic modeling of fatigue life.Finally,fatigue experiments are conducted on notched specimens of Q355D steel,demonstrating that the life prediction results under 50%survival probability are superior to the traditional TCD method.展开更多
Diameter frequency distribution in a specific stand provides basic information for forest resources management. In this study, four probability models were applied to analyze diameter distribution of natural forests a...Diameter frequency distribution in a specific stand provides basic information for forest resources management. In this study, four probability models were applied to analyze diameter distribution of natural forests after selective cutting with different intensities (low intensity of 13.0% in volume, medium intensity of 29.1%, high intensity of 45.8%, and extra-high intensity of 67.1%) The results show that the skewness and kurtosis of the four models are positive except that of low intensity selective cutting, which suggest that the number of small-size trees dominate the stand. The more intensity of selective cutting, the wider range of diameter distributions. The diameter structure of selective cutting with low intensity met Weibull and Beta distributions; that of medium intensity met Weibull, negative exponential as well as Gamma distributions; that of high intensity cutting met Weibull and negative exponential distributions, but that of extra-high intensity could not meet any above model. Weibull distribution model fits better than others regarding the structure of diameter distribution in natural forests managed on polycyclic cutting system. The results will provide basic information for sustainable management for mixed natural stands managed on a polycyclic cutting system.展开更多
文摘This study investigates the application of the two-parameter Weibull distribution in modeling state holding times within HIV/AIDS progression dynamics. By comparing the performance of the Weibull-based Accelerated Failure Time (AFT) model, Cox Proportional Hazards model, and Survival model, we assess the effectiveness of these models in capturing survival rates across varying gender, age groups, and treatment categories. Simulated data was used to fit the models, with model identification criteria (AIC, BIC, and R2) applied for evaluation. Results indicate that the AFT model is particularly sensitive to interaction terms, showing significant effects for older age groups (50 - 60 years) and treatment interaction, while the Cox model provides a more stable fit across all age groups. The Survival model displayed variability, with its performance diminishing when interaction terms were introduced, particularly in older age groups. Overall, while the AFT model captures the complexities of interactions in the data, the Cox model’s stability suggests it may be better suited for general analyses without strong interaction effects. The findings highlight the importance of model selection in survival analysis, especially in complex disease progression scenarios like HIV/AIDS.
基金funded by Princess Nourah bint Abdulrahman University Researchers Supporting Project No.(PNURSP2022R50),Princess Nourah bint Abdulrahman University,Riyadh,Saudi Arabia.
文摘This paper suggests a new modified version of the traditional Weibull distribution by adding a new shape parameter utilising the modified alpha power transformed technique.We refer to the new model as modified alpha power transformed Weibull distribution.The attractiveness and significance of the new distribution lie in its power to model monotone and non-monotone failure rate functions,which are quite familiar in environmental investigations.Its hazard rate function can be decreasing,increasing,bathtub and upside-down then bathtub shaped.Diverse structural properties of the proposed model are acquired including quantile function,moments,entropies,order statistics,residual life and reversed failure rate function.The parameters of the distribution were estimated using the maximum likelihood function.The maximum likelihood method is employed to estimate the model parameters and the approximate confidence intervals are also computed.Via a simulation study,the performance of the point and interval estimates are compared using different criteria.Employing real lifetime data sets,we verify that the offered model furnishes a better fit than some other lifetime models including Weibull,gamma and alpha powerWeibull models.
基金funded by Princess Nourah bint Abdulrahman University Researchers Supporting Project No. (PNURSP2022R50),Princess Nourah bint Abdulrahman University,Riyadh,Saudi Arabia.
文摘The objective of this article is to provide a novel extension of the conventional inverse Weibull distribution that adds an extra shape parameter to increase its flexibility.This addition is beneficial in a variety of fields,including reliability,economics,engineering,biomedical science,biological research,environmental studies,and finance.For modeling real data,several expanded classes of distributions have been established.The modified alpha power transformed approach is used to implement the new model.The datamatches the new inverseWeibull distribution better than the inverse Weibull distribution and several other competing models.It appears to be a distribution designed to support decreasing or unimodal shaped distributions based on its parameters.Precise expressions for quantiles,moments,incomplete moments,moment generating function,characteristic generating function,and entropy expression are among the determined attributes of the new distribution.The point and interval estimates are studied using the maximum likelihood method.Simulation research is conducted to illustrate the correctness of the theoretical results.Three applications to medical and engineering data are utilized to illustrate the model’s flexibility.
文摘Aim To quantitatively study three characteristics of the Weibull distribution. Methods Theoritical analysis of the three characteristics of parameters of the Weibull distribution was done and mathematics software was used to make some chart analysis. Results 17 equations and 7 figures were made. Conclusion Under the standard form, the class of the Weibull probable density founction(pdf) curves appear double peak shape. Under the standard form, the maximum value point curve of the Weibull pdf takes line t =0 and t=1 as asymptotes. When β = 3 30-3 40, the Weibull distribution is the most similar to the normal distribution.
