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《小趋势》
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《投资与合作》 2008年第11期105-105,共1页
26年前,也就是1982年,美国著名未来学家约翰·奈斯比特写过一本风靡一时的书《大趋势:改变我们生活的十个新方向》。四分之一个世纪过去了,美国和世界并没有像奈斯比特所预言的一样,只朝着十个“大趋势”的方向发生变化,而是... 26年前,也就是1982年,美国著名未来学家约翰·奈斯比特写过一本风靡一时的书《大趋势:改变我们生活的十个新方向》。四分之一个世纪过去了,美国和世界并没有像奈斯比特所预言的一样,只朝着十个“大趋势”的方向发生变化,而是按照比十个“大趋势”多得多的“小趋势”在发生变化。 展开更多
关键词 《小趋势》 读者 书刊 内容介绍 经济学 投资方法
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《小趋势》:孩子延后入学一定好吗
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作者 马克·佩恩 E.金尼·扎莱纳 《黑龙江教育(中学版)》 2010年第5期44-44,共1页
对大多数关于延后入学学生的研究得出的结论是,从长远来看,延后入学的孩子的学习成绩并不比他们小的同学好,而且到三年级的时候,所有短期优势都不存在了。我最喜欢的上世纪90年代的电视节目之一是《天才小医生》,它反映了“美国梦... 对大多数关于延后入学学生的研究得出的结论是,从长远来看,延后入学的孩子的学习成绩并不比他们小的同学好,而且到三年级的时候,所有短期优势都不存在了。我最喜欢的上世纪90年代的电视节目之一是《天才小医生》,它反映了“美国梦”理智的一面——如果道奇聪明到10岁就能完成在普林斯顿大学的学业,那么不管常规如何,他都可能成为一位少年外科医生。 展开更多
关键词 《小趋势》 入学 孩子 普林斯顿大学 外科医生 “美国梦” 学习成绩 电视节目
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《小趋势:复杂世界中的微变量》
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作者 (美)马克·佩恩 《决策》 2019年第5期82-82,共1页
中信出版集团2019年1月整个世界正在经历着难以捉摸的变化,今天出现的小趋势的影响力比以往更大。作者对今天世界出现的变化进行了合理的解释,通过列举新出现的小趋势,向读者展示了未来十年内将会发生的变化。
关键词 《小趋势:复杂世界中的微变量》
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发展中的青年自组织:轨迹、困境与路径
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作者 王翠娟 简敏 《重庆行政(公共论坛)》 2013年第1期36-38,共3页
正如马克·佩恩和E·金尼·扎莱纳在《小趋势》中所言,共同性和差异性并不是此消彼长的,在新的条件下新的差异不断发生促使在价值观、行为方式等方面相近的个体不断形成小群体、小趋势,并且这些小趋势日渐发展为常态。... 正如马克·佩恩和E·金尼·扎莱纳在《小趋势》中所言,共同性和差异性并不是此消彼长的,在新的条件下新的差异不断发生促使在价值观、行为方式等方面相近的个体不断形成小群体、小趋势,并且这些小趋势日渐发展为常态。Ⅲ青年自组织正是在非政府组织、网络技术等迅速发展等背景下逐渐兴起并逐渐发展为社会常态的。 展开更多
关键词 青年自组织 路径 困境 《小趋势》 非政府组织 行为方式 网络技术 差异性
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品读
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《今日重庆》 2014年第11期95-95,共1页
★《小趋势》 李伟俣敬琏/夏斌等著 中信出版社 中国经济改革已进入2.0时代,精;住把握未来趋势,是各界人士在自己领域掌握主动权的关键。本书务实理性地对未来中国经济怎么走、新一轮改革将面临哪些挑战、中国是否会爆发经济危... ★《小趋势》 李伟俣敬琏/夏斌等著 中信出版社 中国经济改革已进入2.0时代,精;住把握未来趋势,是各界人士在自己领域掌握主动权的关键。本书务实理性地对未来中国经济怎么走、新一轮改革将面临哪些挑战、中国是否会爆发经济危机、消费能否扭转增速放缓、积极的财政政策有何新内涵等一系列问题进行了分析预判,让读者看清趋势,把握未来。 展开更多
关键词 中国经济改革 积极的财政政策 品读 《小趋势》 中信出版社 经济危机 主动权 夏斌
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ANALYSIS OF TEMPERATURE CHANGES IN JANUARY AND JULY IN CHINA 被引量:2
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作者 刘莉红 郑祖光 《Journal of Tropical Meteorology》 SCIE 2004年第1期69-78,共10页
The temperature change trends in January and July are analyzed and the results show that the trends descend in July but ascend in January except in South China and Southwest China. The relation between the temperature... The temperature change trends in January and July are analyzed and the results show that the trends descend in July but ascend in January except in South China and Southwest China. The relation between the temperature in January and July are discussed by using the wavelet. The results show that the trend phase in July and January are nearly in-phase in Southwest and South China, but are out-of-phase in other regions. Reconstruction of original temperature series in each of the regions indicates that their change trends are consistent with the original temperature series. 展开更多
关键词 temperature in January temperature in July wavelet analysis
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ANALYSIS OF THE TRENDS OF THUNDERSTORMS IN 1951-2007 IN JIANGSU PROVINCE
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作者 魏建苏 刘梅 +1 位作者 张备 俞剑蔚 《Journal of Tropical Meteorology》 SCIE 2011年第1期58-63,共6页
