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梅娘在1942:太平洋战争下的文化触变与认同游移——以她与《妇女杂志》《实报》的关系考释为中心 被引量:1
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作者 陈言 《现代中文学刊》 北大核心 2015年第6期57-64,共8页
梅娘从1942年起任职《妇女杂志》社,并在该杂志上发表大量作品;同时她还在《实报》的"某夫人信箱"专栏任编辑,充当社会调停人的角色。本文通过梳理梅娘与这些报刊的关系,指出:梅娘这一时期频频出入公共视野,将自身提升为具有... 梅娘从1942年起任职《妇女杂志》社,并在该杂志上发表大量作品;同时她还在《实报》的"某夫人信箱"专栏任编辑,充当社会调停人的角色。本文通过梳理梅娘与这些报刊的关系,指出:梅娘这一时期频频出入公共视野,将自身提升为具有公共知识分子意味的角色,她以及同时代女性报刊的高度个性化和性别化的发声,补充了抵抗、妥协的二元殖民叙事。然而梅娘的复杂性在于:在不被强迫的情况下,她却肯定并宣扬了"大东亚圣战"的意义,这种繁复多变的殖民体验与民族认同,消解了民族主义话语非此即彼的二元论,它为我们了解战时下中国知识分子回应殖民统治的方式提供了新视角,梅娘的犹疑和矛盾也揭示了沦陷北京文化所包含的矛盾、冲突和讽刺意味。 展开更多
关键词 梅娘 《妇女杂志》 女性主义 《实报》 身份认同
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论民国时期平津民营报刊营业化转型的局限——以《实报》在南京国民政府“不抵抗政策”时期的言论为个案
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作者 李杰琼 《北大新闻与传播评论》 CSSCI 2013年第1期229-245,共17页
本文以1931年至1932年为研究时段(南京国民政府对日本侵略军采取'不抵抗'政策时期),以现存1931年10月至1932年4月问出版的《实报》原件为资料,对该报头版刊登的134篇论说文章的主要观点进行归纳与梳理,以期把握该报此时期的基... 本文以1931年至1932年为研究时段(南京国民政府对日本侵略军采取'不抵抗'政策时期),以现存1931年10月至1932年4月问出版的《实报》原件为资料,对该报头版刊登的134篇论说文章的主要观点进行归纳与梳理,以期把握该报此时期的基本立场与论调变化。同时参照新闻传播学界及历史学界的相关研究,比较《实报》与同时期平、津其他报纸观点的异同,以便对该报的论调特征,以及同时期平津报界言论的共性获得更准确的把握。期望透过此个案,能够了解平、津报界自九一八事变后,历经'一·二八'事变,在不同阶段对中日关系和救亡图存的基本态度,并管窥民营报刊在具体历史语境下,自我标榜与新闻实践之间的裂痕,由此探讨20世纪30年代平津报界'营业化转型'的历史局限性。 展开更多
关键词 民国新闻史 私营 营业化转型 《实报》
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北京市民文化品格的中心情结:“吟味”——以一九三○年至一九三三年的《实报》为例 被引量:2
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作者 李楠 《书城》 2009年第6期54-57,共4页
在翻检晚清、民国时期北京小报的过程中,感触最深的是,北京小报与上海小报虽共存于同一个时空,都是以休闲、趣味为主旨,但报纸风貌在某种意义上竟大相径庭。上海小报营造的是一个充斥着日常琐屑物质、名人流言、摩登流行和欲望涌动的令... 在翻检晚清、民国时期北京小报的过程中,感触最深的是,北京小报与上海小报虽共存于同一个时空,都是以休闲、趣味为主旨,但报纸风貌在某种意义上竟大相径庭。上海小报营造的是一个充斥着日常琐屑物质、名人流言、摩登流行和欲望涌动的令人目眩的都市; 展开更多
关键词 北京 九三 《实报》 市民 文化品格
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宫颈癌的早期筛查和实验室诊断
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作者 康浴霞 《赤峰学院学报(自然科学版)》 2009年第11期49-49,共1页
探讨子宫颈癌的种类及其发病机制,宫颈癌的早期实验室诊断,实验室TBS报告的书写.
