The woodland-steppe ecotone in the. southern Nei Mongol Plateau is located at the northern edge of the east Asian monsoon influences. A marked southeastern - northwestern (SE - NW) precipitation gradient exists in thi...The woodland-steppe ecotone in the. southern Nei Mongol Plateau is located at the northern edge of the east Asian monsoon influences. A marked southeastern - northwestern (SE - NW) precipitation gradient exists in this region. Quantitative reconstruction of palaeo-precipitation of this region is helpful to reveal the development of monsoon climate and to predict die future desertification. Based on modern vegetation and surface pollen studies, a pollen-precipitation transfer function in the study region was established. Pollen data from three sediment sequences within the ecotone were used to reconstruct palaeo-precipitation during the Holocene. The processes of precipitation changes in the three sequences were quite different. There was a tendency of precipitation declined from the onset of the Holocene to 1 100 a BP in Haoluku. But, in Liuzhouwan and Xiaoniuchang, both located south of Haoluku, the annual precipitation reached highest values during 7 800 - 6 200 a BP and 7 200 - 5 000 a BP, respectively. The influences of southwestern (SW) monsoon and the variances of topographical conditions have possibly caused these temporal-spatial variances.展开更多
Mapping and assessing soil-erosion risk can address the likelihood of occurrence of erosion as well as its consequences. This in turn provides precautionary and relevant suggestions to assist in disaster reduction. Be...Mapping and assessing soil-erosion risk can address the likelihood of occurrence of erosion as well as its consequences. This in turn provides precautionary and relevant suggestions to assist in disaster reduction. Because soil erosion by water in the watershed of the Ningxia-Inner Mongolia reach of the Yellow River is closely related to silting of the upper reaches of the Yellow River, it is necessary to assess erosion risk in this watershed. This study aims to identify the soil-erosion risk caused by water in the watershed of the Ningxia-Inner Mongolia reach of the Yellow River from 2ool to aOlO. Empirical models called Chinese Soil Loss Equation (CSLE) and Modified Universal Soil Loss Equation (MUSLE) were used to predict the erosion modulus in slope surfaces and gullies. Then the soil erosion risk in this watershed was assessed according to the classification criteria of soil erosion intensities (SL19o-2oo7). The study results showed that the range of values of the erosion modulus in this watershed was o-44,733 t/km2/a. More than 20% of the total watershed area was found to present an erosion risk, with the regions at risk mainly located in channels and their upper reaches, and in mountainous areas. To determine the regression coefficients of the erosion factors with respect to erosion modulus, a GWR (geographically weighted regression) was carried out using the ArcGIS software. It was found that the topographic factor has the highest contribution rate to the soil erosion modulus, while the highest contribution rate of the erosion factors to the erosion modulus and the largest values of the factors were not located in the same places. Based on this result, the authors propose that slope management is the most important task in preventing soil loss in this watershed, and the soil- conservation projects should be built according to the eontribution rate of the erosion factors.展开更多
The northern edge of the East Asian summer monsoon (EASM) is identified using the pentad total column water vapor obtained from ERA-Interim reanalysis data during 1979-2015.Empirical orthogonal function analysis is ...The northern edge of the East Asian summer monsoon (EASM) is identified using the pentad total column water vapor obtained from ERA-Interim reanalysis data during 1979-2015.Empirical orthogonal function analysis is applied to study the meridional displacement of the northern edge of the EASM during the study period,and the results show an interdecadal southward shift around 1993/1994 and an indistinct northward displacement after 2007/2008.To focus on the interdecadal change around 1993/1994,composite analysis using the difference between 1979-1993 and 1994-2007 is employed.Through examination of the differences between these two periods,a significant anticyclonic anomaly is found over Mongolia,suggesting a pronounced interdecadal weakening of the Mongolian low during 1994-2007.Thus,northward advancement of the EASM may have been prevented by the anomalous northerly flow to the east of the weakened Mongolian low after 1993.Further study shows that the interdecadal weakening of the Mongolian low might be attributable to the meridional inhomogeneity of surface warming over the northern part of East Asia.Previous studies suggest that such meridional inhomogeneity would lead to a reduction in local atmospheric baroclinicity,and thus the suppression of extratropical cyclone activity over Mongolia,resulting in a southward withdrawal of the northern edge of the EASM on the interdecadal timescale.展开更多