Based on the 1951-2007 thunderstorms in Jiangsu,a study is conducted for their climate trends,periodicity,spatiotemporal patterns,and the distributions of the first and last days of the thunderstorms at different guar... Based on the 1951-2007 thunderstorms in Jiangsu,a study is conducted for their climate trends,periodicity,spatiotemporal patterns,and the distributions of the first and last days of the thunderstorms at different guarantee rates (GRs) using climate tendency rate,wavelet analysis,and GR for diagnosis.Results suggest that the inter-annual number of thunderstorm days (TSDs) exhibits a decreasing trend in this province.The trend is displayed mainly in the decreasing TSD number in summer and autumn except in spring,when the variation is not significant in the study period.In this province,the TSD number declines by ~2 days per 10 years.On an inter-annual basis,the pronounced positive departures of the number take place chiefly in the early 1960s,the late 1960s to the early-mid-1970s,the late 1980s,and the late 1990s compared with the negative anomalies dominant in the late 1970s to the mid-1980s,the mid-to-late-1990s,and the late 1990s to 2007.There are vast differences in the initial and ending days at diverse GRs in different areas of the province.At 50% GR,the earliest (last) days occur from mid-March to early April (early to late September) while at 80% GR,the initial (last) days are from late March to early May (early to late October).For the distribution of periods,the periods >8-10 years are relatively stable for the entire province.Based on 1951-2007 period analysis,the region north (south) of the Huaihe River experiences TSDs less (more) than normal days in recent years. 展开更多
关键词 THUNDERSTORM climate tendency wavelet analysis guarantee rate initial and ending days
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Management Development Trends of Nowadays in Albania
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作者 Sonela Stillo Eleni Vangjeli Enton Stillo 《Chinese Business Review》 2011年第7期559-568,共10页
Albanian business environment is defined by complexity, dynamism, uncertainty. In Albania, there are small and medium enterprises (businesses). Although we have a high degree of business bankrupt, many businesses ar... Albanian business environment is defined by complexity, dynamism, uncertainty. In Albania, there are small and medium enterprises (businesses). Although we have a high degree of business bankrupt, many businesses are reinforcing their competitive positions in market. In these conditions, a new appropriate organizational structure often plays a crucial role in managing the challenges. While the finn grows, at the same time grows the need for organization, involvement and leadership. In today's changing times, effective leadership is a key component of organizational success. Even if management is the key of operation and the standard operating procedures, our study shows that the manager always need leader's power. In today's global marketplace, organizations that strategically focus on building leadership capacity for the future will reap the benefits in the years to come. New trends in business development, of course have increased requirements for local managers. The organizations are under pressure to show return on investment for training and development. Although positive trends, problems which management is faced are more challenging than the degree of preparation and performance that they offer, so their qualitative qualification remains the continuous preoccupation as the role of our school is in this direction. From this point of view, education in distance can be considered as complementary approach and in some conditions as a worthy replacement of direct education, which still dominates educative systems in Albania. 展开更多