关键词 宫颈癌 验诊断 TBS告系统
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Design of intelligent transformer monitoring system based on GSM 被引量:3
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作者 Kaiyuan Zheng 《International Journal of Technology Management》 2014年第1期35-37,共3页
This paper proposes a method for transformer fault detection system based on GSM network, through the current transformer, voltage sensor information, the known fault information attribute conditions, and the feedback... This paper proposes a method for transformer fault detection system based on GSM network, through the current transformer, voltage sensor information, the known fault information attribute conditions, and the feedback weighted coefficient through the adaptive feed forward, that can obtain high fault information attributes, thus filtering interference factors and timely get fault information properties. It solves the traditional transformer can only judge general fault and fault real-time alarm by GSM network, the system also can measure the transformer oil temperature and oil temperature alarm in super high temperature, to detect the power transformer operation parameters, and the fault running state (over-current, over-voltage, under-voltage, warning). The actual test system show that, diagnosis ability of fault signal separation ability and small signal identification increases 17%. also meet the requirements of real-time. 展开更多
关键词 TRANSFORMER fault detection: GSM real-time monitoring
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EXPERIMENTAL STUDY OF THE ROLE OF INITIAL AND BOUNDARY CONDITIONS IN MESOSCALE NUMERICAL WEATHER PREDICTION 被引量:1
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作者 闫敬华 Detlev Majewski 《Journal of Tropical Meteorology》 SCIE 2003年第2期134-142,共9页
Based on the real case of a frontal precipitation process affecting South China, 27 controlled numerical experiments was made for the effects of hydrostatic and non-hydrostatic effects, different driving models, combi... Based on the real case of a frontal precipitation process affecting South China, 27 controlled numerical experiments was made for the effects of hydrostatic and non-hydrostatic effects, different driving models, combinations of initial/boundary conditions, updates of lateral values and initial time levels of forecast, on model predictions. Features about the impact of initial/boundary conditions on mesoscale numerical weather prediction (NWP) model are analyzed and discussed in detail. Some theoretically and practically valuable conclusions are drawn. It is found that the overall tendency of mesoscale NWP models is governed by its driving model, with the initial conditions showing remarkable impacts on mesoscale models for the first I0 hours of the predictions while leaving lateral boundary conditions to take care the period beyond; the latter affect the inner area of mesoscale predictions mainly through the propagation and movement of weather signals (waves) of different time scales; initial values of external model parameters such as soil moisture content may affect predictions of more longer time validity, while fast signals may be filtered away and only information with time scale 4 times as large as or more than the updated period of boundary values may be introduced, through lateral boundary, to mesoseale models, etc. Some results may be taken as important guidance on mesoseale model and its data a.ssimilation developments of the future. 展开更多
关键词 numerical weather prediction mesoseale initial condition boundary condition
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3种添加配方奶的喂养方式对促进母乳喂养的影响 被引量:4
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作者 姚喜 《中国社区医师(医学专业)》 2011年第34期331-332,共2页
目的:探讨3种添加配方奶的喂养方式对促进母乳喂养的影响。方法:将出生3天内的300例剖宫产术后有添加配方奶指征的新生儿随机分为3组,观察(100例)新生儿用母乳喂养促进器喂养,对照组1(100例)新生儿用奶瓶喂养,对照组2(100例)新生儿用小... 目的:探讨3种添加配方奶的喂养方式对促进母乳喂养的影响。方法:将出生3天内的300例剖宫产术后有添加配方奶指征的新生儿随机分为3组,观察(100例)新生儿用母乳喂养促进器喂养,对照组1(100例)新生儿用奶瓶喂养,对照组2(100例)新生儿用小勺喂养;比较新生儿产生乳头错觉的情况、产妇母乳充盈的时间、发生产妇奶胀的情况。结果:观察组新生儿产生乳头错觉3例、产妇母乳充盈的时间术后42小时、产妇奶胀4例;对照组1新生儿产生乳头错觉32例、产妇母乳充盈的时间术后66小时,产妇奶胀38例;对照组2新生儿产生乳头错觉84例、产妇母乳充盈的时间术后72小时,产妇奶胀78例。结论:用母乳喂养促进器喂养明显优于用奶瓶喂养及小勺喂养,新生儿产生乳头错觉极低,母乳充盈的时间较短,产奶较快,产妇奶胀的发生率低(P<0.01),可增强产妇母乳喂养的信心,有效地促进母乳喂养的成功。 展开更多
关键词 配方奶喂养 乳头错觉 母乳充盈 奶胀
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Accounting Policies of Companies Reporting According to IFRS
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作者 Lenka Krupova Jaroslava Roubickova 《Journal of Modern Accounting and Auditing》 2011年第4期351-357,共7页
