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基本概率赋值不确定性的广义度量及在证据组合中的应用
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作者 于爽 王欣 《控制理论与应用》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2024年第3期567-576,共10页
D–S证据理论中一个关键问题是度量传感器给出的基本概率赋值(BPA)的不确定性大小,它的准确度量对于评估信任结构传递的信息量至关重要.本文首先提出了改进的归一化投影方法(iNP),然后基于iNP提出了一种新的投影不确定性(PU)广义度量方... D–S证据理论中一个关键问题是度量传感器给出的基本概率赋值(BPA)的不确定性大小,它的准确度量对于评估信任结构传递的信息量至关重要.本文首先提出了改进的归一化投影方法(iNP),然后基于iNP提出了一种新的投影不确定性(PU)广义度量方法,理论证明和实验仿真说明了PU满足非负性、有界性、不变性、单调性、不反直观性、较高的敏感性和较低的计算负担等性质,这些性质保证了PU可以有效对BPA的不确定性广义度量.与现有的不确定性度量方法相比,所提出的方法对证据的变化更为敏感.最后,基于PU方法给出了一种新的证据组合方法,通过数值实例和实际应用,说明了本文所提方法的有效性和合理性. 展开更多
关键词 D–S证据理论 改进的归一化投影 不确定性广义度量 证据组合
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A generalized L_2-discrepancy for cubature and uncertainty quantification of nonlinear structures 被引量:2
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作者 CHEN Jian Bing SONG Peng Yan 《Science China(Technological Sciences)》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2016年第6期941-952,共12页
The numerical method for multi-dimensional integrals is of great importance, particularly in the uncertainty quantification of engineering structures. The key is to generate representative points as few as possible bu... The numerical method for multi-dimensional integrals is of great importance, particularly in the uncertainty quantification of engineering structures. The key is to generate representative points as few as possible but of acceptable accuracy. A generalized L2(GL2)-discrepancy is studied by taking unequal weights for the point set. The extended Koksma-Hlawka inequality is discussed. Thereby, a worst-case error estimate is provided by such defined GL2-discrepancy, whose dosed-form expression is available. The characteristic values of GL2-discrepancy are investigated. An optimal strategy for the selection of the representative point sets with a prescribed cardinal number is proposed by minimizing the GL2-discrepancy. The three typical examples of the multi-dimensional integrals are investigated. The stochastic dynamic response analysis of a nonlinear structure is then studied by incorporating the proposed method into the probability density evolution method. It is shown that the proposed method is advantageous in achieving tradeoffs between the efficiency and accuracy of the exemplified problems. Problems to be further studied are discussed. 展开更多
关键词 Koksma-Hlawka inequality CUBATURE L2-discrepancy nonlinear structure stochastic dynamics
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