基金support from the Forest Science and Technology Projects(Project No.S211415L010140)provided by the Korea Forest Service
文摘This study was carried out to determine the performance of percentile-based Weibull diameter distribution model for Pinus thunbergii stands thriving along the eastern coast of South Korea. The parameter recovery technique was used to estimate the three parameters of the Weibull model. The analysis demonstrated satisfactory results based on the following test statistics for the principal percentile models: fit index (FI) range from 0.501(minimum diameter) to 0.932 (50th diameter percentiles) and root mean square error (RMSE) range from 0.112 (quadratic mean diameter) to 3.572 (minimum diameter). The developed model was further evaluated by determining the mean bias (E) in trees per ha (TPH) for each diameter class, and the results showed highest over-prediction in the 20 cm, and under-prediction in the x6 cm and 24 cm diameter classes. The goodness of fit tested by Kolmogorov- Smirnov (KS) test showed no significant differences (P〉0.05) between the observed and predicted diameter distributions for almost all plots. Using site index and aboveground biomass (AGB) models developed for P. thunbergii in South Korea, a model to predict the AGB per ha for each diameter class and subsequently the total AGB of the stand was created. An application guide was also created, which will serve as a decision-support tool for forest managers in quantifying the future total AGB in P. thunbergii stands located in the eastern coast of South Korea and, subsequently, the quantification of potential carbon stocks aside from being a vital input in designing efficient management and protection strategies for these stands.
基金Supported by the Chung Yuan Christian University (CYCU-97-CR-CE)
文摘An isothermal operation is implemented by employing a thermogravimetric analyzer (TGA) for simulating the thermal decomposition behavior of 58μm pine sawdust in air atmosphere.An independent parallel reaction model is adopted in this study to describe the thermal decomposition mechanism.The Weibull distribution function is used to record and analyze the weight loss during isothermal decomposition at different temperatures(500,600,700,and 800°C).The total weight loss of the pine sawdust is assumed as a linear combination of individual weight loss from three components,including the char and two volatile matters.The plot of the thermal decomposition rate curve leads to kinetic parameters such as the reaction rate constants and the reaction order.The results show that the Weibull distribution function successfully represents decomposition curves of three components,and fits the experimental data very well.Therefore,this study provides a simple way to evaluate the decomposition rate of biomass combustion in a real combustor.
文摘In this paper, we consider the construction of the approximate profile-</span><span style="font-family:""> </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">likelihood confidence intervals for parameters of the 2-parameter Weibull distribution based on small type-2 censored samples. In previous research works, the traditional Wald method has been used to construct approximate confidence intervals for the 2-parameter Weibull distribution</span><span style="font-family:""> </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">under type-2 censoring scheme. However, the Wald technique is based on normality assumption and thus may not produce accurate interval estimates for small samples. The profile-likelihood and Wald confidence intervals are constructed for the shape and scale parameters of the 2-parameter Weibull distribution based on simulated and real type-2 censored data, and are hence compared using confidence length and coverage probability.
文摘In this paper, a new probability distribution is proposed by using Marshall and Olkin transformation. Some of its properties such as moments, moment generating function, order statistics and reliability functions are derived. The method of </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">maximum likelihood is used to estimate the model parameters. The graphs of the reliability function and hazard rate function are plotted by taken some values of the parameters. Three real life applications are introduced to compare the behaviour of the new distribution with other distributions.
文摘Given the steady increase in use of alternative energy sources to supply part of the energy demand of the world, and considering that Mexico has enough wind resources to produce all the electricity required by the country, in this work, it is carried out the development of a system of wind resource assessment to determine the volume of water that a windmill pumping system can provide in a specific area. To this end, it has developed a computer program for wind resource assessment by measurements of wind speed, direction, temperature, barometric pressure and relative humidity. Measuring equipments were mounted in a wind measurement tower of 10 m high, within the premises of the University of Quintana Roo which is located along the coast. Until this day, there are records over a period of five months of the variables of wind speed, wind direction, temperature, relative humidity and atmospheric pressure. These variables were used for statistical calculations using the Weibull distributions. To give a better use of the calculated data, they were applied to the evaluation of a Pumping System.
文摘In this paper, the location parameter δ_(a) in Weibull distribution i.e. the lower limiting CTOD toughness of high strength steel weldments is evaluated from Gleeble simulated coarse grained specimens. The Charpy-V transition temperature obtained from these specimens is transformed to a fracture toughness K_(IC) value at a given temperature using Sanz' relation. Then, the location parameter a is δ_(a) evaluated. The predicted location parameter arrives at agreement with the lowest CTOD value as obtained from thick multilayer weldments. The improvement of the fracture toughness of multilayer weldments needs the increase of the lowering limiting CTOD.toughness i.e. the toughness of the coarse grained zone.