The article deals with accounting policies of companies reporting in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS). Despite of being in accordance with corresponding standards, there are some pa... The article deals with accounting policies of companies reporting in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS). Despite of being in accordance with corresponding standards, there are some particular accounting policies that are not being used by companies. The article aims to highlight some of these areas and point out to accounting policies that are prevalent in IFRS's accounting practice 展开更多
关键词 IFRS accounting policies valuation models borrowing costs income statement hedge accounting depreciation models
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Multiple immune disorders in unrecognized celiac disease:a case report 被引量:2
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作者 Giorgio LaVilla Pietro Pantaleo +4 位作者 Roberto Tarquini Lino Cirami Federico Perfetto Francesco Mancuso Giacomo Laffi 《World Journal of Gastroenterology》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2003年第6期1377-1380,共4页
We reported a female patient with unrecognized celiac disease and multiple extra intestinal manifestations, mainly related to a deranged immune function, including macroamilasemia, macrolipasemia, IgA nephropathy,thyr... We reported a female patient with unrecognized celiac disease and multiple extra intestinal manifestations, mainly related to a deranged immune function, including macroamilasemia, macrolipasemia, IgA nephropathy,thyroiditis, and anti-b2-glicoprotein-1 antibodies, that disappeared or improved after the implementation of a gluten-free diet. 展开更多
关键词 Abortion Habitual Adult Celiac Disease Diet Female Glomerulonephritis IGA GLUTEN dosage Humans HYPERAMYLASEMIA Immune System Diseases Lipase Thyroiditis Autoimmune
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PTEN and PDCD4 are Bona Fide Targets of microRNA-21 in Human Cholangiocarcinoma 被引量:13
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作者 Chang-zheng Liu Wei Liu +5 位作者 Yi Zheng Jin-mei Su Jing--jing Li Lan Yu Xiao-dong He Song-sen Chen 《Chinese Medical Sciences Journal》 CAS CSCD 2012年第2期65-72,共8页
Objective To investigate the expression profile of microRNA-21 in human cholangiocarcinoma tis- sues and to validate its bona fide targets in human cholangiocarcinoma cells. Methods The expression profile of microRNA... Objective To investigate the expression profile of microRNA-21 in human cholangiocarcinoma tis- sues and to validate its bona fide targets in human cholangiocarcinoma cells. Methods The expression profile of microRNA-21 in human cholangiocarcinoma tissues and cholan- giocarcinoma cell line, QBC939, was evaluated by using real-time PCR analysis. The bona fide targets of microRNA-21 were analyzed and confirmed by dual luciferase reporter gene assay and western blot, respec- tively. The expressional correlation of microRNA-21 and its targets was probed in human cholangiocarci- noma tissues by using real-time PCR, locked nucleic acid in situ hybridization (LNA-ISH), and immunohis- tochemistry analysis. Results Real-time PCR analysis revealed that microRNA-21 expression depicted a significant up-regulation in human cholangiocarcinoma tissues about 5.6-fold as compared to the matched normal bileduct tissues (P〈0.05). The dual luciferase reporter gene assay revealed endogenous microRNA-21 in cholan- giocarcinoma cell line, QBC939, inhibited the luciferase reporter activities of wild-type PTEN (P〈0.01) and PDCD4 (P〈0.05) and had no this effect on mutated PTEN and PDCD4. Moreover, loss of microRNA-21 function led to a significant increase of PTEN and PDCD4 protein levels in QBC939 cells. Elevated microRNA-21 levels were accompanied by marked reductions of PTEN and PDCD4 expression in the same cholangiocarcinoma tissue. Conclusion microRNA-21 expression is up PDCD4 are direct effectors of microRNA-21. regulated in human cholangiocarcinoma and PTEN, 展开更多
关键词 CHOLANGIOCARCINOMA MICRORNA-21 phosphatase and tensin homolog programmed cell death 4
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A novel recurrent neural network forecasting model for power intelligence center 被引量:6
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作者 刘吉成 牛东晓 《Journal of Central South University of Technology》 EI 2008年第5期726-732,共7页