Using Geographic Information System(GIS), based on wind speed, precipitation, topographic, soil, vegetation coverage and land use data of Inner Mongolia between 2001 and 2010, we applied the revised wind erosion equat...Using Geographic Information System(GIS), based on wind speed, precipitation, topographic, soil, vegetation coverage and land use data of Inner Mongolia between 2001 and 2010, we applied the revised wind erosion equation(RWEQ) model to simulate wind erosion intensity. The results showed that an area of approximately 47.8 × 10~4 km^2 experienced wind erosion in 2010, 23.2% of this erosion could be rated as severe, and 46.0% as moderate. Both the area and the intensity of wind erosion had decreased from 2001 to 2010, the wind erosion area reduced 10.1%, and wind erosion intensity decreased by 29.4%. Precipitation, wind speed, population size and urbanization in rural areas, and gross domestic product of primary industry(GDP1) were the main factors influencing wind erosion. Overall, these factors accounted for 88.8% of the wind erosion. These results indicated that the decrease in wind erosion over the past decade related to the increase in precipitation and the decrease in the number of windy days, while modest urban development and optimization of the economic structure might partially reduced the level of ecological pressure, highlighting the importance of human activities in controlling wind erosion.展开更多
Ethnic style is one of the original and special styles in modem fashion. Search for aesthetic inspirations made many designers turn their attention to the rich artistic heritage of national, traditional and even primi...Ethnic style is one of the original and special styles in modem fashion. Search for aesthetic inspirations made many designers turn their attention to the rich artistic heritage of national, traditional and even primitive cultures. Ethnic style known as originated two centuries ago and now it' s experiencing second birth.展开更多
In this paper,the process of wind erosion on two kinds of soil from the agro-pastoral area of Inner Mongolia are studied using wind tunnel experiments,considering the wind speed,blown angle of wind and soil moisture c...In this paper,the process of wind erosion on two kinds of soil from the agro-pastoral area of Inner Mongolia are studied using wind tunnel experiments,considering the wind speed,blown angle of wind and soil moisture content.The results showed that the modulus of soil wind erosion increases with an increase of wind speed.When the wind speed exceeds a critical value,the soil wind erosion suddenly increases.The critical speed for both kinds of soil is within the range of 7-8m·s-1.For a constant wind speed,the rate of soil wind erosion changes from increasing to falling at a critical soil slope.The critical slope of loam soil and sandy loam soil is 20° and 10°,respectively.Soil moisture content has a significant effect on wind erosion.Soil wind erosion of both soils decreases with an increase of the soil water content in two treatments,however,for treatment two,the increasing trends of wind erosion for two soils with the falling of soil water content are no significant,especially for the loam soil,and in the same soil water content,the wind erosion of two soils in treatment one is significantly higher than treatment two,this indicates reducing the disturbance of soil surface can evidently control the soil wind erosion.展开更多
At present, the methods widely applied to assess ecological risk of heavy metals are essentially single-point estimates in which exposure and toxicity data cannot be fully used and probabilities of adverse biological ...At present, the methods widely applied to assess ecological risk of heavy metals are essentially single-point estimates in which exposure and toxicity data cannot be fully used and probabilities of adverse biological effects cannot be achieved. In this study, based on investigation of concentrations of six heavy metals(As, Hg, Pb, Cd, Cu, and Zn) in the surface seawater and sediment near the outlet of a zinc factory, located in Huludao City, Liaoning Province, China, a tiered approach consisting of several probabilistic options was used to refi ne ecological risk assessment for the individuals. A mixture of various heavy metals was detected in the surface seawater, and potential ecological risk index(PERI) was adopted to assess the potential ecological risk of heavy metals in the surface sediment. The results from all levels of aquatic ecological risk assessment in the tiered framework, ranging from comparison of single effects and exposure values to the use of distribution-based Hazard Quotient obtained through Monte Carlo simulation, are consistent with each other. Briefl y, aquatic Zn and Cu posed a clear ecological risk, while Cd, Pb, Hg, and As in the water column posed potential risk. As expected, combined ecological risk of heavy metal mixture in the surface seawater was proved signifi cantly higher than the risk caused by any individual heavy metal, calculated using the concept of total equivalent concentration. According to PERI, the severity of pollution by the six heavy metals in the surface sediment decreased in the following sequence: Cd>Hg>As>Pb>Cu>Zn, and the total heavy metals in the sediment posed a very high risk to the marine environment. This study provides a useful mathematical framework for ecological risk assessment of heavy metals.展开更多
Field observation was conducted at typical rangeland in Mongolia to examine the frontal area index. Frontal area index is the characteristics of surface roughness elements affecting sand transport. The frontal area wa...Field observation was conducted at typical rangeland in Mongolia to examine the frontal area index. Frontal area index is the characteristics of surface roughness elements affecting sand transport. The frontal area was strongly correlated with the effective shelter length on sand transport in both short grasses and shrubs. The frontal area index was 0.031 and the relationship between the roughness length and frontal area index in this site agreed with past studies.展开更多
