中国戏曲唱腔音乐的四种型制

关于中国戏曲艺术唱腔的型制,前辈学人已有不少创见,笔者在继承前人优秀遗产的基础上,依照从简到繁、从集体无意识到个体有意识的发展路数,提出戏曲演唱的四种型制,即【数板】型、【行腔】型、器乐型、综合型。本文对这四型唱腔从音乐时空方面入手,上升至唱腔的情态层面予以论说。

Mathe matical model and calculation for heat transfer during condensation on surfaces of corrugated plates

A mathematical model was established for condensation on surfaces of verticalcorrugated plates based on the mechanism of heat transfer enhancement to thin down the liquid filmdue to surface tension effect between corrugated plate surfaces and liquid films. The relative heattransfer coefficients of condensation on corrugation plates were calculated in contrast withequivalent vertical plane ones. The heat transfer enhancement effects for the main geometricparameters such as pitch, height, corrugation angle, tilt angle, and fillet radii of corrugationswere analyzed to guide the optimization of corrugation structure for application. A two-scalecorrugation is suggested, which can compromise both the enhanced heat transfer effect and adequatecross section area for flows, and it makes the heat transfer coefficient 1 to 2 times more than thatof an equivalent plane one.

Globulin-platelet model predicts minimal fibrosis and cirrhosis in chronic hepatitis B virus infected patients

AIM： To establish a simple model consisting of the rou- tine laboratory variables to predict both minimal fibrosis and cirrhosis in chronic hepatitis B virus （HBV）-infected patients. METHODS： We retrospectively investigated 114 chron- ic HBV-infected patients who underwent liver biopsy in two different hospitals. Thirteen parameters were analyzed by step-wise regression analysis and correla- tion analysis. A new fibrosis index [globulin/platelet （GP） model] was developed, including globulin （GLOB） and platelet count （PLT）. GP model = GLOB （g/mL） x 100/PLT （x 109/L）. We evaluated the receiver operating characteristics analysis used to predict minimal fibrosis and compared six other available models. RESULTS： Thirteen clinical biochemical and hemato- logical variables [sex, age, PLT, alanine aminotransfer- ase, aspartate aminotransferase （AST）, albumin, GLOB, total bilirubin （T.bil）, direct bilirubin （D.bil）, glutamyl-transferase, alkaline phosphatase, HBV DNA and pro- thrombin time （PT）] were analyzed according to three stages of liver fibrosis （F0-F1, F2-F3 and F4）. Bivariate Spearman＇s rank correlation analysis showed that six variables, including age, PLT, T.bil, D.bil, GLOB and PT, were correlated with the three fibrosis stages （FS）. Cor- relation coefficients were 0.23, -0.412, 0.208, 0.220, 0.314 and 0.212; and P value was 0.014, 〈 0.001, 0.026, 0.018, 0.001 and 0.024, respectively. Univariate analysis revealed that only PLT and GLOB were signifi- cantly different in the three FS （PLT： F = 11.772, P 〈 0.001; GLOB： F = 6.612, P = 0.002）. Step-wise multiple regression analysis showed that PLT and GLOB were also independently correlated with FS （R2 = 0.237）. By Spearman＇s rank correlation analysis, GP model was significantly correlated with the three FS （r = 0.466, P 〈 0.001）. The median values in F0-F1, F2-F3 and F4 were 1.461, 1.720 and 2.634. Compared with the six available models （fibrosis index, AST-platelet ratio, FIB-4, fibrosis-cirrhosis index and age-AST model and age-PLT ratio）, GP model showed a highest correlation coefficient. The sensitivity and positive predictive value at a cutoff value 〈 1.68 for predicting minimal fibrosis F0-F1 were 72.4% and 71.2%, respectively. The speci- ficity and negative predictive value at a cutoff value 〈 2.53 for the prediction of cirrhosis were 84.5% and 96.7%. The area under the curve （AUC） of GP model for predicting minimal fibrosis and cirrhosis was 0.762 [95% confidence interval （CI）： 0.676-0.848] and 0.781 （95% CI： 0.638-0.924）. Although the differences were not statistically significant between GP model and the other models （P all 〉 0.05）, the AUC of GP model was the largest among the seven models. CONCLUSION： By establishing a simple model using available laboratory variables, chronic HBV-infected patients with minimal fibrosis and cirrhosis can be di- agnosed accurately, and the clinical application of this model may reduce the need for liver biopsy in HBV- infected patients.

Design Optimization of RFI Parameters by Manufacturing T-shaped Composite Panel

The aim of this project is to develop a novel approach for optimizing design resin film infusion (RFI) processing parameters by manufacturing T-shaped composite panel. The dimensional accuracy was selected as the objective function. By investigating the rheological properties of resin film, the compaction behavior of fiber preform and characteristics of RFI process, an optimal mathematical model was established, it was found that the numerical results obtained from the RFICOMP program package have good consistency with the experimental results, and this optimization procedure can be applied to other composites manufacture processes.