In order to accurately forecast the load of power system and enhance the stability of the power network, a novel unascertained mathematics based recurrent neural network (UMRNN) for power intelligence center (PIC) was... In order to accurately forecast the load of power system and enhance the stability of the power network, a novel unascertained mathematics based recurrent neural network (UMRNN) for power intelligence center (PIC) was created through three steps. First, by combining with the general project uncertain element transmission theory (GPUET), the basic definitions of stochastic, fuzzy, and grey uncertain elements were given based on the principal types of uncertain information. Second, a power dynamic alliance including four sectors: generation sector, transmission sector, distribution sector and customers was established. The key factors were amended according to the four transmission topologies of uncertain elements, thus the new factors entered the power intelligence center as the input elements. Finally, in the intelligence handing background of PIC, by performing uncertain and recursive process to the input values of network, and combining unascertained mathematics, the novel load forecasting model was built. Three different approaches were put forward to forecast an eastern regional power grid load in China. The root mean square error (ERMS) demonstrates that the forecasting accuracy of the proposed model UMRNN is 3% higher than that of BP neural network (BPNN), and 5% higher than that of autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA). Besides, an example also shows that the average relative error of the first quarter of 2008 forecasted by UMRNN is only 2.59%, which has high precision. 展开更多
关键词 load forecasting uncertain element power intelligence center unascertained mathematics recurrent neural network
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Real-Time Monitoring and Flagging of Extreme Value Forecasts A Practical Example and Interesting Findings
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作者 Gerard Croteau 《Journal of Earth Science and Engineering》 2016年第4期191-199,共9页
Forecasts of record values are usually avoided unless expected to occur with great confidence within less than 48 hours, or in association with an extreme event such as a hurricane. Otherwise the risk of a high visibi... Forecasts of record values are usually avoided unless expected to occur with great confidence within less than 48 hours, or in association with an extreme event such as a hurricane. Otherwise the risk of a high visibility false alarm outweighs the benefit of a correct early hit. Yet automated forecasts may occasionally include record values beyond day 2, which forecasters may choose to downplay, or not. In Canada, forecasters keep their focus on high impact weather for days l and 2, so that forecasts for day 3 and beyond are mostly automated and usually released after a quick glance. So a process was designed to bring up cases where automated temperature forecasts exceed known records for a number of sites, with the sole purpose of alerting the forecasters who may decide whether or not modifications are needed before release. As a by-product it is found that some record temperature forecasts are issued every day in Canada, even more records are actually observed, and in recent years there have been twice as many new high records as low ones. We discuss the origin of the process, its logics, its current status, interesting findings, and possible improvements. 展开更多
关键词 STATISTICS temperature forecasts RECORDS
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Some Problems Related to the Construction of Groundwater Wells for Earthquake Monitoring
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作者 Che Yongtai Yu Jinzi Zhu Chengying 《Earthquake Research in China》 CSCD 2016年第4期612-621,共10页
This paper discusses technical requirements for location selection,structure design,and drilling of groundwater monitoring wells for earthquake studies on the bases of national and earthquake-prediction specific techn... This paper discusses technical requirements for location selection,structure design,and drilling of groundwater monitoring wells for earthquake studies on the bases of national and earthquake-prediction specific technical standards as well as practical experience from construction of such wells. 展开更多
关键词 Well location Well structure Drilling construction GROUNDWATER monitoring wells for earthquakes
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EXPERIMENTS ON ASSIMILATION OF INITIAL VALUES IN NUMERICAL PREDICTION OF A WARM-SECTOR PRECIPITATION IN SOUTH CHINA
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作者 张诚忠 万齐林 +2 位作者 黄燕燕 陈子通 丁伟钰 《Journal of Tropical Meteorology》 SCIE 2009年第1期73-77,共5页
In order to understand the impact of initial conditions upon prediction accuracy of short-term forecast and nowcast of precipitation in South China, four experiments i.e. a control, an assimilation of conventional sou... In order to understand the impact of initial conditions upon prediction accuracy of short-term forecast and nowcast of precipitation in South China, four experiments i.e. a control, an assimilation of conventional sounding and surface data, testing with nudging rainwater data and the assimilation of radar-derived radial wind, are respectively conducted to simulate a case of warm-sector heavy rainfall that occurred over South China, by using the GRAPES_MESO model. The results show that (1) assimilating conventional surface and sounding observations helps improve the 24-h rainfall forecast in both the area and order of magnitude; (2) nudging rainwater contributes to a significant improvement of nowcast, and (3) the assimilation of radar-derived radial winds distinctly improves the 24-h rainfall forecast in both the area and order of magnitude. These results serve as significant technical reference for the study on short-term forecast and nowcast of precipitation over South China in the future. 展开更多