We derive higher-order expansions of L-statistics of independent risks X1,..., Xn under conditions on the underlying distribution function F. The new results are applied to derive the asymptotic expansions of ratios o...We derive higher-order expansions of L-statistics of independent risks X1,..., Xn under conditions on the underlying distribution function F. The new results are applied to derive the asymptotic expansions of ratios of two kinds of risk measures, stop-loss premium and excess return on capital, respectively. Several examples and a Monte Carlo simulation study show the efficiency of our novel asymptotic expansions. Keywords smoothly varying condition, second-order regular variation, tail asymptotics, value-at-risk, con- ditional tail expectation, largest claims reinsurance, ratio of risk measure, excess return on capital展开更多
The Cox proportional hazards model is the most used statistical model in the analysis of survival time data.Recently,a random weighting method was proposed to approximate the distribution of the maximum partial likeli...The Cox proportional hazards model is the most used statistical model in the analysis of survival time data.Recently,a random weighting method was proposed to approximate the distribution of the maximum partial likelihood estimate for the regression coefficient in the Cox model.This method was shown not as sensitive to heavy censoring as the bootstrap method in simulation studies but it may not be second-order accurate as was shown for the bootstrap approximation.In this paper,we propose an alternative random weighting method based on one-step linear jackknife pseudo values and prove the second accuracy of the proposed method.Monte Carlo simulations are also performed to evaluate the proposed method for fixed sample sizes.展开更多
文摘The woodland-steppe ecotone in the. southern Nei Mongol Plateau is located at the northern edge of the east Asian monsoon influences. A marked southeastern - northwestern (SE - NW) precipitation gradient exists in this region. Quantitative reconstruction of palaeo-precipitation of this region is helpful to reveal the development of monsoon climate and to predict die future desertification. Based on modern vegetation and surface pollen studies, a pollen-precipitation transfer function in the study region was established. Pollen data from three sediment sequences within the ecotone were used to reconstruct palaeo-precipitation during the Holocene. The processes of precipitation changes in the three sequences were quite different. There was a tendency of precipitation declined from the onset of the Holocene to 1 100 a BP in Haoluku. But, in Liuzhouwan and Xiaoniuchang, both located south of Haoluku, the annual precipitation reached highest values during 7 800 - 6 200 a BP and 7 200 - 5 000 a BP, respectively. The influences of southwestern (SW) monsoon and the variances of topographical conditions have possibly caused these temporal-spatial variances.
基金financially supported by the National Key Basic Research Program of China (Grant No. 2011CB403306)the Foundation for Excellent Youth Scholars of CAREERI, CAS (Y451201001)the National Natural Science Foundation of China (http://westdc.westgis.ac.cn)
文摘Mapping and assessing soil-erosion risk can address the likelihood of occurrence of erosion as well as its consequences. This in turn provides precautionary and relevant suggestions to assist in disaster reduction. Because soil erosion by water in the watershed of the Ningxia-Inner Mongolia reach of the Yellow River is closely related to silting of the upper reaches of the Yellow River, it is necessary to assess erosion risk in this watershed. This study aims to identify the soil-erosion risk caused by water in the watershed of the Ningxia-Inner Mongolia reach of the Yellow River from 2ool to aOlO. Empirical models called Chinese Soil Loss Equation (CSLE) and Modified Universal Soil Loss Equation (MUSLE) were used to predict the erosion modulus in slope surfaces and gullies. Then the soil erosion risk in this watershed was assessed according to the classification criteria of soil erosion intensities (SL19o-2oo7). The study results showed that the range of values of the erosion modulus in this watershed was o-44,733 t/km2/a. More than 20% of the total watershed area was found to present an erosion risk, with the regions at risk mainly located in channels and their upper reaches, and in mountainous areas. To determine the regression coefficients of the erosion factors with respect to erosion modulus, a GWR (geographically weighted regression) was carried out using the ArcGIS software. It was found that the topographic factor has the highest contribution rate to the soil erosion modulus, while the highest contribution rate of the erosion factors to the erosion modulus and the largest values of the factors were not located in the same places. Based on this result, the authors propose that slope management is the most important task in preventing soil loss in this watershed, and the soil- conservation projects should be built according to the eontribution rate of the erosion factors.
