时间序列自回归滑动平均模型(Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Model,ARIMA)能较准确处理和预测依循环顺序获得的航空发动机性能数据。采用分箱改进的拉伊达准则处理起飞EGTM数据,可为ARIMA模型提供了更加真实的数据,获得航...时间序列自回归滑动平均模型(Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Model,ARIMA)能较准确处理和预测依循环顺序获得的航空发动机性能数据。采用分箱改进的拉伊达准则处理起飞EGTM数据,可为ARIMA模型提供了更加真实的数据,获得航空发动机起飞EGTM预测值,依据航空公司发动机设定的可靠度进行下发预测。应用验证表明:基于ARIMA的起飞EGTM时间序列能够满足航空发动机的质量管理的要求。展开更多
In the last century, there has been a significant development in the evaluation of methods to predict ground movement due to underground extraction. Some remarkable developments in three-dimensional computational meth...In the last century, there has been a significant development in the evaluation of methods to predict ground movement due to underground extraction. Some remarkable developments in three-dimensional computational methods have been supported in civil engineering, subsidence engineering and mining engineering practice. However, ground movement problem due to mining extraction sequence is effectively four dimensional （4D）. A rational prediction is getting more and more important for long-term underground mining planning. Hence, computer-based analytical methods that realistically simulate spatially distributed time-dependent ground movement process are needed for the reliable long-term underground mining planning to minimize the surface environmental damages. In this research, a new computational system is developed to simulate four-dimensional （4D） ground movement by combining a stochastic medium theory, Knothe time-delay model and geographic information system （GIS） technology. All the calculations are implemented by a computational program, in which the components of GIS are used to fulfill the spatial-temporal analysis model. In this paper a tight coupling strategy based on component object model of GIS technology is used to overcome the problems of complex three-dimensional extraction model and spatial data integration. Moreover, the implementation of computational of the interfaces of the developed tool is described. The GIS based developed tool is validated by two study cases. The developed computational tool and models are achieved within the GIS system so the effective and efficient calculation methodology can be obtained, so the simulation problems of 4D ground movement due to underground mining extraction sequence can be solved by implementation of the developed tool in GIS.展开更多
文摘时间序列自回归滑动平均模型(Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Model,ARIMA)能较准确处理和预测依循环顺序获得的航空发动机性能数据。采用分箱改进的拉伊达准则处理起飞EGTM数据,可为ARIMA模型提供了更加真实的数据,获得航空发动机起飞EGTM预测值,依据航空公司发动机设定的可靠度进行下发预测。应用验证表明:基于ARIMA的起飞EGTM时间序列能够满足航空发动机的质量管理的要求。
文摘In the last century, there has been a significant development in the evaluation of methods to predict ground movement due to underground extraction. Some remarkable developments in three-dimensional computational methods have been supported in civil engineering, subsidence engineering and mining engineering practice. However, ground movement problem due to mining extraction sequence is effectively four dimensional （4D）. A rational prediction is getting more and more important for long-term underground mining planning. Hence, computer-based analytical methods that realistically simulate spatially distributed time-dependent ground movement process are needed for the reliable long-term underground mining planning to minimize the surface environmental damages. In this research, a new computational system is developed to simulate four-dimensional （4D） ground movement by combining a stochastic medium theory, Knothe time-delay model and geographic information system （GIS） technology. All the calculations are implemented by a computational program, in which the components of GIS are used to fulfill the spatial-temporal analysis model. In this paper a tight coupling strategy based on component object model of GIS technology is used to overcome the problems of complex three-dimensional extraction model and spatial data integration. Moreover, the implementation of computational of the interfaces of the developed tool is described. The GIS based developed tool is validated by two study cases. The developed computational tool and models are achieved within the GIS system so the effective and efficient calculation methodology can be obtained, so the simulation problems of 4D ground movement due to underground mining extraction sequence can be solved by implementation of the developed tool in GIS.