关键词 South China initial conditions warm-sector precipitation numerical simulation experiment
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Minimally invasive treatment of pancreatic necrosis 被引量:18
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作者 Brian Bello Jeffrey B Matthews 《World Journal of Gastroenterology》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2012年第46期6829-6835,共7页
AIM: To systematically review these minimally invasive approaches to infected pancreatic necrosis. METHODS: We used the MEDLINE database to investigate studies between 1996 and 2010 with greater than 10 patients that ... AIM: To systematically review these minimally invasive approaches to infected pancreatic necrosis. METHODS: We used the MEDLINE database to investigate studies between 1996 and 2010 with greater than 10 patients that examined these techniques. Using a combination of Boolean operators, reports were retrieved addressing percutaneous therapy (341 studies), endoscopic necrosectomy (574 studies), laparoscopic necrosectomy via a transperitoneal approach (148 studies), and retroperitoneal necrosectomy (194 studies). Only cohorts with at least 10 or more patients were included. Non-English papers, letters, animal studies, duplicate series and reviews without original data were excluded, leaving a total of 27 studies for analysis. RESULTS: Twenty-seven studies with 947 patients total were examined (eight studies on percutaneous approach; ten studies on endoscopic necrosectomy; two studies on laparoscopic necrosectomy via a transperitoneal approach; five studies on retroperitoneal necrosectomy; and two studies on a combined percutaneous-retroperitoneal approach). Success rate, complications, mortality, and number of procedures were outcomes that were included in the review. We found that most published reports were retrospective in nature, and thus, susceptible to selection and publication bias. Few reports examined these techniques in a comparative, prospective manner. CONCLUSION: Each minimally invasive approach though was found to be safe and feasible in multiple reports. With these new techniques, treatment of infected pancreatic necrosis remains a challenge. We advocate a multidisciplinary approach to this complex problem with treatment individualized to each patient. 展开更多
关键词 Acute pancreatitis Pancreatic abscess Pancreatic necrosis Necrosectomy Laparoscopic necrosectomy
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Eureka Webair: Web-Based Air Quality Management, Real-Time Forecasting and Emission Control Optimization
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作者 Fedra Kurt Schwarz-Witwer Christina 《Journal of Environmental Science and Engineering(A)》 2013年第4期209-228,共20页
For the assessment and management of regional to local air quality, an integrated environmental management information system was built within the multi national Eureka project 3266 Webair, http://www.ess.co.at/WEBAI... For the assessment and management of regional to local air quality, an integrated environmental management information system was built within the multi national Eureka project 3266 Webair, http://www.ess.co.at/WEBAIR. The system combines data bases and GIS and a range of coupled models and analytical tools that address a range of typical management problems and cover several levels of nesting from regional to city level and street canyons. The main functions are to support regulatory tasks, compliance monitoring, operational forecasting and reporting, impact assessment EIA (environmental impact assessment), SEA (strategic environmental assessment) and public information within one consistent framework. A major objective is the improvement of air quality through emission control. The integrated model system together with its shared data bases provides a reliable, consistent basis for the non-linear techno-economic and multi-criteria optimization of emission control strategies (including greenhouse gases and energy efficiency). A real-time expert system drives, supports and monitors the autonomous and interactive operations, and provides embedded QA/QC (quality assurance/quality control) functions for reliable operations and ease of use. 展开更多
关键词 Eureka webair emission control optimization operational forecasts scenario analysis cascading models.