基金supported by National Key Basic Research and Development Projects of China[grant number 2016YFA0600601]the National Natural Science Foundation of China[grant numbers 41530503,41405045,and 41605027]
文摘The northern edge of the East Asian summer monsoon (EASM) is identified using the pentad total column water vapor obtained from ERA-Interim reanalysis data during 1979-2015.Empirical orthogonal function analysis is applied to study the meridional displacement of the northern edge of the EASM during the study period,and the results show an interdecadal southward shift around 1993/1994 and an indistinct northward displacement after 2007/2008.To focus on the interdecadal change around 1993/1994,composite analysis using the difference between 1979-1993 and 1994-2007 is employed.Through examination of the differences between these two periods,a significant anticyclonic anomaly is found over Mongolia,suggesting a pronounced interdecadal weakening of the Mongolian low during 1994-2007.Thus,northward advancement of the EASM may have been prevented by the anomalous northerly flow to the east of the weakened Mongolian low after 1993.Further study shows that the interdecadal weakening of the Mongolian low might be attributable to the meridional inhomogeneity of surface warming over the northern part of East Asia.Previous studies suggest that such meridional inhomogeneity would lead to a reduction in local atmospheric baroclinicity,and thus the suppression of extratropical cyclone activity over Mongolia,resulting in a southward withdrawal of the northern edge of the EASM on the interdecadal timescale.
基金Under the auspices of National Key Technology Research and Development Program of China(No.2011BAC09B08)Special Issue of National Remote Sensing Survey and Assessment of Eco-Environment Change Between 2000 and 2010(No.STSN-04-01)
文摘Using Geographic Information System(GIS), based on wind speed, precipitation, topographic, soil, vegetation coverage and land use data of Inner Mongolia between 2001 and 2010, we applied the revised wind erosion equation(RWEQ) model to simulate wind erosion intensity. The results showed that an area of approximately 47.8 × 10~4 km^2 experienced wind erosion in 2010, 23.2% of this erosion could be rated as severe, and 46.0% as moderate. Both the area and the intensity of wind erosion had decreased from 2001 to 2010, the wind erosion area reduced 10.1%, and wind erosion intensity decreased by 29.4%. Precipitation, wind speed, population size and urbanization in rural areas, and gross domestic product of primary industry(GDP1) were the main factors influencing wind erosion. Overall, these factors accounted for 88.8% of the wind erosion. These results indicated that the decrease in wind erosion over the past decade related to the increase in precipitation and the decrease in the number of windy days, while modest urban development and optimization of the economic structure might partially reduced the level of ecological pressure, highlighting the importance of human activities in controlling wind erosion.
文摘Ethnic style is one of the original and special styles in modem fashion. Search for aesthetic inspirations made many designers turn their attention to the rich artistic heritage of national, traditional and even primitive cultures. Ethnic style known as originated two centuries ago and now it' s experiencing second birth.