Bankruptcy Probability and Stock Prices： The Effect of Altman Z-Score Information on Stock Prices Through Panel Data

There is an extensive branch of literature that examines the success of Altman＇s Z-score in predicting bankruptcy or financial distress. The goal of this research paper is to investigate the stock price performance of firms that exhibit a large probability of bankruptcy according to the model of Airman. Regardless of the validity of Airman＇s Z-score, we utilize a new empirical design that relates stock price movements to Altman＇s Z-score. We focus and examine, through the methodology of panel data, whether stocks that have a high probability of bankruptcy underperform stocks with a low probability of bankruptcy or if there are differences in the way the markets react to the financial health of the sample firms.

Numerical study of rock bolting parameter variation effect on stability of stratified, composite roof structure of drift in a coal mine

Described the outcomes of a comprehensive numerical modeling on the rock bolting performance for preventing the deformation of stratified, composite roof structure of drift in a coal mine. The investigation was undertaken in the adverse geological condi- tions, with variation of bolt parameters, including length, density, distribution, pretension, as well as the geometry of opening,so as to determine the effect of bolting parameter variation on roof deformation and stability. The outcomes clearly demonstrated that a sig- nificant improvement of roof stability can be achieved associating with bolting parameters optimization, and indicated the importance of flexible geotechnical designation of rock bolting reinforcement in mining practice.

Mechanics model and numerical analysis of floor heave in soft rock roadway

The mechanism of floor heave was analyzed by establishing mechanics models and solving differential equations. The amount of floor heave is proportional to the abutment pressure of surrounding rock, roadway width, and the distance of support pressure peak to the roadway and is inversely proportional to the elastic modulus of floor rock. Using FLAC2D to simulate floor rock grouting in soft rock roadway verifies the active role of floor rock grouting in the floor controlling of soft rock roadway; floor rock grouting and grouting range directly impact on the stability scope of surrounding rock, namely, with the increase of grouting range, the subsidence of roof, the approach of both sides, and the amount of floor heave decreased gradually, the stability of surrounding rock is enhanced

Numerical investigations on effects of bluff body in flat plate micro thermo photovoltaic combustor with sudden expansion

In order to reveal combustion characteristics of H_2/air mixture in a micro-combustor with and without bluff body, the effects of inlet velocities, equivalence ratios and bluff body's blockage ratios on the temperature field, pressure of the combustor wall, combustion efficiency and blow-off limit were investigated. The numerical results indicate that the sudden expansion plate micro combustor with bluff body could enhance the turbulent disturbance of the mixed gas in the combustion chamber and the combustion condition is improved. Moreover, a low-speed and high temperature recirculation region was formed between the sudden expansion step and the bluff body so that the high and uniform wall temperature(>1000 K) could be gotten. As a result, it could strengthen the mixing process, prolong the residence time of gas, control the flame position effectively and widen the operation range by the synergistic effect of the bluff body and steps. When the blockage ratio ranged from 0.3 to 0.6, it could be found that the bluff body could play a stabilizing effect and expand combustion blow burning limit, and combustion efficiency firstly was increased with the inlet velocity and equivalence ratio, and then was decreased.

The Relationship between Financial Development and Industrial Restructuring --Based on Panel Data of 17 Areas of Shandong

Based on the Panel Data of Shan dong Province of 17 regions, by estimating varying coefficient models, studies the relationship between financial development and industrial structure.The results show that, on the whole, the financial development indicators-the scale and the efficiency can effectively promote industrial restructuring in all regions of Shandong province, but its role has obvious differences in different regions, so it can provide a basis for economic decision-making and financial policy advice.

Electricity Consumption and Spillover Effects A Dynamic Panel Data Approach

The paper intends to analyze economic factors that influence electricity consumption in the OECD economies. A special interest in this context is given to spillover effects of trade on electricity consumption. For this purpose, a model is constructed that using a dynamic panel study approach. The model is estimated in a GMM framework in which a dynamic procedure is conducted along the balanced growth path for electricity consumption in each economy. In advance, the long run dynamic behavior of prices, GDP, and trade induced spillover variables is determined. In a further step, the short run dynamic mechanism is pursued by estimating the partial adjustment dynamic coefficient on the target level of electricity consumption. The analysis is conducted for industrial, as well as residential electricity consumption. Alternatively, the same procedure is estimated by the application of a fixed period model. The model provides a benchmark tool for electricity policy decisions and for electricity consumption projections.