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The spring prediction barrier in ENSO hindcast experiments using the FGOALS-g model 被引量:2
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作者 严厉 俞永强 《Chinese Journal of Oceanology and Limnology》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2012年第6期1093-1104,共12页
The Flexible Global Ocean-Atmosphere-Land System Model-gamil (FGOALS-g) was used to study the spring prediction barrier (SPB) in an ensemble system. This coupled model was developed and maintained at the State Key Lab... The Flexible Global Ocean-Atmosphere-Land System Model-gamil (FGOALS-g) was used to study the spring prediction barrier (SPB) in an ensemble system. This coupled model was developed and maintained at the State Key Laboratory of Atmospheric Sciences and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics (LASG). There are two steps in our hindcast experiments. The first is to integrate the coupled model continuously with sea surface temperature (SST) nudging, from 1971 to 2006. The second is to carry out a series of one-year hindcasts without SST nudging, by adopting initial values from the first step on January 1 st , April 1st , July 1st , and October 1st , from 1982 to 2005. We generate 10 ensemble members for a particular start date (1st ) by choosing different atmospheric and land conditions around the hindcast start date (1st through 10th ). To estimate the predicted SST, two methods are used: (1) Anomaly Correlation Coefficient and its rate of decrease; and (2) Talagrand distribution and its standard deviation. Results show that FGOALS-g offers a reliable ensemble system with realistic initial atmospheric and oceanic conditions, and high anomaly correlation (>0.5) within 6 month lead time. Further, the ensemble approach is effective, in that the anomaly correlation of ensemble mean is much higher than that of most individual ensemble members. The SPB exists in the FGOALS-g ensemble system, as shown by anomaly correlation and equal likelihood. Nevertheless, the role of the ensemble mean in reducing the SPB of ENSO prediction is significant. The rate of decrease of the ensemble mean is smaller than the largest deviations by 0.04-0.14. At the same time, the ensemble system "equal likelihood" declines during spring. An ensemble mean helps give a correct prediction direction, departing from largely-deviated ensemble members. 展开更多
关键词 spring prediction barrier ensemble ENSO hindcast experiments equal likelihood
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Experiment study of optimization on prediction index gases of coal spontaneous combustion 被引量:4
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作者 NIU Hui-yong 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2016年第9期2321-2328,共8页
The coal of Anyuan Mine has the characteristic of easy spontaneous combustion. Conventional method is difficult to predict it. Coal samples from this mine were tested in laboratory. The data obtained from laboratory d... The coal of Anyuan Mine has the characteristic of easy spontaneous combustion. Conventional method is difficult to predict it. Coal samples from this mine were tested in laboratory. The data obtained from laboratory determination were initialized for the value which was defined as "K". The ratio of each index gas and value of "K", and the ratio of combination index gases and value of "K", were analyzed simultaneously. The research results show that for this coal mine, if there is carbon monoxide in the gas sample, the phenomenon of oxidation and temperature rising for coal exists in this mine; if there is C_2H_4 in the gas sample, the temperature of coal perhaps exceeds 130 °C. If the coal temperature is between 35 °C and 130 °C, prediction and forecast for coal spontaneous combustion depend on the value of Φ(CO)/K mainly; if the temperature of coal is between 130 °C and 300 °C, prediction and forecast for coal spontaneous combustion depend on the value of Φ(C_2H_6)/Φ(C_2H_2) and Φ(C_2H_6)/K. The research results provide experimental basis for the prediction of coal spontaneous combustion in Anyuan coal mine, and have better guidance on safe production of this coal mine. 展开更多
关键词 COAL spontaneous combustion index gases PREDICTION INITIALIZATION
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Learning and Progressing Through Scientific Practices—Commemorating the 90th Anniversary of the Haiyuan Earthquake and Working to Improve the Ability of Earthquake Prediction and Seismic Hazard Reduction
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作者 Deng Qidong 《Earthquake Research in China》 2011年第3期260-272,共13页