文摘The lifetime data of products with multiple failure modes which are collected from life testing are often fitted by the mixed Weibull distributions. Since the mixed Weibull distributions contain no less than five parameters,the parameter estimation is difficult and inaccurate. In order to enhance the accuracy,a new method of parameter estimation based on Cuckoo search( CS) is proposed. An optimization model for the mixed Weibull distribution is formulated by minimizing the residual sum of squares. The optimal parameters are searched via CS algorithm. In the case study,the lifetime data come from the life testing of diesel injectors and are fitted by the twocomponent Weibull mixture. Regarding the maximum absolute error and the accumulative absolute error between estimated and observed values as the accuracy index of parameter estimation,the results of four parameter estimation methods that the graphic estimation method,the nonlinear least square method,the optimization method based on particle swarm optimization( PSO) and the proposed method are compared. The result shows that the proposed method is more efficient and more accurate than the other three methods.
文摘Product testing is a key ingredient in maintaining the quality of a pro-duction process.The production process is considered an efficient process if it is capable of quick identification of faulty products.The items produced by any production process are usually packed and acceptance or rejection of the pack depends upon its conformity to some specified quality level.Generally,the specified quality level is based upon the number of defective items found in the inspected number of items.Such decisions are based upon some rules and usually acceptance of the pack is based upon a fewer number of defective items in the pack.Such questions can be answered by using acceptance sampling plans.The acceptance sampling plans assume the fact that the quality level of the item follows some probability distribution.The sampling plans based upon some classical probability distributions are available but often it happens that the quality behavior of the product does not follow a simple probability model and hence the available sampling plans fail.In this paper,we have developed acceptance sampling plans when the product life follows a general Weibull distribution.The sampling plans have been constructed by considering the crisp and fuzzy behavior of the acceptance probability.These sampling plans have been constructed by assuming an infinite lot size.It has been found that the number of items required for inspection decreases with an increase in some parameters.
基金The work was funded by the University of Jeddah,Saudi Arabia under Grant Number UJ–02–093–DR.The authors,therefore,acknowledge with thanks the University for technical and financial support.
文摘Moments of generalized order statistics appear in several areas of science and engineering.These moments are useful in studying properties of the random variables which are arranged in increasing order of importance,for example,time to failure of a computer system.The computation of these moments is sometimes very tedious and hence some algorithms are required.One algorithm is to use a recursive method of computation of these moments and is very useful as it provides the basis to compute higher moments of generalized order statistics from the corresponding lower-order moments.Generalized order statistics pro-vides several models of ordered data as a special case.The moments of general-ized order statistics also provide moments of order statistics and record values as a special case.In this research,the recurrence relations for single,product,inverse and ratio moments of generalized order statistics will be obtained for Lindley–Weibull distribution.These relations will be helpful for obtained moments of gen-eralized order statistics from Lindley–Weibull distribution recursively.Special cases of the recurrence relations will also be obtained.Some characterizations of the distribution will also be obtained by using moments of generalized order statistics.These relations for moments and characterizations can be used in differ-ent areas of computer sciences where data is arranged in increasing order.
基金funded by the Deanship of Scientific Research(DSR),King Abdulaziz University,Jeddah under grant number(D-153-130-1441).The author,therefore,gratefully acknowledge the DSR technical and financial support.
文摘Probability distributions have been in use for modeling of random phenomenon in various areas of life.Generalization of probability distributions has been the area of interest of several authors in the recent years.Several situations arise where joint modeling of two random phenomenon is required.In such cases the bivariate distributions are needed.Development of the bivariate distributions necessitates certain conditions,in a field where few work has been performed.This paper deals with a bivariate beta-inverse Weibull distribution.The marginal and conditional distributions from the proposed distribution have been obtained.Expansions for the joint and conditional density functions for the proposed distribution have been obtained.The properties,including product,marginal and conditional moments,joint moment generating function and joint hazard rate function of the proposed bivariate distribution have been studied.Numerical study for the dependence function has been implemented to see the effect of various parameters on the dependence of variables.Estimation of the parameters of the proposed bivariate distribution has been done by using the maximum likelihood method of estimation.Simulation and real data application of the distribution are presented.
文摘In random network models, sizes for pores and throats are distributed according to a truncated Weibull distribution. As a result, parameters defining the shape of the distribution are critical for the characteristic of the network. In this paper, an algorithm to distribute pores and throats in random network was established to more representatively describe the topology of porous media. First, relations between Weibull parameters and the distribution of dimensionless throat sizes were studied and a series of standard curves were obtained. Then, by analyzing the capillary pressure curve of the core sample, frequency distribution histogram of throat sizes was obtained. All the sizes were transformed to dimensionless numbers ranged from 0 to 1. Curves of the core were compared to the standard curves, and truncated Weibull parameters could be determined according an inverse algorithm. Finally, aspect ratio and average length of throats were adjusted to simultaneously fit the porosity and the capillary pressure curves and the whole network was established. The predicted relative permeability curves were in good agreement with the experimental data of cores, indicating the validity of the algorithm.