A New Alternative Method for Checking Total Stations

Today, just by activating a button on the display panel of a total station, one can measure horizontal and vertical angles or calculate distances and coordinates of points. For this reason, it has become necessary to improve the check of a total station in order to respond to its contemporary way of use. The aim of this research is to create a new method for checking total stations using only one check--field, in a different way of the today＇s standards. The basic principle, of the comparison of an instrument＇s measurements to those of another instrument with higher accuracy, is implemented into a mathematical model such as the adjustment of an indoor geodetic network. Thus, the check of the proper function of a total station is applied. An a-priori calculation Of^o of the network＇s adjustment can be calculated by modeling the uncertainties using statistical methods as the random number generators by means of the Monte Carlo method. The prospective ao can then be compared to the a-posteriori ao provided by the adjustment of the measurements which are carried out by using the total station under check.

Some Aspects of the Behavior for Orthotropic Thin Plates with Clamped Edges

In most structural applications, composite structures can be idealized as beams, plates or shells. The analysis is reduced from three-dimensional elasticity problem to a one-dimensional, or two-dimensional problem, based on certain simplifying assumptions that can be made because the structure is thin. In this article is presented the mathematical model properly thin orthotropic plates, based on simplifying assumptions Love- Kirchhoff and small deformations. Proposed analytical solutions are considered both for solving equation orthotropic rectangular plates and for modal analysis, in the case of plates with clamped edges. The purposed solutions were analysed considering a FEM solution for comparison and the experimental test results.

Impact Dynamics on Granular Plate

In this paper, a theoretical and numerical study on the impact of a rubber solid on the free surface of a granular plate is presented, showing a simulation of an aircraft wheel on impact with a flexible landing surface. This physical action, when we use a theological approach, becomes a fundamental parameter to investigate wear and tear, and consequently strength to micro and macro pavements failure. The study has developed initially from a microscopic point of view and subsequently on macroscale. The effects are strictly linked with material degradation associated with damage evolution. The problem is developed by energetic approach on an elastic-plastic element using the functional energy containing two contributions, bulk and surface. The model simulates the behaviour of flexible runway pavements during the landing phase.

Numerical investigation on the aerodynamic drag reduction based on bottom deflectors and streamlined bogies of a high-speed train

The complex structure of the bottom of a high-speed train is an important source of train aerodynamic drag.Thus,improving the bottom structure is of great significance to reduce the aerodynamic drag of the train.In this study,computational fluid dynamics(CFD)based on three-dimensional steady incompressible Reynolds-average Naiver-Stokes(RANS)equations and Realizable k-ε turbulence model were utilized for numerical simulations.Inspired by the concept of streamlined design and the idea of bottom flow field control,this study iteratively designed the bogies in a streamlined shape and combined them with the bottom deflectors to investigate the joint drag reduction mechanism.Three models,i.e.,single-bogie model,simplified train model,and eight-car high-speed train model,were created and their aerodynamic characteristics were analyzed.The results show that the single-bogie model with streamlined design shows a noticeable drag reduction,whose power bogie and trailer bogie experience 13.92%and 7.63%drag reduction,respectively.The range of positive pressure area on the bogie is reduced.The aerodynamic drag can be further reduced to 15.01%by installing both the streamlined bogie and the deflector on the simplified train model.When the streamlined bogies and deflectors are used on the eight-car model together,the total drag reduction rate reaches 2.90%.Therefore,the proposed aerodynamic kit for the high-speed train bottom is capable to improve the flow structure around the bogie regions,reduce the bottom flow velocity,and narrow the scope of the train’s influence on the surrounding environment,achieving the appreciable reduction of aerodynamic drag.This paper can provide a new idea for the drag reduction of high-speed trains.

Ecological Footprint and Endogenous Economic Growth in the Poyang Lake Area in China Based on Empirical Analysis of Panel Data Model

In this paper, ecological footprint methods were used to calculate the ecological footprint of six cities （Nanchang, Jingdezhen, Jiujiang, Xinyu, Yingtan and Fuzhou） in the Poyang Lake Area, Jiangxi, China from 1991 to 2010. Ecological footprint was the input factor for ecological resources and the contribution of this and other factors such as labor and capital to economic growth were analyzed. The results showed that, from 1991 to 2010, ecological footprints in the six cities increased year by year. The amount of land for fossil energy, under cultivation and grassland influenced total ecological footprint in each city. The contribution of ecological resources, labor factors and capital factors to economic growth showed regional differences. Nanchang, Jiujiang, Xinyu, and Yingtan are capital-orientated and capital factor had a great influence on the economic growth rates, whereas, Jingdezhen and Fuzhou were labor-orientated. The contribution of ecological resources to economic growth in the six cities was the lowest of all three factors, meaning that efficiency of ecological resource utilization is low. Total productivity plays a key role in economic development; however, the overall level of total factor productivity for the six cities was low and indicates that the technological content of Poyang Lake Area’s economic growth is low and the utilization of input factors extensive. In summary, we suggest changing the mode of economic growth and developing tertiary industry in the region.