The great Haiyuan earthquake occurred at 20:06:09 on December 16,1920 in the south of Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region.The magnitude of this earthquake is 8.5,listed as one of the three greatest earthquakes to ever occur... The great Haiyuan earthquake occurred at 20:06:09 on December 16,1920 in the south of Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region.The magnitude of this earthquake is 8.5,listed as one of the three greatest earthquakes to ever occur in Chinese continent.This devastating earthquake killed about 230,000 people according to previous reports.Recent studies show that total casualties may have reached 270,000.The study of this earthquake using modern scientific and technological methods is the first in the history of earthquake research in China.Significant breakthroughs took place in the middle of last century.The earthquake surface rupture,with 200km in length and prominent left-lateral strike-slip displacement,was discovered.The first monograph on the Haiyuan earthquake was published.In the 1980s,innovative large-scale geological mapping technology for active faults was developed during studies on the Haiyuan earthquake surface ruptures,with the publication of the first large-scale map of the Haiyuan active fault.Quantitative studies were carried out on the fine structure and geometry of the fault zone,Holocene slip rate,co-seismic displacement,paleoearthquake and recurrence intervals and future earthquake risk assessment.The innovative studies also included rupture propagation along the strike-slip fault,evolution of pull-apart basins,determination of total displacement of the strike-slip fault,transition equilibrium between strike-slip displacement along its major strand and crustal shortening at the end of the strike-slip fault,and the mechanism of deformation on Liupan Mountain.On the occasion of the 90th anniversary of the Haiyuan earthquake,careful retrospect of scientific progress achieved during the recent 20 years would be helpful in providing further direction in the study of active faults and earthquake hazard reduction.While taking this occasion to remember those lost by the Haiyuan earthquake,we aim to make greater contributions to earthquake prediction and seismic hazard reduction. 展开更多
关键词 Haiyuan earthquake Active fault PALEOEARTHQUAKE Scientific research
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Updating Methods for Real Time Flood Forecasting: A Comparison through Senegal River Basin Upstream Bakel
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作者 Soussou Sambou Seni Tamba +1 位作者 Clement Diatta Cheikh Mohamed Fadel Kebe 《Journal of Environmental Science and Engineering(A)》 2012年第1期58-72,共15页
Heavy floods occur frequently in the Senegal River Basin, causing catastrophic flooding downstream the river rating station of Bakel. Anticipating the occurrence of such phenomena is the only way to reduce the resulti... Heavy floods occur frequently in the Senegal River Basin, causing catastrophic flooding downstream the river rating station of Bakel. Anticipating the occurrence of such phenomena is the only way to reduce the resulting damages. Flood forecasting is a necessity. Flood forecasting plays also an important role in the implementation of flood management scenarios and in the protection of hydro electric structures. Many methods are applied. The most complete are based on the conservation laws of physics governing the free surface flow. These methods need a complete description of the geometry of the river and their implementation requires also huge investments. In practice the river basin can be considered as a system of inputs-outputs related by a transfer function. In this paper the authors first used a multiple linear regression model with constant parameters estimated by the ordinary least square method to simulate the propagation of the floods in the upstream part of the Senegal river basin. The authors then apply statistical and graphical criteria of goodness-of-fit to test the suitability of this model. Three procedures of parameters updating have then been added to this linear model: the Kalman filter method, the recursive least square method, and the stochastic gradient method The criteria of goodness-of-fit used above have shown that the stochastic gradient method, although more rudimentary, represents better the flood propagation in the head basin of the Senegal river upstream Bakel. This result is particularly interesting because data influenced by Manantali Dam are used. 展开更多
关键词 HYDROLOGY multiple linear regression models Kalman filtering recursive least squares stochastic gradient floodforecasting Senegal river head basin.
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