文摘In this paper, we introduce a class of Lindley and Weibull distributions (LW) that are useful for modeling lifetime data with a comprehensive mathematical treatment. The new class of generated distributions includes some well-known distributions, such as exponential, gamma, Weibull, Lindley, inverse gamma, inverse Weibull, inverse Lindley, and others. We provide closed-form expressions for the density, cumulative distribution, survival function, hazard rate function, moments, moments generating function, quantile, and stochastic orderings. Moreover, we discuss maximum likelihood estimation and the algorithm for computing the parameters estimates. Some sub models are discussed as an illustration with real data sets to show the flexibility of this class.
文摘All technical objects are at risk of damages during the consecutive years of their usage. Reliability of an object is an essential issue during its usage. The main problem is the strive to eliminate damage formation. Predicting the reliability of an object should allow qualitative and quantitative analysis of the possibility of occurrence of unfavorable events. The adaptation of mathematical models describing the degradation processes in mechanical and electronic devices creates opportunities to develop diagnostic standards for buildings erected in traditional technology. The article presents the methodology of prediction of reliability of a building, and the values of performance features are defined by the parameters of the Weibull distribution function.
基金The Deanship of Scientific Research(DSR)at King Abdulaziz University,Jeddah,Saudi Arabia has funded this project under Grant No.(G-102-130-1443).
文摘In this paper,we introduce a new four-parameter version of the traditional Weibull distribution.It is able to provide seven shapes of hazard rate,including constant,decreasing,increasing,unimodal,bathtub,unimodal then bathtub,and bathtub then unimodal shapes.Some basic characteristics of the proposedmodel are studied,including moments,entropies,mean deviations and order statistics,and its parameters are estimated using the maximum likelihood approach.Based on the asymptotic properties of the estimators,the approximate confidence intervals are also taken into consideration in addition to the point estimators.We examine the effectiveness of the maximum likelihood estimators of the model’s parameters through simulation research.Based on the simulation findings,it can be concluded that the provided estimators are consistent and that asymptotic normality is a good method to get the interval estimates.Three actual data sets for COVID-19,engineering and blood cancer are used to empirically demonstrate the new distribution’s usefulness inmodeling real-world data.The analysis demonstrates the proposed distribution’s ability in modeling many forms of data as opposed to some of its well-known sub-models,such as alpha powerWeibull distribution.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Number 52365016)Gansu Province Young Doctor Fund Project(Grant Number 2023QB-030)Lanzhou University of Technology Graduate Research Exploration Project.
文摘In engineering applications,the notch effect and size effect significantly influence the evaluation of fatigue performance in components,necessitating special attention in life prediction.This study proposes a new probabilistic model,based on the theory of critical distance(TCD),to predict fatigue life,with the aim of quantitatively assessing the impact of notch effect and size effect.The stress distribution on the critical plane is first characterized using a sixth-order multinomial function,and the relative stress gradient function is utilized to calculate the value of the critical distance.Furthermore,the effect of the ratio of shear strain to normal strain on fatigue life under multiaxial loading is considered.Additionally,the integration of the Weibull distribution into the TCD is employed for conducting probabilistic modeling of fatigue life.Finally,fatigue experiments are conducted on notched specimens of Q355D steel,demonstrating that the life prediction results under 50%survival probability are superior to the traditional TCD method.
基金supported by the National Natural Sci-ence Foundation of China (Grant No. 30972359)the Natural Science Foundation of Fujian Provinceince (No. 2008J0327, 2009J01232)
文摘Diameter frequency distribution in a specific stand provides basic information for forest resources management. In this study, four probability models were applied to analyze diameter distribution of natural forests after selective cutting with different intensities (low intensity of 13.0% in volume, medium intensity of 29.1%, high intensity of 45.8%, and extra-high intensity of 67.1%) The results show that the skewness and kurtosis of the four models are positive except that of low intensity selective cutting, which suggest that the number of small-size trees dominate the stand. The more intensity of selective cutting, the wider range of diameter distributions. The diameter structure of selective cutting with low intensity met Weibull and Beta distributions; that of medium intensity met Weibull, negative exponential as well as Gamma distributions; that of high intensity cutting met Weibull and negative exponential distributions, but that of extra-high intensity could not meet any above model. Weibull distribution model fits better than others regarding the structure of diameter distribution in natural forests managed on polycyclic cutting system. The results will provide basic information for sustainable management for mixed natural stands managed on a polycyclic cutting system.