ESTIMATION IN A SEMI-VARYING COEFFICIENT MODEL FOR PANEL DATA WITH FIXED EFFECTS

This paper considers a semi-varying coefficient model for panel data with fixed effects,proposes the profile-likelihood-based estimators for the parametric and nonparametric components,and establishes convergence rates and asymptotic normality properties for both estimators.Simulation results show that the proposed estimators behave well in finite sample cases.

A novel tuned heave plate system for heave motion suppression and energy harvesting on semi-submersible platforms

Deepwater offshore structures such as semi-submersible platforms suffer powerful ocean waves due to their location and site condition. The long distance away from the shore also brings many difficulties to energy supply for the platform operation. How to reduce the response of the platform and convert the wave energy into electrical power is a meaningful topic. In this paper, a tuned heave plate system(THP) is presented and designed to be employed on a semi-submersible platform for heave motion suppression and energy harvesting. This THP system is composed of spring supports, a power take-off system(PTO), and a heave plate. The PTO system is a permanent magnet linear generator(PMLG), which could directly convert the kinetic energy of the heave plate into electronic power. The stiffness of the spring supports is designed based on the principle of the tuned mass damper(TMD). The numerical model of the platform and the THP system is established according to the hydrodynamic analysis results of the platform. The model is tested and modified by scale model tests on the platform in the wave tank. A parameter study, including the size, tuned period, and damping ratio of the THP system, is conducted systematically based on the numerical model. The optimal parameters of the THP are selected due to the maximum heave motion reduction under severe wave conditions in South China Sea. The performance of the semi-submersible with and without the THP system under different wave conditions is analyzed. It is demonstrated that this novel tuned heave plate system could reduce the heave motion of the semi-submersible platform significantly and generate considerable power, which makes the THP system have a broad prospect for development.

Effects of Horizontal Density Distribution on Internal Bond Strength of Flakeboard

Horizontal density variation is a structural phenomenon of non-veneer wood composites. The variation and distribution characteristics of horizontal density have impacts on the products properties. In this study, veneer strip simulated flake boards with 4 kinds of density distribution were made using a mat model. The density variation of the modeled mats was discussed, as well as the relationship between sample size and density variation. The effects of density and density distribution of non-veneer composites on the internal bond strength were analyzed. Result shows that the horizontal density of random formed particleboard follows normal distribution. Density has remarkable influence on internal bond strength (IB). Increasing density helps to improve IB at lower density stage, but has negative impacts on IB at higher density stage. Density variation between testing specimens depends on their sizes. Properly increasing specimen size can decrease the variation of the IBs.

Weighted Profile Least Squares Estimation for a Panel Data Varying-Coefficient Partially Linear Model

This paper is concerned with inference of panel data varying-coefficient partially linear models with a one-way error structure. The model is a natural extension of the well-known panel data linear model （due to Baltagi 1995） to the setting of semiparametric regressions. The authors propose a weighted profile least squares estimator （WPLSE） and a weighted local polynomial estimator （WLPE） for the parametric and nonparametric components, respectively. It is shown that the WPLSE is asymptotically more efficient than the usual profile least squares estimator （PLSE）, and that the WLPE is also asymptotically more efficient than the usual local polynomial estimator （LPE）. The latter is an interesting result. According to Ruckstuhl, Welsh and Carroll （2000） and Lin and Carroll （2000）, ignoring the correlation structure entirely and ＂pretending＂ that the data are really independent will result in more efficient estimators when estimating nonparametric regression with longitudinal or panel data. The result in this paper shows that this is not true when the design points of the nonparametric component have a closeness property within groups. The asymptotic properties of the proposed weighted estimators are derived. In addition, a block bootstrap test is proposed for the goodness of fit of models, which can accommodate the correlations within groups illustrate the finite sample performances of the Some simulation studies are conducted to proposed procedures.

An analysis of Chinese urban residents＇ consumer demand employing a dynamic semi-parametric panel data model

Using data for China for the years 1991 to 2005 by province and employing the semi- parametric panel data model estimation method developed by Horowitz （2004） and Henderson et al. （2006） and Hubler＇s non-parametric generalized method of moments （GMM） estimation （2005）, this article constructs a dynamic semi-parametric panel data model and describes the dynamic changing trajectory of the effect on consumption of income disparity among urban residents. Our findings show that there is a significant ＂ratchet effect＂ in the consumption of urban residents; that income disparity among urban residents has a clear negative influence on consumption; and that the trajectory of this influence shows a roughly bimodal curve.