期刊文献+
共找到5篇文章
< 1 >
每页显示 20 50 100
基于单侧风险态度的资本资产定价模型及其实证研究
1
作者 黄波 李湛 顾孟迪 《上海交通大学学报》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2006年第9期1540-1543,共4页
针对代表性投资者对于下跌风险和上升风险的不同态度,推导了基于“熊市”和“牛市”的单期资产定价模型,并运用中国股市数据进行了实证.结果表明:分别与“熊市”和“牛市”对应的β-和β+比传统的β对于证券的截面收益率具有更强的解释... 针对代表性投资者对于下跌风险和上升风险的不同态度,推导了基于“熊市”和“牛市”的单期资产定价模型,并运用中国股市数据进行了实证.结果表明:分别与“熊市”和“牛市”对应的β-和β+比传统的β对于证券的截面收益率具有更强的解释能力;β-和β+分别与截面收益率正相关和负相关;公司特征因子对于截面收益率也有一定的解释能力. 展开更多
关键词 中国股市 上升风险 下跌风险 资产定价
下载PDF
2030年上海地区相对海平面变化趋势的研究和预测 被引量:15
2
作者 程和琴 王冬梅 陈吉余 《气候变化研究进展》 CSCD 北大核心 2015年第4期231-238,共8页
从全球气候变化区域响应角度,依据1912—2000年吴淞验潮站年平均潮位资料,构建灰色线性回归组合模型,并将其与最小二乘法和小波变换相结合,分析以吴淞为代表的上海绝对海平面长期变化趋势和周期变化规律。由此预测2030年上海绝对海... 从全球气候变化区域响应角度,依据1912—2000年吴淞验潮站年平均潮位资料,构建灰色线性回归组合模型,并将其与最小二乘法和小波变换相结合,分析以吴淞为代表的上海绝对海平面长期变化趋势和周期变化规律。由此预测2030年上海绝对海平面相对2011年的上升值为4cm,结合已公布的构造沉降和城市地面沉降、流域水土保持和大型水利工程及人工挖沙导致的河口河槽冲刷、河口围海造地和深水航道及跨江跨海大桥导致水仇抬升等叠加效应及其变化趋势,预测2030年上海市相对海平面上升10~16cm,陆地海平面上升有7个风险分阮。 展开更多
关键词 上海 绝对海平面 相对海平面 灰色线性回归模型 海平面上升风险分区
下载PDF
Adapting cities to sea level rise: A perspective from Chinese deltas 被引量:3
3
作者 CHENG He-Qin CHEN Ji-Yu 《Advances in Climate Change Research》 SCIE CSCD 2017年第2期130-136,共7页
In recent years, intensifying waterlogging, salt water intrusion, wetland loss, and ecosystem degradation in Chinese delta cities and adjacent regions have generated the pressing need to create an urban form that is s... In recent years, intensifying waterlogging, salt water intrusion, wetland loss, and ecosystem degradation in Chinese delta cities and adjacent regions have generated the pressing need to create an urban form that is suited to both current and future climates incorporating sea level rise. However, adaptation planning uptake is slow. This is particularly unfortunate because patterns of urban form interact with mean sea level rise (MSLR) in ways that reduce or intensify its impact. There are currently two main barriers that are significant in arresting the implementation of adaptation planning with reference to the MSLR projections composed of geomorphologic MSLR projections and eustatic MSLR projections from global climate warming, and making a comprehensive risk assessment of MSLR projections. The present review shows recent progresses in mapping MSLR projections and their risk assessment approaches on Chinese delta cities, and then a perspective of adapting these cities to MSLR projections as following six aspects. 1) The geomorphologic MSLR projections are contributed by the natural tectonic subsidence projections and the MSLR projections by anthropogenic geomorphologic change. The former needs to be updated in a global framework. The latter is accumulated by land subsidence from underground water depletion, water level fall caused by the erosion of riverbeds from a sediment supply decline attributed to the construction of watershed dams, artificial sand excavation, water level raise by engineering projects including land reclamation, deep waterway regulation, and fresh water reservoirs. 2) Controlling MSLR projections by anthropogenic geomorphologic changes. 3) The IPCC AR5 RCPs MSLRs scenarios are expected to be projected to the local eustatic MSLR projections on the Chinese deltas. 4) The MSLR projections need to be matched to a local elevation datum. 5) Modeling approaches of regional river-sea numerical with semi- analytical hydrodynamics, estuarine channel network, system dynamics and adaptation points are perspective. 6) Adaptation planning to MSLR projections requires a comprehensive risk assessment of the risk of flood, fresh water supply shortage, coastal erosion, wetland loss, siltation of ports and waterway in Chinese delta cities and adjacent regions. 展开更多
关键词 Mean sea level rise projections Natural tectonic subsidence Climate warming Local elevation datum Anthropogenic geomorphologic change Adaptation tipping point
下载PDF
Planning for Community Relocations Due to Climate Change in Fiji 被引量:1
4
作者 Karen E.Mc Namara Helene Jacot Des Combes 《International Journal of Disaster Risk Science》 SCIE CSCD 2015年第3期315-319,共5页
As a consequence of the impacts of climate change, some households and entire communities across the Pacific are making the complex and challenging decision to leave their homelands and relocate to new environments th... As a consequence of the impacts of climate change, some households and entire communities across the Pacific are making the complex and challenging decision to leave their homelands and relocate to new environments that can sustain their livelihoods. This short article charts how the residents of Vunidogoloa village in Fiji relocated in early 2014 to reduce their vulnerability to encroaching sea level and inundation events that regularly devastated the community. As a consequence of the Vunidogoloa relocation, this article also explores how the Fiji Government is planning for similar resettlement transitions, including vulnerability and adaptation assessments to develop a list of potential community relocations and the development of national relocation guidelines. This study draws from key informant interviews(n = 8) with government officials, as well as representatives from intergovernmental and local nongovernmental organizations,who are involved in the relocation issue. Given the speed at which these national, top-down initiatives are being forged and especially in light of the absence of any mention of relocation in Fiji’s 2012 climate change policy, careful and inclusive engagement across all scales and stakeholders,including communities 'earmarked' for relocation, is paramount. 展开更多
关键词 Climate change Community relocation Fiji Risk planning Sea level rise
原文传递
Spawning ascent durations of pelagic spawning reef fishes
5
《Current Zoology》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2012年第1期95-102,共8页
Predation risks have been hypothesized to influence spawning behaviors of coral reef fishes that broadcast gametes pelagically. The duration of spawning ascents of 13 species were measured from video footage at a sing... Predation risks have been hypothesized to influence spawning behaviors of coral reef fishes that broadcast gametes pelagically. The duration of spawning ascents of 13 species were measured from video footage at a single spawning site for mul- tiple coral reef fishes to investigate ff this behavior was influenced by varying risks of predation. Fishes that spawned in pairs had as- cents of longer duration than group-spawning species. Duration of spawning ascents did not vary between fishes spawning at daytime and dusk, nor between group-spawning species with specific anti-predatory morphological adaptations. These results indicate that risk of predation may not significantly influence the duration of spawning ascents of pair spawning reef fishes at our study site, while group-spawning behaviors are influenced by predation. Avoidance of egg predation by benthic organisms and female mate choice are more likely to influence the pelagic spawning behaviors of all fishes observed [Current Zoology 58 (1): 95-102, 2012]. 展开更多
关键词 Reef fishes BEHAVIOR SPAWNING PREDATION Mate selection
原文传递
上一页 1 下一页 到第
使用帮助 返回顶部