关键词 MANAGEMENT structure LEADERSHIP TRAINING PUBLIC PRIVATE BUSINESS
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Long-term Trend Analysis of Seasonal Precipitation for Beijing, China 被引量:2
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作者 李淼 夏军 孟德娟 《Journal of Resources and Ecology》 CSCD 2012年第1期64-72,共9页
A comprehensive precipitation trend and periodic analysis at the seasonal scale on a 286year data series (1724-2009) for Beijing are presented using linear regression, 11-year moving averages, Mann-Kendall test and ... A comprehensive precipitation trend and periodic analysis at the seasonal scale on a 286year data series (1724-2009) for Beijing are presented using linear regression, 11-year moving averages, Mann-Kendall test and continuous Morlet wavelet analysis. We found that in the past 300 years precipitation has increased except during winter. There were strong increasing trends after the 1780s in both summer and annual precipitation data series and the trend was significant for a longterm period. The abrupt points of summer and annual data series of precipitation are 1764 and 1768 respectively, after that, the trend changed from decreasing to increasing. It shows different periodic traits in four seasons respectively: 30–170 years, 80–95 years, 75–95 years and 55–65 years are considered to be the strongest period in spring, summer, autumn and winter. One hundred and fiftythree years, 85 years, 83 years and 59 years are the first order main periods in spring, summer, autumn and winter, respectively. The trend and period of annual precipitation are mainly impacted by rainfall in summe. According to the first main period of 85 years in both summer and annual precipitation data series, Beijing will experience a time period of less precipitation in 2009–2030. 展开更多
关键词 trend test Mann-Kendall test wavelet analysis long-term precipitation Beijing area
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星级推荐
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《现代商业银行》 2014年第5期96-96,共1页
《小趋势》--中国经济的关键变数 作者:李伟 吴敬琏 夏斌等 出版社:中信出版社 推荐指数:★★★★★ 改革20时代的中国经济存在哪些不确定的变数?改革、发展、风险以及市场四大问题成为读者关注的焦点,来自各方的猜测和传言也令... 《小趋势》--中国经济的关键变数 作者:李伟 吴敬琏 夏斌等 出版社:中信出版社 推荐指数:★★★★★ 改革20时代的中国经济存在哪些不确定的变数?改革、发展、风险以及市场四大问题成为读者关注的焦点,来自各方的猜测和传言也令时局显得异常扑朔迷离。精准把握未来趋势,是各界人士在自己领域掌握主动权的关键。 展开更多
关键词 中信出版社 星级 中国经济 《小趋势》 读者关注 吴敬琏 主动权 变数
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Concept,Characteristics and Future of Cold-type Wheat 被引量:10
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作者 Zhang Songwu 《Science Foundation in China》 CAS 2007年第1期51-56,F0003,共7页
Cold types of wheat are the kinds of wheat whose canopy temperature keeps slightly lower and has a series of advantageous traits,which are fa- vorable for wheat to have high and stable yield and stable high quality.Th... Cold types of wheat are the kinds of wheat whose canopy temperature keeps slightly lower and has a series of advantageous traits,which are fa- vorable for wheat to have high and stable yield and stable high quality.The paper expatiates on the ad- vances and important problems in the research of cold types of wheat and predicts the future of cold types of wheat and the influences of the research about cold types of wheat on other crops and plants. 展开更多
关键词 cold types of wheat some important problems PROSPECT
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