基金supported by Key Program of National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No. 41130744)China National Natural Science Foundation (Grant No. 40971165)State Key Laboratory of Soil Erosion and Dryland Farming on the Loess Plateau open Foundation(Grant No. 10501-1220)
文摘In this paper,the process of wind erosion on two kinds of soil from the agro-pastoral area of Inner Mongolia are studied using wind tunnel experiments,considering the wind speed,blown angle of wind and soil moisture content.The results showed that the modulus of soil wind erosion increases with an increase of wind speed.When the wind speed exceeds a critical value,the soil wind erosion suddenly increases.The critical speed for both kinds of soil is within the range of 7-8m·s-1.For a constant wind speed,the rate of soil wind erosion changes from increasing to falling at a critical soil slope.The critical slope of loam soil and sandy loam soil is 20° and 10°,respectively.Soil moisture content has a significant effect on wind erosion.Soil wind erosion of both soils decreases with an increase of the soil water content in two treatments,however,for treatment two,the increasing trends of wind erosion for two soils with the falling of soil water content are no significant,especially for the loam soil,and in the same soil water content,the wind erosion of two soils in treatment one is significantly higher than treatment two,this indicates reducing the disturbance of soil surface can evidently control the soil wind erosion.
基金Supported by the Science and Technology Project of North China Sea Branch of State Oceanic Administration(No.2014B02)
文摘At present, the methods widely applied to assess ecological risk of heavy metals are essentially single-point estimates in which exposure and toxicity data cannot be fully used and probabilities of adverse biological effects cannot be achieved. In this study, based on investigation of concentrations of six heavy metals(As, Hg, Pb, Cd, Cu, and Zn) in the surface seawater and sediment near the outlet of a zinc factory, located in Huludao City, Liaoning Province, China, a tiered approach consisting of several probabilistic options was used to refi ne ecological risk assessment for the individuals. A mixture of various heavy metals was detected in the surface seawater, and potential ecological risk index(PERI) was adopted to assess the potential ecological risk of heavy metals in the surface sediment. The results from all levels of aquatic ecological risk assessment in the tiered framework, ranging from comparison of single effects and exposure values to the use of distribution-based Hazard Quotient obtained through Monte Carlo simulation, are consistent with each other. Briefl y, aquatic Zn and Cu posed a clear ecological risk, while Cd, Pb, Hg, and As in the water column posed potential risk. As expected, combined ecological risk of heavy metal mixture in the surface seawater was proved signifi cantly higher than the risk caused by any individual heavy metal, calculated using the concept of total equivalent concentration. According to PERI, the severity of pollution by the six heavy metals in the surface sediment decreased in the following sequence: Cd>Hg>As>Pb>Cu>Zn, and the total heavy metals in the sediment posed a very high risk to the marine environment. This study provides a useful mathematical framework for ecological risk assessment of heavy metals.
文摘Field observation was conducted at typical rangeland in Mongolia to examine the frontal area index. Frontal area index is the characteristics of surface roughness elements affecting sand transport. The frontal area was strongly correlated with the effective shelter length on sand transport in both short grasses and shrubs. The frontal area index was 0.031 and the relationship between the roughness length and frontal area index in this site agreed with past studies.
基金supported by the Swiss National Science Foundation(Grant Nos.2000211401633/1,200021-134785 and 200021-1401633/1)Marie Curie International Research Staff Exchange Scheme Fellowship within the 7th European Community Framework Programme(Grant No.RARE-318984)+1 种基金National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.11171275)the Natural Science Foundation Project of Chongqing(Grant No.cstc2012jjA00029)
文摘We derive higher-order expansions of L-statistics of independent risks X1,..., Xn under conditions on the underlying distribution function F. The new results are applied to derive the asymptotic expansions of ratios of two kinds of risk measures, stop-loss premium and excess return on capital, respectively. Several examples and a Monte Carlo simulation study show the efficiency of our novel asymptotic expansions. Keywords smoothly varying condition, second-order regular variation, tail asymptotics, value-at-risk, con- ditional tail expectation, largest claims reinsurance, ratio of risk measure, excess return on capital
基金supported by Natural Science and Engineering Research Council of Canada and National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 10871188)
文摘The Cox proportional hazards model is the most used statistical model in the analysis of survival time data.Recently,a random weighting method was proposed to approximate the distribution of the maximum partial likelihood estimate for the regression coefficient in the Cox model.This method was shown not as sensitive to heavy censoring as the bootstrap method in simulation studies but it may not be second-order accurate as was shown for the bootstrap approximation.In this paper,we propose an alternative random weighting method based on one-step linear jackknife pseudo values and prove the second accuracy of the proposed method.Monte Carlo simulations are also performed to evaluate the proposed method for fixed sample sizes.